Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electrification of Everything, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electrification of Everything, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FCX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FCX Return99%61%-7%14%-10%19%264%
Peers Return54%-2%-23%21%8%187%336%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FCX Win Rate75%58%42%42%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate65%52%42%50%43%74% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FCX Max Drawdown-59%-1%-39%-12%-14%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-26%-47%-14%-18%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCCO, NEM, TMC, FCX, HBM. See FCX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFCXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-57.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven402 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven649.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to SCCO, NEM, TMC, FCX, HBM


In The Past

Freeport-McMoRan's stock fell -51.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -51.7% loss requires a 107.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)

Better Bets than Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FCX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
FCX_10032025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10032025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.7%12.7%-2.2%
FCX_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.2%19.0%-23.0%
FCX_8312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312022FCXFreeport-McMoRanDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
46.5%37.0%-10.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
FCX_10032025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10032025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.7%12.7%-2.2%
FCX_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.2%19.0%-23.0%
FCX_8312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312022FCXFreeport-McMoRanDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
46.5%37.0%-10.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Freeport-McMoRan

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FCXSCCONEMTMCHBMMedian
NameFreeport.Southern.Newmont TMC The .Hudbay M. 
Mkt Price44.61139.9590.727.8017.3444.61
Mkt Cap64.1115.199.52.96.964.1
Rev LTM26,00212,33521,50302,20212,335
Op Inc LTM6,9346,1999,359-765926,199
FCF LTM1,6253,4806,122-403601,625
FCF 3Y Avg1,4193,0352,636-512551,419
CFO LTM6,3534,6189,224-407734,618
CFO 3Y Avg6,1424,1125,616-515964,112

Growth & Margins

FCXSCCONEMTMCHBMMedian
NameFreeport.Southern.Newmont TMC The .Hudbay M. 
Rev Chg LTM1.4%12.7%26.6%-8.3%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.1%7.1%23.9%-16.2%11.7%
Rev Chg Q2.7%15.2%20.0%-26.1%17.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%3.8%4.5%-5.3%4.1%
Op Mgn LTM26.7%50.3%43.5%-26.9%35.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.3%47.3%23.9%-18.2%25.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.8%4.5%-3.7%2.3%
CFO/Rev LTM24.4%37.4%42.9%-35.1%36.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.7%36.6%32.6%-31.8%32.2%
FCF/Rev LTM6.2%28.2%28.5%-16.4%22.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%27.0%13.8%-12.5%13.2%

Valuation

FCXSCCONEMTMCHBMMedian
NameFreeport.Southern.Newmont TMC The .Hudbay M. 
Mkt Cap64.1115.199.52.96.964.1
P/S2.28.14.3-1.93.2
P/EBIT7.915.78.9-18.96.97.9
P/E27.226.112.9-18.414.514.5
P/CFO8.921.610.0-61.25.48.9
Total Yield5.2%6.1%9.0%-5.4%7.0%6.1%
Dividend Yield1.5%2.3%1.2%0.0%0.1%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%3.8%3.6%-9.0%7.6%3.6%
D/E0.20.10.10.00.30.1
Net D/E0.10.0-0.0-0.00.10.0

Returns

FCXSCCONEMTMCHBMMedian
NameFreeport.Southern.Newmont TMC The .Hudbay M. 
1M Rtn13.2%7.7%15.3%30.2%16.8%15.3%
3M Rtn-2.8%39.7%21.5%52.3%39.8%39.7%
6M Rtn7.7%47.8%67.5%91.2%81.3%67.5%
12M Rtn5.2%42.4%122.8%764.7%95.0%95.0%
3Y Rtn19.5%158.7%109.7%863.0%214.0%158.7%
1M Excs Rtn11.9%6.4%14.1%29.0%15.5%14.1%
3M Excs Rtn-9.2%31.0%13.7%46.5%30.5%30.5%
6M Excs Rtn-7.7%32.4%52.0%75.7%65.9%52.0%
12M Excs Rtn-9.6%30.7%112.1%858.9%85.4%85.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.5%91.2%44.3%787.3%145.9%91.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Indonesia Operations8,4378,4267,5233,6142,771
Rod & Refining5,9266,3126,3854,8144,483
Cerro Verde4,1173,9504,1962,5242,889
United States Copper Mines - Other3,8974,0214,0152,3202,379
Atlantic Copper Smelting & Refining2,8102,4432,9612,0372,068
Morenci2,4192,6892,8102,0442,007
South America Operations - Other824768720431499
Molybdenum Mines677565444222344
Corporate, Other & Eliminations-6,252-6,394-6,209-3,808-3,038
Total22,85522,78022,84514,19814,402


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Indonesia Operations4,7084,600   
Cerro Verde1,1741,216   
United States Copper Mines - Other537956   
Morenci502965   
Molybdenum Mines172132   
South America Operations - Other4612   
Atlantic Copper Smelting & Refining36-61   
Rod & Refining20-23   
Corporate, Other & Eliminations-970-760   
Total6,2257,037   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Indonesia Operations25,54820,639   
Cerro Verde8,1208,398   
United States Copper Mines - Other5,9965,552   
Corporate, Other & Eliminations4,4378,437   
Morenci3,1953,052   
South America Operations - Other1,9301,873   
Molybdenum Mines1,7821,697   
Atlantic Copper Smelting & Refining1,3261,262   
Rod & Refining172183   
Total52,50651,093   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,385,917
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.9%
Average Daily Volume14,098,068
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.59
Basic Shares Quantity1,437,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mikes Ellie L.Chief Accounting Officer6032025Sell40.028,584343,5201,934,219Form