Tearsheet

Golden Matrix (GMGI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.833 | Market Cap: $116.4 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment

Golden Matrix (GMGI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.833
Market Cap: $116.4 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Home Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 196x
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.0%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.6%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, and Online Betting Platforms.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.0%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, and Online Betting Platforms.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
6 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
7 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 196x
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GMGI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Golden Matrix (GMGI) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, during which the stock moved by -32.3%:

1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Earnings and Revised Guidance: Although reported on August 8, 2025, prior to the precise start of the period, Golden Matrix reported a net loss of $3.6 million in Q2 2025, missing forecasts, and subsequently lowered its full-year revenue guidance to between $185 million and $188 million, which likely continued to negatively influence investor sentiment throughout the period.

2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Downgrades: Despite earlier "Strong Buy" ratings, the consensus among Wall Street analysts shifted to a "Hold" rating by December 4, 2025, with some analysts issuing negative evaluations and "high risk" assessments for the stock. This change in sentiment likely contributed to the stock's downward trajectory.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GMGI Return83%0%30138%-5%-18%-57%18213%
Peers Return37%-4%5993%25%3%9%11058%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GMGI Win Rate25%0%25%33%50%10% 
Peers Win Rate32%39%27%58%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GMGI Max Drawdown-33%0%0%-23%-20%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-9%-39%-11%-20%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EA, TTWO, RBLX, PLTK, GMGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGMGIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-77.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven341.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven179 days120 days

Compare to EA, TTWO, RBLX, PLTK, GMGI


In The Past

Golden Matrix's stock fell -77.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2022. A -77.4% loss requires a 341.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Golden Matrix (GMGI)

Better Bets than Golden Matrix (GMGI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GMGI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Golden Matrix

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GMGIEATTWORBLXPLTKMedian
NameGolden M.Electron.Take-Two.Roblox Playtika  
Mkt Price0.83203.21244.9592.104.2092.10
Mkt Cap0.150.845.264.21.545.2
Rev LTM1797,2886,2204,4642,7274,464
Op Inc LTM-21,247-404-1,118366-2
FCF LTM131,6532031,166346346
FCF 3Y Avg-1,884-202591398495
CFO LTM341,8723581,374435435
CFO 3Y Avg-2,094-44863488676

Growth & Margins

GMGIEATTWORBLXPLTKMedian
NameGolden M.Electron.Take-Two.Roblox Playtika  
Rev Chg LTM72.2%-1.6%14.0%32.7%7.5%14.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg87.1%0.1%13.3%26.5%1.3%13.3%
Rev Chg Q15.4%-9.2%31.1%48.0%8.7%15.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%-2.5%7.3%11.0%2.0%3.7%
Op Mgn LTM-0.9%17.1%-6.5%-25.0%13.4%-0.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.8%18.8%-17.0%-35.3%18.2%-2.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-2.7%3.6%2.3%-1.3%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM18.8%25.7%5.8%30.8%15.9%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-28.2%-1.1%23.5%18.8%21.1%
FCF/Rev LTM7.1%22.7%3.3%26.1%12.7%12.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.3%-3.9%14.7%15.3%15.0%

Valuation

GMGIEATTWORBLXPLTKMedian
NameGolden M.Electron.Take-Two.Roblox Playtika  
Mkt Cap0.150.845.264.21.545.2
P/S0.96.97.721.60.56.9
P/EBIT195.938.1-12.0-103.94.64.6
P/E-29.457.0-11.9-99.716.6-11.9
P/CFO4.726.9133.370.33.326.9
Total Yield-3.4%1.9%-8.4%-1.0%11.3%-1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%5.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%-0.9%1.1%16.9%3.0%
D/E0.20.00.10.01.80.1
Net D/E0.00.00.0-0.01.30.0

Returns

GMGIEATTWORBLXPLTKMedian
NameGolden M.Electron.Take-Two.Roblox Playtika  
1M Rtn-18.3%1.8%-4.2%-14.5%13.2%-4.2%
3M Rtn-17.5%21.2%2.5%-31.0%20.1%2.5%
6M Rtn-55.2%37.2%6.9%1.1%-9.0%1.1%
12M Rtn-63.1%21.8%30.3%72.1%-46.5%21.8%
3Y Rtn-66.9%56.1%125.2%171.0%-49.7%56.1%
1M Excs Rtn-18.3%1.8%-4.2%-14.4%13.2%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-20.5%15.7%-3.6%-34.4%10.9%-3.6%
6M Excs Rtn-69.9%22.4%-7.8%-13.6%-23.7%-13.6%
12M Excs Rtn-77.6%11.2%16.5%70.2%-59.1%11.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-138.5%-11.7%69.1%125.5%-119.8%-11.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity969,641
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.9%
Average Daily Volume209,784
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.62
Basic Shares Quantity139,769,484
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024324202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
1312024314202410-Q 1/31/2024
10312023117202410-K 10/31/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023614202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023316202310-Q 1/31/2023
10312022130202310-K 10/31/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022308202210-Q 1/31/2022
10312021113202210-KT 10/31/2021