Tearsheet

Activate Energy Acquisition (AEAQ)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $9.89 | Market Cap: $309.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Activate Energy Acquisition (AEAQ)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $9.89
Market Cap: $309.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
Key risks
AEAQ key risks include [1] its potential failure to complete a business combination, Show more.
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2.2%
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
3 Key risks
AEAQ key risks include [1] its potential failure to complete a business combination, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Activate Energy Acquisition (AEAQ) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 1/27/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Status as a Pre-Business Combination Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC).

Activate Energy Acquisition Corp. (AEAQ) is a blank check company, or SPAC, explicitly formed to pursue a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination. SPACs typically trade at or near their initial public offering (IPO) price, which for AEAQ was $10.00 per unit when it went public on December 4, 2025. This pricing is largely underpinned by the cash held in a trust account, which acts as a floor for the stock before a definitive business combination is announced.

2. Absence of a Definitive Business Combination Announcement.

The primary catalyst for significant movement in a SPAC's stock price is the announcement of a target company for its acquisition. As of March 3, 2026, Activate Energy Acquisition has not announced a definitive merger target, nor has there been any recent news regarding such a development. Without a clear business combination, speculative interest remains limited, and the stock's value largely reflects its cash-in-trust component rather than the potential of a future operating business.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEAQ  
Market (SPY)-5.3%-52.5%
Sector (XLF)-10.0%-39.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEAQ  
Market (SPY)0.6%-52.5%
Sector (XLF)-10.8%-39.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEAQ  
Market (SPY)9.8%-52.5%
Sector (XLF)-7.1%-39.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AEAQ  
Market (SPY)69.4%-52.5%
Sector (XLF)40.5%-39.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AEAQ Return------0%-0%
Peers Return    0%4%4%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEAQ Win Rate-----0% 
Peers Win Rate    38%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEAQ Max Drawdown------0% 
Peers Max Drawdown    -0%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FTW, SVAC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

AEAQ has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,470 days1,480 days

Compare to FTW, SVAC

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Activate Energy Acquisition (AEAQ)

We are a blank check company incorporated on June 10, 2025 as a Cayman Islands exempted company and formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses, which we refer to throughout this prospectus as our initial business combination. We have not selected any specific business combination target and we have not, nor has anyone on our behalf, initiated any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any business combination target. Although we currently intend to focus on target businesses in the oil and gas industry, we may pursue an acquisition opportunity in any business, industry, sector or geographical location. We intend to focus on businesses that complement our management team’s background, and to capitalize on the ability of our management team to identify and acquire a business. We believe that the experience and capabilities of our management team will make us an attractive partner to potential target businesses, enhance our ability to complete a successful business combination, and bring value to the business post-business combination. Our team has broad sector knowledge though their collective involvement across a variety of industries, as well as extensive global capital markets experience, with local and cross-border capabilities allowing access to different sectors of the capital markets. Our executive offices are located in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Business Combination: AEAQ's sole purpose is to identify and complete a merger, amalgamation, or other form of acquisition with one or more private businesses, with an intended focus on the oil and gas industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided description, Activate Energy Acquisition (symbol: AEAQ) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). Its purpose is to effect a business combination with one or more target businesses. As a SPAC that has not yet completed its initial business combination, AEAQ does not have major customers in the traditional sense, as it is not currently selling products or services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Thomas Fontaine, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman

Mr. Fontaine is an engineer and energy entrepreneur holding board roles in both the energy and technology sectors. He is a director at Halocell Energy Pty Ltd since August 2019, focused on commercializing printed Perovskite Solar Cell technology. He also serves as Chairman of Chameleon Innovations Australia (CIA) Pty Ltd since January 2017, overseeing global product marking and authentication solutions, and is a director of Homerun Resources Inc.

David Wood, Chief Financial Officer and Director

Mr. Wood has over 35 years of experience in corporate finance, encompassing investment banking, management consulting, and executive leadership in public and private companies within the energy, mining, technology, and financial sectors. He has provided fractional CFO and consulting services, guiding clients through financial processes including S-1 preparation, budgeting, and M&A modeling.

Keith Byer, Independent Director

Mr. Byer is a financial and risk expert with more than four decades of business experience, having retired as Senior Managing Director at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited in September 2024. From June 2009 to September 2024, he served as Global Senior Managing Director for Reputation and Risk at Deloitte, assisting member firms in nearly 100 countries with crisis recovery and prevention. As Deputy Managing Partner for Deloitte CIS, he managed risk, contributed to growth strategies that expanded the practice 12 times, and oversaw headcount growth from 150 to over 4,000, growing the practice from $12 million to $350 million.

Paul Moore, Independent Director

Mr. Moore is an executive with extensive experience in upstream oil and gas development. From September 2014 to September 2022, he held multiple executive roles at Todd Corporation, including CEO of Todd Energy International, where he led significant upstream developments in British Columbia and advanced a $2.5 billion methanol project in the United States. He also served as CEO and Managing Director of Otto Energy Limited from July 2009 to July 2011 and began his career with Shell International.

Jason Spittlehouse, Independent Director

Mr. Spittlehouse is an MSc-qualified geoscientist and energy entrepreneur with over 30 years of experience in developing and monetizing oil and gas ventures. He is the Founder and Managing Partner of Radian Partnership, LP, where since August 2014, he successfully developed and, in 2017, sold various producing interests in the Illinois Basin. He later became involved in numerous recompletions, stimulations, and new drilling activities across several field areas in the northern Williston Basin.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Activate Energy Acquisition (AEAQ):

  1. Failure to complete an initial business combination: Activate Energy Acquisition is a blank check company with no operating business. Its sole purpose is to identify and complete a business combination with one or more businesses. If the company fails to complete an initial business combination within the prescribed timeframe, it will be forced to liquidate, and shareholders may only receive a pro rata portion of their investment, potentially without any return on their capital.
  2. Risk of acquiring an unsuitable target or one that fails to perform as expected: The company has not yet identified a specific business combination target. While it intends to focus on the oil and gas industry, it may pursue an acquisition opportunity in any business, industry, sector, or geographical location. There is a significant risk that even if a business combination is completed, the acquired business may not perform as anticipated, may face unforeseen challenges, or may not generate the expected value for shareholders.
  3. Competition for acquisition targets: Activate Energy Acquisition will be competing with other blank check companies, private equity firms, and other entities for attractive acquisition targets. This competition could make it difficult to identify and secure a desirable business combination on favorable terms, potentially leading to the acquisition of a less suitable target or an inability to complete an acquisition at all.

AI Analysis | Feedback

One clear emerging threat to Activate Energy Acquisition (AEAQ), as a blank check company (SPAC), is the increasing preference among private companies for alternative paths to liquidity and public market access. These alternatives include direct listings, traditional initial public offerings (IPOs), and continued private funding through robust venture capital and private equity markets. Such options offer potential target companies ways to go public or raise capital that may be perceived as having fewer complexities, less dilution, or lower costs compared to a SPAC merger. This trend reduces the pool of attractive targets available for AEAQ to acquire, making the SPAC vehicle a less desirable option for companies seeking to enter public markets or raise significant capital.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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Share Issuance

  • Activate Energy Acquisition completed its initial public offering (IPO) and a concurrent private placement, raising aggregate proceeds of approximately $236.45 million.
  • The IPO, which closed on December 5, 2025, involved the sale of 23 million units at $10.00 per unit, generating gross proceeds of $230 million.
  • Approximately $230.56 million of the IPO proceeds were placed in a trust account, primarily invested in U.S. government securities or money market funds, to be used for a future business combination.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AEAQ.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
NDAQ_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026NDAQNasdaqInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
JEF_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026JEFJefferies FinancialDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ALAB_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02272026ALABAstera LabsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PAYO_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02272026PAYOPayoneer GlobalDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
FOUR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02272026FOURShift4 PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEAQFTWSVACMedian
NameActivate.Presidio.Spring V. 
Mkt Price9.8910.9810.1610.16
Mkt Cap--0.30.3
Rev LTM-0-0
Op Inc LTM--9--9
FCF LTM--2--2
FCF 3Y Avg----
CFO LTM--2--2
CFO 3Y Avg----

Growth & Margins

AEAQFTWSVACMedian
NameActivate.Presidio.Spring V. 
Rev Chg LTM----
Rev Chg 3Y Avg----
Rev Chg Q----
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM----
Op Mgn LTM----
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM----
CFO/Rev LTM----
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----
FCF/Rev LTM----
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----

Valuation

AEAQFTWSVACMedian
NameActivate.Presidio.Spring V. 
Mkt Cap--0.30.3
P/S----
P/EBIT----
P/E----
P/CFO----
Total Yield----
Dividend Yield--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg----
D/E--0.00.0
Net D/E--0.00.0

Returns

AEAQFTWSVACMedian
NameActivate.Presidio.Spring V. 
1M Rtn-0.2%-8.0%-3.1%-3.1%
3M Rtn-0.3%4.8%-0.7%-0.3%
6M Rtn-0.3%5.1%0.6%0.6%
12M Rtn-0.3%5.1%0.6%0.6%
3Y Rtn-0.3%5.1%0.6%0.6%
1M Excs Rtn7.6%5.2%4.9%5.2%
3M Excs Rtn7.8%12.9%7.4%7.8%
6M Excs Rtn3.3%8.6%4.2%4.2%
12M Excs Rtn-11.8%-6.4%-10.9%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-62.1%-56.7%-61.2%-61.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-0.4%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity31.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/13/20260.0%0.1% 
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative000
Median Positive0.0%0.1% 
Median Negative   
Max Positive0.0%0.1% 
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/11/202610-K
09/30/202512/05/2025424B4