Nordic American Tankers (NAT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.71 | Market Cap: $785.6 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Nordic American Tankers (NAT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.71Market Cap: $785.6 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.1%, Dist 3Y High is -4.1% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -17% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Logistics, Future of Freight, and Energy Security & Geopolitics. Themes include Crude Oil Shipping, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -39% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Logistics, Future of Freight, and Energy Security & Geopolitics. Themes include Crude Oil Shipping, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.1%, Dist 3Y High is -4.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -17% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -39% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NAT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Rally in Crude Tanker Stocks in 2025
Crude tanker stocks, including Nordic American Tankers (NAT), experienced a significant rally throughout 2025, substantially outperforming broader equity benchmarks such as the S&P 500 and Russell 2000. The Drewry Crude Tanker Equity Index (DCTEI) rose by more than 50% year-to-date as of late October 2025. This strong sector performance provides a backdrop for NAT's stock movement.
2. Surge in Freight Rates
A primary catalyst for the robust market performance has been a surge in charter rates across the crude tanker market. The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) climbed nearly 50% year-to-date in 2025, with spot VLCC rates exceeding $80,000 per day, indicating strong demand and favorable pricing for tanker operators.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NAT Return | -33% | -41% | 88% | 56% | -34% | 59% | 22% |
| Peers Return | -15% | 37% | 20% | 7% | 44% | 11% | 141% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NAT Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 72% | 63% | 58% | 70% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NAT Max Drawdown | -49% | -43% | -17% | -6% | -35% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -1% | -3% | -11% | -7% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENB, WMB, KMI, TRP, LNG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 389 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -81.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 447.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to ENB, WMB, KMI, TRP, LNG
In The Past
Nordic American Tankers's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/26/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nordic American Tankers
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 58.1 |
| Rev LTM | 15,532 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,388 |
| FCF LTM | 2,086 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,916 |
| CFO LTM | 5,638 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,334 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 30.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 58.1 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 10.6 |
| P/E | 20.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.8 |
| Total Yield | 8.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 56.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 9032025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6042025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4292025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12022024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9302024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5302024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4292024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11302023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9292023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4272023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12022022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9302022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 6062022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 5112022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11292021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |