Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Business Events. Themes include Experiential B2B Events, Event Technology & Digital Platforms, and B2B Marketplaces & Commerce.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.54
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
2   Key risks
EEX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Business Events. Themes include Experiential B2B Events, Event Technology & Digital Platforms, and B2B Marketplaces & Commerce.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.54
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
6 Key risks
EEX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EEX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Strategic Review and Potential Acquisition Inquiries
On December 16, 2025, Emerald Holding announced it had received inquiries regarding a potential acquisition of the company and initiated a review of strategic options, engaging Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC as its lead financial advisor. This news led to a substantial surge in the company's stock price, with shares jumping between 22.5% and 30% on the day of the announcement.

2. Reaffirmed Full-Year 2025 Guidance
Alongside the announcement of its strategic review, Emerald Holding reaffirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance, projecting revenues between $460 million and $465 million and Adjusted EBITDA between $122.5 million and $127.5 million. This reaffirmation indicated stability and management's confidence in the company's operational performance through the end of the year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EEX Return-48%-27%-11%69%-19%4%-52%
Peers Return3%63%-42%34%38%7%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EEX Win Rate42%50%42%58%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate42%58%25%42%67%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EEX Max Drawdown-85%-39%-39%-6%-34%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-10%-45%-6%-7%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LYV. See EEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEEXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-85.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven600.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to APEI, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP


In The Past

Emerald's stock fell -65.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2021. A -65.8% loss requires a 192.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Emerald (EEX)

Better Bets than Emerald (EEX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Emerald

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EEXLYVMedian
NameEmerald Live Nat. 
Mkt Price4.62136.4170.52
Mkt Cap0.931.716.3
Rev LTM43824,56912,503
Op Inc LTM601,131595
FCF LTM431,580811
FCF 3Y Avg211,141581
CFO LTM512,4941,273
CFO 3Y Avg311,815923

Growth & Margins

EEXLYVMedian
NameEmerald Live Nat. 
Rev Chg LTM11.2%5.5%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.8%18.6%18.2%
Rev Chg Q6.7%11.1%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%3.6%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM13.6%4.6%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.3%4.6%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%0.4%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM11.6%10.2%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%7.8%7.7%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%6.4%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%4.9%5.0%

Valuation

EEXLYVMedian
NameEmerald Live Nat. 
Mkt Cap0.931.716.3
P/S2.31.51.9
P/EBIT15.531.023.2
P/E219.042.2130.6
P/CFO19.815.217.5
Total Yield1.6%2.4%2.0%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.2%4.3%2.8%
D/E0.50.20.4
Net D/E0.40.10.2

Returns

EEXLYVMedian
NameEmerald Live Nat. 
1M Rtn21.3%3.0%12.1%
3M Rtn-6.9%-19.5%-13.2%
6M Rtn-3.9%-8.0%-5.9%
12M Rtn-1.6%-1.1%-1.3%
3Y Rtn31.3%96.6%64.0%
1M Excs Rtn20.5%2.3%11.4%
3M Excs Rtn-11.3%-18.5%-14.9%
6M Excs Rtn-16.3%-20.4%-18.3%
12M Excs Rtn-12.9%-10.7%-11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.4%16.9%-13.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Connections Segment340283   
All Other Category4343111936
Commerce  5757185
Design, Creative, and Technology  7751140
Total383326146127361


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity340,871
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.1%
Average Daily Volume29,532
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.54
Basic Shares Quantity197,950,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/2025-1.3%-8.8%-21.1%
8/4/20250.4%-1.0%2.8%
5/1/202515.0%16.8%16.9%
1/15/20250.6%-5.3%-6.1%
10/30/2024-11.8%-7.5%3.8%
8/7/20248.8%5.9%17.4%
2/29/2024-17.4%-13.4%4.9%
11/6/2023-5.8%-0.8%-4.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101115
# Negative13128
Median Positive6.3%16.8%16.9%
Median Negative-3.7%-7.9%-5.6%
Max Positive18.9%30.2%55.1%
Max Negative-17.4%-21.6%-62.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Jouaneh IssaPresident, Connections Group6092025Buy4.7810,00047,8001,292,593Form