Emerald (EEX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.86 | Market Cap: $764.1 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Emerald (EEX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.86Market Cap: $764.1 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Business Events. Themes include Experiential B2B Events, Event Technology & Digital Platforms, and B2B Marketplaces & Commerce. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Business Events. Themes include Experiential B2B Events, Event Technology & Digital Platforms, and B2B Marketplaces & Commerce. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EEX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -26.1% stock movement for Emerald (EEX) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: Emerald reported a diluted loss per share of -$0.07 for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, missing analyst expectations of -$0.04.
2. Decline in Organic Revenue: Despite an increase in total revenue driven by acquisitions, Emerald's organic revenue declined by 6.8% in the third quarter of 2025, signaling underlying challenges in its core business operations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EEX Return | -48% | -27% | -11% | 69% | -19% | -26% | -66% |
| Peers Return | 11% | -27% | -45% | -21% | 124% | 64% | 29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EEX Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 67% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EEX Max Drawdown | -85% | -39% | -39% | -6% | -34% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -38% | -63% | -68% | 0% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APEI, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP. See EEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EEX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 192.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 600.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to APEI, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP
In The Past
Emerald's stock fell -65.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2021. A -65.8% loss requires a 192.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Emerald Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | |
| Emerald (EEX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Emerald (EEX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Emerald (EEX) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| ... (EEX) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Emerald (EEX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Emerald (EEX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Emerald (EEX) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | |
| EEX Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| Emerald Stock Up 8.3% in One Day, Should You Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Emerald
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 541 |
| Op Inc LTM | 54 |
| FCF LTM | 46 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 24 |
| CFO LTM | 59 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 37 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 119.1 |
| P/CFO | 14.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 79.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jouaneh Issa | President, Connections Group | 6092025 | Buy | 4.78 | 10,000 | 47,800 | 1,292,593 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |