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Grid Dynamics (GDYN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.5 | Market Cap: $804.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services

Grid Dynamics (GDYN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.5
Market Cap: $804.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -55%
  Key risks
GDYN key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a small number of key clients and [2] significant profit margin compression resulting from intense competition.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -55%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%
7 Key risks
GDYN key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a small number of key clients and [2] significant profit margin compression resulting from intense competition.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GDYN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for Grid Dynamics (GDYN) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, there is no evidence to suggest a 14.6% positive stock movement. In fact, some reports indicate a decline in stock price following certain announcements, and overall sentiment has been described as bearish by some analyses within this timeframe. However, key corporate developments and analyst activities during this period that would influence the stock are highlighted below.

1. Grid Dynamics Launched a New Agentic AI Platform. On September 3, 2025, Grid Dynamics and Temporal Technologies announced a new Agentic AI Platform aimed at driving enterprise innovation. This collaboration signifies the company's continued focus on expanding its AI offerings and capabilities.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Announced. On October 30, 2025, Grid Dynamics reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The company's revenue reached $104.2 million, slightly exceeding analyst forecasts, and its earnings per share (EPS) of $0.09 matched expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GDYN Return16%201%-70%19%67%-57%-11%
Peers Return59%50%-42%25%-6%-23%25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GDYN Win Rate58%67%33%50%67%25% 
Peers Win Rate67%65%38%52%48%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GDYN Max Drawdown-49%-3%-76%-28%-32%-66% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-11%-51%-16%-28%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EPAM, GLOB, CTSH, ACN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGDYNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven420.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven310 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-4.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven194 days120 days

Compare to GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI


In The Past

Grid Dynamics's stock fell -80.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -80.8% loss requires a 420.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Grid Dynamics (GDYN)

Better Bets than Grid Dynamics (GDYN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GDYN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Grid Dynamics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GDYNEPAMGLOBCTSHACNMedian
NameGrid Dyn.EPAM Sys.Globant Cognizan.Accenture 
Mkt Price9.50204.3366.6183.63273.7483.63
Mkt Cap0.811.43.040.6170.511.4
Rev LTM4065,2982,48520,85769,6735,298
Op Inc LTM-15071773,27410,226507
FCF LTM244591522,65110,874459
FCF 3Y Avg275231552,0899,495523
CFO LTM385022782,94511,474502
CFO 3Y Avg385602802,39410,043560

Growth & Margins

GDYNEPAMGLOBCTSHACNMedian
NameGrid Dyn.EPAM Sys.Globant Cognizan.Accenture 
Rev Chg LTM23.6%14.3%5.6%7.4%7.4%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.4%4.3%14.4%2.6%4.2%4.3%
Rev Chg Q19.1%19.4%0.4%7.4%7.3%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%4.5%0.1%1.8%1.7%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-0.3%9.6%7.1%15.7%14.7%9.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.6%11.0%9.3%15.2%14.4%11.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-1.1%-0.4%0.2%-0.7%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM9.3%9.5%11.2%14.1%16.5%11.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%11.5%12.3%12.0%15.1%12.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.8%8.7%6.1%12.7%15.6%8.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%10.8%6.8%10.4%14.3%10.4%

Valuation

GDYNEPAMGLOBCTSHACNMedian
NameGrid Dyn.EPAM Sys.Globant Cognizan.Accenture 
Mkt Cap0.811.43.040.6170.511.4
P/S1.61.61.21.62.21.6
P/EBIT-572.816.517.69.614.614.6
P/E47.022.530.015.320.022.5
P/CFO17.316.710.711.113.413.4
Total Yield2.1%4.4%3.3%7.0%7.4%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%2.4%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%4.7%3.2%6.1%5.2%4.7%
D/E0.00.00.20.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.5-0.10.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

GDYNEPAMGLOBCTSHACNMedian
NameGrid Dyn.EPAM Sys.Globant Cognizan.Accenture 
1M Rtn17.3%14.9%13.1%17.5%13.4%14.9%
3M Rtn25.3%33.1%18.2%19.9%14.2%19.9%
6M Rtn-18.7%23.8%-24.3%6.6%-9.6%-9.6%
12M Rtn-52.1%-17.6%-70.6%4.9%-21.8%-21.8%
3Y Rtn-11.5%-38.7%-60.2%58.1%9.1%-11.5%
1M Excs Rtn16.5%14.2%12.4%16.8%12.7%14.2%
3M Excs Rtn20.9%29.7%15.0%18.2%13.7%18.2%
6M Excs Rtn-31.0%11.4%-36.7%-5.8%-22.0%-22.0%
12M Excs Rtn-61.4%-27.6%-80.4%-4.9%-33.2%-33.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.5%-109.4%-130.6%-19.6%-69.8%-83.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Delivery of various software development and hosting services313310211111118
Total313310211111118


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,866,617
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.9%
Average Daily Volume725,751
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.33
Basic Shares Quantity84,695,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/202522.9%15.0%15.0%
7/31/2025-16.4%-15.5%-12.6%
5/1/2025-3.1%0.6%-14.8%
2/20/20254.3%-6.7%-20.6%
10/31/2024-4.3%11.0%16.7%
8/1/202413.0%8.5%13.6%
5/2/20242.3%6.9%-5.6%
2/22/20243.2%-1.7%-11.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121411
# Negative9710
Median Positive8.2%6.5%16.7%
Median Negative-4.3%-6.7%-11.4%
Max Positive26.7%27.0%40.6%
Max Negative-20.0%-26.6%-22.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021