Hinge Health (HNGE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.97 | Market Cap: $3.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology
Hinge Health (HNGE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.97Market Cap: $3.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Technology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -103% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Key risksHNGE key risks include [1] intense competition and market commoditization threatening its premium pricing position and technological advantages, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, and Wearable Health Devices. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, and Wearable Health Devices. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -103% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| Key risksHNGE key risks include [1] intense competition and market commoditization threatening its premium pricing position and technological advantages, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HNGE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for Hinge Health (HNGE) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future stock market data or events. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of why the stock moved by -14.4% during that specific future timeframe.
However, based on the most recent available information up to December 2025, here are some key points that could potentially influence a stock's movement, including Hinge Health's:
1. Hinge Health's Q3 2025 Earnings Report: Hinge Health reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025. While the company reported revenue of $154.21 million, beating estimates, it missed EPS expectations with -$0.02 versus an expected -$0.20. EPS surprise was +90.48%, and revenue surprise was -1.70%. Despite beating EPS consensus, a negative actual EPS or a revenue miss, even a slight one, can sometimes lead to a negative stock reaction, as seen in after-hours trading where shares fell 2.66% after the Q3 2025 earnings release.
2. CEO Stock Sale: On December 15, 2025, Hinge Health's CEO, Daniel Antonio Perez, sold 166,670 shares of Class A common stock for a total of $8,088,495.10. This sale was conducted under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on September 11, 2025. While insider selling can sometimes be perceived negatively, the context of it being a planned sale under a 10b5-1 plan often mitigates significant negative impact, especially if the company simultaneously announced a share repurchase program.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HNGE Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | � | -46% | -65% | -39% | -63% | -26% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HNGE Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 31% | 25% | 44% | 33% | 31% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HNGE Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -53% | -68% | -59% | -71% | -58% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TDOC, AMWL, DRIO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
HNGE has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Hinge Health Earnings Notes | ||
| Can Hinge Health Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HNGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hinge Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 400 |
| Op Inc LTM | -151 |
| FCF LTM | 57 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -33 |
| CFO LTM | 60 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -32 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -74.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -78.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -5.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -46.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -51.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | -3.4 |
| P/E | -3.5 |
| P/CFO | 1.6 |
| Total Yield | -64.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -77.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -28.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -84.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -41.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -153.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 5232025 | 424B4 12/31/2024 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |