Natural Gas Services (NGS)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $39.31 | Market Cap: $494.7 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Natural Gas Services (NGS)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $39.31Market Cap: $494.7 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% Key risksNGS key risks include [1] a significant revenue concentration from its single largest customer, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% |
| Key risksNGS key risks include [1] a significant revenue concentration from its single largest customer, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Updated on 7/17/2026
Natural Gas Services (NGS) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance and Enhanced Shareholder Returns. Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, on May 11, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.45 by 17.78%. Revenue for the quarter also exceeded expectations, reaching $48.47 million against an estimated $47.09 million. This strong performance was driven by a record 21.1% year-over-year increase in rental revenue, totaling $47.1 million, and a 25.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $24.3 million. Additionally, NGS demonstrated confidence in its future outlook by increasing its quarterly dividend by 36%, from $0.11 to $0.15 per share, effective for fiscal Q2 2026. These positive financial results and shareholder initiatives led to a notable 5.88% gain in the stock on the day of the announcement.
2. Strategic Acquisition and Strengthened Market Position. NGS strategically expanded its operational footprint and enhanced its market position through the acquisition of Flatrock Compression for approximately $120 million, announced on June 12, 2026. The acquisition involved $110 million in cash and $10 million in newly issued stock. Flatrock Compression contributes an estimated 86,000 horsepower, primarily comprising large-horsepower and electric units, operating with a high fleet utilization rate of 95%. This transaction is anticipated to be immediately accretive to key financial metrics, broaden NGS's customer base, and deepen its presence in the crucial Permian Basin and Eagle Ford regions. To facilitate the acquisition, NGS increased its committed credit facility from $400 million to $500 million.
Show more
Natural Gas Services (NGS) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance and Enhanced Shareholder Returns. Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, on May 11, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.45 by 17.78%. Revenue for the quarter also exceeded expectations, reaching $48.47 million against an estimated $47.09 million. This strong performance was driven by a record 21.1% year-over-year increase in rental revenue, totaling $47.1 million, and a 25.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $24.3 million. Additionally, NGS demonstrated confidence in its future outlook by increasing its quarterly dividend by 36%, from $0.11 to $0.15 per share, effective for fiscal Q2 2026. These positive financial results and shareholder initiatives led to a notable 5.88% gain in the stock on the day of the announcement.
2. Strategic Acquisition and Strengthened Market Position. NGS strategically expanded its operational footprint and enhanced its market position through the acquisition of Flatrock Compression for approximately $120 million, announced on June 12, 2026. The acquisition involved $110 million in cash and $10 million in newly issued stock. Flatrock Compression contributes an estimated 86,000 horsepower, primarily comprising large-horsepower and electric units, operating with a high fleet utilization rate of 95%. This transaction is anticipated to be immediately accretive to key financial metrics, broaden NGS's customer base, and deepen its presence in the crucial Permian Basin and Eagle Ford regions. To facilitate the acquisition, NGS increased its committed credit facility from $400 million to $500 million.
Show more
Updated on 7/17/2026
Natural Gas Services (NGS) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance and Enhanced Shareholder Returns. Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, on May 11, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.45 by 17.78%. Revenue for the quarter also exceeded expectations, reaching $48.47 million against an estimated $47.09 million. This strong performance was driven by a record 21.1% year-over-year increase in rental revenue, totaling $47.1 million, and a 25.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $24.3 million. Additionally, NGS demonstrated confidence in its future outlook by increasing its quarterly dividend by 36%, from $0.11 to $0.15 per share, effective for fiscal Q2 2026. These positive financial results and shareholder initiatives led to a notable 5.88% gain in the stock on the day of the announcement.
2. Strategic Acquisition and Strengthened Market Position. NGS strategically expanded its operational footprint and enhanced its market position through the acquisition of Flatrock Compression for approximately $120 million, announced on June 12, 2026. The acquisition involved $110 million in cash and $10 million in newly issued stock. Flatrock Compression contributes an estimated 86,000 horsepower, primarily comprising large-horsepower and electric units, operating with a high fleet utilization rate of 95%. This transaction is anticipated to be immediately accretive to key financial metrics, broaden NGS's customer base, and deepen its presence in the crucial Permian Basin and Eagle Ford regions. To facilitate the acquisition, NGS increased its committed credit facility from $400 million to $500 million.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Elevated Price Targets. The robust Q1 2026 financial performance and the accretive Flatrock Compression acquisition fueled a highly positive sentiment among analysts, which contributed to the stock's upward trend. As of July 3, 2026, NGS maintained a "Strong Buy" consensus rating from analysts. Multiple analysts revised their price targets upward, with the average price target from four analysts over the past three months reaching $52.25, suggesting a potential upside of 31.91% from its price of $39.61. Specific examples include Raymond James raising its price target to $54 from $53 on July 10, 2026, and Stifel Nicolaus increasing its target to $47 from $44 on June 16, 2026, while reiterating a "Buy" rating.
Show less
Natural Gas Services (NGS) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance and Enhanced Shareholder Returns. Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, on May 11, 2026. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.45 by 17.78%. Revenue for the quarter also exceeded expectations, reaching $48.47 million against an estimated $47.09 million. This strong performance was driven by a record 21.1% year-over-year increase in rental revenue, totaling $47.1 million, and a 25.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $24.3 million. Additionally, NGS demonstrated confidence in its future outlook by increasing its quarterly dividend by 36%, from $0.11 to $0.15 per share, effective for fiscal Q2 2026. These positive financial results and shareholder initiatives led to a notable 5.88% gain in the stock on the day of the announcement.
2. Strategic Acquisition and Strengthened Market Position. NGS strategically expanded its operational footprint and enhanced its market position through the acquisition of Flatrock Compression for approximately $120 million, announced on June 12, 2026. The acquisition involved $110 million in cash and $10 million in newly issued stock. Flatrock Compression contributes an estimated 86,000 horsepower, primarily comprising large-horsepower and electric units, operating with a high fleet utilization rate of 95%. This transaction is anticipated to be immediately accretive to key financial metrics, broaden NGS's customer base, and deepen its presence in the crucial Permian Basin and Eagle Ford regions. To facilitate the acquisition, NGS increased its committed credit facility from $400 million to $500 million.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Elevated Price Targets. The robust Q1 2026 financial performance and the accretive Flatrock Compression acquisition fueled a highly positive sentiment among analysts, which contributed to the stock's upward trend. As of July 3, 2026, NGS maintained a "Strong Buy" consensus rating from analysts. Multiple analysts revised their price targets upward, with the average price target from four analysts over the past three months reaching $52.25, suggesting a potential upside of 31.91% from its price of $39.61. Specific examples include Raymond James raising its price target to $54 from $53 on July 10, 2026, and Stifel Nicolaus increasing its target to $47 from $44 on June 16, 2026, while reiterating a "Buy" rating.
Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.9% change in NGS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.61 | 39.46 | 4.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 172 | 179 | 4.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.6% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.7 | 22.7 | -4.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NGS | 4.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.1% | -3.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | -4.5% | 41.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.0% change in NGS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.43 | 39.46 | 18.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 167 | 179 | 7.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.4 | 22.7 | 1.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NGS | 18.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 31.7% | 36.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 55.1% change in NGS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.45 | 39.46 | 55.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 161 | 179 | 11.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.7 | 22.7 | 21.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 55.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NGS | 55.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.1% | 19.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 41.2% | 36.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 304.3% change in NGS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 111.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.76 | 39.46 | 304.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 91 | 179 | 96.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 2.8 | 111.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 304.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NGS | 304.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.8% | 33.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 57.5% | 48.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NGS Return | 10% | 9% | 40% | 67% | 27% | 14% | 307% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 71% | 33% | 27% | 26% | 35% | 683% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NGS Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 56% | 56% | 50% | 48% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NGS Max Drawdown | -22% | -37% | -24% | -29% | -41% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -47% | -30% | -28% | -41% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AROC, KGS, RES, TTI, HLX. See NGS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NGS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 178 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 237 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1922 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Natural Gas Services's stock fell -37.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 60.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | NGS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 237 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1922 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.7% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -33.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 453 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 193.6% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 411 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Natural Gas Services's stock fell -37.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 60.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Natural Gas Services (NGS)
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) is a U.S.-based company that provides essential natural gas compression services and equipment to the energy industry. Its primary business involves the rental and sale of natural gas compressors. As of December 2021, NGS maintained a rental fleet of over 2,000 compression units, offering various horsepower applications predominantly for unconventional oil and natural gas production.
Beyond rentals, NGS also fabricates, manufactures, and sells a wide range of natural gas compressors and related components, including compressor frames, cylinders, and parts. The company engineers and assembles these units for both its rental fleet and for direct sale. Additionally, NGS designs, fabricates, sells, installs, and services flare stacks and associated ignition systems, which are used for the safe incineration of various gas compounds onshore and offshore.
The company primarily serves exploration and production (E&P) companies that utilize compression units for applications such as artificial lift or those focused on natural gas-weighted production. Midstream companies also represent a significant customer segment for NGS. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, NGS supports these customers with comprehensive customer support services, including exchange and rebuild programs for compressors.
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- Natural Gas Services is like United Rentals, but specifically for natural gas compression and flaring equipment.
- Think of Natural Gas Services as a Caterpillar for the natural gas processing and production industry.
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- Natural Gas Compression Unit Rental: The company rents out small, medium, and large horsepower natural gas compression units for various energy industry applications.
- Natural Gas Compressor Manufacturing and Sales: It designs, fabricates, manufactures, and sells natural gas compressors, including reciprocating compressor frames, cylinders, and parts.
- Flare Stacks and Systems: NGS designs, fabricates, sells, installs, and services flare stacks along with related ignition and control devices for gas incineration.
- Compressor Exchange and Rebuild Program: This service provides an exchange and rebuild option specifically for small horsepower screw compressors.
- Customer Support Services: The company offers customer support services for its compressor and flare sales businesses.
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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) primarily sells its services and equipment to other companies in the energy industry. The provided background information does not list the specific names of its customer companies or their public symbols.
However, the company identifies the following types of entities as its major customers:
- Exploration and production (E&P) companies that utilize compressor units for artificial lift applications.
- Exploration and production (E&P) companies that focus on natural gas-weighted production.
- Midstream companies.
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Justin Jacobs, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Jacobs was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. in February 2024. Prior to joining NGS, he served as a Managing Director and was a member of the management committee at Mill Road Capital Management LLC, an investment firm specializing in small, publicly traded companies, where he worked since 2005. From 1999 to 2004, Mr. Jacobs was employed by LiveWire Capital, an investment and management group primarily supported by The Blackstone Group and Thomas Lee Partners, focusing on operational buyouts of middle-market companies. During his time at LiveWire, he held various operational roles, including interim Chief Operating Officer, in several portfolio companies. Before LiveWire, from 1996 to 1999, he was an investment professional in the private equity group at The Blackstone Group, where he was involved in transactions across various industries, including oil refining. Mr. Jacobs is currently a member of the Board of Directors of Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee, Inc., and has previously served on the boards of multiple public and private companies. He holds a B.S. from the McIntire School of Commerce at the University of Virginia with concentrations in accounting and finance.
Ian Eckert, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Eckert is set to join Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. as Chief Financial Officer no later than January 6, 2025, having been appointed effective December 30, 2024. Before his employment with NGS, he served as Chief Accounting Officer, Vice President, and Corporate Controller at Alamo Group Inc., a public company listed on the NYSE that manufactures equipment for industrial, vegetation, and agricultural markets, starting in June 2023. From 2020 to 2023, Mr. Eckert was the Vice President, Finance for AMETEK Inc.'s Electron Microscopy Technologies business. Prior to 2020, he held progressively responsible roles in controllership, financial planning and analysis, and strategy at Howmet Aerospace Inc. (formerly Alcoa Inc.). He began his professional career at Lafarge. Mr. Eckert earned a B.S. in Finance from Indiana University and an MBA from Carnegie Mellon University.
Steven Pye, Vice President, Operations
Prior to his employment with Natural Gas Services Group, Inc., Mr. Pye worked for ExxonMobil, where his most recent role was Permian Regional Engineering Manager following the acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources. He spent 13 years at Pioneer Natural Resources, advancing through various roles, and ultimately serving as Director of Production Operations. In this capacity, he led extensive production operations and multidisciplinary field and engineering teams across active oil basins. Mr. Pye began his career as a Production Engineer at BP, supporting operations in Midland, Azerbaijan, Alaska, and Durango. He holds a B.S. in Petroleum Engineering from the University of Texas at Austin.
John A. Rowell, Vice President, Technical
Mr. Rowell has been a crucial contributor to the development of Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.'s innovative technology, which has played a significant role in the company's growth. He started his career with the company in 2001, initially fabricating compressor units.
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Key Business Risks for Natural Gas Services (NGS)
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) faces several key risks inherent to its operations within the energy industry. These include its high dependence on the volatile oil and natural gas markets, significant customer concentration, and increasing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) as well as regulatory pressures. The most significant risk to Natural Gas Services is its **dependence on oil and natural gas price volatility** and, consequently, the expenditure levels of the energy industry. NGS's revenue is highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity prices, which directly impact the exploration and production (E&P) and midstream companies that are its primary customers. Lower oil and gas prices can lead to reduced capital expenditures by these customers, subsequently decreasing the demand for NGS's natural gas compression services and equipment, thereby adversely affecting its revenue and profitability. A second critical risk is **customer concentration**. Natural Gas Services has a substantial reliance on a few major customers. For example, Occidental Permian and Devon Energy collectively accounted for 59% of NGS's 2025 revenue and 62% of its year-end accounts receivable. The loss of one or both of these key customers, or a significant deterioration in their financial condition, could have a material adverse effect on NGS's business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows. Finally, **ESG pressures and regulatory risks** pose a growing challenge. Increased scrutiny and evolving environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards, alongside climate-related regulations (such as those concerning methane emissions), can impact investor sentiment and access to capital for NGS and its customers. Stricter environmental rules could also dampen customer activity in the fossil fuel sector, reduce demand for compression services, or increase NGS's operational costs to ensure compliance.AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating global energy transition away from fossil fuels, including natural gas, towards renewable energy sources and decarbonization technologies.
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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) operates in the natural gas compression and flare systems markets primarily within the United States.
Natural Gas Compression Services and Equipment
The addressable market for natural gas compression services and equipment in the United States is substantial. The U.S. Natural Gas Compressor Market was valued at approximately USD 1.90 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach USD 1.67 billion in 2025. Globally, the natural gas compressor market was valued at USD 5.57 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 8.34 billion by 2032, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.94% during the forecast period. North America accounted for the largest share of this global market, holding 34.11% in 2024. NGS's offerings, including reciprocating compressors, align with a significant segment of this market, as reciprocating types constitute about 61% of compressors in operation in the U.S.
Flare Stacks and Related Ignition and Control Devices
For its flare stacks and related ignition and control devices, Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. addresses the market for flare gas recovery systems. The United States flare gas recovery system market reached USD 203.2 million in 2025 and is anticipated to grow to USD 324.2 million by 2035, exhibiting a healthy CAGR of 6.8% during this forecast period. This U.S. market is also expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.9% from 2025 to 2030. Globally, the flare gas recovery system market was estimated at USD 2.35 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.16 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.2%.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Natural Gas Services (NGS) over the next 2-3 years:
- Expansion of Large-Horsepower and Electric Motor-Driven Units in Rental Fleet: Natural Gas Services is strategically expanding its rental fleet, with a particular focus on high-return large-horsepower and electric motor-driven compression units. This expansion is driven by strong customer demand and is expected to continue boosting rental revenue and adjusted gross margins. The company has secured new long-term contracts for these types of units, setting a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Increased Fleet Utilization and Pricing Improvements: NGS has consistently achieved record fleet utilization rates and continues to implement pricing improvements across its compression portfolio. This operational efficiency and ability to command higher rental rates for its equipment are anticipated to further drive rental revenue and overall profitability.
- Sustained Industry Demand for Compression Services: The company expects continued growth due to strong structural tailwinds in the compression industry. These tailwinds include increasing liquefied natural gas (LNG) export demand, rising natural gas power generation, and growing electricity consumption driven by data centers and AI infrastructure. This robust market demand underpins NGS's organic growth strategy.
- Expanding Customer Relationships and Organic Market Share Gains: Natural Gas Services is focused on expanding its customer relationships and has demonstrated a consistent ability to capture market share organically. This involves attracting new clients and strengthening ties with existing major customers, such as Occidental Permian and Devon Energy, which contribute significantly to their revenue.
- Strategic Acquisitions: While prioritizing organic growth, Natural Gas Services also includes the disciplined evaluation of strategic mergers and acquisitions (M&A) as part of its capital allocation framework. These potential acquisitions could enhance the company's market position and expand its customer offerings.
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Share Repurchases
- In 2025, Natural Gas Services Group authorized a $6 million stock repurchase program.
- In October 2021, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $10 million of outstanding common stock.
- Under a prior authorization that expired in September 2021, the company repurchased 478,769 shares of common stock for a total of $5.0 million.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2025, capital expenditures totaled $121.5 million, with $109.8 million allocated as growth capital for new large-horsepower compression units.
- For 2026, growth capital expenditures are expected to range from $55 million to $70 million, focused on continued investment in large horsepower compression units, and maintenance capital expenditures are projected to be between $15 million and $18 million.
- In 2024, the company's growth capital expenditures amounted to $60.5 million, and maintenance capital expenditures were $11.4 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,313 |
| Op Inc LTM | 58 |
| FCF LTM | 106 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 95 |
| CFO LTM | 187 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 231 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 42.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rental | 164 | 144 | 106 | ||
| Aftermarket services | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Parts | 2 | 5 | |||
| Other (Compressors/Rebuilds) | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| Compressors | 2 | 4 | 2 | ||
| Flares | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 842 rental revenue | 74 | 64 | |||
| Total | 172 | 157 | 121 | 85 | 72 |
| $ Mil | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | |
| Service & Maintenance | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Corporate | -11 | ||||
| Rental | 15 | ||||
| NGE Leasing (NGE) | 5 | 7 | 2 | ||
| Great Lakes Compression, Inc. (GLC) | 1 | ||||
| Natural Gas Services Group (NGSG) | -2 | ||||
| Rotary Gas Systems (RGS) | 0 | ||||
| Total | 8 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| $ Mil | 2006 | 2002 |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate | 136 | |
| Great Lakes Compression, Inc. (GLC) | 9 | |
| NGE Leasing (NGE) | 11 | |
| Natural Gas Services Group (NGSG) | 1 | |
| Rotary Gas Systems (RGS) | 4 | |
| Total | 136 | 24 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $39.46 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/22/2002 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $41.25 | $35.80 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -4.3% | 10.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.7% | 34.0% |
| Downside Capture | 23.56 | 34.33 |
| Upside Capture | 43.27 | 87.64 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -3.3% | 18.4% |
NGS Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.07 | -0.15 | -0.22 | 0.23 | 0.52 | 0.98 |
| Up Beta | -1.80 | -1.54 | -0.99 | -0.54 | 0.28 | 0.91 |
| Down Beta | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.59 | 1.42 |
| Up Capture | 114% | 30% | 28% | 72% | 76% | 106% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 35 | 71 | 144 | 408 |
| Down Capture | 1% | -9% | -22% | 31% | 40% | 82% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 28 | 54 | 108 | 339 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NGS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGS | 64.4% | 34.0% | 1.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 39.5% | 20.9% | 1.49 | 35.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 12.6% | 1.19 | 18.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.69 | 6.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.4% | 19.1% | 1.30 | 20.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.0% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 5.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | 15.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NGS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGS | 31.4% | 44.2% | 0.75 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 21.6% | 25.9% | 0.75 | 42.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 24.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 10.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 30.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 13.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.9% | 53.4% | 0.46 | 14.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NGS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGS | 5.3% | 46.3% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 9.9% | 29.5% | 0.37 | 48.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 32.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 24.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.7% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 10.7% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/8/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/13/2026 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| 3/18/2026 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| 11/12/2025 | 5.4% | 6.4% | 19.0% |
| 8/13/2025 | -4.8% | -0.6% | 4.3% |
| 5/12/2025 | 18.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% |
| 3/19/2025 | -4.0% | -1.1% | -13.1% |
| 11/15/2024 | 0.3% | 11.7% | 2.0% |
| 8/15/2024 | 3.6% | -2.2% | -7.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -2.2% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 21.5% | 25.1% | 34.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.0% | -16.1% | -19.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/13/2026 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| 3/18/2026 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| 11/12/2025 | 5.4% | 6.4% | 19.0% |
| 8/13/2025 | -4.8% | -0.6% | 4.3% |
| 5/12/2025 | 18.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% |
| 3/19/2025 | -4.0% | -1.1% | -13.1% |
| 11/15/2024 | 0.3% | 11.7% | 2.0% |
| 8/15/2024 | 3.6% | -2.2% | -7.9% |
| 5/17/2024 | -2.0% | -8.1% | -19.9% |
| 4/1/2024 | 12.4% | 15.9% | 9.0% |
| 11/20/2023 | -3.8% | -1.9% | -10.1% |
| 8/14/2023 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.8% |
| 5/15/2023 | -2.1% | 1.9% | -5.5% |
| 11/14/2022 | -10.0% | -16.1% | -6.1% |
| 5/16/2022 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% |
| 3/17/2022 | -7.5% | -0.5% | 15.4% |
| 11/12/2021 | -0.3% | -8.0% | -15.6% |
| 8/11/2021 | -4.1% | -7.2% | -5.6% |
| 5/13/2021 | 1.2% | 6.5% | 16.2% |
| 11/17/2020 | -1.8% | 14.9% | -4.3% |
| 8/18/2020 | 21.5% | 25.1% | 34.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -2.2% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 21.5% | 25.1% | 34.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.0% | -16.1% | -19.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/18/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/16/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/14/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/31/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/16/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/18/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/31/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 92.50 Mil | 95.00 Mil | 97.50 Mil | 2.2% | Raised | Guidance: 93.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Growth Capital Expenditures | 5.5E9% | 6.25E9% | 7.0E9% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 6.25E9% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Maintenance Capital Expenditures | 15.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 18.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 16.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Horsepower Deployment | 50,000 | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 90.50 Mil | 93.00 Mil | 95.50 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Growth Capital Expenditures | 5.5E9% | 6.25E9% | 7.0E9% | 4.2% | Raised | Guidance: 6.0E9% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Maintenance Capital Expenditures | 15.00 Mil | 16.50 Mil | 18.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Effective Tax Rate | 25.0% | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/12/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Dividends | 0.11 | ||||||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 78.00 Mil | 79.50 Mil | 81.00 Mil | 1.9% | Raised | Guidance: 78.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Growth Capex | 9.5E9% | 1.025E10% | 1.1E10% | -2.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.05E10% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Maintenance Capex | 11.00 Mil | 12.50 Mil | 14.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 12.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Growth Capex | 5.0E9% | 6.0E9% | 7.0E9% | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/11/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 37.23 | 30,000 | 1,116,759 | 6,530,509 | Form | |
| 2 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 37.58 | 70,000 | 2,630,922 | 7,721,080 | Form | |
| 3 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 33.54 | 10,000 | 335,400 | 9,237,989 | Form | |
| 4 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 33.16 | 10,000 | 331,600 | 9,464,925 | Form | |
| 5 | Holley, Jean K | Direct | Buy | 12102025 | 32.04 | 2,190 | 70,168 | 461,056 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 37.23 | 30,000 | 1,116,759 | 6,530,509 | Form | |
| 2 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 37.58 | 70,000 | 2,630,922 | 7,721,080 | Form | |
| 3 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 33.54 | 10,000 | 335,400 | 9,237,989 | Form | |
| 4 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 33.16 | 10,000 | 331,600 | 9,464,925 | Form | |
| 5 | Holley, Jean K | Direct | Buy | 12102025 | 32.04 | 2,190 | 70,168 | 461,056 | Form | |
| 6 | Holley, Jean K | Direct | Buy | 12092025 | 32.00 | 935 | 29,920 | 390,400 | Form | |
| 7 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 32.12 | 20,000 | 642,400 | 9,489,276 | Form | |
| 8 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 31.37 | 10,000 | 313,700 | 9,895,102 | Form | |
| 9 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 30.31 | 10,000 | 303,100 | 9,863,844 | Form | |
| 10 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 31.01 | 10,000 | 310,069 | 10,400,706 | Form | |
| 11 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 29.77 | 18,748 | 558,086 | 10,282,738 | Form | |
| 12 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 11072025 | 29.06 | 11,152 | 324,054 | 10,582,326 | Form | |
| 13 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 11072025 | 29.00 | 100 | 2,900 | 10,884,628 | Form | |
| 14 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 28.50 | 7,915 | 225,586 | 10,700,225 | Form | |
| 15 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9252025 | 28.50 | 759 | 21,632 | 10,925,390 | Form | |
| 16 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 28.50 | 1,326 | 37,791 | 10,947,021 | Form | |
| 17 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9232025 | 27.95 | 11,457 | 320,216 | 10,772,567 | Form | |
| 18 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9192025 | 27.50 | 63 | 1,732 | 10,914,448 | Form | |
| 19 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9182025 | 27.50 | 1,638 | 45,046 | 10,916,418 | Form | |
| 20 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9172025 | 27.51 | 6,553 | 180,253 | 10,964,015 | Form | |
| 21 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 27.50 | 289 | 7,948 | 11,141,432 | Form | |
| 22 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 27.00 | 10,000 | 270,018 | 10,890,744 | Form | |
| 23 | Holley, Jean K | Direct | Buy | 9042025 | 26.58 | 3,752 | 99,724 | 207,316 | Form | |
| 24 | Taylor, Stephen Charles | Direct | Sell | 8222025 | 26.25 | 20,000 | 525,060 | 10,851,258 | Form | |
| 25 | Holley, Jean K | Direct | Buy | 8152025 | 24.49 | 4,048 | 99,154 | 99,154 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 22, 202613F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)
Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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Core Cache Last Updated: 7/21/2026