GE Aerospace (GE)


Market Price (7/25/2026): $354.53 | Market Cap: $368.7 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

GE Aerospace (GE)


Market Price (7/25/2026): $354.53
Market Cap: $368.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.4 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 21 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Hydrogen Economy. Show more.

Key risks
GE key risks include [1] consistent operational challenges from global supply chain disruptions that have previously impacted its production and revenue forecasts.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.4 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 21 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Hydrogen Economy. Show more.
5 Key risks
GE key risks include [1] consistent operational challenges from global supply chain disruptions that have previously impacted its production and revenue forecasts.

GE in ETFs

Weight = GE's share of each fund

SPY0.55%
VOO0.60%
IVV0.57%
VTI0.54%
ITOT0.49%
IWB0.51%
RSP0.21%
VUG0.55%
+34 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 7/16/2026

GE Aerospace (GE) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.

GE Aerospace significantly exceeded analyst expectations in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), reporting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.02, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.86, and adjusted revenue of $12.6 billion, which beat estimates of $11.8 billion. Following this robust performance, the company raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting adjusted EPS in the range of $7.65-$7.85 (up from $7.10-$7.40) and free cash flow of $8.9 billion-$9.2 billion (up from $8.0 billion-$8.4 billion).

2. Robust Growth in Commercial Services Driven by High Demand and Operational Improvements.

The Commercial Engines & Services (CES) segment, a primary growth engine for GE Aerospace, saw its revenue increase by 27% to $9.7 billion in fiscal Q2 2026. This growth was largely propelled by a 26% increase in services revenue, which included a 25% rise in internal shop visit revenue and over 25% growth in spare parts revenue. This performance highlights strong aftermarket demand, supported by the company's significant $170 billion commercial services backlog and enhanced operational execution, including record internal shop visit output.

Show more
Updated on 7/16/2026

GE Aerospace (GE) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.

GE Aerospace significantly exceeded analyst expectations in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), reporting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.02, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.86, and adjusted revenue of $12.6 billion, which beat estimates of $11.8 billion. Following this robust performance, the company raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting adjusted EPS in the range of $7.65-$7.85 (up from $7.10-$7.40) and free cash flow of $8.9 billion-$9.2 billion (up from $8.0 billion-$8.4 billion).

2. Robust Growth in Commercial Services Driven by High Demand and Operational Improvements.

The Commercial Engines & Services (CES) segment, a primary growth engine for GE Aerospace, saw its revenue increase by 27% to $9.7 billion in fiscal Q2 2026. This growth was largely propelled by a 26% increase in services revenue, which included a 25% rise in internal shop visit revenue and over 25% growth in spare parts revenue. This performance highlights strong aftermarket demand, supported by the company's significant $170 billion commercial services backlog and enhanced operational execution, including record internal shop visit output.

3. Solid Performance and Expanding Backlog in Defense & Propulsion Technologies.

The Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) segment also contributed to the positive trend, reporting a 12% increase in orders and a 16% rise in revenue during fiscal Q2 2026. This segment's strong results, driven by robust demand for defense products and propulsion technologies, further bolstered the company's overall orders and backlog, which exceeded $210 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.

Leading up to and following the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release, several prominent analysts maintained or upgraded their ratings and raised price targets for GE Aerospace. For instance, UBS increased its price target to $435 from $426, while RBC Capital Markets raised its target to $400 from $355, citing strong demand and the expectation of improved guidance. This widespread bullish sentiment from the analyst community reflected confidence in the company's strategic direction and execution.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.8% change in GE stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267242026Change
Stock Price ($)283.42353.7324.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)45,85450,63810.4%
Net Income Margin (%)19.0%17.7%-6.7%
P/E Multiple34.341.019.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0521,0401.2%
Cumulative Contribution24.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE24.8% 
Market (SPY)13.6%42.8%
Sector (XLI)12.9%71.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.1% change in GE stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257242026Change
Stock Price ($)307.20353.7315.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43,94850,63815.2%
Net Income Margin (%)18.3%17.7%-3.4%
P/E Multiple40.341.01.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0581,0401.7%
Cumulative Contribution15.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE15.1% 
Market (SPY)8.7%49.4%
Sector (XLI)18.1%73.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.3% change in GE stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257242026Change
Stock Price ($)255.72353.7338.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39,68050,63827.6%
Net Income Margin (%)17.6%17.7%0.5%
P/E Multiple39.141.04.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0701,0402.9%
Cumulative Contribution38.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE38.3% 
Market (SPY)20.6%47.1%
Sector (XLI)25.1%66.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 310.4% change in GE stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 292.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237242026Change
Stock Price ($)86.19353.73310.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,95050,63863.6%
Net Income Margin (%)29.0%17.7%-38.9%
P/E Multiple10.541.0292.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0891,0404.7%
Cumulative Contribution310.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE310.4% 
Market (SPY)72.6%57.0%
Sector (XLI)77.3%67.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GE Return10%-11%94%65%86%14%559%
Peers Return10%20%1%6%20%9%84%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GE Win Rate42%50%83%75%83%57% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%42%50%52%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GE Max Drawdown-21%-41%-9%-18%-21%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-25%-24%-21%-19%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RTX, HON, BA, LMT, NOC. See GE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/24/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-36.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven181 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-51.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven337 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-46.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven387 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven41 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven98 days123 days

Compare to RTX, HON, BA, LMT, NOC

In The Past

GE Aerospace's stock fell -20.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-36.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven181 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-51.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven337 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-46.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven387 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven98 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-27.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.2%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven203 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-80.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven419.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven2409 days1085 days

Compare to RTX, HON, BA, LMT, NOC

In The Past

GE Aerospace's stock fell -20.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GE Aerospace (GE)

GE Aerospace, trading under the symbol GE, is now an independent, pure-play aviation company that serves as the legal successor to the original General Electric conglomerate. Following a multi-year restructuring that spun off its healthcare and energy businesses, GE Aerospace is entirely focused on designing, manufacturing, and servicing jet engines, advanced components, and integrated systems for a global customer base.

The company's core business encompasses a wide portfolio of gas turbine engines, electric power systems, and mechanical aircraft systems. A significant revenue driver is its comprehensive aftermarket services, including maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) to optimize engine lifecycle performance. Furthermore, GE Aerospace operates CFM International, a highly successful joint venture with Safran Aircraft Engines, which is a major supplier of commercial aircraft engines worldwide. Its primary customers span commercial airlines, military forces, business jet operators, and the general aviation sector, with a strong emphasis on developing next-generation propulsion and sustainable aviation technologies.

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  • The Intel for airplanes.
  • Boeing for jet engines.
  • The Rolls-Royce of jet engines.

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  • Jet Engines (Commercial & Military): Designs, manufactures, and services a wide portfolio of gas turbine jet engines for commercial, military, business, and general aviation aircraft.
  • Engine Components & Integrated Systems: Produces advanced engine components and integrated systems that enhance propulsion, power, and functionality for various aircraft platforms.
  • Aircraft Electric Power & Mechanical Systems: Develops and supplies electric power systems and mechanical aircraft systems for aircraft.
  • Aftermarket Services: Provides comprehensive maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services to optimize engine performance, reliability, and lifecycle across the aviation sector.
  • CFM International Commercial Engines: Through its highly successful joint venture with Safran Aircraft Engines, supplies a major share of the world's commercial aircraft engines.

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GE Aerospace primarily sells its products and services to other companies within the aviation and defense sectors. Its major customers include:
  • Aircraft Manufacturers:
    • Boeing (symbol: BA): A leading global aerospace company, a major customer for GE Aerospace's commercial and military aircraft engines.
    • Airbus: The other dominant commercial aircraft manufacturer globally, a significant customer for engines, particularly through the CFM International joint venture.
    • Lockheed Martin (symbol: LMT): A premier global security and aerospace company, purchasing GE Aerospace engines for various military aircraft programs.
    • Northrop Grumman (symbol: NOC): Another major American aerospace and defense technology company, a customer for advanced military jet engines.
  • Commercial Airlines and Cargo Operators: These companies are major purchasers of new engines for their fleets and significant consumers of GE Aerospace's comprehensive aftermarket services (maintenance, repair, and overhaul).
    • Delta Air Lines (symbol: DAL)
    • United Airlines (symbol: UAL)
    • American Airlines (symbol: AAL)
    • FedEx (symbol: FDX)
  • Government and Military Entities: Various governments and their respective military forces are direct or indirect customers for military aircraft engines and associated services.

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  • Safran S.A. (SAF.PA)

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Here is the management team for GE Aerospace: H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. Chairman and CEO
Mr. Culp joined the GE Board of Directors in April 2018, was appointed CEO of GE in October 2018, and assumed additional duties as CEO of GE Aerospace in June 2022, becoming Chairman & CEO of GE Aerospace upon its launch as a public company in April 2024. He spearheaded GE's multi-year financial and operational transformation, resulting in over $100 billion in debt reduction. Prior to GE, Mr. Culp spent 25 years at Danaher Corporation, serving as President and CEO from 2001 to 2014, during which the company's revenues and market capitalization increased fivefold. He was also a Senior Lecturer at Harvard Business School and has served as a senior advisor at Bain Capital Private Equity. He is recognized as the first outsider to lead GE in its 126-year history. Rahul Ghai Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Ghai joined GE Aerospace in August 2022 and held the role of CFO for GE from September 2023 through the spin-off of GE Vernova in April 2024. Before joining GE Aerospace, he served as CFO of Otis Elevators starting July 2019, where he was instrumental in its spin from United Technologies Corporation. Previously, Mr. Ghai was CFO of Harris Corporation for four years, where he contributed to tripling the company's stock price by focusing on divesting non-strategic assets and investing in technology. His career includes executive-level finance roles at Aetna Insurance, Carrier Corporation, and UTC Fire and Security, where he demonstrated a strong track record of driving transformation and was involved in multiple M&A transactions. He began his career in the financial services industry in India. Mohamed Ali President and CEO, Commercial Engines & Services
Mr. Ali leads GE Aerospace's approximately $33 billion Commercial Engines & Services business, overseeing the entire lifecycle of its commercial engine operations, from engineering and supply chain to manufacturing and aftermarket services. He began his career with GE in 1997 as a research scientist. Amy Gowder President and CEO, Defense and Systems
Ms. Gowder leads the operations responsible for developing and manufacturing engines and systems for various military applications, including air combat, trainer, tanker, helicopter, and marine. She brings over 20 years of leadership experience within the aerospace and technology industry. Riccardo Procacci President and CEO, Propulsion and Additive Technologies
A 30-year veteran of General Electric, Mr. Procacci is responsible for four independent companies: Avio Aero, Unison, Dowty, and Colibrium Additive, which support both GE Aerospace and external customers globally. He was appointed CEO of Avio Aero in 2013 and later expanded his leadership to include GE Additive, Dowty Propellers, and Unison Industries.

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Here are the key risks to GE Aerospace:

  1. Cyclicality and Volatility of the Aviation Industry: GE Aerospace's business is highly sensitive to the economic health of the global aviation sector. Factors such as global economic downturns, geopolitical events, fuel price volatility, and changes in air travel demand can significantly impact orders for new aircraft engines and the demand for aftermarket services like maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO).

  2. Reliance on Major Aircraft Manufacturers and Production Rates: A significant portion of GE Aerospace's engine sales are to a limited number of major aircraft manufacturers, such as Boeing and Airbus, often through joint ventures like CFM International. Production delays, quality control issues, or strategic shifts by these key customers can directly impact GE Aerospace's engine delivery schedules and revenue streams.

  3. High Costs and Technological Risks of Developing Next-Generation Propulsion Systems: GE Aerospace is heavily invested in developing advanced and sustainable aviation technologies, including next-generation propulsion systems. These programs require substantial research and development (R&D) investments over long cycles, carrying risks of cost overruns, technical challenges, and the potential failure to meet performance or market expectations.

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GE Aerospace operates within several substantial global addressable markets related to aviation propulsion and services.

  • The global aircraft engine market, encompassing both commercial and military applications, was valued at approximately USD 161.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 248 billion by 2034.
  • For commercial aircraft engines specifically, the market size is expected to grow from USD 95.56 billion in 2025 to USD 117.13 billion by 2031 globally.
  • The global military aircraft engine market was valued at around USD 34.29 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 67.19 billion by 2032.
  • The global aircraft Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) market, a key service offering for GE Aerospace, was valued at USD 91.35 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 678.58 billion by 2032.
  • The global aerospace parts manufacturing market, which includes advanced engine components, was valued at USD 1019.73 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1486.16 billion by 2034.

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GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:

  1. Robust Commercial Aftermarket Services Growth: A primary driver of revenue growth is the expanding commercial aftermarket services business. This is fueled by GE Aerospace's large installed base of jet engines, particularly the CFM LEAP engines which are entering a more intensive aftermarket cycle. Increased flight hours globally and a strong backlog of long-term service agreements translate into higher demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services and spare parts.
  2. Increased Deliveries of New Commercial Engines: While aftermarket services offer higher margins, the continuous increase in deliveries of new commercial engines, especially the LEAP family, is critical for expanding the installed base. This growth in new engine sales directly feeds the long-term pipeline for future, high-margin aftermarket service revenue, driven by ongoing demand for new aircraft and fleet modernization.
  3. Expansion in the Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) Segment: The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment is contributing significantly to revenue growth with increasing orders and deliveries. This growth is supported by strong defense budgets, new contract wins, and strategic investments in manufacturing capacity for defense platforms.
  4. Global Air Travel Recovery and Higher Fleet Utilization: The ongoing rebound in global air travel, with passenger traffic surpassing pre-pandemic levels, directly translates into more flight hours for the existing fleet. This heightened utilization of aircraft increases engine wear and tear, thereby boosting the demand for GE Aerospace's engine maintenance and repair services.
  5. Strategic Investments in Manufacturing Capacity and International Market Expansion: GE Aerospace is investing over $1 billion annually in its U.S. manufacturing sites and MRO capabilities to accelerate engine deliveries and strengthen its industrial base. The company is also targeting profitable growth in international markets, particularly in regions like India and the Middle East, where its engines demonstrate a competitive advantage in "hot-and-high" operating environments.

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Share Repurchases

  • GE Aerospace has an ongoing multi-year share repurchase program with approximately $14.5 billion repurchased so far under a March 2024 authorization for 65.6 million shares.
  • The company plans to increase capital returns from 2024 to 2026 to approximately $24 billion, which includes a $19 billion share buyback authorization, subject to Board approval.
  • GE Aerospace accelerated repurchase activity in 2025 and expects to continue this trend in 2026.

Share Issuance

  • In July 2021, GE executed a 1-for-8 reverse stock split, reducing the number of outstanding shares from approximately 8.8 billion to 1.1 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • GE Aerospace has completed three acquisitions between 2022 and 2025.
  • The most recent acquisition was Northstar Aerospace in June 2025, a manufacturer of components and assemblies for the aerospace industry.

Capital Expenditures

  • GE Aerospace plans to invest $1 billion in its U.S. manufacturing sites and supplier base in 2026, marking its second consecutive year of such an investment. This investment aims to accelerate engine deliveries, ramp up durable parts production, and strengthen defense-related output.
  • Since 2024, the company has committed over $2.5 billion to U.S. manufacturing and suppliers, with approximately $600 million directed towards sites producing defense engines over the last three years.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal years ending December 2021 to 2025 averaged $988.4 million, peaking at $1.273 billion in 2025. The company also plans to invest more than €110 million in its European manufacturing sites in 2026 to expand production capacity and advanced manufacturing.

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
Mkt Price353.73212.79243.15209.52582.60542.24298.44
Mkt Cap367.9287.477.1165.1134.177.1149.6
Rev LTM50,63893,50036,13092,18477,01442,89263,826
Op Inc LTM9,46010,4855,990-5,4319,1534,5987,572
FCF LTM8,39610,9854,010-1,0508,7293,6466,203
FCF 3Y Avg6,5957,2085,062-4,1736,3362,5265,699
CFO LTM9,80014,2065,1182,50210,4025,0787,459
CFO 3Y Avg7,74310,3855,965-1,6398,0804,1426,854

Growth & Margins

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
Rev Chg LTM21.7%11.8%5.4%32.7%7.2%5.9%9.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.2%10.0%0.1%10.7%4.6%4.3%7.3%
Rev Chg Q21.1%14.5%4.3%14.0%10.5%5.1%12.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%3.5%1.1%3.0%2.5%1.2%2.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM19.0%26.0%-6.5%46.8%53.7%15.6%22.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg21.6%56.7%-5.5%-328.6%7.5%11.5%9.5%
Op Mgn LTM18.7%11.2%16.6%-5.9%11.9%10.7%11.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.5%8.3%18.1%-7.2%10.7%9.1%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.3%-0.3%0.2%2.0%-0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.4%15.2%14.2%2.7%13.5%11.8%13.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.9%12.5%17.3%-2.8%11.0%10.0%11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM16.6%11.7%11.1%-1.1%11.3%8.5%11.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.3%8.6%14.7%-5.9%8.6%6.1%8.6%

Valuation

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
Mkt Cap367.9287.477.1165.1134.177.1149.6
P/S7.33.12.11.81.71.82.0
P/Op Inc38.927.412.9-30.414.716.815.7
P/EBIT32.124.66.731.415.713.020.2
P/E41.037.19.472.821.317.129.2
P/CFO37.520.215.166.012.915.217.7
Total Yield2.9%4.0%14.6%1.4%7.1%7.6%5.5%
Dividend Yield0.4%1.3%4.0%0.0%2.4%1.7%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%3.9%7.1%-2.5%5.6%3.6%3.8%
D/E0.10.10.40.30.20.20.2
Net D/E0.00.10.30.20.10.20.1

Returns

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
1M Rtn-3.2%15.0%1.7%-4.9%18.5%7.8%4.7%
3M Rtn24.4%22.6%8.5%-9.9%14.2%-5.3%11.3%
6M Rtn20.7%9.4%4.4%-16.9%-0.2%-18.8%2.1%
12M Rtn32.7%39.3%9.3%-9.4%42.3%-3.1%21.0%
3Y Rtn284.5%160.3%17.0%-2.1%39.0%24.7%31.8%
1M Excs Rtn-3.9%14.3%0.9%-5.6%17.8%7.1%4.0%
3M Excs Rtn21.2%14.9%3.6%-14.8%6.4%-11.6%5.0%
6M Excs Rtn13.0%2.0%-3.3%-23.9%-8.0%-25.7%-5.6%
12M Excs Rtn18.5%21.6%-14.0%-27.0%26.1%-19.7%2.3%
3Y Excs Rtn247.6%74.9%-42.7%-61.9%-22.5%-33.5%-28.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial Engines & Services33,31426,88123,85518,813 
Defense & Propulsion Technologies10,5549,4788,9617,989 
Corporate & Other1,9872,3432,5322,337 
Aerospace    21,310
Corporate    2,559
Power    16,903
Renewable Energy    15,697
Total45,85538,70235,34829,13956,469


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil19991998199719961995
Aircraft Engines2,1051,7691,0511,2251,176
Industrial Products & Systems2,0951,8801,4901,6171,519
Power Systems1,6931,306   
Plastics1,6511,584   
NBC1,576    
Technical Products & Services1,3591,109828849801
Appliances655755458750697
All Other 2712,9512,437 
Broadcasting 1,3491,002953738
Financing 3,7963,7363,4653,045
Materials  1,4761,4661,465
Power Generation  7581,068769
Specialty Insurance  1,2931,2341,020
Total11,13413,81915,04315,06411,230


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022202120202019
Corporate82,17581,69297,301114,22029,269
Aerospace39,98539,24338,29838,63441,083
Power23,25522,17323,56924,45326,731
Renewable Energy15,93615,71914,80415,92715,935
Assets of discontinued operations1,6952,892 40,7494,109
Healthcare 26,070 22,22930,503
Capital    117,546
Total163,046187,789173,972256,212265,176


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$353.73 
Market Cap ($ Bil)370.0 
First Trading Date01/02/1962 
Distance from 52W High-6.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$337.84$312.91
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.7%13.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.6%31.9%
Downside Capture66.42111.89
Upside Capture158.95124.18
Correlation (SPY)41.5%48.6%
GE Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.701.111.281.391.221.16
Up Beta1.652.282.272.021.691.15
Down Beta1.070.810.601.071.001.19
Up Capture126%176%130%148%139%250%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days15263868139421
Down Capture-44%14%52%114%102%99%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days6152557113326

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GE
GE35.3%31.9%0.97-
Sector ETF (XLI)20.1%16.6%0.9368.1%
Equity (SPY)17.6%12.7%1.0048.5%
Gold (GLD)19.2%28.1%0.6119.1%
Commodities (DBC)34.7%19.1%1.42-27.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.8%14.1%0.6927.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.4%42.9%-1.2924.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GE
GE41.9%31.1%1.16-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.0%17.6%0.6369.1%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5859.6%
Gold (GLD)17.0%18.4%0.759.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%19.5%0.388.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.9%0.0640.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)15.7%53.4%0.4725.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GE
GE9.6%36.4%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.9%20.0%0.6166.9%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7155.7%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.571.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%17.9%0.3219.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2144.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.9814.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 630202615.3%
Average Daily Volume3.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,040.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/25/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/16/2026-4.1%-5.3% 
4/21/2026-5.6%-6.3%-6.0%
1/22/2026-7.4%-8.2%7.8%
10/21/20251.3%3.4%-2.2%
7/17/2025-2.2%-1.1%1.3%
4/22/20256.1%12.6%31.9%
1/23/20256.6%5.7%6.1%
10/22/2024-9.0%-9.7%-8.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131315
# Negative12129
Median Positive4.6%4.4%7.8%
Median Negative-4.2%-4.0%-4.4%
Max Positive8.3%12.6%47.9%
Max Negative-10.3%-15.9%-17.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/16/2026-4.1%-5.3% 
4/21/2026-5.6%-6.3%-6.0%
1/22/2026-7.4%-8.2%7.8%
10/21/20251.3%3.4%-2.2%
7/17/2025-2.2%-1.1%1.3%
4/22/20256.1%12.6%31.9%
1/23/20256.6%5.7%6.1%
10/22/2024-9.0%-9.7%-8.6%
7/23/20245.7%4.4%4.4%
4/23/20248.3%9.5%7.2%
1/23/2024-1.0%-0.1%13.6%
10/24/20236.5%2.9%12.4%
7/25/20236.3%3.6%1.3%
4/25/2023-1.7%1.0%1.5%
1/24/20231.2%1.3%4.3%
10/25/2022-0.5%6.1%19.0%
7/26/20224.6%10.9%11.3%
4/26/2022-10.3%-15.9%-17.1%
1/25/2022-6.0%-2.5%-4.4%
10/26/20212.0%0.9%-3.1%
7/27/20211.2%-2.7%-0.1%
4/27/2021-0.6%-0.9%-3.3%
1/26/20212.7%-2.3%19.4%
10/28/20204.5%10.6%47.9%
7/29/2020-4.4%-10.9%-6.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131315
# Negative12129
Median Positive4.6%4.4%7.8%
Median Negative-4.2%-4.0%-4.4%
Max Positive8.3%12.6%47.9%
Max Negative-10.3%-15.9%-17.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/16/202610-Q
03/31/202604/21/202610-Q
12/31/202501/29/202610-K
09/30/202510/21/202510-Q
06/30/202507/21/202510-Q
03/31/202504/22/202510-Q
12/31/202402/03/202510-K
09/30/202410/22/202410-Q
06/30/202407/23/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/02/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/16/202610-Q
03/31/202604/21/202610-Q
12/31/202501/29/202610-K
09/30/202510/21/202510-Q
06/30/202507/21/202510-Q
03/31/202504/22/202510-Q
12/31/202402/03/202510-K
09/30/202410/22/202410-Q
06/30/202407/23/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/02/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q
12/31/202102/11/202210-K
09/30/202110/26/202110-Q
06/30/202107/27/202110-Q
03/31/202104/27/202110-Q
12/31/202002/12/202110-K
09/30/202010/28/202010-Q
06/30/202007/29/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201902/24/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/17/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/16/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Revenue Growth17.0%17.5%    
2026 Operating Profit10.55 Bil10.65 Bil10.75 Bil6.0% RaisedGuidance: 10.05 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS7.657.757.856.9% RaisedGuidance: 7.25 for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow8.90 Bil9.05 Bil9.20 Bil10.4% RaisedGuidance: 8.20 Bil for 2026
2026 CES Revenue Growth 20.0%  5.0%RaisedGuidance: 15.0% for 2026
2026 CES Operating Profit10.25 Bil10.30 Bil10.35 Bil5.6% RaisedGuidance: 9.75 Bil for 2026
2026 DPT Operating Profit1.60 Bil1.65 Bil1.70 Bil3.1% RaisedGuidance: 1.60 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Operating Profit9.85 Bil10.05 Bil10.25 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 10.05 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS7.17.257.40 AffirmedGuidance: 7.25 for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow8.00 Bil8.20 Bil8.40 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 8.20 Bil for 2026
2026 CES Revenue Growth 15.0%   Affirmed
2026 CES Operating Profit9.60 Bil9.75 Bil9.90 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 9.75 Bil for 2026
2026 DPT Revenue Growth5.0%7.0%9.0%  Affirmed
2026 DPT Operating Profit1.55 Bil1.60 Bil1.65 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.60 Bil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Revenue Growth     Lower NewActual: 17.5% for 2025
2026 Operating Profit9.85 Bil10.05 Bil10.25 Bil14.9% Higher NewActual: 8.75 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS7.17.257.418.9% Higher NewActual: 6.1 for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow8.00 Bil8.20 Bil8.40 Bil13.9% Higher NewActual: 7.20 Bil for 2025
2026 CES Services Revenue      
2026 CES Equipment Revenue      
2026 Commercial Engines & Services (CES) Revenue      
2026 Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) Revenue      
2026 Commercial Engines & Services (CES) Operating Profit9.60 Bil9.75 Bil9.90 Bil14.0% Higher NewActual: 8.55 Bil for 2025
2026 Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) Operating Profit1.55 Bil1.60 Bil1.65 Bil28.0% Higher NewActual: 1.25 Bil for 2025
2026 Corporate Cost & Eliminations Operating Profit-1.30 Bil-1.25 Bil-1.20 Bil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/21/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted Revenue Growth 17.5%  2.5%RaisedGuidance: 15.0% for 2025
2025 Operating Profit8.65 Bil8.75 Bil8.85 Bil4.8% RaisedGuidance: 8.35 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPS66.16.27.0% RaisedGuidance: 5.7 for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow7.10 Bil7.20 Bil7.30 Bil7.5% RaisedGuidance: 6.70 Bil for 2025
2025 CES Revenue Growth 22.5%    
2025 CES Operating Profit8.45 Bil8.55 Bil8.65 Bil   
2025 DPT Revenue Growth 8.5%    
2025 DPT Operating Profit1.20 Bil1.25 Bil1.30 Bil   

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Procacci, RiccardoSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell2042026310.11800248,0884,942,843Form
2Gowder, Amy LSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell2032026305.734,0001,222,9205,055,246Form
3Stokes, RussellSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell2032026306.4730,3639,305,49046,104,207Form
4Giglietti, Robert MVice PresidentDirectSell2032026305.513,035927,2353,233,255Form
5Stokes, RussellSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell11202025297.718,0002,381,68044,785,706Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Procacci, RiccardoSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell2042026310.11800248,0884,942,843Form
2Gowder, Amy LSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell2032026305.734,0001,222,9205,055,246Form
3Stokes, RussellSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell2032026306.4730,3639,305,49046,104,207Form
4Giglietti, Robert MVice PresidentDirectSell2032026305.513,035927,2353,233,255Form
5Stokes, RussellSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell11202025297.718,0002,381,68044,785,706Form
6Ali, MohamedSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell8062025268.791,517407,7552,253,536Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 25, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
TCI Fund Management LTD$13.5 Bil29.8%10Hold13F
Trian Fund Management, L.P.$1.1 Bil29.6%9Hold13F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$598.1 Mil13.7%40Hold13F
Oribel Capital Management, LP$81.5 Mil12.4%41ADD +767.4%13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$46.6 Mil12.2%17ADD +37.4%13F
Skye Global Management LP$341.1 Mil7.3%44Hold13F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$37.6 Mil7.2%32ADD +6.2%13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$43.3 Mil6.0%39Hold13F
Codex Capital Asset Management L.L.C.$15.4 Mil6.0%31Hold13F
XN LP$161.5 Mil5.9%23Hold13F
Newbrook Capital Advisors LP$30.0 Mil5.6%15TRIM -5.8%13F
11 Capital Partners LP$16.4 Mil5.3%19TRIM -27.5%13F
SRB Corp$85.4 Mil5.2%44TRIM -18.6%13F
Night Owl Capital Management, LLC$44.1 Mil5.1%30Hold13F
Cartenna Capital, LP$103.6 Mil4.5%41New13F
One Madison Group LLC$37.9 Mil4.4%28TRIM -5.3%13F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$66.8 Mil4.3%31TRIM -6.2%13F
Mar Vista Investment Partners LLC$36.4 Mil3.6%35ADD +72.1%13F
Thames Capital Management LLC$17.6 Mil3.2%43Hold13F
Windmill Hill Asset Management Ltd$9.0 Mil2.8%23Hold13F
Cambridge Financial Group, Inc.$6.8 Mil2.6%33Hold13F
Makena Capital Management LLC$18.9 Mil2.2%27TRIM -8.4%13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$106.7 Mil1.9%44TRIM -32.0%13F
Mark Asset Management LP$10.6 Mil1.4%31TRIM -7.6%13F
Troluce Capital Advisors LLC$6.8 Mil0.7%46New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cartenna Capital, LP$103.6 Mil4.5%41New13F
Troluce Capital Advisors LLC$6.8 Mil0.7%46New13F
Oribel Capital Management, LP$81.5 Mil12.4%41ADD +767.4%13F
Mar Vista Investment Partners LLC$36.4 Mil3.6%35ADD +72.1%13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$46.6 Mil12.2%17ADD +37.4%13F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$37.6 Mil7.2%32ADD +6.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Bornite Capital Management LP$63.6 Mil6.2%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$106.7 Mil1.9%44TRIM -32.0%Mar 31, 202613F
11 Capital Partners LP$16.4 Mil5.3%19TRIM -27.5%Mar 31, 202613F
SRB Corp$85.4 Mil5.2%44TRIM -18.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Makena Capital Management LLC$18.9 Mil2.2%27TRIM -8.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Mark Asset Management LP$10.6 Mil1.4%31TRIM -7.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$66.8 Mil4.3%31TRIM -6.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Newbrook Capital Advisors LP$30.0 Mil5.6%15TRIM -5.8%Mar 31, 202613F
One Madison Group LLC$37.9 Mil4.4%28TRIM -5.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
TCI Fund Management LTD$13.5 Bil29.8%10Hold13F
Trian Fund Management, L.P.$1.1 Bil29.6%9Hold13F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$598.1 Mil13.7%40Hold13F
Skye Global Management LP$341.1 Mil7.3%44Hold13F
XN LP$161.5 Mil5.9%23Hold13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$106.7 Mil1.9%44TRIM -32.0%13F
Cartenna Capital, LP$103.6 Mil4.5%41New13F
SRB Corp$85.4 Mil5.2%44TRIM -18.6%13F
Oribel Capital Management, LP$81.5 Mil12.4%41ADD +767.4%13F
Bristol Gate Capital Partners Inc.$66.8 Mil4.3%31TRIM -6.2%13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$46.6 Mil12.2%17ADD +37.4%13F
Night Owl Capital Management, LLC$44.1 Mil5.1%30Hold13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$43.3 Mil6.0%39Hold13F
One Madison Group LLC$37.9 Mil4.4%28TRIM -5.3%13F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$37.6 Mil7.2%32ADD +6.2%13F
Mar Vista Investment Partners LLC$36.4 Mil3.6%35ADD +72.1%13F
Newbrook Capital Advisors LP$30.0 Mil5.6%15TRIM -5.8%13F
Makena Capital Management LLC$18.9 Mil2.2%27TRIM -8.4%13F
Thames Capital Management LLC$17.6 Mil3.2%43Hold13F
11 Capital Partners LP$16.4 Mil5.3%19TRIM -27.5%13F
Codex Capital Asset Management L.L.C.$15.4 Mil6.0%31Hold13F
Mark Asset Management LP$10.6 Mil1.4%31TRIM -7.6%13F
Windmill Hill Asset Management Ltd$9.0 Mil2.8%23Hold13F
Cambridge Financial Group, Inc.$6.8 Mil2.6%33Hold13F
Troluce Capital Advisors LLC$6.8 Mil0.7%46New13F

GE Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

Constructive

CONVICTION RATIONALE

GE Aerospace is capitalizing on a massive services backlog, with a total remaining performance obligation of over $210 billion. The company raised its 2026 free cash flow guidance to a range of $8.9 billion to $9.2 billion. While supply chain issues create operational friction, the long-term growth from its expanding installed base of engines remains firmly intact.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Installed Base & Consumables

(Installed Engine Base * Flight Hours/Utilization) * (Service Workscope & Price) + (New Engine Deliveries * Price) High-margin aftermarket services revenue, which grows as the installed base of engines matures and requires more intensive maintenance.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can the world's largest engine fleet generate decades of compounding services revenue?

Yes, a massive and young installed base is contractually positioned for a long-term, high-margin aftermarket cycle.

Mechanism: The aftermarket business, representing 70% of revenue, grows as the installed base of 80,000 engines matures. The LEAP engine fleet alone is expected to more than double by 2030, fueling future high-margin shop visits and parts sales.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Total backlog stands at over $210 billion, providing multi-year visibility.
  • Commercial services revenue grew 26% year-over-year in the most recent quarter.
  • The LEAP engine installed base is expected to more than double by 2030.
  • Two-thirds of the CFM56 fleet has not yet had a second shop visit.
  • Full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance was raised to 'high teens'.
PRIMARY RISK
Supply Chain Friction Caps Growth

Persistent supply chain constraints are preventing the company from meeting robust demand, evidenced by rising spare parts delinquencies which grew 20% sequentially in the second quarter.

Mechanism: A failure to reduce spare parts delinquencies would confirm an inability to execute, capping revenue and frustrating customers.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Spare parts delinquencies grew 20% sequentially in Q2 2026.
  • Management stated global material availability continues to cause disruptions.
  • Operating profit margin decreased 130 basis points due to inflation and investments.
  • The stock reacted negatively (-3.0%) to the latest earnings report despite a guidance raise.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Commercial Services Revenue Growth26% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - DeceleratingCommercial services growth decelerated sequentially from a very strong Q1 but remains at a robust absolute level. Management noted that year-over-year comparisons are becoming more difficult in the second half of the year, but raised the full-year guidance for commercial services from mid-teens to low 20s growth, indicating underlying confidence.
Total Engine Deliveries Growth26% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - DeceleratingSimilar to services, engine delivery growth saw a significant sequential deceleration from a very high Q1 rate. However, the 26% growth remains strong and is enabling the company to fulfill its large backlog while seeding the installed base for future services revenue.
Commercial Engines Deliveries659 units (Q2 2026 (three months ended June 30, 2026))Indicates the rate of new equipment sales and the expansion of the future installed base for high-margin services.
LEAP Engines Deliveries510 units (Q2 2026 (three months ended June 30, 2026))Measures the production ramp and market penetration of GE's key narrowbody engine program, a primary driver of future services revenue.
Internal Shop Visit Revenue Growth25% year-over-year (Q2 2026 (three months ended June 30, 2026))Represents the volume and workscope of high-margin engine maintenance and overhaul activity within GE's own facilities, a core component of services revenue.
Core Investment Debate

Backlog Monetization vs. Supply Chain Bottleneck

BULL VIEW

The over $210 billion backlog and raised full-year guidance to high-teens revenue growth show demand is overwhelming temporary supply issues, which operational initiatives like FLIGHT DECK will resolve.

CORE TENSION

Can the pull of a $210 billion backlog and 26% services growth overcome the drag from a 20% sequential rise in spare parts delinquencies?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bull view. Management's decision to significantly raise full-year 2026 guidance indicates high confidence in their ability to manage and improve supply chain output.

BEAR VIEW

The 20% sequential increase in spare parts delinquencies shows supply problems are worsening, not improving, creating a hard ceiling on growth and preventing the company from capitalizing on its backlog.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
July 27, 2026
Quarterly Dividend Payment
Watch: The company will pay a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share.
10/19/2026
Negative Post-Earnings Reaction
Watch: Stock reaction in the two days following the earnings release, regardless of whether results meet or beat expectations.
10/19/2026
Peer Group Negative Read-Across
Watch: Commentary from peers on aftermarket demand, supply chain constraints, or defense budget outlooks that could be extrapolated to GE.
10/19/2026
Quarterly Earnings Report
Watch: The company is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings.
10/21/2026
Peer Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Honeywell International is scheduled to report earnings.
10/27/2026
Peer Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Boeing is scheduled to report earnings.
No set date
Slowing Aftermarket Demand
Watch: Management commentary on flight departures, airline customer behavior, or changes to the commercial services growth outlook during the Q3 earnings call.
No set date
Production Ramp Execution Failure
Watch: Updates on spare parts delinquency rates, supplier material input, and engine delivery targets. Any downward revision would be a negative signal.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-07-16
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Details: Following strong results, GE raised its 2026 guidance for Operating Profit, Adjusted EPS, and Free Cash Flow.
-3.2%
$360.35 -> $348.83
2026-06-25
Authorized Quarterly Dividend
Details: The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share, payable on July 27, 2026.
+0.9%
$365.42 -> $368.54
2026-05-19
Awarded Air Force Contract
Details: The company was awarded a U.S. Air Force contract to complete the preliminary design review for its new GE426 engine for the Autonomous Collaborative Platform (ACP) effort.
+5.0%
$285.63 -> $299.80
2026-04-22
Launched Workforce Program
Details: The GE Aerospace Foundation announced a $30 million workforce training program, "Lifting Futures," aiming to train 10,000 workers by 2030 to address the manufacturing skills gap.
-1.5%
$286.37 -> $281.99
2026-04-21
Reported Q1 2026 Results
Details: GE reported strong Q1 results with orders up 90% and revenue up 29%, but did not raise guidance due to Middle East conflict uncertainty, leading to a -9.0% stock reaction.
-9.0%
$303.22 -> $275.95
2026-02-04
Announced Singapore Investment
Details: The company announced a US$300M investment to expand its engine repair capabilities in Singapore, focusing on AI-enabled inspection and automated repair to speed turnaround.
-1.1%
$309.09 -> $305.54
2026-01-22
Reported Q4 2025 Results
Details: The company reported Q4 revenue growth of 20.4%, but the stock reacted negatively, falling -8.0% over two days.
-7.7%
$317.64 -> $293.08
Risk Management
Position Sizing

4% - 6%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: GE trades at roughly 34% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 15% for the S&P 500 (2.3x the market), around the 69th percentile of its own trailing year. A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
RTX - RTX
Diversified Peer

RTX offers broader exposure across commercial aerospace and defense, with a record backlog of $271 billion. Its capital expenditure of $3.1 billion is more than double GE's, suggesting higher investment in capacity.

Core Thesis: RTX provides a way to invest in the strong aerospace cycle with a larger, more diversified revenue base.
HON - a business partner
High-Margin Industrial

Honeywell provides exposure to aerospace alongside other industrial end-markets like building automation and safety products. It has a strong operating margin of 17.2%, demonstrating high profitability across its segments.

Core Thesis: Honeywell offers a high-quality, multi-industrial approach to capturing aerospace and other secular growth trends.
How Is The Market Pricing GE?

GE Aerospace is a razor-and-blades business where the 'blades' (high-margin, long-term services) now constitute the vast majority of revenue and profit, driven by the world's largest installed base of jet engines.

The investment thesis centers on a massive, growing, and young installed base of commercial jet engines that generates decades of predictable, high-margin aftermarket revenue. This services business (~70% of total revenue) is fueled by essential maintenance, repair, and spare parts demand. The company is currently in a high-growth phase, benefiting from a post-pandemic travel rebound and the production ramp of its newer, market-leading LEAP and GEnx engines.

What will confirm the thesis

Sustained high growth in commercial services revenue, increasing shop visit volumes, continued expansion of the LEAP and GEnx installed base, and evidence of improving supply chain output.

What will damage the thesis

A significant global downturn in air travel, major operational setbacks or safety issues with key engine platforms, or a failure to resolve supply chain constraints, leading to an inability to meet aftermarket demand.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term fluctuations in quarterly equipment orders, which can be lumpy, or minor stock reactions to single earnings reports.

Repricing Catalyst

The significant raise in full-year 2026 guidance for revenue, operating profit, EPS, and free cash flow, signaling strong execution and confidence in overcoming supply chain challenges to meet robust aftermarket demand.

What GE Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Commercial Engines & Services (CES)
$33.3B TTM (73% of Total)
What It Is

Designs, develops, manufactures, and services jet engines for commercial airframes (narrowbody, widebody, regional), business aviation, and aeroderivative applications. Customers consist primarily of airframers (like Boeing and Airbus), airlines, and third-party MRO shops.

Who Pays & How

Airlines and airframers write the checks for new engines and long-term service agreements to ensure the performance, reliability, and efficiency of their fleets over decades of operation. They rely on GE's large installed base, technology, and service network to maintain aircraft availability and manage cost of ownership.

Initial sale of engines, followed by long-term service agreements (LTSAs), spare parts agreements, or time and material contracts for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO).
Competition
Other global engine manufacturers and third-party MRO shops.
Competitors may offer substantial discounts, financial incentives, and performance guarantees to secure an installed base.
The industry's largest installed base of commercial engines, long-term service agreements, deep technology expertise, and a global MRO network.
Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT)
$10.6B TTM (23% of Total)
What It Is

Designs, develops, manufactures, and services jet engines, avionics, and power systems for governments, militaries, and commercial airframers. It also includes businesses that support aircraft components and systems like turboprop engines, transmissions, and additive manufacturing.

Who Pays & How

Government agencies, primarily the U.S. Department of War and equivalent international bodies, pay for engines and systems to modernize and maintain their military aircraft fleets (fighters, bombers, helicopters) and marine applications.

Government contracts and subcontracts for equipment and services, which can be modified, curtailed, or terminated by the customer.
Competition
A range of U.S. and non-U.S. companies or groups.
Long-standing relationships with government customers, established positions on critical military platforms, and investment in advanced technologies like adaptive cycle combat engines.
Corporate & Other
$2.0B TTM (4% of Total)
What It Is

This segment primarily includes revenue from run-off insurance operations and the elimination of intercompany activities.

Who Pays & How

This segment does not represent a core operating business selling to external customers; it includes legacy insurance operations and internal financial eliminations.

Competition
GE Evolution: Price Return by Era
2024-Present · Post-Spinoff Aerospace Focus
+252%
Following the spin-offs of its Healthcare (2023) and Vernova (2024) businesses, the company is now a pure-play aerospace firm. This era is defined by a focus on ramping production of new engine platforms like LEAP and GEnx and capturing the massive, high-margin aftermarket services opportunity from its growing installed base.
Pre-2023 · Multi-Industry Conglomerate Transformation
+91%
Prior to its transformation, General Electric was a sprawling industrial conglomerate with major divisions in Power, Renewable Energy, Aviation, and Healthcare, as well as legacy financial services operations. The business mix has since been radically simplified to focus solely on aerospace.
Market Appears To Be Aligned With Core Thesis
Price structure is strongly bullish. The regime, trend, and proximity to highs all point towards intact institutional trend. Relative to SPY: Strong 63D outperformance but 'relative strength' momentum is fading, indicating that money rotation may be maturing. Volume and momentum are strongly confirming. The institutional accumulation is evident and momentum is accelerating. Earnings history is neutral. The market reaction and subsequent drift do not give a clear directional signal.
① Structure
+4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+3
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
0
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
7 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Trending Up · Golden Cross
2 Momentum Pausing
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Facing Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Emerging Resilience
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/24/2026