Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -50%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Medical Aesthetics & Anti-Aging. Themes include Neurotoxin Treatments, Minimally Invasive Aesthetic Procedures, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -50%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Medical Aesthetics & Anti-Aging. Themes include Neurotoxin Treatments, Minimally Invasive Aesthetic Procedures, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EOLS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Evolus (EOLS) stock movement by -11.5% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Continued GAAP Operating Loss in Q3 2025: Despite exceeding revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the third quarter of 2025, Evolus reported a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) operating loss of $11.5 million. This sustained unprofitability on a GAAP basis may have raised investor concerns.

2. Significant Decline in Cash Position During Q3 2025: Evolus's cash and cash equivalents decreased by $18.2 million, from $61.7 million at the end of Q2 2025 to $43.5 million by the end of Q3 2025. This cash usage, primarily attributed to strategic inventory investments, could have generated liquidity concerns among investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EOLS Return-72%94%15%40%5%-41%-46%
Peers Return8%36%20%3%5%22%134%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EOLS Win Rate50%58%58%50%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%60%42%42%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EOLS Max Drawdown-76%-5%-20%-5%-5%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-6%-13%-21%-7%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEOLSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven216.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven969 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-76.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven318.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven113 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-72.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven264.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE


In The Past

Evolus's stock fell -68.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/24/2021. A -68.4% loss requires a 216.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Evolus (EOLS)

Better Bets than Evolus (EOLS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EOLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Evolus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EOLSLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameEvolus Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Mkt Price6.75-1,033.56205.33102.2725.57102.27
Mkt Cap0.4-928.0494.5255.2145.4255.2
Rev LTM286-53,25892,14964,23562,78662,786
Op Inc LTM-38-22,88224,14622,39115,41722,391
FCF LTM-58--5018,67913,04910,37610,376
FCF 3Y Avg-43--15617,81413,6858,9278,927
CFO LTM-50-10,93824,20417,06513,07713,077
CFO 3Y Avg-39-7,23023,20917,50612,12712,127

Growth & Margins

EOLSLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameEvolus Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM15.1%-36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%5.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.3%-23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%6.1%
Rev Chg Q12.9%-37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%-8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-13.3%-43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%26.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.3%-35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%23.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%-1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-17.6%-20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-16.7%-17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%18.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.3%--0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-18.6%-0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%13.9%

Valuation

EOLSLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameEvolus Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Mkt Cap0.4-928.0494.5255.2145.4255.2
P/S1.4-12.94.83.32.33.3
P/EBIT-10.6-38.613.89.112.212.2
P/E-6.8-49.617.811.014.714.7
P/CFO-7.9-62.618.412.311.112.3
Total Yield-14.7%-2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%8.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%-0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%4.4%
D/E0.4-0.10.10.20.40.2
Net D/E0.3-0.10.10.10.30.1

Returns

EOLSLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameEvolus Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
1M Rtn5.6%-15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.9%
3M Rtn-8.5%-40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%16.1%
6M Rtn-31.1%-35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%33.3%
12M Rtn-48.5%-28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%7.3%
3Y Rtn-7.9%-182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%1.6%
1M Excs Rtn5.7%-15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%11.0%
3M Excs Rtn-15.5%-34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-45.8%-20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%18.6%
12M Excs Rtn-64.2%-17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-8.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.6%-116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-69.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product revenue, net200147995634
Service revenue22111
Total2021491005735


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,279,632
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-14.9%
Average Daily Volume2,515,783
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.48
Basic Shares Quantity64,726,239
Short % of Basic Shares17.4%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021