BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.6 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services
BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.6Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.7% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BTSG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) experienced significant positive movement in its stock price during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Increased Full-Year Guidance: On August 1, 2025, BrightSpring Health Services announced robust financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a 29.1% increase in net revenue and a 28.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the second quarter of 2024. This strong performance led the company to raise its full-year 2025 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance.
2. Continued Positive Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Guidance: Building on its strong Q2 performance, BrightSpring Health Services reported favorable third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 20, 2025. The company once again increased its full-year 2025 guidance, reinforcing investor confidence in its continued growth trajectory.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BTSG Return | - | - | - | - | - | 106% | 106% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 30% | 3% | -8% | 0% | 23% | 67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BTSG Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 73% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 60% | 52% | 40% | 52% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BTSG Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -9% | -21% | -23% | -17% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BTSG has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BTSG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BrightSpring Health Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 150.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.3 |
| Rev LTM | 13,533 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,365 |
| FCF LTM | 1,387 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,042 |
| CFO LTM | 1,844 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,492 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.3 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 16.4 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 13.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -63.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmacy Solutions | 6,522 | 5,264 | 4,389 | 3,636 | 3,022 |
| Provider Services | 2,304 | 2,181 | 1,963 | 1,684 | 1,287 |
| Other | 275 | 346 | 261 | 216 | |
| Total | 8,826 | 7,721 | 6,698 | 5,580 | 4,525 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmacy Solutions | 371 | 344 | 321 | 275 | 250 |
| Provider Services | 307 | 289 | 262 | 230 | 154 |
| Goodwill impairment loss | 0 | -41 | 0 | 0 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -22 | -22 | -199 | -182 | -155 |
| Segment depreciation and amortization | -180 | -182 | |||
| Selling, general, and administrative expenses | -328 | -220 | -181 | -180 | -204 |
| Other | 20 | 32 | 22 | 18 | |
| Total | 147 | 188 | 234 | 165 | 63 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 11092023 | DRS/A 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1262024 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
| 6302021 | 10182021 | S-1 6/30/2021 |
| 12312020 | 1042022 | S-1/A 12/31/2020 |
External Quote Links
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