Tearsheet

Frontdoor (FTDR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $55.68 | Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Frontdoor (FTDR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $55.68
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Key risks
FTDR key risks include [1] significant indebtedness of approximately $2.5 billion that limits financial flexibility and [2] a heavy operational dependence on its large network of independent contractors for service delivery.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58%
6 Key risks
FTDR key risks include [1] significant indebtedness of approximately $2.5 billion that limits financial flexibility and [2] a heavy operational dependence on its large network of independent contractors for service delivery.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FTDR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q2 and Q3 Earnings, but Subsequent Price Drop

Frontdoor reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings on August 5, 2025. The company also posted strong Q3 2025 results around November 5, 2025, with 14% revenue growth and a 5% increase in net profit, leading to a raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $2.085 billion. Despite these positive results, the stock experienced a significant one-day drop of approximately 16% around November 5-7, 2025, falling to about $55, suggesting that other market factors or concerns about future performance might have overshadowed the positive earnings. 2. Analyst Downgrades and "Hold" Ratings

During this period, several research analysts adjusted their ratings for Frontdoor, contributing to a more cautious investor sentiment. Zacks Research lowered Frontdoor from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" on October 10, 2025, and Wall Street Zen cut shares from a "buy" to a "hold" on November 24, 2025. J.P. Morgan maintained a "hold" rating in August 2025. By December 2025, the consensus recommendation from brokerages was "Hold".

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FTDR Return6%-27%-43%69%55%2%18%
Peers Return24%-42%33%14%22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FTDR Win Rate50%33%33%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate61%62%38%53%48%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FTDR Max Drawdown-36%-35%-47%0%-16%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-52%-25%-26%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FAF, ORI, FNF, ANGI, PRCH. See FTDR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFTDRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven686 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven221 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days120 days

Compare to WSC, MEDG, WW, DASH, SCI


In The Past

Frontdoor's stock fell -66.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -66.4% loss requires a 197.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Frontdoor (FTDR)

Better Bets than Frontdoor (FTDR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FTDR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Frontdoor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FTDRFAFORIFNFANGIPRCHMedian
NameFrontdoorFirst Am.Old Repu.Fidelity.Angi Porch  
Mkt Price55.6763.7045.8055.9011.998.8750.73
Mkt Cap4.16.511.215.00.50.95.3
Rev LTM2,0427,0808,74913,7171,0584424,561
Op Inc LTM399---624562
FCF LTM3457041,2915,6746124525
FCF 3Y Avg2494611,1036,190678355
CFO LTM3739061,2915,81711539640
CFO 3Y Avg2836931,1036,33112020488

Growth & Margins

FTDRFAFORIFNFANGIPRCHMedian
NameFrontdoorFirst Am.Old Repu.Fidelity.Angi Porch  
Rev Chg LTM11.8%20.7%7.1%3.9%-13.1%-2.1%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%-3.3%1.4%2.1%-16.1%20.4%1.8%
Rev Chg Q14.0%40.7%3.5%11.9%-10.5%6.2%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.9%8.8%1.0%3.2%-2.9%1.6%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM19.5%---5.8%10.2%10.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.8%---1.6%-17.6%1.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%---1.4%4.2%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM18.3%12.8%14.8%42.4%10.9%8.7%13.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%10.7%13.4%50.7%10.0%5.4%12.0%
FCF/Rev LTM16.9%9.9%14.8%41.4%5.8%5.4%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%7.0%13.4%49.6%5.6%2.6%10.1%

Valuation

FTDRFAFORIFNFANGIPRCHMedian
NameFrontdoorFirst Am.Old Repu.Fidelity.Angi Porch  
Mkt Cap4.16.511.215.00.50.95.3
P/S2.40.91.21.10.74.01.1
P/EBIT11.98.39.38.29.218.49.2
P/E18.613.712.512.920.457.216.2
P/CFO13.17.38.12.66.345.37.7
Total Yield5.4%10.7%15.5%11.4%4.9%1.7%8.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%7.5%3.6%0.0%0.0%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.8%7.2%12.3%42.6%43.8%12.7%12.5%
D/E0.20.40.20.30.70.20.3
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.1-1.80.20.10.0

Returns

FTDRFAFORIFNFANGIPRCHMedian
NameFrontdoorFirst Am.Old Repu.Fidelity.Angi Porch  
1M Rtn13.4%3.6%6.0%-1.3%12.8%-5.9%4.8%
3M Rtn-16.3%-3.1%16.3%-3.9%-32.3%-51.0%-10.1%
6M Rtn-3.3%12.1%25.5%5.1%-20.3%-18.6%0.9%
12M Rtn-3.4%1.2%37.1%-0.8%-30.7%66.1%0.2%
3Y Rtn167.0%37.5%127.1%70.4%-44.0%343.5%98.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.6%2.8%5.3%-2.1%12.1%-6.7%4.1%
3M Excs Rtn-18.4%-5.1%14.7%-6.0%-35.1%-54.3%-12.2%
6M Excs Rtn-15.7%-0.3%13.1%-7.3%-32.7%-31.0%-11.5%
12M Excs Rtn-16.6%-10.6%24.7%-13.8%-43.3%54.7%-12.2%
3Y Excs Rtn77.4%-35.2%54.2%-1.4%-111.9%316.3%26.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,7801,6621,6021,4741,365
Total1,7801,6621,6021,4741,365


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment171    
Total171    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,089    
Total1,089    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,170,993
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.6%
Average Daily Volume675,042
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.22
Basic Shares Quantity72,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-15.9%-21.5%-19.3%
8/5/2025-4.0%-4.2%6.3%
5/1/202513.2%28.9%33.8%
11/4/20246.9%17.9%18.0%
8/1/202412.8%11.1%20.5%
2/28/2024-5.8%-8.7%-2.2%
11/1/202315.1%23.0%18.7%
8/2/20235.7%1.9%-5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121111
# Negative91010
Median Positive6.3%8.0%9.3%
Median Negative-8.4%-9.0%-13.1%
Max Positive16.8%28.9%33.8%
Max Negative-15.9%-21.5%-21.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Collins Kathryn MSVP & Chief Revenue Officer8192025Sell59.029,429556,484577,377Form
1Boland Darrin Steve 3052025Buy42.755,000213,750213,750Form
2COBB WILLIAM CCEO3032025Buy42.225,000211,120633,360Form
3Iverson EvanSVP & Chief Operating Officer12122024Sell58.8416,000941,494291,569Form