CoreWeave (CRWV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.51 | Market Cap: $32.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
CoreWeave (CRWV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.51Market Cap: $32.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 235% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 151x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS). | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -187% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 371% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% | |
| Key risksCRWV key risks include [1] a precarious financial position due to high leverage and capital-intensive expansion, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 235% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS). |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 151x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -187% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 371% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5% |
| Key risksCRWV key risks include [1] a precarious financial position due to high leverage and capital-intensive expansion, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRWV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
CoreWeave (CRWV) experienced a significant decline of approximately 37.4% in its stock price from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors that impacted investor confidence and valuation during the period. 1. Rejection of Core Scientific Acquisition Offer: In October 2025, CoreWeave's stock saw a downturn when Core Scientific shareholders rejected its $9 billion acquisition offer. This failed strategic expansion, which had been initially agreed upon in July 2025, likely signaled a setback to CoreWeave's growth ambitions and introduced uncertainty regarding its future market consolidation, leading to negative investor sentiment. 2. Issuance of Convertible Notes: In early December 2025, CoreWeave announced a private offering of $2.25 billion in convertible notes. While intended to raise capital, such offerings can be perceived negatively by the market due to the potential for future share dilution if the notes are converted, or as an indication of substantial capital needs that current operations cannot fully support, thereby impacting the stock's valuation.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRWV Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | 59% | 57% | -34% | 93% | 65% | 25% | 552% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRWV Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 44% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 65% | 30% | 70% | 67% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRWV Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -7% | -44% | -3% | -4% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, ORCL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CRWV has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,183 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| CoreWeave Earnings Notes | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What Is Happening With CoreWeave Stock? | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| What’s The Downside Risk For CoreWeave Stock? | December 2nd, 2025 | ||
| CoreWeave Stock To $53? | November 20th, 2025 | ||
| How Will CoreWeave Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | November 7th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For CoreWeave Stock? | October 1st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRWV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CoreWeave
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 199.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 2,946.3 |
| Rev LTM | 240,477 |
| Op Inc LTM | 93,156 |
| FCF LTM | 43,516 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 50,462 |
| CFO LTM | 102,148 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 96,977 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 30.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 39.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2,946.3 |
| P/S | 10.4 |
| P/EBIT | 28.5 |
| P/E | 34.9 |
| P/CFO | 22.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 151.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 75.9% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | -16.3% | -28.7% | -17.3% |
| 8/12/2025 | -20.8% | -37.6% | -24.2% |
| 5/14/2025 | -2.5% | 59.2% | 118.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 59.2% | 118.2% | |
| Median Negative | -16.3% | -33.1% | -20.8% |
| Max Positive | 59.2% | 118.2% | |
| Max Negative | -20.8% | -37.6% | -24.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 424B4 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 2112025 | DRS/A 9/30/2024 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |