Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -139%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 2463x
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 150%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -139%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 2463x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 150%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CTOR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The available information indicates that Citius Oncology (CTOR) experienced a significant **increase** in stock value during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, rather than a 43.8% decline. InvestingPro data, as of December 1, 2025, revealed a 52.22% price increase over the preceding six months for CTOR. This period encompasses the requested timeframe. The primary reason for the positive stock movement was the commercial launch of its novel therapy, LYMPHIR.

1. U.S. Commercial Launch of LYMPHIR: Citius Oncology announced the nationwide commercial launch of LYMPHIR (denileukin diftitox-cxdl) for the treatment of relapsed or refractory Stage I-III cutaneous T-cell lymphoma (CTCL) in adult patients. This launch occurred around December 1, 2025, and was a major catalyst for stock surges of approximately 19.7% to 27.7%.

2. FDA Approval of LYMPHIR: LYMPHIR received FDA approval in August 2024 (before the specified period, but its launch in the requested period was a direct consequence of this approval), making it the first FDA-approved systemic therapy for CTCL in over seven years. The therapy demonstrated a 36.2% objective response rate in its pivotal Phase 3 trial.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CTOR Return---8%-89%13%-87%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CTOR Win Rate-- 100%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CTOR Max Drawdown---0%-92%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCTORS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-1.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven94 days464 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Citius Oncology's stock fell -1.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2023. A -1.5% loss requires a 1.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Citius Oncology (CTOR)

Better Bets than Citius Oncology (CTOR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CTOR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Citius Oncology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CTORLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameCitius O.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price1.221,033.56205.33102.2725.5750.9676.61
Mkt Cap0.1928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
Rev LTM053,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM-2522,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM0-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg--15617,81413,6858,92713,59813,598
CFO LTM010,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg-7,23023,20917,50612,12714,84614,846

Growth & Margins

CTORLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameCitius O.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM-36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%2.9%
Rev Chg Q-37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%26.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%23.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%26.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%26.4%
FCF/Rev LTM--0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%20.3%

Valuation

CTORLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameCitius O.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.1928.0494.5255.2145.4103.8200.3
P/S-12.94.83.32.31.93.3
P/EBIT-12.238.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E-11.749.617.811.014.715.215.0
P/CFO2,463.462.618.412.311.15.515.4
Total Yield-8.5%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%5.5%
D/E0.00.10.10.20.40.60.2
Net D/E0.00.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

CTORLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameCitius O.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn-26.9%15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.7%10.8%
3M Rtn-38.1%40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%8.8%12.4%
6M Rtn30.0%35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%9.2%31.6%
12M Rtn-16.4%28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%-8.9%5.7%
3Y Rtn-182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%-28.3%1.6%
1M Excs Rtn-26.9%15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%10.8%10.9%
3M Excs Rtn-40.1%34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%5.3%7.8%
6M Excs Rtn15.3%20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%-5.6%16.9%
12M Excs Rtn19.2%17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%-23.2%4.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-99.3%-69.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity240,239
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.4%
Average Daily Volume145,034
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.66
Basic Shares Quantity71,552,402
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241227202410-K 9/30/2024
93020231302024S-4/A 9/30/2023