Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.77 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Tires & Rubber
Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.77Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Tires & Rubber
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 388% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.7% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -84% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 388% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -84% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the movements of Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Earnings Report Led to Initial Decline: Goodyear reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, which included an adjusted loss per share of $0.17, falling short of analyst expectations for a $0.02 profit. The company's net sales were $4.5 billion, a 2% decline year-over-year, attributed to lower volume and the sale of its Off-the-Road (OTR) business. This announcement resulted in a significant 16.86% drop in GT's stock price to $8.62 on August 8, 2025. Challenges in consumer and commercial businesses, driven by global trade disruption and a surge of low-cost imports, were noted by the CEO.
2. Strategic Divestitures and Goodyear Forward Plan Generated Positive Momentum: Despite the initial setbacks, Goodyear continued executing its "Goodyear Forward" transformation plan. This plan aimed at portfolio optimization, cost reduction, and debt reduction. The company completed several divestitures, including the $650 million sale of its chemical business on October 31, 2025, following the earlier sale of the OTR tire business and the Dunlop brand. These actions were designed to reduce leverage and strengthen the balance sheet, contributing to positive investor sentiment. The Goodyear Forward plan delivered $195 million in segment operating income benefits in Q2 2025 and $185 million in Q3 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GT Return | -29% | 95% | -52% | 41% | -37% | -3% | -43% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 12% | -14% | 18% | -3% | 6% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GT Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 60% | 40% | 47% | 43% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GT Max Drawdown | -70% | -7% | -55% | -1% | -47% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -10% | -29% | -6% | -24% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BWA, ALSN, LEA, GNTX, ADNT. See GT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 240.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -70.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 237.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -90.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 943.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2931 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BWA, ALSN, LEA, GNTX, ADNT
In The Past
Goodyear Tire & Rubber's stock fell -59.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -59.9% loss requires a 149.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Goodyear Tire & Rubber
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 33.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.4 |
| Rev LTM | 14,296 |
| Op Inc LTM | 734 |
| FCF LTM | 549 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 484 |
| CFO LTM | 710 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 761 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.4 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | 11.2 |
| P/CFO | 4.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 20,066 | ||||
| Chemical sales | 654 | 569 | 317 | 403 | |
| Other | 31 | 32 | 21 | 35 | |
| Other tire and related sales | 1,421 | 1,202 | 956 | 1,139 | |
| Retail services and service related sales | 813 | 758 | 688 | 644 | |
| Tire unit sales | 17,886 | 14,917 | 10,339 | 12,524 | |
| Total | 20,066 | 20,805 | 17,478 | 12,321 | 14,745 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |