BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $35.58 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services
BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $35.58Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.6% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. | Key risksBTSG key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0% |
| Key risksBTSG key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BTSG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) experienced a notable increase in its stock price by 50.2% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Upgraded Guidance.
BrightSpring Health Services reported robust preliminary and then final third-quarter 2025 financial results, which significantly exceeded expectations. The company announced approximately $3.33 billion in revenue, marking a 28.2% increase compared to the third quarter of 2024. Net income from continuing operations reached approximately $37.5 million, a substantial improvement from a net loss in the prior-year period. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant rise of 37.2% to approximately $160 million. Following this strong performance, BrightSpring raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $12.40 billion and $12.70 billion, representing growth of 23.1% to 26.1%.
2. Inclusion in S&P SmallCap 600 Index.
Effective prior to the opening of trading on Monday, October 20, 2025, BrightSpring Health Services was added to the S&P SmallCap 600 index. This inclusion often leads to increased demand for a company's stock as index funds adjust their portfolios to reflect the new constituents.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BTSG Return | � | � | � | � | � | 114% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | -2% | -6% | 2% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BTSG Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 73% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | 45% | 48% | 50% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BTSG Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -22% | -26% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPCH, EHAB, ADUS, EHC, ACHC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BTSG has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BTSG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BrightSpring Health Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 4,398 |
| Op Inc LTM | 337 |
| FCF LTM | 159 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 81 |
| CFO LTM | 297 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 220 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 14.1 |
| P/E | 22.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 10.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmacy Solutions | 6,522 | 5,264 | 4,389 | 3,636 | 3,022 |
| Provider Services | 2,304 | 2,181 | 1,963 | 1,684 | 1,287 |
| Other | 275 | 346 | 261 | 216 | |
| Total | 8,826 | 7,721 | 6,698 | 5,580 | 4,525 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmacy Solutions | 371 | 344 | 321 | 275 | 250 |
| Provider Services | 307 | 289 | 262 | 230 | 154 |
| Goodwill impairment loss | 0 | -41 | 0 | 0 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -22 | -22 | -199 | -182 | -155 |
| Segment depreciation and amortization | -180 | -182 | |||
| Selling, general, and administrative expenses | -328 | -220 | -181 | -180 | -204 |
| Other | 20 | 32 | 22 | 18 | |
| Total | 147 | 188 | 234 | 165 | 63 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/20/2025 | 5.8% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| 8/1/2025 | -4.9% | -0.9% | 14.7% |
| 3/6/2025 | -6.3% | -3.4% | -3.3% |
| 11/1/2024 | 15.2% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
| 8/2/2024 | -8.7% | -5.8% | 2.6% |
| 2/29/2024 | -7.6% | -6.6% | 11.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 10.5% | 18.7% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -4.6% | -3.3% |
| Max Positive | 15.2% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.7% | -6.6% | -3.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 11092023 | DRS/A 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1262024 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
| 6302021 | 10182021 | S-1 6/30/2021 |
| 12312020 | 1042022 | S-1/A 12/31/2020 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |