Energy Recovery (ERII)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.94 | Market Cap: $794.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Energy Recovery (ERII)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.94Market Cap: $794.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Desalination, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Desalination, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 39x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ERII Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Energy Recovery's Q3 2025 Financial Results Exceeded Expectations.
Energy Recovery (ERII) reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.12, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.09, representing a 33.33% surprise.
2. Revenue for Q3 2025 Also Beat Analyst Forecasts.
The company's revenue for the quarter ended September 2025 reached $32 million, outperforming the Consensus Estimate by 7.51%. Another report indicated revenue of $38.6 million, exceeding the anticipated $30.26 million by 27.56%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ERII Return | 39% | 58% | -5% | -8% | -22% | -2% | 47% |
| Peers Return | 74% | -12% | 28% | 16% | 58% | 23% | 341% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ERII Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 46% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ERII Max Drawdown | -34% | -0% | -20% | -31% | -34% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -33% | -28% | -19% | -6% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, MDRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ERII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 116.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 249 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 698 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 162.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2599 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, MDRN
In The Past
Energy Recovery's stock fell -53.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/18/2023. A -53.7% loss requires a 116.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ERII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 05312021 | ERII | Energy Recovery | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 14.0% | 6.3% | -9.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 05312021 | ERII | Energy Recovery | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 14.0% | 6.3% | -9.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Energy Recovery
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 718 |
| Op Inc LTM | 48 |
| FCF LTM | 20 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 20 |
| CFO LTM | 21 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 25 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 18.6 |
| P/E | 34.9 |
| P/CFO | 17.6 |
| Total Yield | 2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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