Tearsheet

Bullfrog AI (BFRG)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $0.5101 | Market Cap: $5.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology

Bullfrog AI (BFRG)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $0.5101
Market Cap: $5.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Technology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.5
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5652%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 866%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4733%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4733%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -114%
5   Key risks
BFRG key risks include [1] a narrow cash runway raising substantial doubts about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.5
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5652%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 866%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4733%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4733%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -114%
9 Key risks
BFRG key risks include [1] a narrow cash runway raising substantial doubts about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bullfrog AI (BFRG) stock has lost about 50% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Continued Unprofitability and Increasing Losses: Bullfrog AI has consistently reported unprofitability, with net income for fiscal year 2025 recorded at -$6.5 million and operating income at -$6.59 million. Over the past five years, the company's losses have increased at an average annual rate of 37.1%.

2. Insignificant Revenue Generation: Despite ongoing product development and collaborations, Bullfrog AI has struggled to generate substantial revenue. The company reported $0.00 in revenue for Q4 2025, a 100% decrease from the previous quarter, and its annual revenue for the twelve months ending December 31, 2025, was only $116.67 thousand. This minimal revenue stream indicates a lack of significant commercial traction for its AI platforms.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.2% change in BFRG stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.000.51-49.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple89.050.4-43.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1012-10.2%
Cumulative Contribution-49.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFRG-49.2% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%36.3%
Sector (XLV)-8.7%19.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -58.0% change in BFRG stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -85.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.210.51-58.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00250.8%
P/S Multiple353.150.4-85.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1012-16.1%
Cumulative Contribution-58.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFRG-58.0% 
Market (SPY)0.6%41.6%
Sector (XLV)5.2%18.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -75.7% change in BFRG stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253292026Change
Stock Price ($)2.090.51-75.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)009.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple50.4 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)812-29.7%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFRG-75.7% 
Market (SPY)9.8%39.1%
Sector (XLV)-2.1%21.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -82.8% change in BFRG stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820233292026Change
Stock Price ($)2.950.51-82.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)00.0%
P/S Multiple50.40.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)612-51.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BFRG-82.8% 
Market (SPY)69.4%24.5%
Sector (XLV)18.4%11.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BFRG Return---32%-39%-56%-39%-89%
Peers Return9%-14%-25%3%-4%-24%-46%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BFRG Win Rate--55%33%25%0% 
Peers Win Rate44%38%46%47%45%20% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BFRG Max Drawdown---49%-54%-57%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-50%-42%-31%-37%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OMCL, MDRX, BEAT, VEEV, SOLV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Bullfrog AI (BFRG)

Most new therapeutics will fail at some point in preclinical or clinical development. This is the primary driver of the high cost of developing new therapeutics. A major part of the difficulty in developing new therapeutics is efficient integration of complex and highly dimensional data generated at each stage of development to de-risk subsequent stages of the development process. Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI/ML) has emerged as a digital solution to help address this problem. We use artificial intelligence and machine learning to advance medicines for both internal and external projects. We are committed to increasing the probability of success and decreasing the time and cost involved in developing therapeutics. Most current AI/ML platforms still fall short in their ability to synthesize disparate, high-dimensional data for actionable insight. Our platform technology, named, bfLEAP™, is an analytical AI/ML platform derived from technology developed at The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU-APL), which is able to surmount the challenges of scalability and flexibility currently hindering researchers and clinicians by providing a more precise(1), multi-dimensional understanding of their data. We are deploying bfLEAP™ for use at several critical stages of development for internal programs and through strategic partnerships and collaborations with the intention of streamlining data analytics in therapeutics development, decreasing the overall development costs by decreasing failure rates for new therapeutics, and impacting the lives of countless patients that may otherwise not receive the therapies they need. The bfLEAP™ platform utilizes both supervised and unsupervised machine learning – as such, it is able to reveal real/meaningful connections in the data without the need for a prior hypothesis. Supervised machine learning uses labeled input and output data, while an unsupervised learning algorithm does not. In supervised learning, the algorithm “learns” from the training dataset by iteratively making predictions on the data and adjusting for the correct answer. Unsupervised learning, also known as unsupervised machine learning, uses machine learning algorithms to analyze and cluster unlabeled datasets. These algorithms discover hidden patterns or data groupings without the need for human intervention. Algorithms used in the bfLEAP™ platform are designed to handle highly imbalanced data sets to successfully identify combinations of factors that are associated with outcomes of interest. Together with our strategic partners and collaborators, our primary goal is to improve the odds of success at any stage of pre-clinical and clinical therapeutics development. Our primary business model is improving the success and efficiency of drug development which is accomplished either through acquisition of drugs or partnerships and collaborations with companies that are developing drugs. We hope to accomplish this through strategic acquisitions of current clinical stage and failed drugs for in-house development, or through strategic partnerships with biopharmaceutical industry companies. We are able to pursue our drug asset enhancement business by leveraging a powerful and proven AI/ML platform (trade name: bfLEAP™) initially derived from technology developed at JHU-APL. We believe the bfLEAP™ analytics platform is a potentially disruptive tool for analysis of pre-clinical and/or clinical data sets, such as the robust pre-clinical and clinical trial data sets being generated in translational R&D and clinical trial settings. In November 2021, we amended the agreement with JHU-APL to include additional advanced AI technology. On July 8, 2022, the Company entered into an exclusive, world-wide, royalty-bearing license from JHU-APL for the additional technology developed to enhance the bfLEAP™ platform. The July 8, 2022 JHU-APL license provides the Company with new intellectual property and also encompasses most of the intellectual property from the February 2018 license. We believe bfLEAP™ will inform/enable decision making throughout the development cycle: . 1. Discovery Phase – Analyze and categorize discovery phase data to better define highest-value leads from groups of candidates, for advancement to preclinical phase of development. Integrate data from high-throughput screening, pharmacodynamics assays, pharmacokinetics assays, and other key data sets to create the most accurate profile of a pool of therapeutic candidates. There is often a high degree of similarity among closely related therapeutics in a candidate pool – bfLEAP™ is able to harmonize disparate data streams for a more nuanced understanding of each candidate’s characteristics/potency. . 2. Pre-Clinical Data - Large-scale/multivariate analysis of pre-clinical and/or early-stage clinical data sets. In these settings, bfLEAP could be used to find novel drug targets, elucidate mechanism of action (MOA), predict potential off-target effects/side effects, uncover specific genetic/phenotypic background(s) with highest correlation to therapeutic response, etc. These insights from bfLEAP™ analysis can be used to inform decision making/study design at the subsequent step(s) of therapeutic/diagnostic development, including first-inhuman/Phase I RCTs. . 3. Clinical Development - Advanced/multivariate analysis of PhI and/or PhII clinical trials data, to find niche populations of highly responsive patients and/or inform patient selection for later-stage CT(s). This can be used to decrease overall study risk for larger clinical trials - including Phase II trials, and any Phase III Registration Clinical Trials. The bfLEAP™ platform analysis can also be used to more precisely understand complex correlations between therapeutic treatment and adverse events, side effects, and other undesirable responses which could jeopardize clinical trial success. Our platform is agnostic to the disease indication or treatment modality and therefore we believe that it is of value in the development of biologics or small molecules. The process for our drug asset enhancement program is to: . acquire the rights to a drug from a biopharmaceutical industry company or academia; . use the proprietary bfLEAP™ AI/ML platform to determine a multi-factorial profile for a patient that would best respond to the drug; . rapidly conduct a clinical trial to validate the drug’s use for the defined “high-responder” population; and . divest/sell the rescued drug asset with the new information back to a large player in the pharma industry, following positive results of the clinical trial. As part of our strategy, we will continue evolving our intellectual property, analytical platform and technologies, build a large portfolio of drug candidates, and implement a model that reduces risk and increases the frequency of cash flow from rescued drugs. This strategy will include strategic partnerships, collaborations, and relationships along the entire drug development value chain, as well as acquisitions of the rights to developing failed drugs and possibly the underlying companies. To date, we have not conducted clinical trials on any pharmaceutical drugs and our platform has not been used to identify a drug candidate that has received regulatory approval for commercialization. However, wecurrently have a strategic relationship with a leading rare disease non-profit organization for AI/ML analysis of late stage clinical data. We have also positioned the Company to acquire the rights to a series of preclinical and early clinical drug assets from universities, as well as a strategic collaboration with a world renowned research institution to create a HSV1 viral therapeutic platform to engineer immunotherapies for a variety of diseases. In addition, we have signed exclusive world-wide license agreements with Johns Hopkins University for a cancer drug that targets glioblastoma (brain cancer), pancreatic cancer, and other cancers. We have also signed an exclusive worldwide license with George Washington University for another cancer drug that targets hepatoceullar carcinoma (liver cancer), and other liver diseases. Our platform was originally developed by the JHU-APL. JHU-APL uses the same technology for applications related to national defense. Over several years, the software and algorithms have been used to identify relationship, patterns, and anomalies, and make predictions that otherwise may not be found. These discoveries and insights provide an advantage when predicting a target of interest, regardless of industry or sector. We have applied the technology to various clinical data sets and have identified novel relationships that may provide new intellectual property, new drug targets, and other valuable information that may help with patient stratification for a clinical trial thereby improving the odds for success. The platform has not yet aided in the development of a drug that has reached commercialization. However, we own one drug candidate that has completed a phase 1 trial and a second candidate that is in the preclinical stages . Our aim is to use our technology on current and future available data to help us better determine the optimal path for development While we have not generated significant revenues from our AI/ML operations, we anticipate generating revenue in the future from the following three sources: Contract Services Our fee for service partnership offering model is designed for biopharmaceutical companies, as well as other organizations, of all sizes that have challenges analyzing data throughout the drug development process. We provide the customer with an analysis of large complex data sets using our proprietary Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning platform called bfLEAP™. This platform is designed to predict targets of interest, patterns, relationships, and anomalies. Our service model involves a cash fee plus the potential for rights to new intellectual property generated from the analysis, which can be performed at the discovery, preclinical, or clinical stages of drug development. Collaborative Arrangements We plan to enter into collaborative arrangements with biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies who have drugs that are in development or have failed late Phase 2 or Phase 3 trials. The collaborations may also be at the discovery or preclinical stages of drug development. Our revenue will be a combination of fee for service cash payments and success fees based on achieving certain milestones as determined by each specific arrangement. There may also be fees or legal rights associated with the development of new intellectual property. Acquisition of Rights to Certain Drugs We may acquire the rights to drugs that have failed late Phase 2 or Phase 3 trials and generate revenues by using our platform to accurately determine the profile of patients that would respond to the drugs, conduct a clinical trial to test our findings either independently or with a clinical partner, and finally sell the drug back to pharmaceutical companies. We have and may continue acquiring the rights to drugs that have not yet failed any trials. We will use our technology to improve the chances for success, conduct a trial, and divest the asset. When divesting assets, the transaction may involve a combination of upfront payments, milestone payments based on clinical success, and royalties on sales of the product. (1) In an August 2021 publication in DeepAI.org (https://deepai.org/publication/random-subspace-mixture-models-for-interpretable-anomaly-detection), the algorithms used in bfLEAP were compared to 10 of the most popular clustering algorithms in the world using 12 data sets. The end result showed that the algorithms used in bfLEAP had the highest average score when measuring speed and accuracy of prediction. The bfLEAP platform currently has more advanced versions of these algorithms and is applying them in multiple data analytics projects. Bullfrog AI Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in the State of Nevada on February 6, 2020. Bullfrog AI Holdings, Inc. is the parent company of Bullfrog AI, Inc. and Bullfrog AI Management, LLC. which were incorporated in Delaware and Maryland, in 2017 and 2021, respectively. All of our operations are currently conducted through BullFrog AI Holdings, Inc. The Company’s principal business address is 325 Ellington Blvd, Unit 317, Gaithersburg, MD.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Bullfrog AI (BFRG):

  • Palantir for drug development: Bullfrog AI leverages a sophisticated AI/ML platform, similar to how Palantir uses advanced data analytics for complex problems, but specifically applies it to uncover insights and improve decision-making in the challenging field of therapeutic development.
  • The "Moneyball" for pharmaceuticals: Just as the "Moneyball" strategy used data analytics to find undervalued players and optimize baseball team performance, Bullfrog AI uses its AI/ML platform to identify optimal patient populations and development paths for drugs, aiming to "rescue" failed assets or increase the success rate of new ones.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Contract Services (AI/ML Data Analysis): Provides fee-for-service analysis of complex drug development data using its proprietary bfLEAP™ AI/ML platform for external biopharmaceutical companies at discovery, preclinical, or clinical stages.
  • Collaborative Drug Development: Enters into arrangements with biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies to apply its bfLEAP™ platform to drugs in development or those that have failed, earning revenue through cash payments, success fees, and intellectual property rights.
  • Drug Asset Enhancement and Divestiture: Acquires rights to drug candidates, including those that have failed late-stage trials or are early-stage, uses its bfLEAP™ platform to optimize their development path and identify specific patient populations, conducts further trials, and then divests the de-risked assets to larger pharmaceutical companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bullfrog AI (BFRG) primarily sells its services and enhanced drug assets to other companies and organizations within the biopharmaceutical industry, rather than to individuals. While the company has not yet generated significant revenue from its AI/ML operations, its business model and stated strategy define its target customers. Its major target customer categories are:
  1. Biopharmaceutical Companies (Biotechnology and Pharmaceutical Companies): These companies are the primary targets for Bullfrog AI's contract services, which involve providing AI/ML analysis of complex data sets throughout the drug development process. They are also sought for collaborative arrangements involving drugs in development or those that have failed late-stage clinical trials.
  2. Large Pharmaceutical Companies: Specifically identified as potential buyers for drug assets that Bullfrog AI acquires, enhances using its bfLEAP™ platform, validates through clinical trials, and then divests.
  3. Other Organizations (involved in drug development): This broader category, explicitly mentioned under contract services, includes various entities that may require advanced AI/ML data analysis for drug discovery, preclinical, or clinical stages. This could encompass non-profit organizations or research institutions engaged in therapeutic development.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
  • Johns Hopkins University
  • George Washington University

AI Analysis | Feedback

Vin Singh
Chairman and CEO

Vin Singh is the Founder, Chairman, and CEO of Bullfrog AI Holdings, Inc. since its inception in August 2017. He is a serial entrepreneur with 25 years of experience in the life sciences and biotechnology industries. Singh founded and built several investor-backed companies, including Next Healthcare Inc., a personalized diagnostics and adult cell banking service, and co-founded MaxCyte Inc. (NASDAQ: MXCT), a cell therapy company. He also served as an executive at GlobalStem Inc. and ThermoFisher Scientific, where he led their global cell therapy services business.

Josh Blacher, MBA
Chief Financial Officer

Josh Blacher is the Chief Financial Officer at Bullfrog AI Holdings, Inc., bringing over two decades of financial leadership in the life science and biotech sectors. His background includes roles as CFO at Predictive Oncology, Rampart Bioscience, and Excision BioTherapeutics, and he has held senior positions at Teva Pharmaceuticals. Blacher has a proven track record in financial stewardship, capital raising, operations, profitability, and deal-making, overseeing SEC reporting and investor relations for both private and publicly traded companies.

Praveen Kudithipudi, MD, MBA
Chief Business Development Officer

Praveen Kudithipudi is the Chief Business Development Officer at BullFrog AI Holdings, Inc. He brings over 19 years of experience spanning life sciences, biotech, bioinformatics, pharmaceutical, and technology sectors.

Antonio V. Montano
Chief Marketing Officer & Growth Strategy Leader

Antonio V. Montano serves as the Chief Marketing Officer & Growth Strategy Leader. His experience includes a mix of life sciences, biotech, bioinformatics, pharmaceutical, and technology sectors, spanning over 19 years.

JT Koffenberger
Chief Information Officer

JT Koffenberger has over 30 years of experience leveraging IT services for business, developing expertise that includes providing advanced solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Key Business Risks for Bullfrog AI (BFRG)

  1. Lack of Commercialized Drugs or Regulatory Approvals Leveraging the bfLEAP™ Platform: Bullfrog AI's core business model is built on using its AI/ML platform, bfLEAP™, to improve the success and efficiency of drug development. However, the company explicitly states, "To date, we have not conducted clinical trials on any pharmaceutical drugs and our platform has not been used to identify a drug candidate that has received regulatory approval for commercialization." and "The platform has not yet aided in the development of a drug that has reached commercialization." This means the company has not yet demonstrated the commercial viability or regulatory success of its platform in bringing a drug to market, which is fundamental to its value proposition and future revenue generation.
  2. Dependence on Successful Strategic Partnerships, Collaborations, and Acquisitions for Revenue Generation and Drug Development: The company's anticipated revenue streams heavily rely on contract services and collaborative arrangements with biopharmaceutical companies, as well as the acquisition, development, and subsequent divestment of drug assets. The success of these initiatives depends on securing suitable partners and assets, the effective application of the bfLEAP™ platform, successful clinical trials, and the ability to find buyers for divested drug assets. Each of these steps introduces significant external dependencies and inherent risks associated with drug development and market transactions.
  3. Significant Capital Requirements and Reliance on Future Revenue Generation: Bullfrog AI has acknowledged, "While we have not generated significant revenues from our AI/ML operations, we anticipate generating revenue in the future..." The company's strategy involves acquiring rights to drug candidates, conducting clinical trials, and continuously evolving its intellectual property and platform, all of which are capital-intensive activities. Without substantial current revenue, the company's ability to fund these operations and achieve its long-term goals is dependent on future funding or the successful execution and commercialization of its initial ventures, posing a financial risk.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for Bullfrog AI's main products and services, which revolve around the application of artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) to drug discovery and development, is significant within the global pharmaceutical industry. The global artificial intelligence in drug discovery market size was estimated to be between approximately $2.35 billion and $19.89 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow substantially, with estimates ranging from approximately $4 billion to $24.51 billion by 2026. Looking further out, projections for the global market size by 2033-2036 range from approximately $13.77 billion to $160.49 billion. North America is a dominant region within this global market, holding a significant revenue share, for example, 52.85% in 2025 according to one estimate. Bullfrog AI's efforts to improve the success and efficiency of drug development operate within the broader context of global pharmaceutical R&D spending. Global biopharmaceutical R&D investment reached $276 billion in 2021. Other estimates indicate that global pharmaceutical R&D spending was $251 billion in 2022 and is estimated to reach $350 billion by 2029. More than $230 billion was invested globally in pharmaceutical R&D in 2025. The global R&D expenditure in the pharmaceutical industry was $200 billion in 2023 and is expected to increase by approximately 5-7% annually. This spending is forecast to reach $254 billion by 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bullfrog AI (BFRG) anticipates its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years to be driven by three primary strategies:

  1. Growth in Contract Services: The company plans to offer its proprietary bfLEAP™ AI/ML platform as a fee-for-service model to biopharmaceutical companies and other organizations. These services will involve analyzing large, complex data sets at the discovery, preclinical, or clinical stages of drug development to predict targets, patterns, relationships, and anomalies. Revenue from this source will include cash fees and potentially rights to new intellectual property generated from the analysis.

  2. Expansion of Collaborative Arrangements: Bullfrog AI intends to enter into more collaborative agreements with biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies. These collaborations will focus on drugs in development or those that have failed late Phase 2 or Phase 3 trials, as well as discovery and preclinical stage drugs. Revenue from these arrangements will be a combination of fee-for-service cash payments and success fees based on achieving specific milestones, potentially including fees or legal rights associated with new intellectual property development.

  3. Successful Acquisition and Divestment of Drug Assets: A key driver involves acquiring the rights to drugs, particularly those that have failed late-stage clinical trials (Phase 2 or Phase 3), or even preclinical and early clinical drug assets. Bullfrog AI will then utilize its bfLEAP™ platform to determine optimal patient profiles for these drugs, conduct clinical trials to validate these findings, and subsequently divest or sell the "rescued" drug assets back to larger pharmaceutical companies. These transactions are expected to generate revenue through upfront payments, milestone payments tied to clinical success, and royalties on product sales.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Expenditures

  • On July 8, 2022, Bullfrog AI entered into an exclusive, worldwide, royalty-bearing license from The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU-APL) for additional technology developed to enhance the bfLEAP™ platform.
  • The company has signed exclusive worldwide license agreements with Johns Hopkins University for a cancer drug targeting glioblastoma, pancreatic cancer, and other cancers.
  • An exclusive worldwide license has been signed with George Washington University for a cancer drug targeting hepatocellular carcinoma (liver cancer) and other liver diseases.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
QDEL_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026QDELQuidelOrthoInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
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CHE_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026CHEChemedDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
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LLY_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026LLYEli LillyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
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HAE_2202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02202026HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.5%3.5%0.0%
IQV_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.1%7.1%-3.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BFRGOMCLMDRXBEATVEEVSOLVMedian
NameBullfrog.Omnicell Veradigm HeartBeamVeeva Sy.Solventum 
Mkt Price0.5132.754.651.14172.5962.7618.70
Mkt Cap0.01.50.50.028.210.91.0
Rev LTM01,18558803,1958,325886
Op Inc LTM-75-20-21916631-1
FCF LTM-66983-141,415-1032
FCF 3Y Avg-6110-79-141,13980752
CFO LTM-6127116-141,415369121
CFO 3Y Avg-6165-22-141,1391,15680

Growth & Margins

BFRGOMCLMDRXBEATVEEVSOLVMedian
NameBullfrog.Omnicell Veradigm HeartBeamVeeva Sy.Solventum 
Rev Chg LTM-6.5%1.8%-16.3%0.9%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--2.7%-20.1%-14.1%--2.7%
Rev Chg Q-2.3%-9.7%-16.0%-3.7%-0.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%0.6%-2.5%-3.7%-0.9%0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-5,652.4%0.4%-3.3%-28.7%7.6%0.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--0.9%4.4%-24.0%13.4%8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM231.5%-1.0%-13.3%-0.8%-0.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-4,733.2%10.7%19.7%-44.3%4.4%10.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.5%-4.1%-40.8%14.1%14.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-4,733.2%5.9%14.2%-44.3%-0.1%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.7%-14.2%-40.8%9.8%9.7%

Valuation

BFRGOMCLMDRXBEATVEEVSOLVMedian
NameBullfrog.Omnicell Veradigm HeartBeamVeeva Sy.Solventum 
Mkt Cap0.01.50.50.028.210.91.0
P/S50.61.20.9-8.81.31.3
P/EBIT-0.9285.3-8.7-1.930.85.32.2
P/E-0.9717.4-5.8-2.031.17.03.1
P/CFO-1.111.64.3-2.920.029.78.0
Total Yield-110.2%0.1%-17.2%-51.1%3.2%14.2%-8.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-36.6%5.8%-1.4%-20.0%3.3%--1.4%
D/E0.00.10.40.00.00.50.1
Net D/E-0.4-0.0-0.5-0.1-0.20.4-0.2

Returns

BFRGOMCLMDRXBEATVEEVSOLVMedian
NameBullfrog.Omnicell Veradigm HeartBeamVeeva Sy.Solventum 
1M Rtn-12.3%-20.3%-5.1%-24.5%-5.2%-15.4%-13.9%
3M Rtn-46.6%-29.4%3.3%-53.3%-23.2%-22.0%-26.3%
6M Rtn-64.1%6.6%0.0%-31.7%-40.5%-12.1%-21.9%
12M Rtn-70.1%-6.5%9.4%-41.5%-26.3%-16.0%-21.2%
3Y Rtn-83.0%-41.9%-64.0%-47.0%-3.7%-9.2%-44.4%
1M Excs Rtn-9.5%-14.1%2.7%-18.6%2.2%-10.6%-10.1%
3M Excs Rtn-41.5%-20.3%4.5%-47.9%-14.5%-13.6%-17.4%
6M Excs Rtn-60.9%10.9%13.0%-27.3%-34.8%-7.4%-17.3%
12M Excs Rtn-84.7%-16.4%-2.2%-52.7%-38.2%-27.0%-32.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-142.4%-103.0%-125.9%-116.6%-62.5%-70.9%-109.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025
Advancing drug development using Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI/ML) to analyze0
Total0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025
Advancing drug development using Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI/ML) to analyze0
Total0


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.51 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date02/14/2023 
Distance from 52W High-75.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.60$1.11
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-14.7%-54.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility106.7%100.1%
Downside Capture2.402.48
Upside Capture144.45165.27
Correlation (SPY)35.0%36.3%
BFRG Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.503.183.373.501.941.96
Up Beta6.557.285.843.841.361.10
Down Beta3.892.341.852.291.681.98
Up Capture149%36%153%324%233%1114%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days815224697314
Down Capture317%357%384%303%169%113%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days13263873136406

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BFRG
BFRG-71.8%99.8%-0.85-
Sector ETF (XLV)0.3%17.6%-0.1320.7%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5936.3%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.469.1%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.8518.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.1518.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%44.2%-0.4932.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BFRG
BFRG-35.3%122.9%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.0%14.5%0.2311.3%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5424.6%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.965.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.507.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.0714.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%56.6%0.2911.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BFRG
BFRG-19.6%122.9%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.7%16.5%0.4811.3%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6724.6%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.705.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.397.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1914.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.4%66.8%1.0611.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-15.0%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity11.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202303/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/24/202310-Q
12/31/202204/25/202310-K
09/30/202202/16/2023424B4
06/30/202210/19/2022S-1

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Singh, VininderChief Executive OfficerDirectSell70820251.5029,00243,6253,448,297Form
2Singh, VininderChief Executive OfficerDirectSell70320251.537,40511,3303,572,613Form
3Singh, VininderChief Executive OfficerDirectSell70320251.577,55411,8563,652,991Form
4Singh, VininderChief Executive OfficerDirectSell70320251.616,0399,7253,738,460Form
5Singh, VininderChief Executive OfficerDirectSell40420251.305,8957,6863,054,315Form