Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -91%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -148%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -175%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1196%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1580%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1612%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1612%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Medical Technology Innovation. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -95%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 136%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -91%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1196%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Medical Technology Innovation. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -148%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -175%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
7 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1580%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1612%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1612%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -95%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 136%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ICU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why SeaStar Medical (symbol: ICU) stock moved by approximately -62.8% from August 31, 2025, to December 12, 2025: 1. Prior Significant Dilutive Public Offering: Although occurring just before the specified period, a public offering on June 20, 2025, saw SeaStar Medical's stock plummet 59.6% after pricing shares and warrants at a significant discount. This event significantly diluted existing shareholders and established a lower valuation baseline, contributing to sustained negative sentiment and further downward pressure within the requested timeframe.

2. Persistent Bearish Trend and Negative Technical Signals: Throughout the latter part of 2025, SeaStar Medical exhibited a strong bearish trend. Technical analysis in early December 2025 indicated a downtrend that began around November 3, 2025, resulting in a -39.17% price change during that trend alone, reflecting persistent selling pressure and negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ICU Return-59%-89%-82%-82%
Peers Return6%-26%-42%-28%-28%-28%-83%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ICU Win Rate56%58%33%25%33% 
Peers Win Rate47%37%38%38%38%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ICU Max Drawdown-61%-96%-83%-84% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-32%-49%-36%-34%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CTSO, NUWE, BAX, MDT, BDX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventICUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7164.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

SeaStar Medical's stock fell -98.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/28/2022. A -98.6% loss requires a 7164.7% gain to breakeven.

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About SeaStar Medical (ICU)

Better Bets than SeaStar Medical (ICU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ICU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.9%15.9%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.1%-6.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.3%4.3%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.9%15.9%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.1%-6.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.3%4.3%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SeaStar Medical

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ICUCTSONUWEBAXMDTBDXMedian
NameSeaStar .CytoSorb.Nuwellis Baxter I.MedtronicBecton D. 
Mkt Price0.340.712.4518.9099.75200.4310.67
Mkt Cap0.00.00.09.7127.957.44.9
Rev LTM137811,02334,75821,8405,530
Op Inc LTM-14-14-114116,7192,988200
FCF LTM-14-10-92305,2062,671110
FCF 3Y Avg-14-17-136574,9172,619322
CFO LTM-14-10-97497,1133,431370
CFO 3Y Avg-14-16-131,1486,6263,406568

Growth & Margins

ICUCTSONUWEBAXMDTBDXMedian
NameSeaStar .CytoSorb.Nuwellis Baxter I.MedtronicBecton D. 
Rev Chg LTM1,195.6%9.4%-8.9%3.9%5.3%8.2%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.7%1.7%-4.5%4.1%5.0%4.1%
Rev Chg Q169.1%10.1%-6.3%5.0%6.6%8.4%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.0%2.4%-1.8%1.2%1.6%2.1%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-1,580.5%-38.1%-135.3%3.7%19.3%13.7%-17.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--65.4%-162.0%3.6%18.6%13.4%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM351.8%6.4%-16.4%0.1%-0.1%-0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,611.6%-26.8%-113.7%6.8%20.5%15.7%-10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--49.0%-148.7%11.6%19.9%16.7%11.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,611.6%-27.6%-115.1%2.1%15.0%12.2%-12.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--51.2%-150.6%6.7%14.8%12.8%6.7%

Valuation

ICUCTSONUWEBAXMDTBDXMedian
NameSeaStar .CytoSorb.Nuwellis Baxter I.MedtronicBecton D. 
Mkt Cap0.00.00.09.7127.957.44.9
P/S10.21.20.31.13.72.61.9
P/EBIT-1.1-5.9-229.519.021.519.0
P/E-0.7-4.3-0.2-34.326.834.2-0.4
P/CFO-0.6-4.5-0.315.618.016.77.7
Total Yield-152.3%-23.0%-591.3%0.6%6.6%5.0%-11.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.5%2.8%2.1%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-131.6%-22.3%-3.7%4.3%4.1%3.7%
D/E0.00.5-0.80.20.40.4
Net D/E-0.90.3-0.70.20.30.3

Returns

ICUCTSONUWEBAXMDTBDXMedian
NameSeaStar .CytoSorb.Nuwellis Baxter I.MedtronicBecton D. 
1M Rtn-30.4%1.7%-11.9%3.6%4.6%6.6%2.7%
3M Rtn-61.4%-25.5%-41.8%-22.8%6.6%5.8%-24.2%
6M Rtn-72.5%-33.6%-81.4%-39.3%14.5%16.1%-36.5%
12M Rtn-83.7%-19.4%-95.5%-37.9%24.3%-7.4%-28.7%
3Y Rtn-99.7%-40.8%-100.0%-61.3%38.2%-16.8%-51.1%
1M Excs Rtn-31.2%0.9%-12.7%2.8%3.8%5.8%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-65.6%-29.2%-46.2%-26.0%2.1%3.0%-27.6%
6M Excs Rtn-86.7%-47.8%-95.6%-53.4%0.4%2.0%-50.6%
12M Excs Rtn-98.3%-33.3%-109.7%-53.6%8.7%-22.2%-43.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-174.8%-119.6%-175.1%-135.5%-32.2%-88.3%-127.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,074,030
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025669.1%
Average Daily Volume5,307,420
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity26,393,400
Short % of Basic Shares11.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-17.4%-32.6% 
3/27/2025-22.7%-36.8%-42.3%
11/13/2024-22.2%-14.7%-21.0%
4/17/2024-22.8%-27.3%-42.5%
11/22/2023-4.9%30.5%14.9%
8/15/2023-9.7%-19.7%-30.4%
3/31/2023-7.5%-8.5%7.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive012
# Negative765
Median Positive 30.5%11.0%
Median Negative-17.4%-23.5%-36.3%
Max Positive 30.5%14.9%
Max Negative-22.8%-36.8%-42.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023416202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
33120227112022S-4/A 3/31/2022
123120219282022424B3 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Van Heel Kenneth8282025Buy0.8925,00022,24835,062Form
1Chung KevinChief Medical Officer8252025Buy0.8010,0008,00046,547Form
2Neuman John6262025Buy0.3640,00014,39628,792Form
3Baird Jennifer A5222025Buy1.2810,00012,81512,815Form
4Chung KevinChief Medical Officer5202025Buy1.254,5005,62522,731Form