Hyster Yale (HY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $31.13 | Market Cap: $551.5 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery
Hyster Yale (HY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $31.13Market Cap: $551.5 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 8.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 242x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% | |
| Key risksHY key risks include [1] significant financial impact from persistent tariff costs and [2] intense margin pressure from low-cost foreign competitors in specific market segments. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 8.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 242x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% |
| Key risksHY key risks include [1] significant financial impact from persistent tariff costs and [2] intense margin pressure from low-cost foreign competitors in specific market segments. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Hyster Yale (HY) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Disappointing Third Quarter 2025 Earnings. Hyster-Yale reported consolidated revenues of $979 million for Q3 2025, which, despite growing 2% sequentially, represented a 4% decline year-over-year. The company posted an unexpected earnings per share loss of $0.09, falling short of analyst expectations of a $0.16 profit. Operating profit also significantly declined year-over-year, primarily due to higher tariffs and reduced truck volumes.
2. Weak Fourth Quarter 2025 Outlook. Following the Q3 results, Hyster-Yale projected a moderate operating loss for Q4 2025, contrasting with Q3's operating profit, largely attributed to moderated production rates. The company also anticipated lower revenues for Q4 compared to Q3 2025. Projections indicated that both the lift truck and Bolzoni segments would experience further declines in revenue and profitability, leading to an overall expectation of full-year 2025 results being substantially below those of 2024.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HY Return | 4% | -29% | -36% | 153% | -16% | -33% | -34% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 27% | -17% | 38% | -11% | 22% | 63% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HY Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 60% | 38% | 53% | 50% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HY Max Drawdown | -46% | -38% | -46% | 0% | -18% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -1% | -40% | -7% | -22% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, TEX, OSK, MTW, CMCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -78.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 369.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 608 days | 120 days |
Compare to DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI
In The Past
Hyster Yale's stock fell -78.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -78.7% loss requires a 369.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hyster Yale
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 41.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 4,629 |
| Op Inc LTM | 238 |
| FCF LTM | 166 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 171 |
| CFO LTM | 261 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 256 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 9.9 |
| P/E | 25.0 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 16.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 35.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -37.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lift truck business | 3,921 | 3,360 | 2,897 | 2,673 | 3,124 |
| Bolzoni | 375 | 356 | 348 | 284 | 345 |
| Nuvera | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| Eliminations | -182 | -170 | -170 | -148 | -188 |
| Total | 4,118 | 3,548 | 3,076 | 2,812 | 3,292 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lift truck business | 230 | -10 | -87 | 86 | 86 |
| Bolzoni | 15 | 6 | -2 | 1 | 5 |
| Eliminations | 0 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 |
| Nuvera | -36 | -34 | -62 | -36 | -36 |
| Total | 209 | -39 | -152 | 50 | 54 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lift truck business | 2,226 | 2,157 | 2,048 | 1,875 | 1,829 |
| Bolzoni | 304 | 315 | 324 | 300 | 286 |
| Nuvera | 25 | 19 | 16 | 57 | 58 |
| Eliminations | -476 | -465 | -418 | -374 | -326 |
| Total | 2,079 | 2,026 | 1,970 | 1,859 | 1,847 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -1.4% | -14.0% | -0.9% |
| 8/5/2025 | -12.4% | -12.1% | -11.2% |
| 5/6/2025 | -4.6% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| 2/25/2025 | 2.8% | -13.9% | -12.8% |
| 11/5/2024 | -14.7% | -14.2% | -6.2% |
| 8/6/2024 | -16.4% | -15.0% | -15.0% |
| 5/7/2024 | 23.6% | 28.9% | 24.3% |
| 2/27/2024 | -16.8% | -17.8% | -9.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 6.9% | 9.4% | 18.5% |
| Median Negative | -12.3% | -12.1% | -11.4% |
| Max Positive | 23.6% | 48.5% | 47.5% |
| Max Negative | -16.8% | -17.8% | -24.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |