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MongoDB (MDB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $414.48 | Market Cap: $33.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

MongoDB (MDB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $414.48
Market Cap: $33.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.5%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -156 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Hybrid Cloud Solutions.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 89x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 102%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
5   Key risks
MDB key risks include [1] decelerating revenue growth for its flagship Atlas service and a challenging path to GAAP profitability, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Hybrid Cloud Solutions.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.5%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -156 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 89x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 102%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
9 Key risks
MDB key risks include [1] decelerating revenue growth for its flagship Atlas service and a challenging path to GAAP profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MDB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why MongoDB (MDB) stock moved by 30.7% between August 31, 2025, and today (December 18, 2025): **1. Strong Third Quarter CY2025 Financial Performance.** MongoDB reported robust Q3 CY2025 results, exceeding Wall Street's expectations with revenue of $628.3 million against estimates of $594.3 million, marking an 18.7% year-on-year growth. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.32 also significantly beat analyst estimates of $0.79.

**2. Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.** Following the strong Q3 performance, MongoDB's management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $4.78 at the midpoint, representing a 29.7% increase, and increased its full-year revenue guidance to between $2.43 billion and $2.44 billion, surpassing earlier forecasts. This positive outlook contributed significantly to investor confidence.

**3. Accelerated Growth of Atlas Cloud Database.** MongoDB's Atlas cloud data platform continued its strong momentum, with its growth accelerating to 30% year-over-year. Atlas now accounts for 75% of the company's total revenue, underscoring its pivotal role in driving MongoDB's overall performance.

**4. Strategic Initiatives in AI and Application Modernization.** MongoDB launched new AI-powered services, including an Application Modernization Platform, designed to help modernize legacy applications. The company is also expanding its AI applications program, leveraging AI technologies for data-driven insights, which aligns with emerging technological trends and presents significant growth opportunities.

**5. Positive Revisions in Analyst Price Targets.** In response to MongoDB's better-than-expected earnings and optimistic outlook, several equities analysts increased their price targets for MDB shares and reiterated "outperform" or "buy" ratings. This collective confidence from analysts further bolstered investor sentiment and contributed to the stock's upward trajectory.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MDB Return173%47%-63%108%-43%81%220%
Peers Return35%-36%53%26%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDB Win Rate58%67%42%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%63%28%65%55%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDB Max Drawdown-25%-32%-74%-14%-47%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-45%-5%-12%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, ORCL, SNOW. See MDB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven325.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days120 days

Compare to GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, ORCL, IBM


In The Past

MongoDB's stock fell -76.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -76.5% loss requires a 325.9% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About MongoDB (MDB)

Better Bets than MongoDB (MDB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MDB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MongoDB

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDBMSFTAMZNGOOGLORCLSNOWMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet Oracle Snowflake 
Mkt Price412.35476.12221.27296.72178.46216.29259.00
Mkt Cap33.63,539.02,353.63,586.2805.576.61,579.6
Rev LTM2,317293,812670,038385,47761,0174,387177,414
Op Inc LTM-156135,93776,190124,07719,490-1,50447,840
FCF LTM34678,01713,48173,552-13,1817697,125
FCF 3Y Avg19471,30221,67768,9982,15573111,916
CFO LTM376147,039121,137151,42422,29687471,716
CFO 3Y Avg208121,38496,977120,99019,87482258,425

Growth & Margins

MDBMSFTAMZNGOOGLORCLSNOWMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet Oracle Snowflake 
Rev Chg LTM20.9%15.6%10.9%13.4%11.1%28.5%14.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.0%13.2%11.3%11.0%9.8%33.2%12.2%
Rev Chg Q18.7%18.4%13.3%15.9%14.2%28.7%17.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%4.3%3.0%3.8%3.4%6.6%4.0%
Op Mgn LTM-6.7%46.3%11.4%32.2%31.9%-34.3%21.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11.9%44.6%7.9%29.9%30.8%-38.0%18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.6%0.3%-0.5%0.3%3.1%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.2%50.0%18.1%39.3%36.5%19.9%28.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%47.2%15.8%35.3%35.5%24.3%29.8%
FCF/Rev LTM14.9%26.6%2.0%19.1%-21.6%17.5%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%28.0%3.5%20.5%5.1%21.6%15.0%

Valuation

MDBMSFTAMZNGOOGLORCLSNOWMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet Oracle Snowflake 
Mkt Cap33.63,539.02,353.63,586.2805.576.61,579.6
P/S14.513.13.57.613.217.513.2
P/EBIT-508.829.627.419.3--23.4
P/E-473.736.733.123.652.2-56.828.4
P/CFO89.326.219.319.436.187.731.2
Total Yield-0.2%3.4%3.0%4.6%2.6%-1.8%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%0.3%0.7%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.8%2.3%1.1%3.3%--1.7%
D/E0.00.00.10.0--0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.0-0.0---0.0

Returns

MDBMSFTAMZNGOOGLORCLSNOWMedian
NameMongoDB MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet Oracle Snowflake 
1M Rtn21.4%-6.2%-5.0%4.2%-18.8%-14.4%-5.6%
3M Rtn30.7%-6.5%-4.5%19.0%-40.7%-0.8%-2.6%
6M Rtn102.0%-0.5%4.1%71.5%-15.0%2.0%3.1%
12M Rtn55.5%5.5%-4.3%52.4%6.2%26.6%16.4%
3Y Rtn103.0%99.2%151.8%231.2%132.7%51.8%117.9%
1M Excs Rtn20.7%-6.9%-5.7%3.4%-19.6%-15.2%-6.3%
3M Excs Rtn29.0%-7.5%-5.7%16.5%-41.1%-4.0%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn89.6%-12.9%-8.3%59.1%-27.4%-10.4%-9.3%
12M Excs Rtn43.3%-3.8%-13.8%45.9%-7.1%17.9%7.0%
3Y Excs Rtn34.5%24.6%75.9%152.0%59.4%-25.1%47.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
MongoDB Atlas-related1,105808492271163
Other subscription522427350295237
Services5649322522
Total1,6831,284874590422


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,500,432
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.0%
Average Daily Volume1,460,591
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.40
Basic Shares Quantity81,401,853
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/26/202538.0%46.0%47.1%
6/4/202512.8%5.4%4.6%
3/5/2025-26.9%-25.7%-38.2%
12/9/2024-16.9%-24.1%-30.0%
8/29/202418.3%14.7%10.0%
5/30/2024-23.9%-25.8%-15.0%
3/7/2024-6.9%-10.5%-11.8%
12/5/2023-10.7%-9.4%-15.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111413
# Negative141112
Median Positive18.6%18.8%17.4%
Median Negative-8.0%-12.5%-13.4%
Max Positive38.0%46.0%49.7%
Max Negative-26.9%-25.8%-38.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251202202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025827202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025604202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025321202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241210202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024830202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024531202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024315202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023317202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022318202210-K 1/31/2022