Tearsheet

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)


Market Price (4/23/2026): $65.0 | Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)


Market Price (4/23/2026): $65.0
Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.2%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 68x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%

Key risks
KGS key risks include [1] significant stock price pressure from its largest shareholder, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 68x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 102%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
8 Key risks
KGS key risks include [1] significant stock price pressure from its largest shareholder, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) stock has gained about 75% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Kodiak Gas Services reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, alongside robust 2026 guidance. The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $184.5 million in Q4 2025, marking a 9.1% increase year-over-year. Contract Services segment revenue also grew by 7.7% to $301.8 million compared to Q4 2024. For the full year 2025, revenue reached $1.3 billion, a 13% increase from 2024, with adjusted EBITDA climbing 17% to $715 million. Kodiak's 2026 guidance projects adjusted EBITDA in the range of $750 million to $780 million and revenue between $1.37 billion and $1.43 billion, signaling continued growth expectations.

2. The company pursued strategic acquisitions and expansions, diversifying its service offerings and strengthening its market position. On February 5, 2026, Kodiak announced the acquisition of Distributed Power Solutions, LLC (DPS) for approximately $675 million, which was completed on April 1, 2026. This acquisition expands Kodiak's operations into distributed power generation, adding approximately 395 megawatts of capacity and broadening its customer base beyond contract compression. The deal is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings and discretionary cash flow per share. Additionally, on March 20, 2026, Kodiak purchased over 20,000 horsepower of compression assets in the Permian Basin for $24 million, projected to generate more than $7 million in incremental annualized revenues under a new seven-year service agreement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 72.6% change in KGS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 59.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254222026Change
Stock Price ($)37.0463.9272.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2851,3081.8%
Net Income Margin (%)5.8%6.2%5.5%
P/E Multiple43.068.459.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)87861.0%
Cumulative Contribution72.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KGS72.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%26.3%
Sector (XLE)26.5%9.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 77.0% change in KGS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254222026Change
Stock Price ($)36.1263.9277.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2871,3081.7%
Net Income Margin (%)6.5%6.2%-5.0%
P/E Multiple38.068.480.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)88861.8%
Cumulative Contribution77.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KGS77.0% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%26.2%
Sector (XLE)27.7%22.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 80.2% change in KGS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120254222026Change
Stock Price ($)35.4763.9280.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1591,30812.8%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%6.2%43.0%
P/E Multiple61.968.410.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)87861.0%
Cumulative Contribution80.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KGS80.2% 
Market (SPY)16.3%50.9%
Sector (XLE)24.1%49.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KGS  
Market (SPY)63.3%40.4%
Sector (XLE)49.6%46.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
KGS Return--31%115%-4%70%361%
Peers Return1%19%61%67%17%24%370%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%3%88%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KGS Win Rate--57%75%42%100% 
Peers Win Rate38%62%62%58%46%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KGS Max Drawdown---3%0%-25%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-11%-10%-10%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AROC, NGS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)

We are a leading operator of contract compression infrastructure in the United States (“U.S.”). Our compression operations are critical to our customers’ ability to reliably produce natural gas and oil to support growing global energy demand. We are a market leader in the Permian Basin, which is the largest producing natural gas and oil basin in the U.S. We operate our large horsepower compression units under stable, fixed-revenue contracts with blue-chip upstream and midstream customers. Our compression assets have long useful lives consistent with the expected production lives of the key regions where we operate. We believe our partnership-focused business model positions us as the preferred contract compression operator for our customers and creates long-standing relationships. We strategically invest in the training, development, and retention of our highly skilled and dedicated employees and believe their expertise and commitment to excellence enhances and differentiates our business model. Furthermore, we maintain an intense focus on being one of the most sustainable and responsible operators of contract compression infrastructure. Eighty-four percent of our compression assets are strategically deployed in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale, which the EIA expects to maintain significant production volumes through at least 2050. We believe these two regions have the largest and lowest-cost unconventional resources in the U.S. Additionally, there are significant liquefied natural gas (“LNG”) export projects in development, and overall LNG capacity is expected to meaningfully grow over the next decade. We expect this to translate into Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale natural gas production growth, requiring substantial additional compression horsepower. We believe these regions will play an increasingly important role in global energy security as the world continues to require reliable and growing natural gas and oil production to support increasing global energy demand. We are a leader in large horsepower compression, with approximately 81% of our approximately 3.2 million horsepower fleet comprised of compression units larger than 1,000 horsepower. Due to lower initial reservoir pressures, production from unconventional resources, such as the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale, requires significantly more compression horsepower than from conventional production, which supports our large horsepower strategy. Additionally, increased demand for large horsepower infrastructure is driven by multi-well pad drilling, overall well density, and large-scale gathering systems. We believe large horsepower compression units serve more stable applications, receive longer initial contracts, are more likely to be renewed, and produce higher margins, ultimately generating recurring cash flow and return on invested capital. We believe the quality of our relationships with blue-chip customers, the reliability of our compression operations and the structure of our contracts produce stable, recurring cash flow. We derive substantially all of our revenues from fixed-revenue contracts. Approximately 38% and 39% of our total revenues come from our four largest customers for the three months ended March 31, 2023 and the year ended December 31, 2022, respectively, which customers are all S&P 500 constituents and investment grade rated upstream and midstream companies in the Permian Basin. Our partnership-focused business model provides best-in-class reliability, which we believe is critical to securing and maintaining long-term relationships with our customers. Our assets and supporting operations have an industry-leading historical average mechanical availability (which measures the percentage of time in a given period that compression operations are being provided or are capable of being provided) of over 99.5% since inception. The strength of our customer relationships and contract structures, combined with the reliability and critical nature of our assets, have resulted in a five-year 99% average fleet utilization (which measures the revenue-generating horsepower divided by our total fleet horsepower). --- Countries around the world are moving toward a lower carbon future while providing secure low-cost sources of energy for their citizens. Recent world events have resulted in renewed attention on environmentally responsible and secure energy production provided by the U.S., and we are committed to continuing to play a meaningful role in our industry. We are focused on being the most resilient and sustainable enterprise, and we have ambitious sustainability goals. We will continue to innovate processes and technologies to assist our customers in meeting their emission reduction goals, while striving to provide a safe, inclusive and supportive environment for our employees and the communities where we operate. Finally, we intend to do business with integrity and ethics and maintain a corporate governance structure that includes appropriate oversight and transparency in all aspects of our operations. Our principal executive offices are located at 15320 Highway 105 W, Suite 210, Montgomery, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies to describe Kodiak Gas Services:

  • Think of them as the United Rentals for large-scale natural gas compression equipment and operations.
  • They are like the Equinix for physical energy infrastructure, providing critical, reliable compression as a service to major energy companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Contract Natural Gas Compression Services: Kodiak Gas Services provides and operates large horsepower natural gas compression units under fixed-revenue contracts for upstream and midstream customers, primarily in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale, to support natural gas and oil production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided company description, Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) sells primarily to other companies in the upstream and midstream sectors. While the company highlights its reliance on its four largest customers, the specific names and symbols of these major customers are not disclosed in the provided text.

The description characterizes these four largest customers as:

  • S&P 500 constituents
  • Investment grade rated upstream and midstream companies
  • Operating in the Permian Basin

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Robert "Mickey" McKee President and Chief Executive Officer

Robert "Mickey" McKee founded the Kodiak group of companies in 2010, serving as its President since formation and Chief Executive Officer since 2019. Before founding Kodiak, he was the Senior Vice President of Sales and Engineering for CDM Resource Management, LLC, a provider of contract natural gas compression services, from 2003 to 2010. He has 22 years of experience in natural gas compression operations. Kodiak received early funding from private equity firm The Stephens Group, LLC in 2011.

John B. Griggs Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

John Griggs joined Kodiak in 2023 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. He previously served as CFO at Circulus Holdings from 2021 to 2023, Conquest Completion Services from 2018 to 2021, and Rubicon Oilfield International from 2015 to 2018. From 2011 through 2014, he was a Managing Director at CSL Capital Management, an energy private equity firm. Prior to that, from 2005 through 2011, he was a Senior Vice President for the direct capital arm of the D. E. Shaw Group, focusing on direct debt and equity investments in energy companies. This demonstrates a pattern of managing companies and involvement with private equity firms.

Chad Lenamon Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer

Chad Lenamon serves as Kodiak's Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer, having joined the company in 2019. With over 25 years of experience, his prior roles include serving as President of CDM Resource Management, LLC, a contract natural gas compression services provider, and Pegasus Optimization Managers, LLC.

Steven L. Green Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Steven Green joined Kodiak in 2025 as Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer. He brings over 18 years of experience in midstream oil and gas operations. Before Kodiak, he founded and served as the Chief Executive Officer of Piñon Midstream, LLC, a private equity-backed company focused on sour gas gathering, treating, and sequestration of carbon dioxide, from 2020 to 2024.

Jason Stewart Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Treasurer

Jason Stewart joined Kodiak in 2016 as Executive Vice President of Corporate Development and was appointed Treasurer in 2023. His previous experience includes senior origination and underwriting roles at PNC Business Credit, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, and CIT Energy, and he also served as Chief Financial Officer of Enerven Compression.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Kodiak Gas Services

  1. Customer Concentration: A significant portion of Kodiak Gas Services' total revenues, approximately 38% and 39% for the three months ended March 31, 2023, and the year ended December 31, 2022, respectively, is derived from its four largest customers. The loss of one or more of these key customers could materially and adversely affect the company's financial condition and results of operations.
  2. Dependence on Natural Gas and Oil Production and Demand: Kodiak Gas Services' business is intrinsically tied to the production and demand for natural gas and oil. While the company operates in regions expected to maintain significant production volumes and benefits from growing LNG export capacity, a global acceleration towards a lower carbon future, significant declines in natural gas and oil prices, or reduced demand for fossil fuels could negatively impact the need for its compression services and the financial health of its customers.
  3. Geographical Concentration: A substantial majority, 84%, of Kodiak Gas Services' compression assets are strategically deployed in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale. Adverse economic, regulatory, or operational developments specific to these two regions, such as changes in drilling activity, production curtailments, or environmental policies, could disproportionately affect the company's operations and financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) operates in the contract compression infrastructure sector, primarily focusing on large horsepower natural gas compression units in the United States, with a significant presence in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale.

While specific addressable market sizes for "contract compression services" are not explicitly provided in the search results, the closest quantifiable addressable market for Kodiak Gas Services' offerings can be represented by the broader natural gas compressor market in North America and the U.S.

The North American natural gas compressor market was valued at approximately USD 1.90 billion in 2024. Projections indicate that the North American market, which held over 37% of the global revenue, had a market size of approximately USD 2.04 billion (USD 2043.1 million) in 2025. Specifically for the U.S., the natural gas compressor market was valued at USD 1.67 billion in 2025 and approximately USD 1.61 billion (USD 1612 million) in 2025, with an anticipated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.6% over the analysis period.

The Permian Basin's gas compression market, a key region for Kodiak, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.8% through 2028. Customer demand for large horsepower compression infrastructure, particularly in the Permian Basin, remains strong.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors in the evolving energy landscape:

  • Strong Demand for Large Horsepower Contract Compression: The company anticipates continued robust demand for its large horsepower compression units, particularly in key regions like the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale. Production from unconventional resources in these basins requires significant compression, which underpins Kodiak's strategy and is expected to drive ongoing revenue.
  • Strategic Expansion into Distributed Power Generation: Kodiak's acquisition of Distributed Power Solutions (DPS) is a significant new growth vector. This expansion into distributed power generation is expected to accelerate growth post-closure, adding to the company's revenue streams beyond its core compression services.
  • Organic Fleet Growth and New Unit Deployments: Kodiak plans substantial organic growth of its compression fleet. The company aims to deploy approximately 150,000 new unit horsepower in 2026 as part of a larger strategy to deploy over 750,000 new large horsepower compression units by 2030, primarily focusing on increasing capacity in high-demand areas like the Permian Basin.
  • Favorable Recontracting and Pricing Environment: Kodiak has benefited from and expects to continue realizing revenue growth through recontracting existing units at higher rates. The company also anticipates margin expansion in its Contract Services segment through a combination of price improvements and efficient cost management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)

Share Repurchases

  • Kodiak Gas Services announced a $50 million share repurchase program on November 14, 2024, which was authorized to extend through December 31, 2025.
  • The company executed a $50 million repurchase of common stock from Frontier TopCo Partnership, L.P. on August 11, 2025, part of its existing repurchase program.
  • In 2025, Kodiak returned over $263 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, including over $100 million in stock repurchases.

Share Issuance

  • Kodiak Gas Services completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on June 29, 2023, issuing 16,000,000 shares at a price of $16.00 per share, raising $256.0 million.
  • As part of its agreement to acquire Distributed Power Solutions (DPS), Kodiak will issue 2,401,278 shares, valued at approximately $100 million.

Inbound Investments

  • EQT, through its Infrastructure III and IV funds, was the largest shareholder in Kodiak Gas Services prior to its IPO in 2023, having initially invested in 2019.
  • EQT fully exited its investment in Kodiak Gas Services on December 11, 2025, through a series of staged sell-downs over a 30-month period following the IPO.

Outbound Investments

  • Kodiak Gas Services entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Distributed Power Solutions (DPS) for approximately $675 million, consisting of $575 million in cash and the issuance of 2,401,278 shares.
  • The acquisition of Distributed Power Solutions is expected to close in early April 2026.

Capital Expenditures

  • For 2026, Kodiak anticipates growth capital expenditures between $235 million and $265 million, aiming to add approximately 150,000 new unit horsepower.
  • Expected maintenance capital expenditures for 2026 are projected between $75 million and $85 million, with other capital expenditures ranging from $40 million to $50 million.
  • The company plans to deploy over 750,000 new large horsepower compression units by the end of 2030, driven by demand in key basins like the Permian.

Better Bets vs. Kodiak Gas Services (KGS)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to KGS.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
KGS_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026KGSKodiak Gas ServicesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
KOS_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026KOSKosmos EnergyInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TPL_12262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12262025TPLTexas Pacific LandDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
65.2%65.2%-2.1%
NOV_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025NOVNOVInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-6.5%
RIG_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025RIGTransoceanInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
60.5%60.5%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
Mkt Price63.9235.8638.1038.10
Mkt Cap5.56.20.55.5
Rev LTM1,3081,4901721,308
Op Inc LTM40857640408
FCF LTM284120-59120
FCF 3Y Avg10767-6767
CFO LTM60062263600
CFO 3Y Avg39845449398

Growth & Margins

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
Rev Chg LTM12.8%28.7%9.9%12.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg23.1%20.9%27.4%23.1%
Rev Chg Q7.5%15.5%13.5%13.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%3.5%3.3%3.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM41.2%57.0%19.5%41.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg23.3%59.2%1,035.4%59.2%
Op Mgn LTM31.2%38.7%23.4%31.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.2%32.1%18.1%28.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%2.4%0.9%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM45.8%41.8%36.5%41.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.2%36.7%31.3%35.2%
FCF/Rev LTM21.7%8.0%-34.0%8.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%5.1%-49.9%5.1%

Valuation

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
Mkt Cap5.56.20.55.5
P/S4.24.22.84.2
P/Op Inc13.510.811.911.9
P/EBIT17.710.612.112.1
P/E68.419.424.024.0
P/CFO9.210.07.69.2
Total Yield2.9%7.4%4.5%4.5%
Dividend Yield1.4%2.3%0.3%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%1.6%-27.9%1.6%
D/E0.50.40.50.5
Net D/E0.50.40.50.5

Returns

KGSAROCNGSMedian
NameKodiak G.Archrock Natural . 
1M Rtn9.3%-2.6%-3.4%-2.6%
3M Rtn62.6%29.5%10.3%29.5%
6M Rtn84.6%44.2%38.8%44.2%
12M Rtn102.2%60.2%107.9%102.2%
3Y Rtn367.7%311.2%260.9%311.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.8%-11.0%-11.9%-11.0%
3M Excs Rtn58.7%25.6%6.5%25.6%
6M Excs Rtn79.6%42.1%34.9%42.1%
12M Excs Rtn66.5%24.3%74.6%66.5%
3Y Excs Rtn295.7%227.4%191.4%227.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Contract Services1,034736655583
Other Services1251155323
Total1,159850708606


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Contract Services4,3983,2123,1843,005
Other Services3732217
Total4,4353,2443,2063,012


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$63.92 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.5 
First Trading Date06/29/2023 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$56.73$40.33
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA12.7%58.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility36.9%33.7%
Downside Capture-0.39-0.11
Upside Capture270.6672.84
Correlation (SPY)33.6%26.3%
KGS Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.621.170.810.751.05-0.14
Up Beta-0.341.892.181.741.130.08
Down Beta2.111.501.011.051.58-0.00
Up Capture323%296%209%112%71%74%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days12254076142380
Down Capture63%-55%-97%-25%42%68%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days9162249106301

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KGS
KGS105.5%33.7%2.18-
Sector ETF (XLE)46.3%19.8%1.8027.5%
Equity (SPY)26.7%12.5%1.7726.3%
Gold (GLD)38.9%27.4%1.19-5.2%
Commodities (DBC)23.5%16.2%1.3217.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.6%13.6%0.8221.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-12.8%42.6%-0.210.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KGS
KGS36.2%37.8%1.54-
Sector ETF (XLE)22.6%26.1%0.7846.5%
Equity (SPY)10.5%17.1%0.4840.4%
Gold (GLD)21.5%17.8%0.997.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.7%18.8%0.4733.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%18.8%0.0926.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.8%56.4%0.2913.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KGS
KGS16.7%37.8%1.54-
Sector ETF (XLE)10.1%29.5%0.3846.5%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6640.4%
Gold (GLD)13.9%15.9%0.737.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%17.6%0.3833.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2326.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.1%66.9%1.0713.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 315202611.5%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity86.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/25/20264.0%10.3%11.4%
11/4/2025-6.5%-5.9%1.3%
8/6/2025-0.5%9.2%10.5%
3/6/2025-1.2%4.7%-9.3%
11/7/20240.8%3.6%20.2%
8/13/2024-1.9%-0.9%0.5%
5/8/20241.0%1.5%-6.9%
1/29/20240.9%-2.0%7.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive567
# Negative543
Median Positive1.0%5.5%9.2%
Median Negative-1.4%-1.5%-7.0%
Max Positive4.0%10.3%20.2%
Max Negative-6.5%-5.9%-9.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/07/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202306/30/2023424B4

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA750.00 Mil765.00 Mil780.00 Mil7.4% RaisedActual: 712.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Discretionary cash flow480.00 Mil495.00 Mil510.00 Mil7.6% RaisedActual: 460.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Contract Services revenues1.24 Bil1.26 Bil1.28 Bil6.8% RaisedActual: 1.18 Bil for 2025
2026 Contract Services adjusted gross margin percentage67.5%68.5%69.5%0.7%0.5%RaisedActual: 68.0% for 2025
2026 Other Services revenues125.00 Mil137.50 Mil150.00 Mil5.8% RaisedActual: 130.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Other Services adjusted gross margin percentage13.0%14.5%16.0%-6.4%-1.0%LoweredActual: 15.5% for 2025
2026 Maintenance capital expenditures75.00 Mil80.00 Mil85.00 Mil0 AffirmedActual: 80.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Growth capital expenditures2.35E10%2.5E10%2.65E10%29.9% RaisedActual: 1.925E10% for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted EBITDA700.00 Mil712.50 Mil725.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 712.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Discretionary Cash Flow450.00 Mil460.00 Mil470.00 Mil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 455.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Contract Services revenues1.16 Bil1.18 Bil1.20 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.18 Bil for 2025
2025 Contract Services adjusted gross margin percentage67.0%68.0%69.0%00AffirmedGuidance: 68.0% for 2025
2025 Other Services revenues120.00 Mil130.00 Mil140.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 130.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Other Services adjusted gross margin percentage14.0%15.5%17.0%00AffirmedGuidance: 15.5% for 2025
2025 Maintenance capital expenditures75.00 Mil80.00 Mil85.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 80.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Growth capital expenditures1.8E10%1.925E10%2.05E10%0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.925E10% for 2025