CorVel (CRVL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.46 | Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services
CorVel (CRVL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.46Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Health Data Analytics, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Health Data Analytics, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRVL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, CorVel (CRVL) stock experienced a decline of 19.8%, driven by a confluence of valuation concerns, prevailing bearish market sentiment, and technical indicators, despite several positive corporate announcements.
1. Existing Valuation Concerns and High P/E Ratio: As of October 14, 2025, CorVel's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.3x was considered to be sending "very bearish signals" by some analysts, particularly when compared to a market where many companies had significantly lower P/E ratios. This suggested that the stock might be overvalued, and its earnings growth, while respectable, was only in line with broader market forecasts, potentially putting the share price at risk.
2. Ongoing Questions Around Fair Value: Even with strong quarterly earnings reported for the period ending September 30, 2025, analysts noted that the stock was trading "above some estimates of fair value." This created lingering valuation questions and implied that the stock's price might not be sustainable unless earnings growth continued at an accelerated pace.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRVL Return | 21% | 96% | -30% | 70% | 35% | -35% | 147% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 30% | 3% | -8% | 0% | 23% | 67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRVL Win Rate | 67% | 83% | 25% | 67% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 60% | 52% | 40% | 52% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRVL Max Drawdown | -46% | -7% | -37% | -3% | -9% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -9% | -21% | -23% | -17% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRVL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 199.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 699 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX
In The Past
CorVel's stock fell -37.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/3/2022. A -37.1% loss requires a 59.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can CorVel Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| CorVel vs Microsoft: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| CorVel vs Eli Lilly: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than CRVL Stock: Pay Less Than CorVel To Get More From META, LLY | |||
| Better Bet Than CRVL Stock: Pay Less Than CorVel To Get More From LLY, BMRN | |||
| Why CorVel Stock Moved: CRVL Stock Has Gained 51% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| CRVL Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| CorVel (CRVL) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| CorVel Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 27.7% in 2025 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Should You Buy CorVel Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | September 16th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | September 6th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 29th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 26th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 24th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRVL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 01312022 | CRVL | CorVel | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -6.0% | 1.2% | -25.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 01312022 | CRVL | CorVel | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -6.0% | 1.2% | -25.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CorVel
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 150.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.3 |
| Rev LTM | 12,308 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,365 |
| FCF LTM | 1,387 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,042 |
| CFO LTM | 1,844 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,492 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.3 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 16.4 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 13.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 8.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5232025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5242024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5262023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5272022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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