Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service (CTNT)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $1.45 | Market Cap: $4.7 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics
Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service (CTNT)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $1.45Market Cap: $4.7 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Air Freight & Logistics
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -144% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -0.5 Mil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 18% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.8 Mil | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -127% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 182% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -144% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -0.5 Mil |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.8 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -127% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 182% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CTNT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service (CTNT) stock moved by -14.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025:
1. Significant Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss. Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.41 for the third quarter of 2025, which significantly missed analysts' expectations of -$0.26. This represents a miss by 57.69%.
2. Substantial Impairment Loss. The company recorded an operating loss of $1,564,479 in Q3 2025, which included a significant non-cash impairment loss of $731,307 on intangible assets and goodwill. This impairment indicated that the fair value of an acquired logistics unit fell below its carrying value.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTNT Return | - | - | - | - | -85% | -53% | -93% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 11% | -15% | 15% | -0% | -5% | 28% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTNT Win Rate | - | - | - | 25% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 32% | 30% | 37% | 28% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTNT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -91% | -61% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -5% | -20% | -4% | -11% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RLGT, ELOG, SLGB, UPS, FDX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CTNT has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1463 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CTNT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 32.5 |
| Rev LTM | 44,747 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,051 |
| FCF LTM | 1,831 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,611 |
| CFO LTM | 3,789 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,072 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 32.5 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 8.7 |
| P/E | 12.9 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -53.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9052023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 8022023 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |