GCT Semiconductor (GCTS)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $1.22 | Market Cap: $67.7 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
GCT Semiconductor (GCTS)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $1.22Market Cap: $67.7 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Network Equipment. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -31 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -801% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 82% | ||
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -84% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -661%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -699% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61% | ||
| Key risksGCTS key risks include [1] a failure to execute its pivotal and time-sensitive 5G production transition and [2] a severe liquidity crisis stemming from minimal cash reserves against substantial debt. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Network Equipment. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -31 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -801% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 82% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -84% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -661%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -699% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61% |
| Key risksGCTS key risks include [1] a failure to execute its pivotal and time-sensitive 5G production transition and [2] a severe liquidity crisis stemming from minimal cash reserves against substantial debt. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. GCT Semiconductor's significant Q3 2025 earnings and revenue miss on November 12, 2025, served as a primary catalyst for the stock's decline. The company reported an EPS of -$0.25, missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.19, and quarterly revenue of $0.43 million, substantially below the $1.20 million consensus estimate. This indicated a much weaker financial performance than anticipated by the market.
2. The deteriorating financial health and a negative outlook for future earnings contributed to investor apprehension. GCTS experienced a substantial decline in revenue, projected to drop to $3.0 million in 2025 from $9.1 million in the previous year, primarily due to a temporary decrease in 4G sales and slow adoption of 5G chipset sales. Furthermore, the company reported a severely negative gross margin, attributed to insufficient sales volumes to cover fixed manufacturing costs, raising significant concerns about its operational sustainability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.8% change in GCTS stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.45 | 1.25 | -13.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6 | 4 | -35.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 12.3 | 17.8 | 44.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 55 | -6.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCTS | -13.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -2.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | -8.1% | -3.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.1% change in GCTS stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.36 | 1.25 | -8.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6 | 4 | -38.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 10.2 | 17.8 | 74.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 55 | -14.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.1% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCTS | -8.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.3% | 9.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.1% change in GCTS stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -66.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.16 | 1.25 | -42.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12 | 4 | -66.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.5 | 17.8 | 108.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 55 | -17.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -42.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCTS | -42.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 24.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 20.2% | 26.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCTS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.1% | 23.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 107.3% | 24.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GCTS Return | - | - | - | -95% | -48% | 0% | -97% |
| Peers Return | 12% | -38% | 25% | -3% | -3% | -7% | -25% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GCTS Win Rate | - | - | - | 30% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 27% | 53% | 43% | 52% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GCTS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -95% | -57% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -45% | -11% | -22% | -31% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: QCOM, SWKS, QRVO, NXPI, CEVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GCTS has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,183 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to QCOM, SWKS, QRVO, NXPI, CEVA
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
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About GCT Semiconductor (GCTS)
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Qualcomm for dedicated 4G/5G cellular modems.
A niche Qualcomm focused on cellular IoT solutions.
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- LTE Chips (4G Modems): GCT Semiconductor develops and supplies advanced 4G LTE modem System-on-Chips (SoCs) for a wide range of devices, enabling high-speed mobile broadband connectivity.
- 5G Chips (5G Modems): The company designs and provides 5G New Radio (NR) modem solutions that support the latest generation of cellular communication, offering enhanced speed, lower latency, and greater capacity.
- IoT Cellular Solutions: GCT's chipsets are integrated into various Internet of Things (IoT) devices, facilitating low-power, wide-area cellular connectivity for applications like asset tracking, smart meters, and industrial IoT.
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GCT Semiconductor (GCTS) primarily sells its semiconductor solutions for 4G LTE and 5G wireless communication to other companies. Their customers are typically original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and module manufacturers who integrate GCTS's chips into a variety of electronic products.
Based on their latest financial disclosures (Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023), the major customers that have accounted for a significant portion of their revenue include:
- Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (Symbol: SSNLF)
- Sercomm Corporation (Symbol: 6138.TW)
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- United Microelectronics Corporation (Symbol: UMC)
- Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (Symbol: 0981)
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John Schlaefer, Chief Executive Officer
John Schlaefer is responsible for ensuring the strategic direction of GCT Semiconductor, business development, and day-to-day operations. He served as Chief Operating Officer from 2006 to 2013, where he led all sales, marketing, program management, and production operations at GCT. Mr. Schlaefer has a strong background in the wireless semiconductor industry, including extensive experience in marketing, business development, and operations. From 2001 to 2005, he was the Product Line Director for the RF Products Business Unit at National Semiconductor Corporation, where he was responsible for their industry-leading phase-locked loop (PLL) and voltage-controlled oscillator (VCO) product lines. During his time at National Semiconductor, Mr. Schlaefer also architected a successful partnership between National and GCT. He held various regional and worldwide marketing and operational positions at National from 1994 to 2000 and was a project engineer and program manager at Watkins-Johnson Company from 1987 to 1993.
Edmond Cheng, Chief Financial Officer
Edmond Cheng was appointed Chief Financial Officer effective March 18, 2024. He leads the finance and information technology functions at GCT Semiconductor and is responsible for the management of the financial, planning, legal, information technology, and other administrative activities for the company. Mr. Cheng brings over 25 years of global leadership experience, including expertise in corporate development, cross-border mergers & acquisitions, corporate controllerships, treasury, and corporate governance. Before joining GCT, Mr. Cheng was the CFO for Cenntro Inc., a commercial EV company, where he was instrumental in leading the company's IPO process. He was also previously the CFO at Mithera Capital, a private equity/venture capital firm. Mr. Cheng has served as CFO for other publicly listed companies, including TCL Electronics Holdings, UTStarcom Inc., and Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology Co. Ltd. Additionally, he has managed companies backed by private equity firms, having served as CFO for private equity-owned portfolio companies from Temasek Holdings, Hony Capital/Goldman Sachs, and Blackstone Group/HNA Group.
Dr. Kyeongho "K.H." Lee, Co-Founder and Director
Dr. Kyeongho "K.H." Lee is a co-founder of GCT Semiconductor and was the driving force behind the engineering innovations that give the company its competitive advantage in the wireless industry. These innovations include the mobile handset and wireless multimedia SOC. Since 2002, Dr. Lee has served as a member of the Board of Directors of AnaPass, Inc., a KOSDAQ-listed fabless semiconductor company. From 1995 to 1998, he was a member of the technical staff at Silicon Image Inc., where he created and patented the technology for the PanelLink flat panel display, which was adopted as the worldwide standards DVI and HDMI. Dr. Lee holds 17 U.S. patents on RF direct conversion and other RF design techniques, which laid the foundation for GCT's proprietary CMOS RF and single-chip technology.
Dr. Jeongmin "Jeemee" Kim, Chief Technology Officer
Dr. Jeongmin "Jeemee" Kim is responsible for overseeing company operations and ensuring the strategic direction of GCT Semiconductor. He also focuses on developing wireless multimedia SOCs based on Bluetooth or Wireless LAN and associated embedded cores, as well as overseeing the company's mobile media processor initiative. Dr. Kim brings over nine years of service with Samsung Electronics and Korea Telecom, working on multimedia semiconductor design. He has served as Chief Technology Officer since 2013 and Vice President of Engineering since July 2003.
Alex Sum, Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing
Alex Sum leads the sales operations at GCT Semiconductor. From 2002 to 2013, Mr. Sum served as the Vice President of Marketing and Business Development. Prior to that, from March 1992 to May 2002, he was a Product Marketing Manager at Philips Semiconductor, the predecessor company of NXP Semiconductors, N.V. From March 1983 to January 1992, Mr. Sum was a Product/Test Engineering Supervisor at Supertex Inc., a technology company producing high-voltage analog and mixed-signal semiconductor components.
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GCT Semiconductor (GCTS) faces several critical risks to its business, primarily centered around its ongoing transition to 5G technology and its financial stability. The most significant risks include: 1. **Execution Risk of 5G Transition and Production Delays:** GCT Semiconductor's future is highly dependent on its successful and timely shift from 4G to 5G chipsets. The company's Q2 2025 financial results, marked by a 19% revenue decline and a sharp drop in gross margin, underscore the challenges of this transition. Mass production of 5G chipsets is anticipated to begin in Q3 2025, with Q4 2025 identified as a critical inflection point for commercialization. Failure to scale production, meet shipment timelines, or achieve projected average selling prices (which the company expects to be four times higher than 4G products) could severely impact its revenue model and overall viability. 2. **Financial Constraints and Liquidity Risk:** The company is operating with a precarious financial position, characterized by low cash reserves, reported between $1.27 million and $1.3 million, against substantial debt ranging from $50.88 million to $52.41 million. A concerning current ratio of 0.21 to 0.32 indicates significant immediate funding pressure and potential liquidity challenges. The need to raise additional capital if 5G shipments fall short of expectations poses a risk of further shareholder dilution and could negatively impact stock price. 3. **Intense Competition and Market Demand:** GCT Semiconductor operates in a highly competitive semiconductor industry, contending with larger and more established players such as Qualcomm and Samsung. While the company's niche focus on mid-sized fixed wireless access (FWA) customers might offer some protection from direct competition, it could also limit scalability. Fluctuations in market demand for 5G solutions and insufficient market adoption of its products present a direct threat to the company's survival.AI Analysis | Feedback
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GCT Semiconductor (GCTS) operates in the wireless communications industry, specializing in 5G and 4G LTE semiconductor solutions, including chipsets and modules for various applications such as smartphones, tablets, hotspots, routers, machine-to-machine (M2M), and Internet of Things (IoT) devices. The company also focuses on niche 5G markets like non-terrestrial networks (NTN), aviation connectivity, and industrial IoT.
The addressable markets for GCT Semiconductor's main products and services are sizable:
- Global 5G Chipset Market: This market is projected to reach $155.89 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.65%.
- Global 5G Module Market: The market for 5G modules was valued at USD 2.74 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 55 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 31.4%. Another estimate projects the global 5G module market to reach $468.27 billion in revenue in the 2021–2028 timeframe, with a CAGR of 70.8%. The 5G NR Module Market, a segment of this, was valued at USD 42.06 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 251.39 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 29.1%.
- Global 5G IoT Module Market: This market is anticipated to grow from USD 21.52 billion in 2025 to USD 99.769 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 35.90%. Another report values the 5G IoT Modules Market at USD 12.4 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 72.2 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 23.4% during the period 2024-2030. North America is expected to hold the largest share in the 5G IoT module market.
- Global Aviation Connectivity Market: GCT Semiconductor is positioned to penetrate the $2.1 billion aviation connectivity market.
- Global Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) Market: This segment, targeted by GCT, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 35.7% through 2032.
- Global Cellular IoT Module Market: The market for cellular IoT modules is estimated to be valued at USD 25.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 210.4 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 23.4%. The broader global IoT communication module market was projected at USD 6.13 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 18.14 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 12.7%. North America is identified as a key market for IoT communication modules.
- Global LTE Cat M1 Wireless Module Market: This market was valued at $1193.35 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $4820.86 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 26.2%. North America dominated this market in 2022.
- Global Long-Term Evolution (LTE) Market: The global LTE market is estimated to be valued at US$ 67.97 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach US$ 265.84 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 21.5%. North America holds the dominant share in the global LTE market, with 35.9% in 2025.
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GCT Semiconductor (NYSE: GCTS) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by its strategic focus on 5G technology and expansion into specialized markets. The key drivers are:
- 5G Chipset Production and Volume Shipments: GCT Semiconductor anticipates a significant boost in revenue from the commencement of 5G chipset production and subsequent volume shipments. The company expects to begin 5G chipset sales in the second half of 2025, with a particular impact projected in Q4 as volume production and shipments scale up. This transition is seen as a "meaningful inflection" for the company. GCT has already successfully delivered 5G chipset samples to its lead customers, moving towards production readiness.
- Higher Average Selling Price (ASP) of 5G Products: A crucial driver for increased revenue is the expected significantly higher average selling price of its 5G chipsets compared to its traditional 4G products. The average selling price of 5G chipsets is projected to be approximately four times that of their 4G offerings. This pricing strategy is anticipated to positively impact both revenue and gross margin as 5G product shipments increase.
- Expansion into Niche 5G Markets: GCT Semiconductor is strategically targeting underserved and high-growth niche markets within the 5G landscape. These include satellite-based non-terrestrial networks (NTN), aviation connectivity, and industrial IoT. By focusing on these specialized applications, the company aims to avoid direct competition with larger players and leverage its technical expertise for solutions where cost-effectiveness, low power consumption, and compact form factors are critical.
- Strategic Partnerships and Customer Ecosystem Expansion: The company is actively forming and leveraging strategic partnerships to accelerate the adoption of its 4G/5G solutions and expand its customer base. Collaborations with companies like Iridium Communications for NTN Direct℠ satellite service, Gogo for 5G air-to-ground (ATG) connectivity, and Kyocera and Samsung Electronics for 4G/5G adoption in energy and automation sectors, validate GCT's technical capabilities and open new revenue avenues. These partnerships are crucial for securing market share and driving demand for their next-generation products.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (2020-2025)
Share Issuance
- GCT Semiconductor completed its business combination with Concord Acquisition Corp III in March 2024, becoming a publicly traded company and receiving approximately $50 million in gross proceeds.
- Approximately $49 million of the IPO proceeds were secured through fully committed PIPE and convertible note financing from existing and new investors.
- In May 2025, the company completed an $11 million registered direct offering through the sale of common shares and warrants, with net proceeds allocated to working capital and general corporate purposes. This offering was part of a larger S-3 shelf registration for up to $200 million, including a $75 million at-the-market (ATM) offering program.
Inbound Investments
- The business combination with Concord Acquisition Corp III in March 2024 valued GCT Semiconductor at a pro forma enterprise value of approximately $461 million at closing.
- GCT Semiconductor secured $10.7 million in debt financing from Anapass, Inc., its largest shareholder and strategic investor, in September 2025 to accelerate production readiness for 5G volume shipments.
- A convertible promissory note in the principal amount of $5,000,000 was issued to a strategic investor in February 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- For the trailing 12 months ended around November 2025, GCT Semiconductor reported capital expenditures of -$620,000.
- Proceeds from the IPO and other funding are intended to finalize the development of a full-band 5G chipset portfolio and support expansion into new markets.
- Research and development expenses increased, driven by professional services for 5G chip design, as the company prepares for 5G chipset mass production and volume shipments in the second half of 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| GCT Semiconductor Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can GCT Semiconductor Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,913 |
| Op Inc LTM | 506 |
| FCF LTM | 836 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 997 |
| CFO LTM | 1,016 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,173 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.1 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.9 |
| P/E | 20.2 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 5.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -32.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -102.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/27/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -43.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.24 | $1.36 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 0.7% | -7.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 82.6% | 91.7% |
| Downside Capture | 15.76 | 175.83 |
| Upside Capture | -21.77 | 96.79 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -5.1% | 24.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -2.78 | -1.45 | -0.10 | 0.47 | 1.18 | -0.51 |
| Up Beta | -3.53 | -4.72 | -2.91 | -1.33 | 0.84 | -0.14 |
| Down Beta | -3.60 | -2.39 | 0.94 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| Up Capture | -147% | -78% | -39% | 43% | 112% | 9% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 15 | 24 | 53 | 108 | 201 |
| Down Capture | -133% | 89% | 95% | 114% | 145% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 25 | 33 | 62 | 118 | 233 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCTS | -32.6% | 91.4% | -0.00 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.0% | 27.1% | 0.71 | 25.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 24.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 76.1% | 24.5% | 2.27 | 1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.36 | 18.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.6% | 16.5% | 0.10 | 13.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.7% | 40.5% | -0.60 | 5.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCTS | -50.1% | 114.7% | -1.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 16.8% | 24.7% | 0.61 | 24.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 23.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 16.8% | 1.04 | -0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.1% | 18.9% | 0.52 | 6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 10.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 18.0% | 57.4% | 0.52 | 4.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCTS | -29.4% | 114.7% | -1.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.8% | 24.2% | 0.86 | 24.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 23.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.6% | 15.5% | 0.84 | -0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.9% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 10.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.3% | 66.5% | 1.09 | 4.2% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | -12.4% | -6.2% | -1.4% |
| 8/12/2025 | -8.3% | -11.3% | 15.0% |
| 3/25/2025 | -16.7% | -23.4% | -31.1% |
| 11/14/2024 | -12.8% | -15.8% | -5.7% |
| 8/14/2024 | 5.3% | -3.9% | -21.4% |
| 5/14/2024 | -6.1% | -8.3% | -7.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| # Negative | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 5.3% | 15.0% | |
| Median Negative | -12.4% | -9.8% | -7.5% |
| Max Positive | 5.3% | 15.0% | |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -23.4% | -31.1% |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shin, Hyunsoo | Direct | Buy | 11282025 | 1.28 | 16,725 | 21,408 | 969,947 | Form | |
| 2 | Shin, Hyunsoo | Direct | Buy | 11242025 | 1.28 | 25,453 | 32,580 | 944,468 | Form | |
| 3 | Shin, Hyunsoo | Direct | Buy | 11242025 | 1.28 | 3,180 | 4,070 | 948,539 | Form | |
| 4 | Shin, Hyunsoo | Direct | Buy | 9162025 | 1.51 | 44,067 | 66,541 | 1,048,425 | Form | |
| 5 | Shin, Hyunsoo | Direct | Buy | 9082025 | 1.26 | 8,250 | 10,395 | 806,342 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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