Natural Gas Services (NGS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.14 | Market Cap: $401.2 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Natural Gas Services (NGS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.14Market Cap: $401.2 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NGS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting factors that contributed to the performance of Natural Gas Services (NGS) during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, based on the most recent available information. While the precise 21.7% stock movement within this exact timeframe cannot be directly attributed to a single event in the provided data, the company's strong financial results and strategic outlook during this period would generally foster positive investor sentiment and contribute to an upward trend in its stock value. **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.** Natural Gas Services Group reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.36. The company's revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $43.4 million against an estimated $43.25 million. **2. Record Adjusted EBITDA Achieved.** The company announced a record Adjusted EBITDA of $20.8 million for the third quarter of 2025, representing a substantial 15% year-over-year increase. **3. Significant Growth in Rental Revenue and Rented Horsepower.** NGS experienced an 11.1% year-over-year increase in rental revenue, reaching $41.5 million in Q3 2025. This growth was underpinned by an 11% expansion in rented horsepower, totaling 526,000, driven largely by strong demand in the Permian Basin for gas lift applications. **4. Upward Revision of Full-Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance.** Management demonstrated confidence in the company's future performance by raising its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $78 million to $81 million. **5. Strategic Expansion of Large Horsepower Rental Fleet.** The company outlined plans to expand its large horsepower rental fleet by an additional 100,000 horsepower over five quarters, focusing on securing contracts with blue-chip customers. This strategic initiative positions NGS for sustained growth and increased market presence.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NGS Return | -23% | 10% | 9% | 40% | 67% | 15% | 152% |
| Peers Return | 68% | -16% | -10% | -2% | 2% | 21% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NGS Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 22% | 20% | 28% | 30% | 34% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NGS Max Drawdown | -67% | -15% | -11% | -17% | -14% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -24% | -22% | -20% | -23% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MIND, BWEN, HMH, WBI, BKR. See NGS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NGS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 442 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 217.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 699 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 205.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 393.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1918 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MIND, BWEN, HMH, WBI, BKR
In The Past
Natural Gas Services's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Natural Gas Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 164 |
| Op Inc LTM | 36 |
| FCF LTM | 7 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1 |
| CFO LTM | 35 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 24 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 12.6 |
| P/E | 16.2 |
| P/CFO | 7.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -21.0% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 45.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 41.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 80.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 30.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 28.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 17.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3172025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |