Tearsheet

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $35.71 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $35.71
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 83%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
Key risks
KGS key risks include [1] significant stock price pressure from its largest shareholder, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 83%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6%
7 Key risks
KGS key risks include [1] significant stock price pressure from its largest shareholder, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KGS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Kodiak Gas Services (KGS), the 1.2% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments. 1. Positive Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Guidance Increase. Kodiak Gas Services announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, reporting an increase in its full-year 2025 discretionary cash flow guidance and reiterating other guidance metrics. This positive financial update likely contributed to investor confidence during the period.

2. Senior Unsecured Notes Offering. On September 18, 2025, Kodiak Gas Services launched and subsequently priced an additional $200 million offering of senior unsecured notes. This move to secure further capital could have been viewed favorably, providing the company with enhanced financial flexibility.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KGS Return115%-9%
Peers Return-14%1%19%61%67%13%216%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KGS Win Rate50%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%38%62%62%58%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KGS Max Drawdown0%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-14%-11%-10%-10%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AROC, NGS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

KGS has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,858 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)

Better Bets than Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kodiak Gas Services

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
Mkt Price35.7525.4132.4032.40
Mkt Cap3.14.40.43.1
Rev LTM1,2851,4391671,285
Op Inc LTM39752238397
FCF LTM18719-4319
FCF 3Y Avg5114-6714
CFO LTM52353258523
CFO 3Y Avg34439547344

Growth & Margins

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
Rev Chg LTM19.4%31.9%9.5%19.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-20.8%28.3%24.6%
Rev Chg Q-0.6%30.9%6.7%6.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%6.7%1.7%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM30.9%36.3%22.5%30.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.3%30.1%16.4%28.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%1.4%0.5%1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM40.7%37.0%35.1%37.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.8%33.5%32.8%32.8%
FCF/Rev LTM14.6%1.3%-25.8%1.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%0.9%-54.7%0.9%

Valuation

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
Mkt Cap3.14.40.43.1
P/S2.53.22.12.5
P/EBIT10.48.9-9.6
P/E42.917.318.818.8
P/CFO6.18.66.06.1
Total Yield3.5%8.7%5.3%5.3%
Dividend Yield1.1%2.9%0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.7%-0.0%-0.9%
D/E0.80.6-0.7
Net D/E0.80.6-0.7

Returns

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
1M Rtn8.5%9.2%7.3%8.5%
3M Rtn9.8%7.5%21.4%9.8%
6M Rtn6.7%3.6%19.2%6.7%
12M Rtn-8.6%2.5%28.3%2.5%
3Y Rtn-255.8%189.7%222.8%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%8.5%6.6%7.8%
3M Excs Rtn5.1%3.4%17.6%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-5.7%-8.8%6.8%-5.7%
12M Excs Rtn-19.4%-10.1%15.1%-10.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-175.0%123.9%149.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Contract Services736655583
Other Services1155323
Total850708606


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Contract Services3,2123,1843,005
Other Services32217
Total3,2443,2063,012


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,703,036
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.2%
Average Daily Volume1,324,483
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.55
Basic Shares Quantity87,055,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-6.5%-5.9%1.3%
8/6/2025-0.5%9.2%10.5%
3/6/2025-1.2%4.7%-9.3%
11/7/20240.8%3.6%20.2%
8/13/2024-1.9%-0.9%0.5%
5/8/20241.0%1.5%-6.9%
1/29/20240.9%-2.0%7.6%
11/8/20231.3%6.4%9.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive456
# Negative543
Median Positive1.0%4.7%8.4%
Median Negative-1.4%-1.5%-7.0%
Max Positive1.3%9.2%20.2%
Max Negative-6.5%-5.9%-9.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
123120226302023424B4 12/31/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. 9102025Sell34.2110,000,000342,110,000676,097,385Form
1Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. 5142025Sell36.023,222,338116,052,5031,136,236,695Form
2Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. 1302025Sell47.503,728,677177,112,1581,651,637,842Form
3Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. 12132024Sell42.095,500,000231,473,0001,620,311,000Form