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MongoDB (MDB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $404.5 | Market Cap: $32.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

MongoDB (MDB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $404.5
Market Cap: $32.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -165 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 63x
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Hybrid Cloud Solutions.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Hybrid Cloud Solutions.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -165 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.5%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 63x
8 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MDB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why MongoDB (MDB) stock moved significantly during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations. MongoDB reported exceptional third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on December 1, with sales increasing 19% year-over-year to over $628 million, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $593 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.32 significantly exceeded analyst forecasts of $0.79.

2. Raised Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance. The company substantially increased its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting sales growth near 22% and adjusted EPS growth near 14% for the upcoming quarter. Management now anticipates full-year fiscal 2026 revenue between $2.434 billion and $2.439 billion, an increase from its prior outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MDB Return173%47%-63%108%-43%73%205%
Peers Return35%35%-22%50%39%31%283%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDB Win Rate58%67%42%58%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%32%68%67%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDB Max Drawdown-25%-32%-74%-14%-47%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-6%-33%-5%-4%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, ORCL, IBM. See MDB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven325.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days120 days

Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, ORCL, IBM


In The Past

MongoDB's stock fell -76.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -76.5% loss requires a 325.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About MongoDB (MDB)

Better Bets than MongoDB (MDB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MDB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MongoDB

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDBMSFTGOOGLAMZNORCLIBMMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Oracle Internat. 
Mkt Price405.94477.73319.63232.38207.73302.62311.12
Mkt Cap32.93,551.03,863.02,471.8587.0282.61,529.4
Rev LTM2,218293,812385,477670,03859,01865,402179,607
Op Inc LTM-165135,937124,07776,19018,66711,54447,428
FCF LTM24078,01773,55213,481-5,88011,85412,668
FCF 3Y Avg14571,30268,99821,6774,94911,75316,715
CFO LTM270147,039151,424121,13721,53413,48371,336
CFO 3Y Avg158121,384120,99096,97719,46813,49858,222

Growth & Margins

MDBMSFTGOOGLAMZNORCLIBMMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Oracle Internat. 
Rev Chg LTM21.9%15.6%13.4%10.9%9.7%4.5%12.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.2%13.2%11.0%11.3%10.2%2.6%11.2%
Rev Chg Q23.7%18.4%15.9%13.3%12.2%9.1%14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%4.3%3.8%3.0%2.8%2.1%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM-7.5%46.3%32.2%11.4%31.6%17.7%24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.8%44.6%29.9%7.9%30.3%16.4%23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.6%-0.5%0.3%0.2%0.6%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM12.2%50.0%39.3%18.1%36.5%20.6%28.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%47.2%35.3%15.8%35.6%21.4%28.4%
FCF/Rev LTM10.8%26.6%19.1%2.0%-10.0%18.1%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%28.0%20.5%3.5%9.8%18.6%14.2%

Valuation

MDBMSFTGOOGLAMZNORCLIBMMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Oracle Internat. 
Mkt Cap32.93,551.03,863.02,471.8587.0282.61,529.4
P/S7.713.17.63.510.54.07.6
P/EBIT-233.429.619.327.434.223.225.3
P/E-216.536.723.633.149.733.333.2
P/CFO63.126.219.419.328.719.522.9
Total Yield-0.5%3.4%4.6%3.0%2.8%5.4%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.3%0.0%0.8%2.4%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.8%2.3%3.3%1.1%1.6%6.4%2.0%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.20.30.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.00.00.20.20.0

Returns

MDBMSFTGOOGLAMZNORCLIBMMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAlphabet Amazon.c.Oracle Internat. 
1M Rtn10.0%-7.4%12.7%-8.5%-19.4%-0.7%-4.1%
3M Rtn29.7%-5.3%38.7%2.8%-6.9%24.7%13.7%
6M Rtn103.2%3.4%90.6%12.1%24.1%15.4%19.7%
12M Rtn25.3%11.6%87.4%8.9%14.7%35.6%20.0%
3Y Rtn153.4%91.8%220.4%146.9%158.7%127.1%150.2%
1M Excs Rtn10.0%-7.4%12.7%-8.5%-19.4%-0.7%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn20.7%-11.1%32.4%-6.7%-12.0%17.8%5.5%
6M Excs Rtn88.5%-11.4%75.9%-2.6%9.3%0.7%5.0%
12M Excs Rtn12.3%0.1%76.5%-1.8%-0.0%23.0%6.2%
3Y Excs Rtn110.1%29.5%162.3%74.5%92.1%58.2%83.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
MongoDB Atlas-related1,105808492271163
Other subscription522427350295237
Services5649322522
Total1,6831,284874590422


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,930,688
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.9%
Average Daily Volume1,882,475
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.09
Basic Shares Quantity81,078,234
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025827202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025604202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025321202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241210202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024830202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024531202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024315202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023317202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022318202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211208202110-Q 10/31/2021