Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS)
Market Price (12/13/2025): $26.12 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS)
Market Price (12/13/2025): $26.12Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -129 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -174% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -154% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -129 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -174% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -117%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -154% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KMTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS) experienced a significant stock movement of 62.1% from August 31, 2025, to December 11, 2025, driven by several key factors. The stock, which had a 52-week low of $13.25 after its IPO on March 6, 2025, saw its closing price reach $24.91 by December 11, 2025. This upward trend can be attributed to the following points:
1. Strong Revenue Growth and Increased Guidance: Kestra Medical Technologies reported robust financial results for its second fiscal quarter of 2026, which ended October 31, 2025. The company announced revenues of $22.6 million, marking a 53% increase compared to the prior year period and exceeding analyst estimates. Following this performance, Kestra raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $91 million, up from a previous forecast of $88 million, indicating strong commercial momentum and expected continued growth of 52% over fiscal year 2025.
2. Expanded Gross Margins: The company demonstrated improved operational efficiency by expanding its gross margin to 50.6% in the second fiscal quarter of 2026, a notable increase from 39.6% in the same period last year. This expansion highlights the attractive unit economics and positive leverage within Kestra's business model.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KMTS Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | 10% | 18% | -17% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KMTS Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 22% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 57% | 45% | 55% | 65% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KMTS Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -8% | -30% | -9% | -7% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDT, BSX, ABT, SYK, EW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
KMTS has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Kestra Medical Technologies Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KMTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kestra Medical Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 96.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 131.7 |
| Rev LTM | 21,866 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,252 |
| FCF LTM | 3,850 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,282 |
| CFO LTM | 4,729 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,952 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 131.7 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| P/EBIT | 27.0 |
| P/E | 30.1 |
| P/CFO | 27.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12112025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9122025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7172025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4172025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 4302024 | 3062025 | 424B4 4/30/2024 |
| 4302021 | 11232021 | DRS/A 4/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |