Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -122%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -699%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 217%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -122%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -699%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 217%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

IO Biotech (IOBT) stock has lost about 75% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Failure to meet the primary endpoint in a pivotal Phase 3 trial led to significant investor disappointment.

In October and November 2025, IO Biotech announced that its Phase 3 trial (IOB-013/KN-D18) evaluating Cylembio plus pembrolizumab for first-line advanced melanoma narrowly missed its primary endpoint for statistical significance in progression-free survival (PFS), with a p-value of 0.0558 against a prespecified threshold of p≤0.045. While the trial showed a clinically relevant improvement in median PFS (19.4 months vs. 11.0 months), the failure to achieve statistical significance on this key endpoint cast doubt on the product's path to regulatory approval and significantly reduced its perceived probability of success (POS) for 1L melanoma from 50% to 30%.

2. The company's announcement of exploring strategic alternatives and implementing workforce reductions signaled financial distress.

On January 21, 2026, IO Biotech's stock plunged 46.5% after the company disclosed it was exploring strategic alternatives, including a merger, business combination, sale of assets, or potential liquidation and dissolution. This news was further compounded by the evaluation of workforce reductions and other cost-cutting measures. A corporate update on January 30, 2026, confirmed the engagement of a financial advisor and the implementation of a reduction in force, highlighting the company's precarious financial position.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -73.4% change in IOBT stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020253142026Change
Stock Price ($)0.720.19-73.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)67670.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOBT-73.4% 
Market (SPY)-3.1%3.3%
Sector (XLV)-5.0%-7.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -87.9% change in IOBT stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120253142026Change
Stock Price ($)1.580.19-87.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6667-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOBT-87.9% 
Market (SPY)3.0%-0.6%
Sector (XLV)9.5%-2.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -79.7% change in IOBT stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820253142026Change
Stock Price ($)0.940.19-79.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6667-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOBT-79.7% 
Market (SPY)12.4%3.7%
Sector (XLV)1.9%2.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -92.5% change in IOBT stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820233142026Change
Stock Price ($)2.540.19-92.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2967-57.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IOBT-92.5% 
Market (SPY)73.4%7.9%
Sector (XLV)23.3%6.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
IOBT Return-59%-64%-18%-51%-34%-59%-98%
Peers Return16%-36%3%-34%-19%29%-47%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%80%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IOBT Win Rate0%25%42%42%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%37%45%42%47%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IOBT Max Drawdown-59%-65%-63%-64%-61%-66% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-56%-38%-40%-54%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-2% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MRNA, IOVA, AGEN, NEO, REGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIOBTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1752.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to MRNA, IOVA, AGEN, NEO, REGN

In The Past

IO Biotech's stock fell -94.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -94.6% loss requires a 1752.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About IO Biotech (IOBT)

IO Biotech, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immune-modulating cancer therapies based on the T-win technology platform. The company's lead product candidate, IO102-IO103, which is designed to target immunosuppressive proteins, such as Indoleamine 2,3-dehydrogenase (IDO), and programmed death-ligand (PD-L1) that is in phase 2 clinical trial to treat melanoma, as well as in phase 1 clinical trial to treat lung, head and neck, bladder, and melanoma cancer. It also develops IO112, a product candidate that contains a single Arginase 1-derived peptide designed to target T cells that recognize epitopes derived from Arginase 1 for the treatment of cancers. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Copenhagen, Denmark.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • An early-stage Merck or Bristol Myers Squibb focused on next-generation cancer immunotherapies.

  • Like Moderna or BioNTech, but developing platform-based cancer immunotherapies instead of vaccines.

  • A pioneering clinical-stage biotech, much like Genentech was, but specializing in therapies that awaken the immune system to fight cancer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • IO102-IO103: A lead product candidate designed to target immunosuppressive proteins like IDO and PD-L1 for the treatment of various cancers, currently in Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical trials.
  • IO112: A product candidate containing an Arginase 1-derived peptide designed to target T cells that recognize Arginase 1 epitopes for the treatment of cancers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

IO Biotech (IOBT) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. As described in the background, its product candidates, such as IO102-IO103 and IO112, are currently in various phases of clinical trials (Phase 1 and Phase 2). Companies at this stage are primarily focused on research, development, and clinical testing, and do not yet have commercialized products available for sale.

Therefore, IO Biotech does not currently have major customers, either individuals or other companies, as its products are still under development and have not yet received regulatory approval for commercial sale.

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to IOBT.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IOBTMRNAIOVAAGENNEOREGNMedian
NameIO Biote.Moderna Iovance .Agenus NeoGenom.Regenero. 
Mkt Price0.1952.563.963.107.88745.775.92
Mkt Cap0.020.61.60.11.076.91.3
Rev LTM01,92226410772714,343495
Op Inc LTM-92-3,074-398-63-883,702-90
FCF LTM-81-2,075-336-89-223,765-85
FCF 3Y Avg-76-3,318-361-172-293,657-124
CFO LTM-81-1,873-302-8954,979-85
CFO 3Y Avg-76-2,665-339-16334,664-120

Growth & Margins

IOBTMRNAIOVAAGENNEOREGNMedian
NameIO Biote.Moderna Iovance .Agenus NeoGenom.Regenero. 
Rev Chg LTM--39.9%60.6%-33.4%10.1%1.0%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--52.3%-12.6%12.6%5.7%9.1%
Rev Chg Q--29.3%17.7%20.4%10.6%2.5%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--12.7%5.2%5.0%2.6%0.7%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM--159.9%-151.1%-58.9%-12.1%25.8%-58.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--115.3%-13,042.3%-111.1%-13.8%29.0%-111.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--2.7%13.1%31.0%0.9%-0.9%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM--97.5%-114.8%-83.5%0.7%34.7%-83.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--79.2%-10,253.5%-139.5%0.5%33.6%-79.2%
FCF/Rev LTM--108.0%-127.6%-83.6%-3.0%26.3%-83.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--97.1%-10,884.9%-147.7%-4.4%26.4%-97.1%

Valuation

IOBTMRNAIOVAAGENNEOREGNMedian
NameIO Biote.Moderna Iovance .Agenus NeoGenom.Regenero. 
Mkt Cap0.020.61.60.11.076.91.3
P/S-10.76.10.91.45.45.4
P/EBIT-0.1-7.5-4.14.8-9.514.6-2.1
P/E-0.1-7.3-4.1-2.8-9.417.1-3.5
P/CFO-0.2-11.0-5.3-1.1193.815.4-0.6
Total Yield-694.6%-13.7%-24.2%-35.6%-10.7%6.3%-19.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-135.3%-17.7%-21.6%-153.3%-1.5%4.4%-19.7%
D/E1.40.10.00.50.40.00.2
Net D/E-1.0-0.2-0.20.40.2-0.1-0.1

Returns

IOBTMRNAIOVAAGENNEOREGNMedian
NameIO Biote.Moderna Iovance .Agenus NeoGenom.Regenero. 
1M Rtn-46.1%31.0%57.1%8.8%-29.5%-4.7%2.0%
3M Rtn-76.3%78.4%80.0%-18.2%-33.5%0.7%-8.7%
6M Rtn-90.8%123.6%74.4%-30.8%-1.0%33.5%16.2%
12M Rtn-78.2%51.8%10.3%66.7%-19.8%12.4%11.4%
3Y Rtn-91.5%-64.9%-41.9%-91.6%-57.7%-1.2%-61.3%
1M Excs Rtn-43.7%32.1%54.7%6.4%-28.8%-1.8%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-74.7%82.7%76.8%-22.6%-32.7%4.4%-9.1%
6M Excs Rtn-92.8%104.2%60.8%-37.5%-8.4%28.7%10.2%
12M Excs Rtn-100.0%29.1%-17.3%45.2%-44.0%-12.3%-14.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-162.1%-132.7%-112.7%-160.4%-126.0%-69.0%-129.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Developing novel, immune-modulatory, off-the-shelf therapeutic cancer vaccines based on our T-win®1511522226
Total1511522226


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date11/05/2021 
Distance from 52W High-92.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.39$1.04
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-50.4%-81.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility319.0%217.8%
Downside Capture551.7918.59
Upside Capture-264.98-143.99
Correlation (SPY)3.0%3.2%
IOBT Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.04-0.900.21-0.670.310.71
Up Beta3.80-5.03-4.390.550.390.51
Down Beta-7.29-6.48-4.030.090.901.06
Up Capture224%-290%-126%-189%-42%-0%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days8172753105318
Down Capture13%206%275%-201%-41%97%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days12233366130394

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IOBT
IOBT-78.2%217.4%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.0%17.5%0.123.0%
Equity (SPY)19.6%18.9%0.813.4%
Gold (GLD)71.9%26.3%2.054.3%
Commodities (DBC)19.3%17.3%0.89-3.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%16.3%0.192.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.3%44.2%-0.25-1.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IOBT
IOBT-58.2%132.1%-0.12-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.5%14.5%0.338.1%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.0%0.6111.6%
Gold (GLD)24.1%17.3%1.144.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.470.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.168.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.3%56.7%0.334.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IOBT
IOBT-35.4%132.1%-0.12-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.1%16.5%0.508.1%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.9%0.7011.6%
Gold (GLD)14.4%15.6%0.774.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.400.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.238.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.8%1.074.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2152026-25.2%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity66.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/20251.7%-9.2%-15.2%
8/11/2025-42.0%19.3%-0.6%
5/14/2025-2.0%3.0%50.0%
3/4/2025-1.6%-3.5%17.0%
11/12/2024-11.7%-16.7%-19.6%
8/13/202417.7%12.3%-37.3%
5/14/20242.1%-2.1%-9.2%
3/5/20242.5%6.8%1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1186
# Negative479
Median Positive2.1%9.7%22.0%
Median Negative-6.8%-9.2%-19.6%
Max Positive17.7%55.3%50.0%
Max Negative-42.0%-20.7%-37.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/14/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/14/202410-Q
12/31/202303/05/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/11/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/16/202210-Q
12/31/202103/31/202210-K

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hunter, Heidi DirectBuy60220251.3915,00020,88420,884Form