Tearsheet

Kodiak AI (KDK)


Market Price (7/8/2026): $5.2 | Market Cap: $917.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Kodiak AI (KDK)


Market Price (7/8/2026): $5.2
Market Cap: $917.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -57%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, and Autonomous Driving Technology.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -132 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3173%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 215x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -74%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 559%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2585%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3192%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%

Key risks
KDK key risks include [1] its precarious financial viability, Show more.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -57%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -132 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3173%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 215x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -74%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 559%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2585%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3192%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -52%
9 Key risks
KDK key risks include [1] its precarious financial viability, Show more.

KDK in ETFs

Weight = KDK's share of each fund

ITOT0.00%
ARKQ0.86%
SCHA0.01%
ONEQ0.00%
SCHB0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/7/2026

Kodiak AI (KDK) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Equity Dilution.

Kodiak AI raised $100 million through a PIPE financing. This financing, coupled with warrants, resulted in a substantial 197.2% increase in total shares outstanding over the past year, significantly diluting existing shareholder value. Further equity dilution was accelerated by a 15.38 million share sale at $6.50, which also lowered warrant and convertible exercise prices.

2. Delay in Major Delivery Order and Revised Revenue Estimates.

The company announced a significant delay in its flagship 100-truck Atlas order, pushing the anticipated revenue growth ramp to fiscal year 2027. Management now expects the completion of this order by the end of the first half of fiscal year 2027, a revision from previous guidance for fiscal year 2026. Consequently, analysts have cut the average top-line revenue estimate for fiscal year 2026 by over 19% to less than $10 million, and the fiscal year 2027 figure by more than a third.

Show more
Updated on 7/7/2026

Kodiak AI (KDK) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Equity Dilution.

Kodiak AI raised $100 million through a PIPE financing. This financing, coupled with warrants, resulted in a substantial 197.2% increase in total shares outstanding over the past year, significantly diluting existing shareholder value. Further equity dilution was accelerated by a 15.38 million share sale at $6.50, which also lowered warrant and convertible exercise prices.

2. Delay in Major Delivery Order and Revised Revenue Estimates.

The company announced a significant delay in its flagship 100-truck Atlas order, pushing the anticipated revenue growth ramp to fiscal year 2027. Management now expects the completion of this order by the end of the first half of fiscal year 2027, a revision from previous guidance for fiscal year 2026. Consequently, analysts have cut the average top-line revenue estimate for fiscal year 2026 by over 19% to less than $10 million, and the fiscal year 2027 figure by more than a third.

3. Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow and Investor Concerns.

For fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, Kodiak AI reported a negative free cash flow of $35.0 million and net cash used in operating activities of $29.5 million. The company projects free cash flow for fiscal Q2 2026 to be negative $39 million to $41 million. The full-year fiscal 2026 guidance was revised to a negative $155 million to $165 million, indicating ongoing cash burn and raising investor concerns regarding financial sustainability and the potential need for additional capital.

4. High Valuation Despite Limited Revenue Generation.

Despite reporting revenue of $1.8 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and annual revenue of $4.16 million over the last twelve months, Kodiak AI's stock was trading at a high price-to-sales multiple of 11.9x analyst firm AmerX's fiscal year 2028 revenue estimate of $97.7 million. This "premium pricing," coupled with the company's relatively low current revenue, contributed to an InvestingPro analysis suggesting the shares remained overvalued, supporting a cautious "Hold" rating from AmerX.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.9% change in KDK stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267072026Change
Stock Price ($)6.945.07-26.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)449.5%
P/S Multiple320.7215.1-32.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)175176-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-26.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KDK-26.9% 
Market (SPY)15.0%30.6%
Sector (XLK)34.8%18.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -53.6% change in KDK stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -0.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257072026Change
Stock Price ($)10.925.07-53.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)40.0%
P/S Multiple215.10.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)175176-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KDK-53.6% 
Market (SPY)9.9%30.4%
Sector (XLK)24.6%22.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KDK  
Market (SPY)22.0%24.9%
Sector (XLK)42.1%20.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KDK  
Market (SPY)74.6%24.9%
Sector (XLK)110.0%20.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
KDK Return----47%-51%-28%
Peers Return35%-57%105%16%18%24%100%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KDK Win Rate----50%29% 
Peers Win Rate71%25%53%53%56%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KDK Max Drawdown------53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-63%-38%-39%-41%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AUR, GOOGL, APTV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

KDK has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

EventXLKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven65 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-17.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven92 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-10.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-33.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven246 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-31.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven78 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days

Compare to AUR, GOOGL, APTV

In The Past

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

KDK has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

EventXLKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven65 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-33.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven246 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-31.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven78 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-51.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven797 days1085 days

Compare to AUR, GOOGL, APTV

In The Past

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kodiak AI (KDK)

Kodiak AI (KDK) operates as a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). Its fundamental business is to identify and complete a significant business combination, such as a merger, asset acquisition, or share exchange, with an existing private operating company. KDK itself does not engage in any direct commercial operations; rather, its sole purpose is to acquire a suitable private enterprise, effectively bringing that company into the public market.

The company does not offer traditional products or services. Instead, its primary "service" lies in its strategic capabilities: sourcing, evaluating, and executing the acquisition of an established business. Kodiak AI leverages the extensive platform and resources of its sponsor, Ares, a leading global alternative investment adviser. This affiliation provides KDK with a significant advantage, offering investment, operational, due diligence, and capital-raising expertise designed to effect a positive transformation or augmentation of the acquired business and position it for long-term success in the public markets.

Kodiak AI's "customers" are the private businesses it aims to acquire. It seeks established companies that possess scale, attractive growth prospects, and sustainable competitive advantages. While open to opportunities in various industries globally, KDK intends to focus its search primarily within North America, Europe, or Asia. The company's goal is to offer these target businesses a differentiated and compelling value proposition for transitioning to a public listing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Kodiak AI (KDK):

  1. Kodiak AI is like a specialized private equity firm (e.g., Blackstone or KKR), but instead of keeping companies private, its sole mission is to acquire one established private business and bring it to the public stock market.

  2. Imagine Kodiak AI as a publicly-funded investment fund (similar to a venture capital firm like Sequoia Capital) with a 'blank check,' specifically designed to find and acquire one mature private company to make it publicly traded.

AI Analysis | Feedback

* **Initial Business Combination**: As a blank check company, Kodiak AI's primary purpose is to identify and complete a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more private businesses, thereby bringing them into the public market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided background information, Kodiak AI (KDK) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC).

As a SPAC, Kodiak AI's primary purpose is to effect a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. Its activities since inception have been organizational and related to preparing for its offering. The company has not yet selected any business combination target and has not initiated substantive discussions with any target.

Therefore, Kodiak AI (KDK) does not currently have any major customers or categories of customers in the traditional sense, as it is not yet an operating business selling products or services to individuals or other companies. Its current "focus" is on identifying and acquiring a private operating company, which will then become the combined entity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Don Burnette Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Don Burnette has served as Kodiak's CEO since he founded the company in April 2018. He is recognized as a pioneer in the autonomous vehicle industry, with more than a decade of experience in self-driving software development. Before founding Kodiak, Burnette co-founded Ottomotto, the first self-driving truck startup, which was acquired by Uber in August 2016. He then served as a Software Technical Lead at Uber Technologies from November 2016 to March 2018. Prior to that, he worked as a software technical lead for Google's Self-Driving Car Project (predecessor to Waymo) from May 2010 to February 2016.

Surajit Datta Chief Financial Officer

Surajit Datta is Kodiak's Chief Financial Officer, a role he assumed in August 2025. He brings over 20 years of experience in strategic finance, financial planning and analysis, business partnering, corporate development and strategy, capital raising, and investment banking. Before joining Kodiak, Datta served as Vice President of Finance at SentinelOne, Inc., a cybersecurity company, from April 2022 to June 2025. From July 2017 to April 2022, he held senior finance and corporate development roles at Arm Inc., a semiconductor IP company.

Michael Wiesinger Chief Operating Officer

Michael Wiesinger has served as Kodiak's Chief Operating Officer since April 2025. Prior to this, he held various positions at Kodiak, including Vice President of Commercialization, from October 2019 to April 2025. Before joining Kodiak, Wiesinger worked at Boston Consulting Group from February 2014 to September 2019, most recently as a Project Leader.

Andreas Wendel Chief Technology Officer

Andreas Wendel is the Chief Technology Officer of Kodiak AI. He holds a doctorate and master's degree in computer science from the University of Linz, Austria, and a Ph.D. in Computer Science from Graz University of Technology.

Jordan Coleman Chief Legal and Policy Officer

Jordan Coleman has served as Kodiak's Chief Legal and Policy Officer since March 2023. He previously held the position of Kodiak's General Counsel starting in December 2018. Before his tenure at Kodiak, Coleman practiced corporate and securities law at prominent firms Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati and DLA Piper.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks for Kodiak AI (KDK)

  1. Inability to Complete an Initial Business Combination: Kodiak AI's primary business purpose is to effect a business combination with one or more businesses. As the company has not yet selected any business combination target and has not initiated substantive discussions, there is a significant risk that it may not be able to identify or successfully complete a suitable initial business combination within the required timeframe. If Kodiak AI fails to do so, it would be forced to liquidate, and public shareholders may only receive their pro rata portion of the funds held in the trust account, potentially without any return on their investment and possibly less than their initial investment after expenses.

  2. Intense Competition for Attractive Acquisition Targets: Kodiak AI operates in a highly competitive environment for identifying and securing desirable business combination targets. Many other blank check companies, private equity funds, and strategic acquirers are also seeking to acquire high-growth or established businesses. This competition could make it difficult for Kodiak AI to identify and secure a suitable target on favorable terms, or at all, which could impede its ability to complete an initial business combination.

  3. Risk of Significant Shareholder Redemptions: Even if Kodiak AI identifies a suitable business combination target and its shareholders approve the transaction, a substantial number of public shareholders may choose to redeem their shares for cash. High redemption rates could significantly reduce the amount of cash available in the trust account, making the proposed business combination less attractive to a potential target company or potentially leading to the termination of the transaction. Such redemptions could also impact the combined company's capital structure and ability to execute its business plan post-combination.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Kodiak AI (KDK), an AI-powered autonomous vehicle technology provider, is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key strategies over the next 2-3 years. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Kodiak AI: * **Scaling and Commercialization of the Kodiak Driver:** The company's core offering, the AI-powered autonomous driving system known as the Kodiak Driver, is a primary revenue generator. Proceeds from its business combination are specifically aimed at accelerating the commercialization of this technology. Increased deployment in more trucks and expanded operational routes directly contribute to revenue growth. * **Expansion of Customer Base and Fleet Utilization:** Kodiak AI focuses on acquiring new customers and expanding engagements with existing ones. For example, Atlas Energy Solutions, an existing customer, operates eight Kodiak trucks and has placed an order for an additional 100 units. Securing more such orders and attracting new clients across the freight industry will be a significant driver of revenue. * **Strategic Expansion into New Verticals:** While primarily focused on long-haul trucking, Kodiak AI is actively expanding its reach into new markets, notably the defense industry. This strategic diversification, evidenced by appointing a lead for its Defense Vertical and securing contracts like the U.S. Marine Corps Autonomous Ground Vehicle Development Contract, opens up new revenue streams beyond commercial freight. * **Technological Advancements and Strategic Partnerships:** Collaborations, such as the partnership with NVIDIA to integrate the DRIVE Hyperion architecture into its next-generation autonomous driving platform, are crucial. These advancements are intended to enhance the Kodiak Driver's capabilities, accelerate deployment, and improve scalability, thereby making the technology more competitive and attractive to customers. Similarly, a strategic agreement with Bosch aims to scale autonomous trucking hardware and sensor solutions. * **Increased Adoption of the Driver-as-a-Service Model:** Kodiak AI's business model involves offering its technology through a "Driver-as-a-Service" model, where customers pay per-mile or per-vehicle licensing fees. As the company expands its operations and customer base, a higher volume of miles driven and more licensed trucks will lead to increased recurring revenue through this service model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Share Issuance
    • Kodiak AI became a publicly listed company on Nasdaq under the ticker KDK in September 2025, following its merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Ares Acquisition Corp. II.
    • The company filed Amendment No. 1 to Form S-1 to register 184,793,176 shares of Common Stock for resale and 14,300,000 warrants, also covering primary issuances upon conversion of Series A Preferred Stock, exercise of various warrants, and potential earn-out issuances.
    • A shelf registration for up to US$1.56 billion in common stock and warrants was closed around October 10, 2025, to facilitate future capital raising.
  • Inbound Investments
    • In connection with its business combination and IPO in September 2025, Kodiak AI received over $212.5 million from institutional investors, including $145 million in PIPE funding and approximately $62.9 million in trust cash from Ares Acquisition Corp. II (AACT).
    • Lightspeed Management Company made a significant investment of $80.16 million in Kodiak AI in the fourth quarter of 2025, acquiring 7,340,475 shares.
    • Battery Management Corp. established a new position, acquiring 11,356,669 shares in Kodiak AI for an estimated $124.01 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • Capital Expenditures
    • Capital expenditures were $10 million in Q4 2025, primarily focused on autonomous vehicle (AV) components deployed on customer trucks.
    • For the full year 2025, capital expenditures contributed to a negative free cash flow of $116.5 million.
    • Kodiak AI plans to deploy proceeds from its SPAC merger to scale its driverless fleet and increase investment in research and development to advance its autonomous driving technology.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Kodiak AI Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KDKAURGOOGLAPTVMedian
NameKodiak AIAurora I.Alphabet Aptiv  
Mkt Price5.076.31367.0358.8532.58
Mkt Cap0.912.34,440.712.512.4
Rev LTM44422,49920,65910,332
Op Inc LTM-132-934138,1291,972920
FCF LTM-133-64664,4291,091479
FCF 3Y Avg--63969,4741,3501,350
CFO LTM-107-598174,3531,769831
CFO 3Y Avg--604138,0132,1312,131

Growth & Margins

KDKAURGOOGLAPTVMedian
NameKodiak AIAurora I.Alphabet Aptiv  
Rev Chg LTM-74.0%-17.5%5.2%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--14.1%4.6%9.3%
Rev Chg Q24.4%-21.8%5.4%21.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.5%33.3%4.9%1.3%7.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-108.4%-16.2%17.5%-4.4%-10.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--5.4%24.3%12.3%12.3%
Op Mgn LTM-3,173.2%-23,350.0%32.7%9.5%-1,581.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--31.5%9.8%20.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-207.0%6,683.3%0.7%-0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,584.9%-14,950.0%41.3%8.6%-1,288.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--37.3%10.6%23.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-3,192.2%-16,150.0%15.2%5.3%-1,593.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--19.3%6.7%13.0%

Valuation

KDKAURGOOGLAPTVMedian
NameKodiak AIAurora I.Alphabet Aptiv  
Mkt Cap0.912.34,440.712.512.4
P/S215.13,073.010.50.6112.8
P/Op Inc-6.8-13.232.16.4-0.2
P/EBIT-2.1-13.222.710.44.1
P/E-2.1-14.827.734.312.8
P/CFO-8.3-20.625.57.1-0.6
Total Yield-48.2%-6.8%3.8%2.9%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--9.4%3.2%8.5%3.2%
D/E0.10.00.00.80.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.1-0.00.5-0.0

Returns

KDKAURGOOGLAPTVMedian
NameKodiak AIAurora I.Alphabet Aptiv  
1M Rtn-20.5%0.0%-0.3%-14.2%-7.3%
3M Rtn-34.6%54.3%20.2%1.1%10.7%
6M Rtn-47.7%43.4%16.9%-28.8%-5.9%
12M Rtn-31.7%23.5%108.2%-18.3%2.6%
3Y Rtn-31.7%125.4%209.9%-45.3%46.8%
1M Excs Rtn-25.2%-6.7%-0.3%-18.2%-12.5%
3M Excs Rtn-46.2%36.7%8.9%-16.0%-3.5%
6M Excs Rtn-62.6%53.6%7.2%-34.4%-13.6%
12M Excs Rtn-51.2%2.5%85.5%-38.4%-17.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-102.4%57.1%140.2%-112.3%-22.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Development of autonomous vehicle technology and related services41517
Total41517


Price Behavior

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KDK Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.161.451.951.47-0.88-0.35
Up Beta2.441.891.491.00-2.30-0.54
Down Beta2.302.872.081.891.04-0.28
Up Capture18%-101%90%47%44%4%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days61627548787
Down Capture316%232%308%193%119%64%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days14243469100100

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KDK
KDK-31.8%84.3%-0.22-
Sector ETF (XLK)40.2%24.2%1.3420.9%
Equity (SPY)20.7%12.5%1.2224.9%
Gold (GLD)23.0%27.8%0.7315.7%
Commodities (DBC)22.9%18.6%0.970.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.8%0.686.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-41.8%42.8%-1.1421.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KDK
KDK-7.3%84.3%-0.22-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.4%25.5%0.7120.9%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6024.9%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.7915.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%19.5%0.290.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%18.9%0.066.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.2%53.5%0.4321.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KDK
KDK-3.7%84.3%-0.22-
Sector ETF (XLK)25.1%24.8%0.9220.9%
Equity (SPY)15.7%17.9%0.7524.9%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.5915.7%
Commodities (DBC)6.2%18.0%0.270.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.236.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.9%66.2%0.9821.4%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 531202625.7%
Average Daily Volume1.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity176.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-20.4%-11.4%-29.2%
3/10/20261.9%-1.8%-11.6%
11/12/2025-18.6%-21.5%3.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101
# Negative232
Median Positive1.9% 3.1%
Median Negative-19.5%-11.4%-20.4%
Max Positive1.9% 3.1%
Max Negative-20.4%-21.5%-29.2%
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-20.4%-11.4%-29.2%
3/10/20261.9%-1.8%-11.6%
11/12/2025-18.6%-21.5%3.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101
# Negative232
Median Positive1.9% 3.1%
Median Negative-19.5%-11.4%-20.4%
Max Positive1.9% 3.1%
Max Negative-20.4%-21.5%-29.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/11/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/29/2025424B3
03/31/202507/28/2025S-4/A
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/11/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/29/2025424B3
03/31/202507/28/2025S-4/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 6/1/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Long-haul driverless launch      

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Long-haul driverless operations launch 0    
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/7/2026