Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Business Events. Themes include Experiential B2B Events, Event Technology & Digital Platforms, and B2B Marketplaces & Commerce.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Business Events. Themes include Experiential B2B Events, Event Technology & Digital Platforms, and B2B Marketplaces & Commerce.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EEX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -26.1% stock movement for Emerald (EEX) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: Emerald reported a diluted loss per share of -$0.07 for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, missing analyst expectations of -$0.04.

2. Decline in Organic Revenue: Despite an increase in total revenue driven by acquisitions, Emerald's organic revenue declined by 6.8% in the third quarter of 2025, signaling underlying challenges in its core business operations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EEX Return-48%-27%-11%69%-19%-26%-66%
Peers Return11%-27%-45%-21%124%64%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EEX Win Rate42%50%42%58%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%33%42%67%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EEX Max Drawdown-85%-39%-39%-6%-34%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-38%-63%-68%0%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APEI, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP. See EEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEEXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-85.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven600.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to APEI, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP


In The Past

Emerald's stock fell -65.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2021. A -65.8% loss requires a 192.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Emerald (EEX)

Better Bets than Emerald (EEX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Emerald

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EEXAPEIEVONKASHLIAIOCPMedian
NameEmerald American.EvoNexus Cansince.Lemeng Huge Amo. 
Mkt Price3.7934.87----19.33
Mkt Cap0.80.6----0.7
Rev LTM438645----541
Op Inc LTM6049----54
FCF LTM4350----46
FCF 3Y Avg2126----24
CFO LTM5167----59
CFO 3Y Avg3143----37

Growth & Margins

EEXAPEIEVONKASHLIAIOCPMedian
NameEmerald American.EvoNexus Cansince.Lemeng Huge Amo. 
Rev Chg LTM11.2%5.5%----8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.8%5.0%----11.4%
Rev Chg Q6.7%6.5%----6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%1.6%----1.3%
Op Mgn LTM13.6%7.5%----10.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.3%4.2%----8.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%0.5%-----0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM11.6%10.5%----11.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%6.9%----7.2%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%7.8%----8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%4.1%----4.6%

Valuation

EEXAPEIEVONKASHLIAIOCPMedian
NameEmerald American.EvoNexus Cansince.Lemeng Huge Amo. 
Mkt Cap0.80.6----0.7
P/S2.30.9----1.6
P/EBIT15.512.2----13.8
P/E219.019.2----119.1
P/CFO19.88.1----14.0
Total Yield1.6%5.2%----3.4%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.0%----0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.2%5.1%----3.2%
D/E0.50.4----0.4
Net D/E0.40.0----0.2

Returns

EEXAPEIEVONKASHLIAIOCPMedian
NameEmerald American.EvoNexus Cansince.Lemeng Huge Amo. 
1M Rtn-10.3%7.9%-----1.2%
3M Rtn-27.9%11.1%-----8.4%
6M Rtn-18.5%25.9%----3.7%
12M Rtn-22.8%66.5%----21.8%
3Y Rtn6.5%153.0%----79.8%
1M Excs Rtn-10.2%8.0%-----1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-33.6%4.6%-----14.5%
6M Excs Rtn-33.2%11.2%-----11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-36.2%55.6%----9.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.0%95.0%----8.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Connections Segment340283   
All Other Category4343111936
Commerce  5757185
Design, Creative, and Technology  7751140
Total383326146127361


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity321,243
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-13.5%
Average Daily Volume49,205
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.53
Basic Shares Quantity197,950,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Jouaneh IssaPresident, Connections Group6092025Buy4.7810,00047,8001,292,593Form