MongoDB (MDB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $404.5 | Market Cap: $32.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
MongoDB (MDB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $404.5Market Cap: $32.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -165 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 63x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Hybrid Cloud Solutions. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Hybrid Cloud Solutions. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -165 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 63x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MDB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why MongoDB (MDB) stock moved significantly during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations. MongoDB reported exceptional third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on December 1, with sales increasing 19% year-over-year to over $628 million, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $593 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.32 significantly exceeded analyst forecasts of $0.79.
2. Raised Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance. The company substantially increased its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting sales growth near 22% and adjusted EPS growth near 14% for the upcoming quarter. Management now anticipates full-year fiscal 2026 revenue between $2.434 billion and $2.439 billion, an increase from its prior outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDB Return | 173% | 47% | -63% | 108% | -43% | 73% | 205% |
| Peers Return | 35% | 35% | -22% | 50% | 39% | 31% | 283% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDB Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 65% | 32% | 68% | 67% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDB Max Drawdown | -25% | -32% | -74% | -14% | -47% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -6% | -33% | -5% | -4% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, ORCL, IBM. See MDB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MDB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 325.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 120 days |
Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, ORCL, IBM
In The Past
MongoDB's stock fell -76.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -76.5% loss requires a 325.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MDB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MongoDB
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 311.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 1,529.4 |
| Rev LTM | 179,607 |
| Op Inc LTM | 47,428 |
| FCF LTM | 12,668 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16,715 |
| CFO LTM | 71,336 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 58,222 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1,529.4 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| P/EBIT | 25.3 |
| P/E | 33.2 |
| P/CFO | 22.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 150.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 83.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8272025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3212025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12102024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3152024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6022023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3172023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9022022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6032022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3182022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12082021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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