ARC Acquisition I (ARCL)
Market Price (8/7/2026): $9.9 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
ARC Acquisition I (ARCL)
Market Price (8/7/2026): $9.9Market Cap: $-Sector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 3.0% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Key risksARCL key risks include [1] its failure as a blank check company to identify and complete an initial business combination within the required timeframe and [2] the potential for forced liquidation if a transaction is not consummated. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 3.0% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Key risksARCL key risks include [1] its failure as a blank check company to identify and complete an initial business combination within the required timeframe and [2] the potential for forced liquidation if a transaction is not consummated. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 5/29/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) maintained its stable stock price due to its structure as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) and the inherent investor protections.
Since its initial public offering (IPO) closed on May 1, 2026, with units priced at $10.00, the Class A ordinary shares, which began separate trading on May 28, 2026, have largely traded within a narrow range, between approximately $9.85 and $9.97. This stability is characteristic of pre-merger SPACs, where investors typically have the option to redeem their shares for a pro-rata portion of the funds held in trust, acting as a price floor near the IPO price.
2. The absence of an announced definitive business combination has prevented significant stock movement.
ARC Acquisition I is a "blank check company" formed to pursue a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination. As of August 1, 2026, the company has not yet identified or announced a target company for its initial business combination. Without a specific acquisition target, there are no company-specific catalysts that would typically drive its stock price significantly above or below its IPO value in the period covering fiscal Q2 2026 and early fiscal Q3 2026.
Show more
ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 5/29/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) maintained its stable stock price due to its structure as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) and the inherent investor protections.
Since its initial public offering (IPO) closed on May 1, 2026, with units priced at $10.00, the Class A ordinary shares, which began separate trading on May 28, 2026, have largely traded within a narrow range, between approximately $9.85 and $9.97. This stability is characteristic of pre-merger SPACs, where investors typically have the option to redeem their shares for a pro-rata portion of the funds held in trust, acting as a price floor near the IPO price.
2. The absence of an announced definitive business combination has prevented significant stock movement.
ARC Acquisition I is a "blank check company" formed to pursue a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination. As of August 1, 2026, the company has not yet identified or announced a target company for its initial business combination. Without a specific acquisition target, there are no company-specific catalysts that would typically drive its stock price significantly above or below its IPO value in the period covering fiscal Q2 2026 and early fiscal Q3 2026.
3. As a pre-operational SPAC, ARCL lacks traditional financial fundamentals that would influence its stock price.
Before completing a merger, ARC Acquisition I has no operating history, revenue, or net income. Its valuation is primarily tied to the cash held in its trust account, rather than performance metrics such as earnings per share or sales figures, which are typically found in conventional operating businesses. This fundamental characteristic contributes to the stock's stability during the period since its IPO.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 6.9% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 10.9% | 38.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 11.4% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.7% | 38.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 22.6% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.7% | 38.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 73.8% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 71.0% | 38.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARCL Return | - | - | - | - | - | -0% | -0% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 2% | |||||
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARCL Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | ||||||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARCL Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | |||||||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FTHA, AMAN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ARCL has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
ARCL has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About ARC Acquisition I (ARCL)
ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), incorporated on May 27, 2025. Its sole business purpose is to identify, acquire, and merge with an existing private company, thereby taking that company public. The company does not currently have any operational businesses, products, or services; rather, its entire business model is centered on completing an initial business combination, such as a merger, asset acquisition, or share exchange, with one or more target businesses.
While ARCL has not yet selected a specific acquisition target, it intends to focus on businesses within industries that complement its management team’s extensive background in operating, investing, and finance. The company primarily seeks targets with an aggregate enterprise value of $700 million or greater, though it maintains flexibility based on shareholder interest. The management team's proven track record, including successfully completing two previous SPAC business combinations, is a key asset designed to attract suitable private companies and execute a successful merger, ultimately aiming to generate value for its shareholders.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Private Equity for a public market launch.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Facilitating Business Combinations: As a blank check company (SPAC), ARC Acquisition I's primary purpose is to identify and complete a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more private operating businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC).
A SPAC's primary purpose is to raise capital through an initial public offering (IPO) and then use that capital to acquire an existing private company. As such, ARCL does not have major customers in the traditional sense of selling products or services to other companies or individuals.
Its "business" involves seeking and acquiring a target company to complete a business combination, rather than selling goods or services to an ongoing customer base.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Datuk Dr. Doris Wong Sing Ee, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director
Datuk Dr. Doris Wong Sing Ee serves as the Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director of ARC Group Acquisition I Corp. since 2025. She is also the Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director at Bio Green Med Solution, Inc. In February 2025, Dr. Wong acquired a controlling stake in Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals, Inc., purchasing 70% of its outstanding shares for $6.3 million, and the company was subsequently renamed Bio Green Med Solution, Inc. Her extensive experience includes roles as Executive Director at Metronic Global Bhd. since 2020, and as an Independent Director at Techybird Acquisition Corp. Previously, she was the Executive Director at BSL Corp. Bhd. from 2024 to 2025 and served as Managing Director at Niagamatic Sdn. Bhd. from 2002 to 2012. Her background also includes being the Executive Director at Energem Corp. in 2023, and General Manager at ADK Holdings, Inc. from 2017 to 2026. Dr. Wong holds an undergraduate degree from Multimedia University (2003) and a graduate degree and doctorate from HELP University (2016).
Kiu Cu Seng, Chief Financial Officer
Kiu Cu Seng is the Chief Financial Officer of ARC Group Acquisition I Corp. since 2025. He also holds the positions of Secretary, Chief Financial Officer, Director & CAO at Bio Green Med Solution, Inc. since 2025. Since 2022, Mr. Kiu has been the Group Accountant at Computer Forms (Malaysia) Bhd. His previous experience includes serving as Chief Financial Officer at Energem Corp. from 2021 to 2024, and as Group Accountant for Trive Property Group Bhd. and BCM Alliance Bhd. from 2021 to 2025. He worked at Siew Boon Yeong & Associates as a Manager from 2019 to 2021 and as a Senior Auditor from 2017 to 2019, and as a Semi-Senior Auditor at Z. Amin from 2016 to 2017. Mr. Kiu completed his undergraduate studies at Infrastructure University Kuala Lumpur in 2013.
Ian Hanna, Chief Operating Officer & Executive Director
Ian Hanna serves as the Chief Operating Officer and Executive Director of ARC Group Acquisition I Corp. He is also the Chief Executive Officer of ARC Group Securities LLC. Mr. Hanna has been a Partner at ARC Group Limited since March 2025 and a Managing Director since November 2021. He has served as the Chairman and CEO of ARC Group Securities Acquisition I, another special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Prior to these roles, Mr. Hanna was the CEO of Giga Carbon Neutrality, where he was responsible for developing and bringing zero-emission transportation solutions to market, securing commercial contracts, and raising capital. He spent 15 years at General Motors, from March 2006 to February 2021, holding various engineering and leadership roles in the United States, South Korea, and China, focusing on battery electric vehicle (BEV) technologies and holding 10 patents. Mr. Hanna holds a Master of Science in Automotive/Manufacturing Engineering and a Bachelor of Science in Manufacturing Engineering from the University of Michigan.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risk to ARC Acquisition I is its ability to successfully identify and complete an initial business combination. As a blank check company, ARC Acquisition I does not currently have any operations or a target business. Its sole purpose is to acquire one or more businesses, and there is no guarantee that it will be able to identify a suitable target or complete a business combination within the required timeframe. Should ARC Acquisition I fail to complete an initial business combination, it would likely be forced to liquidate and return the funds to its public shareholders.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
ARC Acquisition I (ARCL) is a blank check company established to effect a business combination with one or more operating businesses. As such, its expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are directly linked to its strategic approach in identifying, acquiring, and integrating an operational company. These key drivers include:
- Successful identification and completion of an initial business combination with a high-growth target: ARCL's ability to generate future revenue is entirely dependent on successfully merging with an established business that possesses significant growth potential in its respective market.
- Leveraging the management team's extensive operating, investing, financial, and transactional experience: The collective expertise of ARCL's management team is crucial for selecting an attractive target and efficiently executing a business combination, thereby laying the groundwork for future revenue generation.
- Capitalizing on the management team's proven track record of successfully closing prior SPAC business combinations: The management team's past success in identifying and completing two previous special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) acquisitions increases the likelihood of ARCL successfully executing its initial business combination and subsequently generating revenue.
- Strategic focus on industries that complement the management team's background: By concentrating on sectors such as technology, healthcare, and logistics, where its management team has deep knowledge and experience, ARCL aims to identify more promising acquisition targets and add greater value post-combination, which should contribute to the acquired entity's, and thus ARCL's, revenue growth.
- Utilizing the management team's extensive global capital markets experience: The team’s capability to access diverse segments of the capital markets is essential for securing the necessary funding to complete a significant business combination, enabling the acquisition of a business capable of driving substantial future revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.93 |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| Rev LTM | - |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | - |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | - |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Up Beta | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.01 | -0.24 | 0.04 |
| Down Beta | � | 0.06 | 0.01 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Up Capture | 11% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Down Capture | -0% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCL | -1.0% | 4.1% | -4.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.2% | 14.6% | 0.63 | 28.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.5% | 12.9% | 1.37 | 18.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.3% | 28.3% | 0.79 | 36.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.4% | 19.8% | 1.30 | -37.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.9% | 13.8% | 0.64 | 48.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.6% | 43.0% | -1.21 | 17.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCL | -0.2% | 4.1% | -4.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.3% | 18.4% | 0.47 | 28.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.2% | 0.59 | 18.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.5% | 0.78 | 36.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.31 | -37.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 48.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.0% | 53.0% | 0.38 | 17.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCL | -0.1% | 4.1% | -4.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.7% | 22.1% | 0.57 | 28.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 18.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.2% | 0.59 | 36.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | -37.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 48.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 17.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-Sector Holdings Resources |
| McKinsey & Company Insights |
| Harvard Business Review |
| ValueWalk |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.