Tearsheet

Hinge Health (HNGE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.97 | Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology

Hinge Health (HNGE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $47.97
Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Technology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -103%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Key risks
HNGE key risks include [1] intense competition and market commoditization threatening its premium pricing position and technological advantages, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, and Wearable Health Devices.
 
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, and Wearable Health Devices.
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -553 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -103%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
6 Key risks
HNGE key risks include [1] intense competition and market commoditization threatening its premium pricing position and technological advantages, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HNGE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Hinge Health (HNGE) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future stock market data or events. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of why the stock moved by -14.4% during that specific future timeframe. However, based on the most recent available information up to December 2025, here are some key points that could potentially influence a stock's movement, including Hinge Health's:

1. Hinge Health's Q3 2025 Earnings Report: Hinge Health reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025. While the company reported revenue of $154.21 million, beating estimates, it missed EPS expectations with -$0.02 versus an expected -$0.20. EPS surprise was +90.48%, and revenue surprise was -1.70%. Despite beating EPS consensus, a negative actual EPS or a revenue miss, even a slight one, can sometimes lead to a negative stock reaction, as seen in after-hours trading where shares fell 2.66% after the Q3 2025 earnings release.

2. CEO Stock Sale: On December 15, 2025, Hinge Health's CEO, Daniel Antonio Perez, sold 166,670 shares of Class A common stock for a total of $8,088,495.10. This sale was conducted under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on September 11, 2025. While insider selling can sometimes be perceived negatively, the context of it being a planned sale under a 10b5-1 plan often mitigates significant negative impact, especially if the company simultaneously announced a share repurchase program.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HNGE Return
Peers Return-46%-65%-39%-63%-26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HNGE Win Rate43% 
Peers Win Rate58%31%25%44%33%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HNGE Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-68%-59%-71%-58% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TDOC, AMWL, DRIO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

HNGE has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hinge Health (HNGE)

Better Bets than Hinge Health (HNGE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HNGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hinge Health

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HNGETDOCAMWLDRIOMedian
NameHinge He.Teladoc .American.DarioHea. 
Mkt Price48.007.254.7012.059.65
Mkt Cap3.81.30.10.00.7
Rev LTM5342,52826525400
Op Inc LTM-553-179-123-40-151
FCF LTM141140-64-2757
FCF 3Y Avg-153-134-33-33
CFO LTM146293-62-2760
CFO 3Y Avg-305-120-32-32

Growth & Margins

HNGETDOCAMWLDRIOMedian
NameHinge He.Teladoc .American.DarioHea. 
Rev Chg LTM50.7%-2.4%4.3%7.3%5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%-0.6%-2.4%-0.6%
Rev Chg Q53.3%-2.2%-7.8%-32.5%-5.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.1%-0.6%-1.8%-8.9%-1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-103.4%-7.1%-46.4%-160.8%-74.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--7.6%-78.7%-213.0%-78.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM11.1%0.2%5.9%-4.9%3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM27.3%11.6%-23.4%-108.3%-5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11.9%-46.0%-136.6%-46.0%
FCF/Rev LTM26.4%5.5%-24.3%-108.9%-9.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.0%-51.2%-137.9%-51.2%

Valuation

HNGETDOCAMWLDRIOMedian
NameHinge He.Teladoc .American.DarioHea. 
Mkt Cap3.81.30.10.00.7
P/S7.10.50.41.51.0
P/EBIT-6.8-6.0-0.8-0.7-3.4
P/E-7.1-6.1-0.9-0.9-3.5
P/CFO25.94.7-1.6-1.41.6
Total Yield-14.1%-16.3%-113.7%-111.9%-64.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.0%-77.6%-818.8%-77.6%
D/E0.00.80.10.80.4
Net D/E-0.10.2-2.0-0.0-0.1

Returns

HNGETDOCAMWLDRIOMedian
NameHinge He.Teladoc .American.DarioHea. 
1M Rtn17.5%7.4%18.7%-13.7%12.5%
3M Rtn-15.4%-8.2%-27.6%83.1%-11.8%
6M Rtn20.8%3.4%-31.0%-16.3%-6.4%
12M Rtn--28.0%-44.4%-15.7%-28.0%
3Y Rtn--73.2%-92.9%-84.9%-84.9%
1M Excs Rtn16.8%6.7%18.0%-14.5%11.7%
3M Excs Rtn-17.0%-13.6%-29.6%94.0%-15.3%
6M Excs Rtn8.4%-9.0%-43.4%-28.7%-18.8%
12M Excs Rtn--41.5%-60.5%-28.7%-41.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--142.5%-161.2%-153.9%-153.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024
Single Segment293
Total293


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024
Single Segment-108
Total-108


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,922,965
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-59.9%
Average Daily Volume3,037,812
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity78,858,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-15.1%-17.1%-6.4%
8/5/202525.6%16.1%16.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative111
Median Positive25.6%16.1%16.2%
Median Negative-15.1%-17.1%-6.4%
Max Positive25.6%16.1%16.2%
Max Negative-15.1%-17.1%-6.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120245232025424B4 12/31/2024