Tearsheet

Alphabet (GOOGL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $296.88 | Market Cap: $3.6 Tril
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Alphabet (GOOGL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $296.88
Market Cap: $3.6 Tril
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.6x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 151 Bil, FCF LTM is 74 Bil
Key risks
GOOGL key risks include [1] the structural threat of generative AI disrupting its core search business and [2] intensifying global antitrust investigations that could force divestitures or major changes to its business practices.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, Show more.
 
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 32%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 151 Bil, FCF LTM is 74 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.6x
5 Key risks
GOOGL key risks include [1] the structural threat of generative AI disrupting its core search business and [2] intensifying global antitrust investigations that could force divestitures or major changes to its business practices.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GOOGL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Performance.

Alphabet reported its first-ever $100 billion revenue quarter in Q3 2025, announced on October 29, 2025. The company's consolidated revenues increased 16% year-over-year to $102.3 billion, with earnings per share growing by 35%. This robust financial performance surpassed analyst expectations, significantly bolstering investor confidence.

2. Accelerated Google Cloud Growth Driven by AI.

Google Cloud revenues experienced a substantial 34% increase in Q3 2025, primarily fueled by strong demand for its AI infrastructure and generative AI solutions. The expansion of Google Cloud's backlog to $155 billion underscored its growing significance as a key profit driver and a transformative element in Alphabet's investment thesis.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GOOGL Return31%65%-39%58%36%63%361%
Peers Return60%25%-44%89%47%9%241%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GOOGL Win Rate58%83%25%67%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate67%60%30%75%68%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GOOGL Max Drawdown-21%-2%-42%-2%-6%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-9%-52%-3%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, AMZN, META, AAPL, NFLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGOOGLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,400 days1,480 days

Compare to AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, Z


In The Past

Alphabet's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alphabet (GOOGL)

Better Bets than Alphabet (GOOGL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GOOGL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
GOOGL_10312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312023GOOGLAlphabetQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.2%41.0%0.0%
GOOGL_3312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312023GOOGLAlphabetMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
26.2%45.5%-0.0%
GOOGL_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022GOOGLAlphabetDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.4%36.8%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
GOOGL_10312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312023GOOGLAlphabetQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.2%41.0%0.0%
GOOGL_3312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312023GOOGLAlphabetMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
26.2%45.5%-0.0%
GOOGL_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022GOOGLAlphabetDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.4%36.8%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alphabet

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GOOGLMSFTAMZNMETAAAPLNFLXMedian
NameAlphabet MicrosoftAmazon.c.Meta Pla.Apple Netflix  
Mkt Price296.72476.12221.27649.50271.8494.79284.28
Mkt Cap3,586.23,539.02,353.61,634.84,051.2402.32,946.3
Rev LTM385,477293,812670,038189,457408,62543,379339,644
Op Inc LTM124,077135,93776,19081,895130,21412,643102,986
FCF LTM73,55278,01713,48144,84196,1848,96759,196
FCF 3Y Avg68,99871,30221,67745,044100,5037,25657,021
CFO LTM151,424147,039121,137107,574108,5659,575114,851
CFO 3Y Avg120,990121,38496,97785,513111,5597,706104,268

Growth & Margins

GOOGLMSFTAMZNMETAAAPLNFLXMedian
NameAlphabet MicrosoftAmazon.c.Meta Pla.Apple Netflix  
Rev Chg LTM13.4%15.6%10.9%21.3%6.0%15.4%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%13.2%11.3%17.3%1.8%11.4%11.4%
Rev Chg Q15.9%18.4%13.3%26.2%9.6%17.2%16.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%4.3%3.0%6.0%2.1%4.0%3.9%
Op Mgn LTM32.2%46.3%11.4%43.2%31.9%29.1%32.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.9%44.6%7.9%37.4%30.8%24.4%30.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.6%0.3%-0.8%0.1%-0.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM39.3%50.0%18.1%56.8%26.6%22.1%32.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.3%47.2%15.8%54.0%28.4%20.2%31.9%
FCF/Rev LTM19.1%26.6%2.0%23.7%23.5%20.7%22.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.5%28.0%3.5%29.0%25.6%19.0%23.1%

Valuation

GOOGLMSFTAMZNMETAAAPLNFLXMedian
NameAlphabet MicrosoftAmazon.c.Meta Pla.Apple Netflix  
Mkt Cap3,586.23,539.02,353.61,634.84,051.2402.32,946.3
P/S7.613.13.59.89.3117.39.5
P/EBIT19.329.627.421.729.1396.828.3
P/E23.636.733.131.638.2487.834.9
P/CFO19.426.219.317.235.0531.522.8
Total Yield4.6%3.4%3.0%3.5%3.0%0.2%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.6%0.0%0.3%0.4%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.3%2.3%1.1%3.6%3.1%0.3%2.7%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Returns

GOOGLMSFTAMZNMETAAAPLNFLXMedian
NameAlphabet MicrosoftAmazon.c.Meta Pla.Apple Netflix  
1M Rtn4.2%-6.2%-5.0%8.0%1.6%-14.1%-1.7%
3M Rtn19.0%-6.5%-4.5%-16.1%13.9%-22.8%-5.5%
6M Rtn71.5%-0.5%4.1%-6.5%38.6%-22.4%1.8%
12M Rtn52.4%5.5%-4.3%5.2%7.7%3.1%5.4%
3Y Rtn231.2%99.2%151.8%447.6%105.1%226.1%189.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.4%-6.9%-5.7%7.2%0.9%-14.8%-2.4%
3M Excs Rtn16.5%-7.5%-5.7%-18.0%13.0%-22.9%-6.6%
6M Excs Rtn59.1%-12.9%-8.3%-18.9%26.2%-34.8%-10.6%
12M Excs Rtn45.9%-3.8%-13.8%-6.0%-1.0%-7.9%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn152.0%24.6%75.9%401.7%22.5%132.3%104.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Google Services272,543253,528237,529168,635151,825
Google Cloud33,08826,28019,20613,0598,918
Other Bets1,5271,068753657659
Hedging gains (losses)2361,960149176455
Total307,394282,836257,637182,527161,857


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Google Services95,85882,69991,85554,60648,999
Google Cloud1,716-1,922-3,099-5,607-4,645
Other Bets-4,095-4,636-5,281-4,476-4,824
Alphabet-level activities-9,186-1,299-4,761-3,299-5,299
Total84,29374,84278,71441,22434,231


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity79,334,780
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202527.0%
Average Daily Volume60,681,413
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity12,086,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.5%3.5%14.7%
7/23/20251.0%3.3%5.0%
4/24/20251.7%1.3%5.8%
2/4/2025-7.3%-10.2%-16.5%
10/29/20242.8%0.0%-0.3%
7/23/2024-5.0%-6.3%-8.8%
4/25/202410.2%6.8%12.2%
1/30/2024-7.5%-4.9%-8.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151614
# Negative9810
Median Positive3.8%3.4%8.0%
Median Negative-5.0%-8.3%-7.7%
Max Positive10.2%13.2%16.6%
Max Negative-9.5%-13.4%-16.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-K 12/31/2021