Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $90.39
Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $90.39
Asset Allocation with CAOS
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAOS Return | - | - | - | - | - | -0% | -0% |
| Peers Return | 10% | -15% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 7% | 45% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAOS Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 73% | 35% | 57% | 73% | 88% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAOS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -21% | -8% | -5% | -9% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CGBL, AOR, AOA, AOM, AOK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
Sharpe Ratios Compared
One measure of reward vs. risk is a Sharpe ratio. A higher ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns. Most funds have Sharpe ratios < 1.0.
Results as of 7312026.How Low Can It Go
CAOS has limited trading history.
| Event | CAOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -7.8% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 8.5% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 18 days | |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -9.5% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 10.5% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -6.7% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7.1% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.5% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.4% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 427 days | |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.9% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days |
In The Past
null
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
CAOS has limited trading history.
| Event | CAOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -7.8% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 8.5% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 18 days | |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -9.5% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 10.5% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -6.7% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7.1% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.5% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.4% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 427 days | |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.9% | |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days |
In The Past
null
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Current Dip Buy Opportunities Across ETFs
ETFs currently down 5% or more from trailing 6M peaks.
| Ticker | Name | Dip % | Mkt Price | Price Date | Peak Price | Peak Date | # Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEMG | iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | -7.0% | 79.99 | 8072026 | 86.00 | 6222026 | 46 |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | -7.8% | 65.64 | 8072026 | 71.21 | 6222026 | 46 |
| ASHR | Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF | -5.8% | 35.12 | 8072026 | 37.30 | 6222026 | 46 |
| EWY | iShares MSCI South Korea ETF | -24.2% | 166.09 | 8072026 | 219.20 | 6212026 | 47 |
| EWZ | iShares MSCI Brazil ETF | -15.3% | 35.34 | 8072026 | 41.73 | 4142026 | 115 |
| FXI | iShares China Large-Cap ETF | -8.5% | 36.17 | 8072026 | 39.53 | 2102026 | 178 |
| ILF | iShares Latin America 40 ETF | -9.1% | 34.62 | 8072026 | 38.10 | 4142026 | 115 |
| KWEB | KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF | -16.5% | 28.66 | 8072026 | 34.34 | 2092026 | 179 |
| MTUM | iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF | -10.4% | 309.32 | 8072026 | 345.22 | 6222026 | 46 |
| SPMO | Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -7.4% | 149.69 | 8072026 | 161.66 | 6222026 | 46 |
| URA | Global X Uranium ETF | -22.9% | 44.91 | 8072026 | 58.26 | 5062026 | 93 |
| BOTZ | Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF | -9.7% | 37.61 | 8072026 | 41.63 | 5132026 | 86 |
| ROBO | ROBO Global Robotics & Automation Index ETF | -6.5% | 84.44 | 8072026 | 90.34 | 6022026 | 66 |
| LIT | Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF | -19.2% | 74.01 | 8072026 | 91.62 | 5112026 | 88 |
| ICLN | iShares Global Clean Energy ETF | -22.9% | 18.30 | 8072026 | 23.75 | 6022026 | 66 |
| ARKQ | ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF | -11.1% | 127.85 | 8072026 | 143.82 | 5282026 | 71 |
| ARKX | ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF | -9.2% | 34.27 | 8072026 | 37.74 | 5282026 | 71 |
| NASA | Tema Space Innovators ETF | -39.0% | 25.55 | 8072026 | 41.89 | 5272026 | 72 |
| XOVR | EntrepreneurShares Series Trust ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF | -5.7% | 20.13 | 8072026 | 21.34 | 7062026 | 32 |
| AGIX | KraneShares Artificial Intelligence ETF | -8.2% | 45.34 | 8072026 | 49.40 | 6012026 | 67 |
| RAAX | VanEck Real Assets ETF | -5.1% | 40.54 | 8072026 | 42.70 | 5112026 | 88 |
| XLK | State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | -5.2% | 187.97 | 8072026 | 198.21 | 6022026 | 66 |
| XLE | State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | -8.1% | 57.50 | 8072026 | 62.56 | 3292026 | 131 |
| XLC | State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF | -6.6% | 111.25 | 8072026 | 119.10 | 4192026 | 110 |
| XLU | State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | -8.0% | 43.61 | 8072026 | 47.40 | 3012026 | 159 |
| FXN | First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund | -7.5% | 21.44 | 8072026 | 23.18 | 3292026 | 131 |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | -12.9% | 582.70 | 8072026 | 668.91 | 6222026 | 46 |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | -17.1% | 543.27 | 8072026 | 655.01 | 6222026 | 46 |
| XOP | State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF | -11.6% | 166.40 | 8072026 | 188.18 | 3292026 | 131 |
| MISL | First Trust Indxx Aerospace & Defense ETF | -6.8% | 47.22 | 8072026 | 50.66 | 3022026 | 158 |
| RING | iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF | -21.5% | 78.02 | 8072026 | 99.42 | 3012026 | 159 |
| SOXQ | Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | -15.6% | 97.20 | 8072026 | 115.11 | 6222026 | 46 |
| TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -7.2% | 82.76 | 8072026 | 89.15 | 3012026 | 159 |
| VGLT | Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF | -6.1% | 53.08 | 8072026 | 56.53 | 3012026 | 159 |
| SPTL | State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF | -6.5% | 25.25 | 8072026 | 26.99 | 3012026 | 159 |
| TLH | iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -5.8% | 97.05 | 8072026 | 103.08 | 3012026 | 159 |
| EDV | Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF | -10.5% | 60.35 | 8072026 | 67.42 | 3012026 | 159 |
| PDBC | Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | -8.8% | 17.25 | 8072026 | 18.91 | 5122026 | 87 |
| DBC | Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -8.8% | 28.91 | 8072026 | 31.69 | 5122026 | 87 |
| COMT | iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF | -10.9% | 32.55 | 8072026 | 36.53 | 5192026 | 80 |
| GSG | iShares GSCI Commodity | -5.8% | 30.01 | 8072026 | 31.85 | 3182026 | 142 |
| BCI | abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF | -8.0% | 23.83 | 8072026 | 25.91 | 5122026 | 87 |
| FTGC | First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund | -5.3% | 28.91 | 8072026 | 30.53 | 5122026 | 87 |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust | -18.7% | 398.47 | 8072026 | 490.00 | 3022026 | 158 |
| IAU | iShares Gold Trust | -18.6% | 81.68 | 8072026 | 100.38 | 3022026 | 158 |
| GLDM | SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | -18.6% | 85.95 | 8072026 | 105.54 | 3022026 | 158 |
| SGOL | ETFS Physical Swiss Gold Shares | -12.1% | 44.66 | 8072026 | 50.81 | 3022026 | 158 |
| BAR | Direxion Daily Gold Bull 3X Shares | -15.6% | 44.34 | 8072026 | 52.53 | 3022026 | 158 |
| SLV | iShares Silver Trust | -32.3% | 57.50 | 8072026 | 84.99 | 3012026 | 159 |
| SIVR | ETFS Physical Silver Shares Trust ETF | -6.6% | 83.39 | 8072026 | 89.26 | 3012026 | 159 |
| PPLT | ETFS Physical Platinum Shares | -26.2% | 15.85 | 8072026 | 21.47 | 3012026 | 159 |
| CPER | United States Copper Index Fund ETV | -9.6% | 33.33 | 8072026 | 36.88 | 3012026 | 159 |
| PALL | ETFS Physical Palladium Shares | -23.0% | 25.05 | 8072026 | 32.54 | 2242026 | 164 |
| USO | United States Oil Fund LP | -22.9% | 117.98 | 8072026 | 152.96 | 5192026 | 80 |
| UNG | United States Natural Gas Fund LP | -26.6% | 9.74 | 8072026 | 13.27 | 2082026 | 180 |
| BNO | United States Brent Oil Fund LP ETV | -7.1% | 55.85 | 8072026 | 60.13 | 5042026 | 95 |
| IBIT | iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -20.8% | 36.80 | 8072026 | 46.47 | 5112026 | 88 |
| FBTC | Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund | -20.8% | 56.53 | 8072026 | 71.35 | 5112026 | 88 |
| ETHA | iShares Ethereum Trust ETF | -21.3% | 14.47 | 8072026 | 18.38 | 4192026 | 110 |
ETF Fund Flows
Largest fund inflows and outflows across ETFs, with the asset-allocation rotation they imply.
Asset allocation rotation · Past month
- Equity ETFs drew the largest net inflows (+$42.5B), followed by Bond (+$16.0B), with every major asset class in net inflows.
- Within the mix, money rotated into Emerging Markets (+$9.8B) and out of US Small Cap Core (−$1.4B).
- Relative to fund size, BFLX drew the largest inflow (+56.0% of AUM) and FTXL the largest outflow (−39.5%).
| # | Ticker | Name | Net flow | % of AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VOO | Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | +$12.68B | +1.3% |
| 2 | EWY | iShares MSCI South Korea ETF | +$5.95B | +25.7% |
| 3 | SPYM | State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF | +$5.82B | +3.6% |
| 4 | DRAM | Roundhill Memory ETF | +$5.14B | +21.3% |
| 5 | SGOV | iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | +$4.69B | +4.7% |
| 6 | VTI | Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | +$4.1B | +0.6% |
| 7 | SCHD | Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | +$3.4B | +3.4% |
| 8 | EFV | iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF | +$3.12B | +11.1% |
| 9 | QQQM | Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | +$2.99B | +3.0% |
| 10 | XLF | State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF | +$2.59B | +4.6% |
| # | Ticker | Name | Net flow | % of AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IVV | iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | -$13.62B | -1.5% |
| 2 | IQMM | ProShares - GENIUS Money Market ETF | -$2.95B | -16.3% |
| 3 | IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | -$2.18B | -2.7% |
| 4 | LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF | -$1.79B | -5.2% |
| 5 | IWD | iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | -$1.08B | -1.3% |
| 6 | SCZ | iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF | -$1.05B | -7.9% |
| 7 | SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | -$1.01B | -2.2% |
| 8 | IWR | iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF | -$988M | -1.8% |
| 9 | MTUM | iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF | -$889M | -3.5% |
| 10 | IWF | iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF | -$874M | -0.7% |
Largest ETF fund flows across ~2605 funds (min AUM $100M). Net creations/redemptions; leveraged & inverse ETFs excluded. A ⚠ marks a day excluded as a suspected data error.
About CAOS
| Holdings Count: 0Expense Ratio: 0.63%Inception Date: 2013-08-13 | Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETFCAOS seeks to actively earn positive returns during periods of significant US equity drawdowns while minimizing the return drag of collateral. The fund allocates up to 20% of assets in long and/or short SPX Index options, depending on market status. Between 1-10% is allocated to protective options positioned to appreciate in value when the index declines by more than 25%, which is considered to be a tail risk event. If a tail risk event does not occur, the cost of the protective positions will reduce returns. The remaining 70-80% of the portfolio is collateral consisting of US T-bills, box spreads, and money market instruments. Up to 100% of the collateral may be placed with the BOXX ETF that uses box spreads to provide the exposure of 1-3 month T-bills. The strategy involves frequent trading which increases costs and turnover rate, both having negative impacts on the fund. CAOS operated as a mutual fund until its conversion into an ETF, starting with $126 million in net assets.Asset Class: Asset allocation | ETF Website |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Profile
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Asset Class | - |
| AUM ($ Bil) | 2.5 |
| Expense Ratio | 0.20% |
| 10-D Avg Volume (Mil) | 0.17 |
| Latest Day Volume (Mil) | 0.14 |
| Holdings Count | 7 |
| Inception Date | - |
Fundamentals
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Net Asset Value | - |
| Premium/Discount | 0.3% |
| Distribution Yield | 2.3% |
| Sales Yield | - |
| Earnings Yield | - |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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