Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.8 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.8Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -129 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -174% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -154% |
| Key risksKMTS key risks include [1] its history of significant net losses, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -129 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -174% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -154% |
| Key risksKMTS key risks include [1] its history of significant net losses, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KMTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Performance and Raised Guidance. Kestra Medical Technologies reported robust financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended July 31, 2025, on September 11, 2025. The company announced a 52% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $19.4 million, and a significant expansion of its gross margin to 45.7%. Furthermore, Kestra raised its full fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to $88 million, indicating strong growth prospects.
2. Positive Clinical Study Results for ASSURE® Device. On November 10, 2025, Kestra announced favorable primary results from its ASSURE® WCD Clinical Evaluation Post-Approval Study (ACE-PAS). This large-scale real-world study confirmed the ASSURE® Wearable Cardioverter Defibrillator's 100% effectiveness in converting ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation events and demonstrated a strong safety profile with a low inappropriate-shock rate.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KMTS Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | 10% | 18% | -17% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KMTS Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 57% | 45% | 55% | 65% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KMTS Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -8% | -30% | -9% | -7% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDT, BSX, ABT, SYK, EW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
KMTS has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Kestra Medical Technologies Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KMTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kestra Medical Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 96.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 130.4 |
| Rev LTM | 21,866 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,252 |
| FCF LTM | 3,850 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,282 |
| CFO LTM | 4,729 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,952 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 130.4 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| P/EBIT | 27.0 |
| P/E | 29.9 |
| P/CFO | 27.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 41.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12112025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9122025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7172025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4172025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 4302024 | 3062025 | 424B4 4/30/2024 |
| 4302021 | 11232021 | DRS/A 4/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |