Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 5.2%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%

Key risks
BSX key risks include [1] significant financial and reputational damage from product liability lawsuits and settlements for alleged defects or failures, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 5.2%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 4.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
7 Key risks
BSX key risks include [1] significant financial and reputational damage from product liability lawsuits and settlements for alleged defects or failures, Show more.

BSX in ETFs

Weight = BSX's share of each fund

SPY0.10%
VOO0.11%
IVV0.10%
VTI0.10%
ITOT0.09%
IWB0.10%
RSP0.18%
VUG0.20%
+26 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Boston Scientific (BSX) stock has lost about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Boston Scientific significantly reduced its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, citing unanticipated headwinds in key business segments.

On April 22, 2026, the company lowered its full-year sales growth outlook for fiscal 2026 from an initial range of 10.5%-11.5% to a revised range of 7%-8.5%. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance was decreased from $3.43-$3.49 to $3.34-$3.41 for the fiscal year. These revised expectations reflect a more challenging outlook than initially projected.

2. Weakness and competitive pressures in the Electrophysiology and Watchman franchises contributed to the lowered outlook.

Management specifically identified decelerating growth in the Pulsed Field Ablation (PFA) technology within its electrophysiology business and pressures on Watchman device volumes in the U.S., attributed to hospital capacity and reimbursement dynamics. Medtronic also appeared to be gaining market share in the electrophysiology segment. The company noted an underperformance in its urology segment as well. These company-specific operational challenges are expected to result in roughly flat Watchman revenue through fiscal Q3 2026.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Boston Scientific (BSX) stock has lost about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Boston Scientific significantly reduced its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, citing unanticipated headwinds in key business segments.

On April 22, 2026, the company lowered its full-year sales growth outlook for fiscal 2026 from an initial range of 10.5%-11.5% to a revised range of 7%-8.5%. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance was decreased from $3.43-$3.49 to $3.34-$3.41 for the fiscal year. These revised expectations reflect a more challenging outlook than initially projected.

2. Weakness and competitive pressures in the Electrophysiology and Watchman franchises contributed to the lowered outlook.

Management specifically identified decelerating growth in the Pulsed Field Ablation (PFA) technology within its electrophysiology business and pressures on Watchman device volumes in the U.S., attributed to hospital capacity and reimbursement dynamics. Medtronic also appeared to be gaining market share in the electrophysiology segment. The company noted an underperformance in its urology segment as well. These company-specific operational challenges are expected to result in roughly flat Watchman revenue through fiscal Q3 2026.

3. Analyst downgrades and reduced price targets followed the updated guidance.

Following Boston Scientific's revised guidance and concerns regarding its product segments, several Wall Street analysts lowered their price targets for BSX. For instance, Leerink Partners reduced its target from $87.00 to $74.00 on May 28, 2026, and Truist Financial cut its target from $85.00 to $64.00 on June 4, 2026. Wells Fargo set a lower target of $55.00 on May 28, 2026. The overall analyst sentiment, while still largely positive, reflected increased scrutiny on recovery timelines and competitive positioning.

4. Significant insider selling by the CEO during the period.

Michael F. Mahoney, Chairman, President & CEO of Boston Scientific, sold 160,901 shares for an estimated $15,043,394 over the past six months, with some transactions occurring within the specified period. This substantial insider selling action by a top executive may have contributed to negative investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -31.4% change in BSX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267152026Change
Stock Price ($)62.7543.04-31.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20,07520,6152.7%
Net Income Margin (%)14.4%17.3%19.8%
P/E Multiple32.117.9-44.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,4831,485-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-31.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BSX-31.4% 
Market (SPY)16.1%4.9%
Sector (XLV)8.0%38.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -54.9% change in BSX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257152026Change
Stock Price ($)95.3543.04-54.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,35020,6156.5%
Net Income Margin (%)14.4%17.3%19.9%
P/E Multiple50.617.9-64.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,4821,485-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-54.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BSX-54.9% 
Market (SPY)11.0%3.1%
Sector (XLV)2.7%19.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -59.9% change in BSX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -77.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257152026Change
Stock Price ($)107.4143.04-59.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,55320,61517.4%
Net Income Margin (%)11.6%17.3%49.4%
P/E Multiple78.117.9-77.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,4771,485-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-59.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BSX-59.9% 
Market (SPY)23.2%5.9%
Sector (XLV)19.0%23.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.4% change in BSX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237152026Change
Stock Price ($)54.0943.04-20.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,04520,61558.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.9%17.3%150.1%
P/E Multiple86.117.9-79.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,4361,485-3.3%
Cumulative Contribution-20.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BSX-20.4% 
Market (SPY)76.3%31.1%
Sector (XLV)24.9%35.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BSX Return18%9%25%55%7%-55%19%
Peers Return9%-8%5%3%14%-6%16%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BSX Win Rate42%58%58%83%67%0% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%52%50%60%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BSX Max Drawdown-17%-25%-11%-7%-16%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-25%-19%-13%-18%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MDT, ABT, JNJ, SYK, BDX. See BSX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/15/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventBSXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven42 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-18.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven90 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-40.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven401 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-17.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven44 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-15.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven43 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-10.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven64 days62 days

Compare to MDT, ABT, JNJ, SYK, BDX

In The Past

Boston Scientific's stock fell -15.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventBSXS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-40.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven401 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.2%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven468 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-22.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.8%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven184 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-53.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven116.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1754 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-21.3%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.1%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven2738 days47 days

Compare to MDT, ABT, JNJ, SYK, BDX

In The Past

Boston Scientific's stock fell -15.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 17.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Boston Scientific (BSX)

Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX) is a global medical technology leader that develops, manufactures, and markets a broad range of innovative medical devices. The company primarily serves various interventional medical specialties worldwide, focusing on less invasive diagnostic and therapeutic solutions to improve patient health across a wide spectrum of medical conditions.

The company's extensive product portfolio is organized across three main segments: MedSurg, Rhythm and Neuro, and Cardiovascular. Key offerings from the MedSurg segment include devices for diagnosing and treating gastrointestinal, pulmonary, urological, and pelvic conditions. In the Rhythm and Neuro segment, Boston Scientific provides implantable devices like pacemakers and defibrillators, alongside advanced cardiac mapping and ablation solutions for heart rhythm disorders, and neuromodulation systems for chronic pain and movement disorders. The Cardiovascular segment offers solutions for coronary artery disease (e.g., drug-eluting stents), peripheral arterial and venous diseases, structural heart conditions, and targeted cancer therapies using embolization and ablation.

Boston Scientific's primary customers are hospitals, clinics, and healthcare professionals globally who specialize in interventional procedures. These medical practitioners utilize BSX's technologies to diagnose and treat a wide array of conditions affecting the heart, nervous system, digestive tract, lungs, and various vascular systems, ultimately aiming to improve outcomes for millions of patients worldwide.

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1. Essentially a Medtronic-like company, specializing in a wide range of interventional medical devices.

2. Like the medical device arm of Johnson & Johnson, but purely focused on interventional technologies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Boston Scientific (BSX) develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices across various interventional specialties. Its major products include:

  • Gastrointestinal and Pulmonary Devices: Medical devices for diagnosing and treating conditions of the digestive system and lungs.
  • Urological and Pelvic Health Devices: Devices designed to treat various conditions affecting the urinary system and pelvic organs.
  • Cardiac Rhythm Management Devices: Implantable devices like defibrillators and pacemakers, along with remote monitoring systems, to manage heart rate and rhythm disorders.
  • Electrophysiology Technologies: Advanced tools including mapping and ablation catheters used to diagnose and treat complex heart rhythm disorders.
  • Neuromodulation Systems: Devices such as spinal cord and deep brain stimulators for managing chronic pain and neurological conditions.
  • Interventional Cardiology Products: A range of devices including drug-eluting stents, PCI products, imaging catheters, and structural heart therapies for treating coronary and structural heart diseases.
  • Peripheral Interventions Products: Devices like stents, balloons, and atherectomy systems used to treat arterial, venous, and other peripheral vascular diseases, including cancer therapies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Boston Scientific (BSX) sells its medical devices primarily to healthcare institutions and organizations worldwide. Due to the fragmented nature of the global healthcare market and the extensive range of Boston Scientific's product portfolio, they do not typically have a few named public companies that constitute "major customers" in the traditional sense. Instead, their customer base is broadly categorized as follows:

  • Hospitals and Health Systems: These institutions are the primary purchasers and end-users for a vast array of Boston Scientific's medical devices, utilized in various interventional specialties such as cardiology, gastroenterology, urology, and neurology. This category includes academic medical centers, community hospitals, and integrated delivery networks globally.
  • Ambulatory Surgical Centers (ASCs) and Specialty Clinics: For less invasive and outpatient procedures, ambulatory surgical centers and specialized clinics (e.g., cardiology clinics, endoscopy centers, pain management clinics) represent a significant and growing customer segment for many of Boston Scientific's devices.
  • Group Purchasing Organizations (GPOs) and Distributors: While not direct end-users of the medical devices, GPOs play a critical role by negotiating purchasing contracts on behalf of their member hospitals and health systems, effectively channeling sales. Distributors manage the logistics of product delivery to healthcare providers. Both are crucial intermediaries and major partners in Boston Scientific's sales and supply chain strategy.

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Michael F. Mahoney - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Michael F. Mahoney is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Boston Scientific Corporation. He joined Boston Scientific as President in October 2011, became CEO in November 2012, and assumed the role of Chairman in 2016. Prior to his tenure at Boston Scientific, Mahoney served as Worldwide Chairman of the Medical Devices and Diagnostics division of Johnson & Johnson. From 2001 to 2006, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of Global Healthcare Exchange (GHX), a company he built through organic development and strategic acquisitions, integrating seven acquisitions and expanding its operations into Europe and Canada. He began his career at General Electric Medical Systems, where he spent twelve years in various leadership roles within diagnostic imaging, cardiology, and healthcare information technology.

Jon Monson - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Jon Monson serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Boston Scientific, a position he assumed effective June 30, 2025. He has been with Boston Scientific for over 25 years, holding various roles of increasing responsibility within the finance organization. His previous positions include Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Global Controller, Chief Accounting Officer, and Vice President and Controller of the company's Urology business. Monson is a certified public accountant and holds a bachelor's degree in economics and accounting from the College of the Holy Cross.

Arthur C. Butcher - Executive Vice President and Group President, MedSurg and Asia Pacific

Arthur C. Butcher is the Executive Vice President and Group President for MedSurg and Asia Pacific at Boston Scientific. He has previously served as Senior Vice President and President of Endoscopy for the company.

Joseph M. Fitzgerald - Executive Vice President and Group President, Cardiology

Joseph M. Fitzgerald holds the position of Executive Vice President and Group President, Cardiology at Boston Scientific. He is responsible for the company's cardiology-related businesses.

Vance R. Brown - Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Vance R. Brown is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary at Boston Scientific. In this role, he oversees the company's legal affairs and corporate governance.

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The key risks to Boston Scientific's business operations and financial performance are primarily centered around its regulatory and legal environment, intense market competition, and the inherent product liability associated with medical devices.

  1. Legal and Regulatory Risks: Boston Scientific faces significant exposure to legal and regulatory challenges, which are frequently cited as the top risk category for the company. The company is currently dealing with multiple class-action lawsuits and a federal probe related to the AXIOS stent recall and disclosure allegations, which could result in substantial settlements, fines, and reputational damage. In the past, Boston Scientific has incurred billions in litigation-related charges, particularly from transvaginal mesh product liability cases. Recent Class I recalls, which indicate a high probability of serious adverse health consequences or death, have been issued for products such as the AXIOS Stent & Delivery System and certain pacemakers due to manufacturing flaws. Additionally, FDA safety alerts have been issued for Endotak Reliance defibrillator wires and Watchman implants due to reported injuries and deaths. Changes in healthcare regulations, reimbursement policies, and the evolving ethical and regulatory landscape of medical AI also present ongoing risks.
  2. Competition and Technological Obsolescence: The medical device industry is highly competitive and technology-driven, requiring continuous innovation. Boston Scientific faces intense competition from established rivals and new market entrants, particularly in key segments like electrophysiology, where competitive pressures are reportedly increasing and impacting market share. There is a constant risk that competitors will introduce more effective, advanced, or cheaper products, or that Boston Scientific's own products may become technologically obsolete. The company has also experienced setbacks, such as disappointing clinical results in the transcatheter heart valve space, which can diminish opportunities in important growth markets. Maintaining momentum and market leadership requires sustained investment in research and development and successful clinical outcomes for new products.

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The rise of gene therapy and other advanced precision medicine approaches that aim to cure or prevent diseases at a genetic or cellular level represents a clear emerging threat. Many of Boston Scientific's devices address the symptoms or mechanical issues of chronic conditions (e.g., cardiovascular disease, chronic pain, certain cancers, neurological disorders). If these underlying diseases can be effectively treated or prevented through targeted biological interventions, the demand for device-based therapies could significantly diminish.

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Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX) operates in several large and growing addressable markets for its medical devices across its MedSurg, Rhythm and Neuro, and Cardiovascular segments.

Cardiovascular Segment

  • Structural Heart Devices: The global structural heart devices market was estimated at approximately USD 16.13 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 50.99 billion by 2033. North America accounted for the largest revenue share in 2024.
  • Interventional Cardiology Devices: The global interventional cardiology devices market was valued at approximately USD 29.41 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 42.39 billion by 2031. North America held the largest global revenue share in 2025.
  • Peripheral Vascular Devices: The global peripheral vascular device market was valued at approximately USD 10.67 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 18.51 billion by 2034. North America led the global market with a 40.8% market share in 2024. The broader global interventional cardiology and peripheral vascular devices market was valued at USD 27.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 60.8 billion by 2035.

Rhythm and Neuro Segment

  • Cardiac Rhythm Management Devices: The global cardiac rhythm management devices market was valued at approximately USD 23.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 39.7 billion by 2034. The U.S. cardiac rhythm management devices market accounted for USD 11.1 billion in 2024. North America dominated the global market in 2024.
  • Spinal Cord Stimulators: The global spinal cord stimulator market is expected to increase from approximately USD 3,437 million in 2024 to USD 7,243.98 million by 2032. North America is the largest market for spinal cord stimulators.
  • Deep Brain Stimulation Systems: The global deep brain stimulation devices market was estimated at approximately USD 1.54 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 4.43 billion by 2035. North America captured approximately 41.88% of the market share in 2025.

MedSurg Segment

  • Gastrointestinal Devices: The global gastrointestinal devices market was estimated at USD 11.11 billion in 2024, growing to USD 11.79 billion in 2025, and is projected to reach USD 16.38 billion in 2029. North America commanded 39.62% of revenue in 2025.
  • Urology and Pelvic Health Devices: The global urology devices market was estimated at USD 36.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 73.5 billion in 2034. North America currently holds the largest share of the global urology devices market.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Boston Scientific (BSX)

Over the next 2-3 years, Boston Scientific (BSX) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key strategic areas and product innovations:

  1. Electrophysiology (EP) Innovations: The company anticipates significant growth from its Electrophysiology portfolio, particularly with the continued adoption of its FARAPULSE pulsed-field ablation (PFA) system. Strong market demand for PFA technology and the planned launch of next-generation devices like FARAPULSE Ultra are expected to fuel this segment's expansion. The global PFA market is projected to experience substantial growth.
  2. Structural Heart Therapies (WATCHMAN): Continued strong adoption of the WATCHMAN FLX Pro device for left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) is a key growth driver. The potential impact of ongoing clinical trials, such as the CHAMPION-AF trial, could further enhance the WATCHMAN business.
  3. Interventional Cardiology & Vascular Therapies (ICVT): Boston Scientific expects robust sales growth within its Interventional Cardiology and Vascular Therapies segments. The company's strategy in capturing market share, capitalizing on recent acquisitions, and launching new products like Seismic IVL contributes to this growth.
  4. Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions are a crucial component of Boston Scientific's growth strategy. Recent and planned acquisitions, such as Valencia Technologies Corporation and Penumbra, are anticipated to expand capabilities in areas like neurovascular and thrombectomy, thereby contributing to overall revenue growth.
  5. MedSurg Segment Growth (Urology and Neuromodulation): The company's diverse MedSurg product lines, specifically urology and neuromodulation, are demonstrating strong market demand and are expected to continue their growth trajectory through successful product launches and market penetration.

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Share Repurchases

  • Boston Scientific expanded its stock repurchase program by an additional $4 billion, increasing the total authorization to $5 billion, effective February 18, 2026. All authorized funds are currently available for use.

Share Issuance

  • In 2025, Boston Scientific received $282 million from stock issuances related to employee stock plans.

Outbound Investments

  • Boston Scientific has pursued a strategy of acquisitions to strengthen its core businesses and expand into high-growth adjacent markets. Acquisitions contributed 420 basis points to sales in the third quarter of 2025, resulting in 15.3% organic revenue growth.
  • Key acquisitions include the agreement to acquire Penumbra in January 2026 for $14.5 billion, which is expected to expand capabilities in neurovascular and thrombectomy, and Valencia Technologies Corporation in January 2026 to enhance urology offerings.
  • Other significant acquisitions in the last 3-5 years include Axonics, Inc. for $3.7 billion in November 2024, Silk Road Medical, Inc. for $1.16 billion in June 2024, Relievant Medsystems, Inc. for $850 million in November 2023, and Baylis Medical for $1.75 billion in October 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures are projected to increase from 4.7% of revenue in 2024 to 7% of revenue by 2030, aimed at maintaining high-growth rates, increasing production capabilities, and investing in new projects.
  • The company is making substantial investments in its supply chain and manufacturing infrastructure, including expanding its manufacturing footprint in China, Costa Rica, and Malaysia, and integrating AI and automation into its manufacturing network.

Better Bets vs. Boston Scientific (BSX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BSXMDTABTJNJSYKBDXMedian
NameBoston S.MedtronicAbbott L.Johnson .Stryker Becton D. 
Mkt Price43.0480.4789.27247.02316.44154.88122.07
Mkt Cap63.9103.1155.6595.0121.243.5112.1
Rev LTM20,61536,36345,13496,36225,27021,36630,816
Op Inc LTM4,1066,8277,70525,7925,1233,0935,975
FCF LTM3,2985,4267,37817,4134,5713,0574,998
FCF 3Y Avg2,5255,2706,31918,0743,6692,8954,470
CFO LTM4,3417,3309,46422,8705,3753,8316,352
CFO 3Y Avg3,5437,0548,51923,6154,3783,6305,716

Growth & Margins

BSXMDTABTJNJSYKBDXMedian
NameBoston S.MedtronicAbbott L.Johnson .Stryker Becton D. 
Rev Chg LTM17.4%8.4%6.6%7.9%8.8%6.4%8.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.5%5.2%2.9%4.4%10.1%4.4%4.8%
Rev Chg Q11.6%9.9%7.8%9.9%2.6%5.2%8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%2.5%1.8%2.3%0.6%1.1%2.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM26.6%4.4%8.0%20.7%12.3%22.3%16.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg24.4%5.8%3.9%5.7%15.0%8.2%7.0%
Op Mgn LTM19.9%18.8%17.1%26.8%20.3%14.5%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.5%18.4%16.6%25.6%19.9%13.2%18.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.1%-1.1%-0.4%0.1%0.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM21.1%20.2%21.0%23.7%21.3%17.9%21.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.9%20.7%19.9%26.2%18.8%17.8%19.9%
FCF/Rev LTM16.0%14.9%16.3%18.1%18.1%14.3%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.0%15.5%14.8%20.1%15.7%14.2%15.1%

Valuation

BSXMDTABTJNJSYKBDXMedian
NameBoston S.MedtronicAbbott L.Johnson .Stryker Becton D. 
Mkt Cap63.9103.1155.6595.0121.243.5112.1
P/S3.12.83.46.24.82.03.3
P/Op Inc15.615.120.223.123.714.117.9
P/EBIT15.615.017.922.923.119.318.6
P/E17.921.524.828.336.338.226.5
P/CFO14.714.116.426.022.511.315.6
Total Yield5.6%8.2%6.7%5.6%3.8%5.3%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.5%2.7%2.1%1.1%2.7%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%4.6%3.2%4.1%2.7%5.0%3.6%
D/E0.20.30.20.10.10.40.2
Net D/E0.10.20.20.10.10.40.2

Returns

BSXMDTABTJNJSYKBDXMedian
NameBoston S.MedtronicAbbott L.Johnson .Stryker Becton D. 
1M Rtn-8.0%1.0%1.4%4.8%3.0%6.4%2.2%
3M Rtn-33.4%-6.8%-11.5%4.1%-7.0%0.3%-6.9%
6M Rtn-54.1%-17.1%-27.3%14.3%-11.5%-3.7%-14.3%
12M Rtn-58.4%-6.9%-30.5%63.2%-18.2%13.2%-12.5%
3Y Rtn-18.8%1.3%-12.0%68.7%7.7%-19.4%-5.3%
1M Excs Rtn-10.1%-0.7%0.1%0.7%-0.3%4.0%-0.1%
3M Excs Rtn-41.2%-16.5%-19.2%-5.2%-17.0%-8.5%-16.7%
6M Excs Rtn-63.6%-24.1%-35.6%10.6%-20.5%-10.0%-22.3%
12M Excs Rtn-79.5%-28.2%-51.3%40.7%-39.1%-6.8%-33.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.1%-69.0%-82.5%-2.7%-61.4%-90.6%-75.8%

Comparison Analyses

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA205098  VARITHENApolidocanolsolution1125201310.0%7.9%8.2%54.6%262.0%
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA205098  VARITHENApolidocanolsolution1125201310.0%7.9%8.2%54.6%262.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cardiovascular13,26610,7118,7147,5997,212
MedSurg6,8295,9735,3784,8054,616
Impact of foreign currency fluctuations-216414933847
Other   -6013
Total20,07416,74814,24112,68211,888


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cardiovascular4,3033,1472,2811,7481,888
MedSurg2,2682,0461,8341,4581,524
Amortization expense-897-856-828-803-741
Corporate expenses, including hedging activities and impact of foreign currency fluctuations on-958-663-37796-406
Goodwill and other intangible asset impairment charges, acquisition/divestiture-related net charges-1,102-1,070-567-789-1,070
Other   -604
Total3,6142,6042,3431,6501,199


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Goodwill18,28217,08914,38712,92011,988
Cardiovascular7,9997,0845,9885,2054,417
Other intangible assets, net7,0196,6846,0035,9026,121
All other corporate assets6,9815,4465,8695,9417,525
MedSurg3,3923,0932,8882,5012,178
Total43,67339,39635,13532,46932,229


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.04 
Market Cap ($ Bil)63.9 
First Trading Date05/19/1992 
Distance from 52W High-60.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$50.26$76.55
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-14.4%-43.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.7%35.8%
Downside Capture105.2595.66
Upside Capture-100.59-29.61
Correlation (SPY)-0.4%5.2%
BSX Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.15-0.250.240.130.190.56
Up Beta-0.96-0.590.440.210.370.66
Down Beta-0.29-0.32-0.48-0.89-0.510.56
Up Capture-60%-96%-43%-33%-12%13%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days8172755114398
Down Capture74%93%148%141%109%82%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days13243670137350

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BSX
BSX-58.9%35.6%-2.41-
Sector ETF (XLV)18.8%15.8%0.9024.5%
Equity (SPY)21.9%12.6%1.305.8%
Gold (GLD)21.0%27.9%0.677.3%
Commodities (DBC)29.1%18.9%1.22-0.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.6%13.9%0.6112.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.2%42.9%-1.32-0.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BSX
BSX-0.4%26.0%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.8%14.9%0.2146.7%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.5943.7%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.4%0.768.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%19.5%0.356.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.7%18.9%0.0436.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.8%53.5%0.4417.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BSX
BSX6.3%27.4%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.0%16.6%0.4959.4%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7457.4%
Gold (GLD)11.1%16.1%0.565.3%
Commodities (DBC)6.7%18.0%0.2918.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2049.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.9%66.2%0.9812.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6152026-6.1%
Average Daily Volume23.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,484.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/22/20269.0%-1.8%-4.8%
2/4/2026-17.6%-19.0%-20.3%
10/22/20254.0%1.1%-2.9%
7/23/20254.5%3.2%2.8%
4/23/20254.1%8.1%10.1%
2/5/20251.4%2.4%-2.6%
10/23/2024-0.6%-3.9%2.5%
7/24/2024-1.1%-5.8%0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161515
# Negative899
Median Positive3.7%3.5%2.8%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.9%-4.8%
Max Positive9.0%9.2%11.3%
Max Negative-17.6%-19.0%-20.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/22/20269.0%-1.8%-4.8%
2/4/2026-17.6%-19.0%-20.3%
10/22/20254.0%1.1%-2.9%
7/23/20254.5%3.2%2.8%
4/23/20254.1%8.1%10.1%
2/5/20251.4%2.4%-2.6%
10/23/2024-0.6%-3.9%2.5%
7/24/2024-1.1%-5.8%0.3%
4/24/20245.7%4.2%9.2%
1/31/20243.0%5.5%7.8%
10/26/2023-0.4%3.3%11.3%
7/27/20230.5%-3.4%-3.8%
4/26/2023-0.0%3.5%1.6%
2/1/20232.8%4.0%2.2%
10/26/20221.2%3.5%6.3%
7/27/20226.2%9.2%8.4%
4/27/20221.1%-1.9%-5.9%
2/2/2022-4.7%1.5%1.1%
10/27/2021-1.3%-2.5%-8.2%
7/27/20213.5%4.3%2.0%
4/28/20214.3%2.2%-1.4%
2/3/20212.2%7.1%3.5%
10/28/2020-5.5%-2.5%-6.9%
7/29/20204.0%-2.9%2.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161515
# Negative899
Median Positive3.7%3.5%2.8%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.9%-4.8%
Max Positive9.0%9.2%11.3%
Max Negative-17.6%-19.0%-20.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/23/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q
06/30/201907/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/9/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue Growth5.5%6.5%7.5% -4.8%Lower NewGuidance: 11.25% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Organic Revenue Growth5.0%6.0%7.0% -3.2%Lower NewGuidance: 9.25% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 EPS0.820.830.845.1% Higher NewGuidance: 0.79 for Q1 2026
2026 Revenue Growth7.0%7.75%8.5% -3.2%LoweredGuidance: 11.0% for 2026
2026 Organic Revenue Growth6.5%7.25%8.0% -3.2%LoweredGuidance: 10.5% for 2026
2026 EPS3.343.383.41-2.5% LoweredGuidance: 3.46 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Net Sales Growth (Reported)10.5%11.25%12.0% -4.2%Lower NewGuidance: 15.5% for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Net Sales Growth (Organic)8.5%9.25%10.0% -2.8%Lower NewGuidance: 12.0% for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EPS0.780.790.81.3%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 0.78 for Q4 2025
2026 Net Sales Growth (Reported)10.5%11.0%11.5%   
2026 Net Sales Growth (Organic)10.0%10.5%11.0%   
2026 Adjusted EPS3.433.463.4914.2% Higher NewGuidance: 3.03 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/22/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue Growth14.5%15.5%16.5% -2.5%Lower NewGuidance: 18.0% for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Organic Revenue Growth11.0%12.0%13.0% -1.0%Lower NewGuidance: 13.0% for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 EPS0.480.50.5211.1% Higher NewGuidance: 0.45 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted EPS0.770.780.799.9% Higher NewGuidance: 0.71 for Q3 2025
2025 Revenue Growth 20.0%  1.5%RaisedGuidance: 18.5% for 2025
2025 Organic Revenue Growth 15.5%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 14.5% for 2025
2025 EPS1.971.992.014.2% RaisedGuidance: 1.91 for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPS3.023.033.042.0% RaisedGuidance: 2.97 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Pegus, Cheryl DirectBuy521202656.491,77099,98799,987Form
2Ludwig, Edward J DirectBuy521202656.683,580202,9141,437,348Form
3Habiger, David C DirectBuy521202655.922,250125,819776,051Form
4Habiger, David C DirectBuy521202656.952,200125,279662,158Form
5Mahoney, Michael FChairman, President & CEODirectSell203202693.49160,90115,043,394131,989,772Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Pegus, Cheryl DirectBuy521202656.491,77099,98799,987Form
2Ludwig, Edward J DirectBuy521202656.683,580202,9141,437,348Form
3Habiger, David C DirectBuy521202655.922,250125,819776,051Form
4Habiger, David C DirectBuy521202656.952,200125,279662,158Form
5Mahoney, Michael FChairman, President & CEODirectSell203202693.49160,90115,043,394131,989,772Form
6Butcher, Arthur CEVP& Grp Pres, MedSurg & APACDirectSell12022025101.5517,3131,758,1892,396,653Form
7Zane, Ellen M DirectSell1106202598.2812,8911,266,9782,371,984Form
8Fitzgerald, Joseph MichaelEVP & Group Pres, CardiologyDirectSell1104202599.4750,0004,973,33817,739,100Form
9Zane, Ellen M DirectSell10282025102.242,901296,5992,467,465Form
10Zane, Ellen M DirectSell10282025101.139,9901,010,3012,734,082Form
11Fitzgerald, Joseph MichaelEVP & Group Pres, CardiologyDirectSell1001202598.4750,0004,923,32717,560,719Form
12Fitzgerald, Joseph MichaelEVP & Group Pres, CardiologyDirectSell9032025105.4350,0005,271,41618,802,299Form
13Fitzgerald, Joseph MichaelEVP & Group Pres, CardiologyDirectSell8042025104.6350,0005,231,67018,660,530Form
14Butcher, Arthur CEVP& Grp Pres, MedSurg & APACDirectSell8042025104.6317,3131,811,5202,469,351Form
15Fujimori, Yoshiaki DirectSell7302025106.992,901310,378222,646Form
16Ludwig, Edward J DirectSell7282025106.034,000424,1201,959,330Form
17Fitzgerald, Joseph MichaelEVP & Group Pres, CardiologyDirectSell7022025106.9750,0005,348,31519,076,584Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 16, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Prosight Management, LP$49.9 Mil8.2%46ADD +278.8%13F
DKRT Investments Corp.$27.3 Mil6.9%48New13F
Catalio Capital Management, LP$18.8 Mil3.9%41TRIM -17.0%13F
Eagle Health Investments LP$18.4 Mil3.9%26New13F
BlueSpruce Investments, LP$19.2 Mil3.0%10New13F
Atle Fund Management AB$8.8 Mil2.9%39TRIM -62.8%13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$50.1 Mil2.4%41New13F
Mirova US LLC$138.3 Mil1.6%42ADD +60.8%13F
Unisphere Establishment$175.9 Mil1.5%50ADD +28.8%13F
Exane Asset Management$6.4 Mil1.3%32New13F
Cadian Capital Management, LP$10.7 Mil1.3%23New13F
Think Investments LP$8.5 Mil1.2%30New13F
MKP Capital Management, L.L.C.$34.4 Mil1.1%19New13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$35.4 Mil0.6%44ADD +11846.4%13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$6.6 Mil0.1%36TRIM -48.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$50.1 Mil2.4%41New13F
MKP Capital Management, L.L.C.$34.4 Mil1.1%19New13F
DKRT Investments Corp.$27.3 Mil6.9%48New13F
BlueSpruce Investments, LP$19.2 Mil3.0%10New13F
Eagle Health Investments LP$18.4 Mil3.9%26New13F
Cadian Capital Management, LP$10.7 Mil1.3%23New13F
Think Investments LP$8.5 Mil1.2%30New13F
Exane Asset Management$6.4 Mil1.3%32New13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$35.4 Mil0.6%44ADD +11846.4%13F
Prosight Management, LP$49.9 Mil8.2%46ADD +278.8%13F
Mirova US LLC$138.3 Mil1.6%42ADD +60.8%13F
Unisphere Establishment$175.9 Mil1.5%50ADD +28.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$513.5 Mil5.6%23ExitedDec 31, 202513F
SurgoCap Partners LP$244.0 Mil6.8%17ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Tri Locum Partners LP$49.6 Mil6.4%15ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Iron Triangle Partners LP$40.1 Mil4.6%27ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Atle Fund Management AB$8.8 Mil2.9%39TRIM -62.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$6.6 Mil0.1%36TRIM -48.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Catalio Capital Management, LP$18.8 Mil3.9%41TRIM -17.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Unisphere Establishment$175.9 Mil1.5%50ADD +28.8%13F
Mirova US LLC$138.3 Mil1.6%42ADD +60.8%13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$50.1 Mil2.4%41New13F
Prosight Management, LP$49.9 Mil8.2%46ADD +278.8%13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$35.4 Mil0.6%44ADD +11846.4%13F
MKP Capital Management, L.L.C.$34.4 Mil1.1%19New13F
DKRT Investments Corp.$27.3 Mil6.9%48New13F
BlueSpruce Investments, LP$19.2 Mil3.0%10New13F
Catalio Capital Management, LP$18.8 Mil3.9%41TRIM -17.0%13F
Eagle Health Investments LP$18.4 Mil3.9%26New13F
Cadian Capital Management, LP$10.7 Mil1.3%23New13F
Atle Fund Management AB$8.8 Mil2.9%39TRIM -62.8%13F
Think Investments LP$8.5 Mil1.2%30New13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$6.6 Mil0.1%36TRIM -48.1%13F
Exane Asset Management$6.4 Mil1.3%32New13F

BSX Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

Neutral / Watch

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Boston Scientific's key growth engines are decelerating due to intense competition, forcing a significant guidance cut to 6.5% to 8% organic growth. While the stock has de-rated, the thesis now hinges on management's ability to stabilize market share and successfully integrate the pending $14.500 billion Penumbra acquisition to create a new growth vector.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Transactional Product Sales

Volume of procedures using BSX devices x Price per device Mix shift towards innovative, higher-margin products within the Cardiovascular segment, such as FARAPULSE and WATCHMAN.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Has the guidance cut created a credible new base for growth?

Evidence suggests a painful but necessary reset, with the stock's sharp decline pricing in much of the near-term competitive headwinds in its core cardiovascular franchises.

Mechanism: Stabilizing growth at the new 6.5% to 8% full-year organic target and closing the $14.500 billion Penumbra acquisition in 2026 could reset the narrative, allowing focus to shift from market share defense to a more diversified growth profile.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Full-year 2026 organic growth guidance was lowered to 6.5% to 8%.
  • Operating margin expanded 1.4 percentage points to a five-year peak of 19.9%.
  • The company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Penumbra for $14.5 billion.
  • A $2 billion accelerated share repurchase agreement was announced in May 2026.
PRIMARY RISK
Structural Erosion of EP Moat

Competitors are gaining significant ground in the high-growth PFA market, suggesting the recent slowdown is not a temporary setback but a permanent loss of leadership that will pressure growth and margins for the foreseeable future.

Mechanism: Failure to meet the lowered Q2 2026 organic growth guidance of 5% to 7%.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Electrophysiology organic growth decelerated to 22% in Q1 2026 from 63% in Q3 2025.
  • Management now expects global EP business to grow approximately 10% in 2026.
  • Peer Medtronic's Cardiac Ablation business reported 78% worldwide growth.
  • Management acknowledged losing more market share than anticipated in the last quarter.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Electrophysiology (EP) Organic Growth22% organic growth for Q1 2026 - DeceleratingThe sharp deceleration from very high levels is attributed to increased competition in the Pulsed Field Ablation (PFA) market. Management has lowered the full-year 2026 growth outlook for the global EP business to approximately 10%, citing "ongoing competitive dynamics" and greater than anticipated share erosion.
WATCHMAN Organic Growth19% organic growth for Q1 2026 - DeceleratingThe slowdown is attributed to the "annualization of the initial concomitant adoption tailwind and a softening in stand-alone WATCHMAN cases." Management has lowered the full-year 2026 growth outlook for the franchise to mid-teens.
Patients treated with FARAPULSEover 500,000 (As of Q3 2025 (10/22/2025))Indicates the adoption and market penetration of the company's key Pulsed Field Ablation (PFA) technology in the Electrophysiology market.
Patients treated with WATCHMANover 600,000 (As of Q3 2025 (10/22/2025))Measures the cumulative adoption of the company's market-leading Left Atrial Appendage Closure (LAAC) device, a key growth driver.
Core Investment Debate

Credible Reset vs. Structural Decline?

BULL VIEW

The sharp guidance cut to 6.5% to 8% organic growth was a necessary 'kitchen-sink' that de-risks estimates. The stock's 10.0% reaction to the news suggests the market agrees the worst is priced in, creating a low bar for management to beat.

CORE TENSION

Can the lowered-8% growth guidance stabilize the narrative against reported 78% growth in a competing ablation business?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
NEUTRAL

The latest evidence favors the bears. The multi-quarter deceleration is confirmed, and management acknowledged losing more share than anticipated, making the competitive threat a tangible, ongoing issue.

BEAR VIEW

The guidance cut reflects an accelerating loss of market share, with EP growth now guided to 10% vs. a 15% market. Medtronic's 78% growth in its competing unit shows this is a structural problem, not a temporary blip.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
8/17/2026
Peer Competitive Read-Through
Watch: Peers' commentary on EP market share, PFA adoption rates, and overall procedural volumes in cardiovascular markets.
10/13/2026
Peer Johnson & Johnson Earnings
Watch: Peer Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is scheduled to report earnings.
10/13/2026
Peer Abbott Laboratories Earnings
Watch: Peer Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is scheduled to report earnings.
10/20/2026
Growth Deceleration Confirmation
Watch: Whether Q3 results and Q4 guidance show stabilization or further deterioration in key growth franchises.
10/20/2026
Company Earnings Report
Watch: Boston Scientific is scheduled to report its next earnings.
in the second half of 2026
Penumbra Acquisition Uncertainty
Watch: Announcements regarding FTC clearance, deal closing, or potential remedies required by regulators.
No set date
Securities Litigation Developments
Watch: Court filings regarding class certification, motions to dismiss, or potential settlement discussions.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-05-18
Capital Allocation and Pipeline News
Details: The company announced a $2 billion accelerated share repurchase, a strategic investment in MiRus LLC, and positive results from its FRACTURE IDE trial for the SEISMIQ catheter.
+7.8%
$52.68 -> $56.81
2026-04-22
Q1 Earnings and Guidance Cut
Details: The company reported Q1 2026 results and lowered its full-year 2026 guidance for revenue growth and EPS, citing a more challenging year than expected.
+10.4%
$59.52 -> $65.69
2026-03-16
FTC Scrutinizes Penumbra Deal
Details: The company and Penumbra each received a request for additional information (Second Request) from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission regarding the proposed acquisition.
+3.0%
$69.13 -> $71.20
2026-02-04
Q4 Earnings and Cautious Guidance
Details: The company reported Q4 2025 results and issued cautious 2026 guidance that disappointed investors, causing the stock to fall 17.6% to $75.50 on February 4, 2026.
-15.3%
$91.62 -> $77.64
2026-01-15
Penumbra Acquisition Announced
Details: The company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Penumbra, Inc. for approximately $14.5 billion, to be funded with cash, ~$11 billion in new debt, and common stock.
-6.0%
$93.74 -> $88.07
Risk Management
Position Sizing

2% - 4%

REDUCED POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: BSX trades at roughly 43% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (3.3x the market), around the 95th percentile of its own trailing year. A 2% - 4% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
MDT - Medtronic
Direct Competitor Winning Share

Medtronic offers direct exposure to the company that is currently winning the market share battle in the critical PFA segment, evidenced by its 78% growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions.

Core Thesis: Capitalize on a direct competitor that is successfully executing and capturing share in a high-growth cardiovascular market.
ABT - Abbott Laboratories
Diversified MedTech Peer

Abbott provides a more diversified medical device portfolio while still competing in Electrophysiology, where it recently launched two new PFA catheters to challenge for share.

Core Thesis: Gain exposure to the broader medical device market through a large, diversified player actively competing in key growth areas.
How Is The Market Pricing BSX?

A high-growth MedTech leader whose premium valuation is predicated on continued dominance in its key Cardiovascular growth engines (EP and WATCHMAN), which are now facing heightened execution risk.

Boston Scientific's growth story hinges on its innovative, high-margin Cardiovascular portfolio, particularly the FARAPULSE ablation system and WATCHMAN device. However, the company recently lowered its 2026 guidance due to increased competition and shifting market dynamics in these core areas, leading to a significant stock price decline and a repricing of expectations. The key question for the next 6-12 months is whether management can stabilize these franchises and successfully integrate the large-scale Penumbra acquisition to reignite growth.

What will confirm the thesis

Stabilization or re-acceleration of growth in the EP and WATCHMAN franchises, a smooth closing and integration of the Penumbra acquisition, and positive data from key clinical trials like the FRACTURE IDE trial.

What will damage the thesis

Further guidance reductions, continued market share erosion in Electrophysiology, persistent weakness in stand-alone WATCHMAN procedures, or significant delays/issues with the Penumbra acquisition.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Transient supply chain disruptions flagged by management, minor fluctuations in currency exchange rates, or early-stage legal maneuvers in the disclosed class action lawsuits.

Repricing Catalyst

The stock has been significantly de-rated following the Q1 2026 earnings report where the company lowered its full-year 2026 guidance, citing headwinds in EP and WATCHMAN. This has created a "show-me" story for investors. A pending securities class action lawsuit related to prior disclosures about the EP business adds to the uncertainty.

What BSX Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Cardiovascular
$13.3B TTM (66% of Total) · 32% Margin
What It Is

Sells a portfolio of devices and therapies to physicians for diagnosing and treating complex cardiovascular diseases. Key businesses include Interventional Cardiology & Vascular Therapies (stents, balloons, imaging catheters), WATCHMAN (left atrial appendage closure), Electrophysiology (ablation systems like FARAPULSE), Cardiac Rhythm Management (defibrillators, pacemakers), and Interventional Oncology.

Who Pays & How

Hospitals and clinics purchase these devices for use in procedures, billing third-party payers. They choose BSX for products that offer differentiated clinical and economic outcomes, enabling physicians to perform procedures safely and effectively, often in a less-invasive manner.

Transactional unit sales of devices.
Competition
Medtronic (MDT), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and Stryker (SYK) are named as primary competitors.
Some competitors may have greater financial and marketing resources. In certain markets like China, local domestic companies may have an advantage.
The ability to develop or acquire innovative, scientifically advanced technologies, protect intellectual property, and offer products that deliver differentiated clinical and economic outcomes.
MedSurg
$6.8B TTM (34% of Total) · 33% Margin
What It Is

Sells minimally invasive devices to physicians across three main businesses: Endoscopy (for gastrointestinal conditions), Urology (for kidney stones, BPH, etc.), and Neuromodulation (for chronic pain and movement disorders).

Who Pays & How

Hospitals and clinics purchase these devices for use in procedures, billing third-party payers. They are chosen for a broad range of high-performance solutions that address unmet patient needs and can reduce healthcare costs.

Transactional unit sales of devices.
Competition
Competitors include large, diversified manufacturers and smaller, specialized medical device companies. Specific names for this segment are not broken out from the overall competitor list.
Competitors may have greater financial resources or offer low-cost alternatives. Non-medical device companies (e.g., pharma) can also offer alternative therapies.
A broad portfolio of high-performance solutions, a global sales infrastructure, and continued investment in R&D to develop next-generation technologies.
BSX Evolution: Price Return by Era
2021-2025 · Cardiovascular Acceleration (2021-2025)
+170%
This period was characterized by a significant acceleration in the Cardiovascular segment, which grew from $7,212 million to $13,266 million in revenue. This growth was increasingly driven by new, innovative platforms, particularly the launch and rapid adoption of the FARAPULSE PFA system in Electrophysiology, and strong momentum in the WATCHMAN franchise.
2026- · Strategic Expansion and Execution Test (2026-forward)
-55%
Following a period of rapid growth, 2026 marks a test of execution as the company faces increased competition in its key growth markets, leading to a guidance reduction. The strategy is now focused on defending its leadership in PFA, navigating market shifts in WATCHMAN, and integrating the large-scale acquisition of Penumbra (~$14.5B) to enter the high-growth thrombectomy market.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is in a downtrend. Multiple SMA levels broken and declining. Thesis requires reclaiming 200D before any bull case is credible. Relative to SPY: Lagging the market on the 63D window, but 'relative strength' is beginning to stabilize; watch for inflection. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
-4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-4 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Downtrend · -
2 Momentum Accelerating
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Underperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Distribution
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/15/2026