Tearsheet

Armlogi (BTOC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.6541 | Market Cap: $27.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Armlogi (BTOC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.6541
Market Cap: $27.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.6
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.6%
2  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 434%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 101%
5  Key risks
BTOC key risks include [1] its Nasdaq non-compliance, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.6
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.6%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 434%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 101%
7 Key risks
BTOC key risks include [1] its Nasdaq non-compliance, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BTOC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate 52.8% decline in Armlogi (BTOC) stock from late August 2025 to mid-December 2025 can be attributed to several key operational and financial challenges:



1. Significant Decline in Profitability and Net Loss in Fiscal Year 2025. Armlogi Holding Corp. announced its fiscal year 2025 financial results on September 25, 2025, reporting a gross profit decline to a loss of $3.0 million for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, compared to a gross profit of $18.1 million in the prior fiscal year. The company also posted a net loss of $15.3 million, a stark contrast to the net income of $7.4 million in fiscal year 2024.

2. Sharp Decrease in Gross Margin Due to Elevated Operational Costs. The company's gross margin for fiscal year 2025 fell significantly to -1.6% from 10.8% in the previous fiscal year. This decrease was primarily driven by substantial increases in third-party carrier costs, particularly from major suppliers like FedEx and UPS, along with rising expenses associated with new warehouse leases and labor for expanded facilities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BTOC Return-85%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BTOC Win Rate29%25% 
Peers Win Rate40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BTOC Max Drawdown-89% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RLGT, ELOG, SLGB, UPS, FDX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BTOC has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1463 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Armlogi (BTOC)

Better Bets than Armlogi (BTOC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Armlogi Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BTOC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Armlogi

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BTOCRLGTELOGSLGBUPSFDXMedian
NameArmlogi Radiant .Eastern .Smart Lo.United P.FedEx  
Mkt Price0.646.691.661.33100.96282.214.17
Mkt Cap0.00.3--85.666.633.4
Rev LTM197926--89,48388,59144,758
Op Inc LTM-1717--8,2186,0843,050
FCF LTM211--4,3963,6541,832
FCF 3Y Avg-27--4,7713,1873,187
CFO LTM316--8,4637,5653,790
CFO 3Y Avg-35--9,6138,1028,102

Growth & Margins

BTOCRLGTELOGSLGBUPSFDXMedian
NameArmlogi Radiant .Eastern .Smart Lo.United P.FedEx  
Rev Chg LTM17.4%16.4%---1.3%1.1%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--12.2%---3.9%-2.2%-3.9%
Rev Chg Q16.5%11.3%---3.7%3.1%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%2.6%---0.9%0.8%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-8.6%1.8%--9.2%6.9%4.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.3%1.7%--9.5%6.7%4.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-0.2%---0.1%0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.6%1.7%--9.5%8.5%5.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%--10.5%9.2%9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.8%1.2%--4.9%4.1%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.9%--5.2%3.6%3.6%

Valuation

BTOCRLGTELOGSLGBUPSFDXMedian
NameArmlogi Radiant .Eastern .Smart Lo.United P.FedEx  
Mkt Cap0.00.3--85.666.633.4
P/S0.10.3--0.80.60.5
P/EBIT-1.7---9.08.58.5
P/E-1.618.3--12.913.012.9
P/CFO8.617.9--8.47.18.5
Total Yield-63.3%5.5%--15.4%10.2%7.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--7.6%2.5%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg----4.7%5.2%5.0%
D/E4.6---0.40.70.7
Net D/E4.3---0.30.60.6

Returns

BTOCRLGTELOGSLGBUPSFDXMedian
NameArmlogi Radiant .Eastern .Smart Lo.United P.FedEx  
1M Rtn16.3%12.2%-25.2%-35.3%7.2%7.1%7.2%
3M Rtn-47.7%12.1%-36.2%-22.0%25.6%12.1%
6M Rtn-61.6%13.6%--5.5%28.7%9.5%
12M Rtn-87.7%-4.3%---15.3%4.1%-9.8%
3Y Rtn-33.5%---34.0%75.3%33.5%
1M Excs Rtn15.5%11.5%-26.0%-36.0%6.5%6.4%6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-47.3%12.0%-32.2%-19.4%23.9%12.0%
6M Excs Rtn-74.0%1.2%---6.9%16.3%-2.8%
12M Excs Rtn-99.6%-16.6%---27.3%-9.1%-21.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--41.0%---104.0%1.3%-41.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Transportation services11597405
Warehousing services5237154
Other services0100
Total167135569


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity650,946
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-50.9%
Average Daily Volume223,722
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.91
Basic Shares Quantity42,462,207
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/25/2025-16.5%-30.5%-41.6%
5/15/20250.6%-8.9%-3.8%
9/26/20246.5%0.0%71.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive211
# Negative122
Median Positive3.6%0.0%71.5%
Median Negative-16.5%-19.7%-22.7%
Max Positive6.5%0.0%71.5%
Max Negative-16.5%-30.5%-41.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025925202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024926202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024611202410-Q 3/31/2024
63020235152024424B4 6/30/2023
63020229252023S-1 6/30/2022