Crane Harbor Acquisition II (CRAN)
Market Price (1/17/2026): $9.93 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Crane Harbor Acquisition II (CRAN)
Market Price (1/17/2026): $9.93Market Cap: $-Sector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 49600%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 49600% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49400% | |
| Key risksCRAN key risks include [1] the failure to complete a business combination within its limited timeframe, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 49600%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 49600% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49400% |
| Key risksCRAN key risks include [1] the failure to complete a business combination within its limited timeframe, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Crane Harbor Acquisition Corp. II Priced its Initial Public Offering.Crane Harbor Acquisition Corp. II priced its initial public offering of 30 million units at $10.00 per unit on December 15, 2025, raising $300 million. Each unit comprised one Class A ordinary share and one right to receive one-fifteenth of a Class A ordinary share upon completion of an initial business combination.
2. Units Began Trading on Nasdaq.The company's units commenced trading on the Nasdaq Global Market under the ticker symbol "CRANU" on December 16, 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRAN | 49600.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | 61.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.0% | 58.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRAN | 49600.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 61.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.3% | 58.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRAN | 49600.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | 61.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.9% | 58.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CRAN | 49600.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | 61.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 55.7% | 58.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRAN Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 49600% | 49600% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 0% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRAN Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRAN Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ALUB, APAC, BIXI, CHEC, DMII.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRAN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4300.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5,899 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ALUB, APAC, BIXI, CHEC, DMII
In The Past
Crane Harbor Acquisition II's stock fell -97.7% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis from a high on 6/11/2008. A -97.7% loss requires a 4300.0% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
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- Initial Public Offering (IPO) and Capital Raising: Facilitates the raising of capital from public investors to finance a future business combination with an operating company.
- Target Company Identification and Due Diligence: Engages in the search for and evaluation of private operating companies suitable for a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination.
- Business Combination Transaction: Completes a merger or acquisition with a private company, effectively taking that company public.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Crane Harbor Acquisition II (symbol: CRAN) is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). A SPAC is a shell company formed to raise capital through an initial public offering (IPO) with the sole purpose of acquiring or merging with an existing private company.
As CRAN has not yet completed a business combination or acquisition of an operating company, it does not currently have any revenue-generating operations or "major customers" in the traditional sense of selling goods or services. Therefore, it does not have a list of customer companies or categories of individual customers to describe.
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William I. Fradin, Chief Executive OfficerMr. Fradin is the co-founder and Managing Director of the private investment firm HEPCO Capital Management. He has been involved in several previous Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs), including Crane Harbor Acquisition, which announced its plan to merge with Xanadu, Osprey Technology Acquisition, which merged with BlackSky (NYSE: BKSY) in September 2021, and Osprey Energy Acquisition, which merged with Falcon Minerals (formerly Nasdaq: FLMN) in August 2018.
Thomas C. Elliott, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Elliott serves as the Chief Financial Officer of HEPCO Capital Management, a private investment firm.
Jonathan Z. Cohen, Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors
Mr. Cohen is the Chief Executive Officer of HEPCO Capital Management and the founder and Chairman of HEPCO Opportunity Partners. He has been involved in several previous SPACs, including Crane Harbor Acquisition, Osprey Technology Acquisition, and Osprey Energy Acquisition.
Jeffrey F. Brotman, Chief Operating Officer & Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Brotman serves as the Chief Operating Officer and Chief Legal Officer for Crane Harbor Acquisition II.
Edward E. Cohen, Vice Chairman of the Board
Mr. Cohen is the Chairman of HEPCO Capital Management. He previously served on Osprey Technology Acquisition, which combined with BlackSky Technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Crane Harbor Acquisition II (CRAN), a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), primarily stem from its nature as a blank check company seeking to merge with an operating business.
- Inability to Complete a Business Combination: As a SPAC, Crane Harbor Acquisition II was formed with the sole purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company has a limited timeframe, typically 18 to 24 months, to identify and complete such an acquisition (a "de-SPAC" transaction). If it fails to do so, the company will be forced to liquidate, returning the capital held in its trust account to public shareholders, which may result in investors only receiving their initial investment back, potentially without significant returns or with opportunity cost losses. The inherent uncertainties of the IPO process, even at the initial stages, hint at broader challenges in completing the eventual business combination.
- Conflicts of Interest and Potential Dilution for Public Shareholders: The SPAC structure can give rise to conflicts of interest, particularly concerning the incentives of the company's sponsor, officers, and directors. The sponsor typically purchases founder shares at a nominal price, which could lead to significant dilution for public shareholders upon the consummation of a business combination. This structure incentivizes the sponsor to complete an acquisition, even if the terms may not be entirely favorable to public shareholders, to avoid losing their entire investment. This inherent conflict can lead to situations where sponsors profit substantially even if the post-merger company's share price declines, disproportionately affecting public investors who bought shares at face value.
- Lack of Operating History and Reliance on Management's Discretion: Crane Harbor Acquisition II is a blank check company with no operating history and has not yet commenced operations. Its success is entirely dependent on the ability of its management team to identify, evaluate, and complete a suitable business combination within its targeted sectors of technology, real assets, and energy. Investors are essentially relying on the management team's expertise and discretion to find and execute a successful merger, without any prior operational track record for the SPAC itself. This reliance on the management team's judgment and the lack of defined business operations present inherent risks in such investments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The significantly increased regulatory scrutiny by the SEC on SPAC transactions, coupled with a sustained decline in investor appetite for companies going public via SPACs and high shareholder redemption rates, which collectively make it substantially more challenging for CRAN to identify a suitable target, secure adequate funding, and successfully complete a merger within its mandated timeframe.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Crane Harbor Acquisition II (NASDAQ: CRAN) is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) whose future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years will be primarily driven by its ability to successfully identify, acquire, and integrate an operating business. As a blank-check company, CRAN currently has no ongoing operations or revenue streams; its financial trajectory hinges entirely on its acquisition strategy and the subsequent performance of the acquired entity.
The expected drivers of future revenue growth for Crane Harbor Acquisition II are:
- Successful Business Combination with a High-Growth Target: The most significant driver will be CRAN's ability to complete a de-SPAC transaction by merging with or acquiring a high-growth private company. The SPAC has explicitly stated its focus on target companies within the technology, real assets, and energy industries. The chosen target's inherent revenue potential and market position will directly translate into CRAN's future financial performance.
- Expansion within the Acquired Company's Total Addressable Market (TAM): Following a successful acquisition, the revenue growth will be driven by the acquired company's capacity to expand its market share and penetrate its high-growth Total Addressable Market (TAM). CRAN's strategy is to target businesses with significant market opportunities.
- Operational Excellence and Value Creation Post-Acquisition: The experienced management team of Crane Harbor Acquisition II aims to drive value creation through operational excellence and strong governance within the acquired entity. This could involve optimizing existing operations, improving efficiency, and implementing strategies to accelerate revenue generation.
- Development and Commercialization of Differentiated Offerings by the Acquired Business: Future revenue growth will also stem from the acquired company's ability to continue developing and commercializing differentiated products or services. CRAN seeks targets with unique offerings, suggesting an expectation for innovation to fuel sustained growth post-merger.
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Share Issuance
- Crane Harbor Acquisition Corp. II completed its initial public offering (IPO) on December 17, 2025.
- The company issued 34.5 million units at $10.00 per unit, generating $345 million in gross proceeds, including the full exercise of the underwriters' over-allotment option.
- Combined with a simultaneous private placement, the company raised a total of $354 million, which was placed into a trust account.
Inbound Investments
- Proceeds of $345 million from the initial public offering and an additional amount from a private placement were placed into a trust account for public shareholders.
Outbound Investments
- Crane Harbor Acquisition Corp. II is a blank check company formed with the purpose of pursuing mergers, acquisitions, or similar business combinations.
- The company intends to focus its acquisition efforts primarily on opportunities within the technology, real assets, and energy sectors.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons for Crane Harbor Acquisition II
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | -0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | -0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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