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CPS Technologies (CPSH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.06 | Market Cap: $44.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components

CPS Technologies (CPSH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.06
Market Cap: $44.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Advanced Materials, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%
4   Key risks
CPSH key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a few key customers and [2] significant cash burn creating a short funding runway.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Advanced Materials, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.6%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%
7 Key risks
CPSH key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a few key customers and [2] significant cash burn creating a short funding runway.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CPSH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Public Offering of Common Stock. The announcement of a proposed underwritten public offering of common stock in early October 2025 led to an immediate drop in CPS Technologies' stock price, reflecting typical market reactions to potential share dilution. The stock fell 14.9% in after-hours trading upon the initial announcement on October 6, 2025, and continued to fall by 16.22% in pre-market trading on October 7, 2025, when the offering was priced.

2. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Guidance. Despite reporting record revenues of $8.8 million, more than doubling the prior year's figures, and returning to operating profit in the third quarter of 2025, CPS Technologies' stock declined. Investors reacted negatively to the overall Q3 results and the accompanying near-term guidance, which included expectations of a projected EPS loss for fiscal year 2026 and anticipated record revenue levels not being sustainable in Q4 due to holiday impacts and planned plant shutdowns.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CPSH Return175%36%-29%-13%-31%102%222%
Peers Return10%14%-19%14%20%42%96%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CPSH Win Rate58%42%42%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%40%48%56%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CPSH Max Drawdown-9%-8%-32%-15%-45%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-4%-31%-12%-13%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MTRN, GLW, MMM, KMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCPSHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1074.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven57 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven319 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven471.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,290 days1,480 days

Compare to GLW, BELFA, BLTG, EIL, APH


In The Past

CPS Technologies's stock fell -91.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -91.5% loss requires a 1074.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CPS Technologies (CPSH)

Better Bets than CPS Technologies (CPSH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CPSH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CPS Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPSHMTRNGLWMMMKMTMedian
NameCPS Tech.Materion Corning 3M Kennamet. 
Mkt Price3.04124.2185.42162.1728.5085.42
Mkt Cap0.02.673.186.62.22.6
Rev LTM301,73414,91524,8251,9671,967
Op Inc LTM-11452,0005,082156156
FCF LTM-1821,1621,588119119
FCF 3Y Avg-0388652,393151151
CFO LTM-11602,2662,541208208
CFO 3Y Avg01332,0683,715248248

Growth & Margins

CPSHMTRNGLWMMMKMTMedian
NameCPS Tech.Materion Corning 3M Kennamet. 
Rev Chg LTM38.2%3.9%18.3%1.1%-3.9%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%0.3%1.7%-10.3%-0.7%0.3%
Rev Chg Q107.3%1.9%20.9%3.5%-4.9%3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM17.7%0.5%5.0%0.9%-1.3%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-2.6%8.4%13.4%20.5%8.0%8.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.0%8.1%8.9%1.1%8.8%8.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.3%0.2%1.4%1.0%-1.2%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.0%9.2%15.2%10.2%10.6%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%7.8%15.3%13.8%12.2%12.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.9%4.7%7.8%6.4%6.1%6.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%2.2%6.4%8.8%7.4%6.4%

Valuation

CPSHMTRNGLWMMMKMTMedian
NameCPS Tech.Materion Corning 3M Kennamet. 
Mkt Cap0.02.673.186.62.22.6
P/S1.71.44.73.30.91.7
P/EBIT-66.839.732.916.011.216.0
P/E-88.3129.151.424.418.824.4
P/CFO-56.115.731.032.68.415.7
Total Yield-1.1%1.0%3.4%5.0%8.9%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%1.4%0.9%3.5%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.1%1.6%2.0%4.7%7.7%2.0%
D/E0.00.20.10.20.40.2
Net D/E-0.10.20.10.10.30.1

Returns

CPSHMTRNGLWMMMKMTMedian
NameCPS Tech.Materion Corning 3M Kennamet. 
1M Rtn-9.8%10.0%5.4%-1.9%10.0%5.4%
3M Rtn-7.0%6.0%11.5%5.0%39.2%6.0%
6M Rtn16.0%61.4%70.5%14.8%31.8%31.8%
12M Rtn88.8%17.2%82.3%29.0%11.5%29.0%
3Y Rtn3.8%48.3%187.4%78.0%29.4%48.3%
1M Excs Rtn-10.5%9.3%4.6%-2.7%9.2%4.6%
3M Excs Rtn-10.6%0.5%6.3%3.5%33.6%3.5%
6M Excs Rtn3.6%49.0%58.1%2.4%19.5%19.5%
12M Excs Rtn86.3%1.9%69.7%16.1%-0.4%16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.7%-19.0%108.7%2.3%-45.9%-19.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Product sales28272221
Total28272221


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity80,868
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-45.7%
Average Daily Volume118,432
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity14,527,126
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/2025-7.9%-23.9%-24.4%
8/1/20250.0%-4.5%19.0%
3/14/20250.0%17.1%-2.6%
11/1/2024-3.2%-8.3%-6.4%
8/1/20240.0%-7.5%-12.8%
3/8/2024-6.8%-11.3%-9.8%
11/3/20232.7%-0.8%-1.8%
8/3/2023-1.7%-1.4%-6.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive863
# Negative101215
Median Positive1.5%10.2%51.4%
Median Negative-3.9%-7.4%-11.0%
Max Positive15.1%37.0%95.4%
Max Negative-7.9%-34.1%-42.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023509202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022805202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022509202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/25/2021