Tearsheet

Ferroglobe (GSM)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.69 | Market Cap: $882.1 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Ferroglobe (GSM)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.69
Market Cap: $882.1 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.1%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.1%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -19%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GSM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GSM Return74%279%-38%69%-41%24%409%
Peers Return28%15%14%-4%-3%41%120%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GSM Win Rate50%75%42%58%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate37%28%33%32%34%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GSM Max Drawdown-61%-4%-41%-5%-41%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-6%-9%-13%-12%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGSMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-61.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3221.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK


In The Past

Ferroglobe's stock fell -61.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -61.6% loss requires a 160.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ferroglobe (GSM)

Better Bets than Ferroglobe (GSM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GSM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ferroglobe

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GSMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameFerroglo.Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Price4.682.510.639.943.7744.884.22
Mkt Cap0.90.50.1--21.90.7
Rev LTM1,37300-010,4840
Op Inc LTM-56-8-5--461,243-8
FCF LTM21-24-5--45-328-24
FCF 3Y Avg123-22-4--40-894-22
CFO LTM88-3-5--431,508-3
CFO 3Y Avg199-4-4--312,675-4

Growth & Margins

GSMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameFerroglo.Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Rev Chg LTM-9.0%----29.1%10.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.3%-----12.0%-15.7%
Rev Chg Q-28.1%----18.4%-4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.1%----5.3%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM-4.1%----11.9%3.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%----13.2%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.2%----0.5%-1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM6.4%----14.4%10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.6%----26.0%19.3%
FCF/Rev LTM1.5%-----3.1%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%-----7.9%-0.1%

Valuation

GSMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameFerroglo.Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Cap0.90.50.1--21.90.7
P/S0.6----2.01.3
P/EBIT-7.8-48.2-11.6--11.6-9.7
P/E-7.3-105.8-12.8--17.1-10.0
P/CFO9.7-115.4-13.1--14.2-1.7
Total Yield-13.5%-0.9%-7.8%--7.0%-4.4%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.0%0.0%--1.2%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.3%-8.0%-8.1%---3.9%-6.0%
D/E0.20.00.0--0.40.1
Net D/E0.1-0.1-0.1--0.2-0.0

Returns

GSMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameFerroglo.Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
1M Rtn4.0%32.8%2.2%-9.6%-0.3%9.2%3.1%
3M Rtn12.3%68.5%-24.4%73.5%-29.7%37.3%24.8%
6M Rtn16.9%100.8%-6.0%600.0%-16.8%16.9%
12M Rtn7.8%128.2%7.3%22.7%--1.1%7.8%
3Y Rtn15.3%44.3%4.0%--29.7%22.5%
1M Excs Rtn2.7%31.5%1.0%-10.8%-1.5%7.9%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn3.9%60.4%-29.5%65.3%-38.5%25.3%14.6%
6M Excs Rtn1.5%85.3%-21.5%584.5%-1.3%1.5%
12M Excs Rtn-6.0%117.9%-9.4%36.5%--15.3%-6.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-66.7%-0.2%-62.9%---40.5%-51.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America Silicon Metal505    
Europe Silicon Metal307    
North America Silicon Alloys283    
Europe Manganese278    
Europe Silicon Alloys216    
South Africa Silicon Alloys110    
Other segments55    
South Africa Silicon Metal50    
Adjustments / Eliminations-154    
Ferrosilicon 562338176275
Manganese-based alloys 525469267447
Other 17014085137
Other silicon-based alloys 192162127182
Silica fume 32322634
Silicon metal 1,116638463540
Total1,6502,5981,7791,1441,615


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Europe Silicon Metal87    
North America Silicon Alloys42    
Europe Silicon Alloys36    
North America Silicon Metal34    
Europe Manganese23    
South Africa Silicon Alloys2    
Adjustments / Eliminations-0    
South Africa Silicon Metal-11    
Other segments-17    
Total197    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,325,638
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202538.6%
Average Daily Volume1,905,665
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.32
Basic Shares Quantity188,075,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110520256-K 9/30/2025
630202580520256-K 6/30/2025
331202550720256-K 3/31/2025
12312024425202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110620246-K 9/30/2024
630202480520246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023513202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202381420236-K 6/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022501202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111520226-K 9/30/2022
630202281620226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021502202220-F 12/31/2021