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Baxter International (BAX)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $19.06 | Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment

Baxter International (BAX)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $19.06
Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.5%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 229x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -93%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 229x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BAX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback


1. Baxter International's Q3 2025 earnings report on October 30, 2025, showed a revenue miss despite an EPS beat, leading to a significant stock price decline. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.69, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.60. However, quarterly revenue of $2.84 billion fell short of analysts' expectations of $2.88 billion. This revenue miss, coupled with revised guidance, caused the stock to plunge by as much as 14.5% to 16.2% in pre-market trading.

2. The company issued a downward revision of its full-year 2025 financial outlook on October 30, 2025. Baxter lowered its fiscal year 2025 adjusted earnings guidance from a previous range of $2.42-$2.52 per share to $2.35-$2.40 per share. Additionally, the projected sales growth from continuing operations was cut from 6%-7% to 4%-5% on a reported basis, and from 3%-4% to 1%-2% on an operational basis. This marked the second time in 2025 that Baxter had trimmed its annual outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BAX Return-3%8%-40%-22%-22%-34%-75%
Peers Return11%9%-8%5%3%16%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BAX Win Rate50%42%25%42%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%50%52%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BAX Max Drawdown-14%-7%-41%-36%-24%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-7%-20%-10%-6%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDT, BDX, JNJ, ABT, SYK. See BAX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBAXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-23.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-34.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1385 days1480 days

Compare to ABT, BSX, BDX, EW, CAH


In The Past

Baxter International's stock fell -64.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -64.6% loss requires a 182.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Baxter International (BAX)

Better Bets than Baxter International (BAX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BAX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Baxter International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BAXMDTBDXJNJABTSYKMedian
NameBaxter I.MedtronicBecton D.Johnson .Abbott L.Stryker  
Mkt Price19.1599.87200.89211.58125.46354.09163.17
Mkt Cap9.8128.057.6509.5218.6135.4131.7
Rev LTM11,02334,75821,84092,14943,84324,38129,570
Op Inc LTM4116,7192,98824,1467,7134,7855,752
FCF LTM2305,2062,67118,6796,9174,0734,640
FCF 3Y Avg6574,9172,61917,8145,9653,2824,099
CFO LTM7497,1133,43124,2049,1194,8325,972
CFO 3Y Avg1,1486,6263,40623,2098,1323,9525,289

Growth & Margins

BAXMDTBDXJNJABTSYKMedian
NameBaxter I.MedtronicBecton D.Johnson .Abbott L.Stryker  
Rev Chg LTM3.9%5.3%8.2%5.1%6.4%11.0%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.5%4.1%5.0%6.1%-0.6%10.8%4.6%
Rev Chg Q5.0%6.6%8.4%6.8%6.9%10.2%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%1.6%2.1%1.7%1.7%2.4%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%19.3%13.7%26.2%17.6%19.6%18.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.6%18.6%13.4%26.4%16.3%19.5%17.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.1%-0.1%1.7%0.2%0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.8%20.5%15.7%26.3%20.8%19.8%20.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%19.9%16.7%26.4%19.5%17.8%18.6%
FCF/Rev LTM2.1%15.0%12.2%20.3%15.8%16.7%15.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%14.8%12.8%20.3%14.3%14.7%14.5%

Valuation

BAXMDTBDXJNJABTSYKMedian
NameBaxter I.MedtronicBecton D.Johnson .Abbott L.Stryker  
Mkt Cap9.8128.057.6509.5218.6135.4131.7
P/S1.13.72.64.85.35.84.3
P/EBIT229.519.021.513.827.029.524.2
P/E-34.326.934.317.816.748.022.3
P/CFO15.618.016.818.425.629.318.2
Total Yield0.6%6.5%5.0%8.4%7.7%3.0%5.8%
Dividend Yield3.5%2.8%2.1%2.7%1.7%0.9%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%4.3%4.1%4.4%3.0%2.6%3.9%
D/E0.80.20.40.10.10.10.2
Net D/E0.70.20.30.10.00.10.1

Returns

BAXMDTBDXJNJABTSYKMedian
NameBaxter I.MedtronicBecton D.Johnson .Abbott L.Stryker  
1M Rtn3.7%4.2%4.6%8.7%-3.9%-2.2%4.0%
3M Rtn-20.1%7.0%8.1%19.6%-5.8%-7.4%0.6%
6M Rtn-37.0%16.3%17.9%36.5%-6.7%-5.7%5.3%
12M Rtn-35.7%25.1%-9.0%48.7%12.8%-4.6%4.1%
3Y Rtn-59.3%41.9%-15.4%30.6%22.6%48.9%26.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%4.6%5.5%9.9%-2.3%-3.3%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn-22.7%4.5%5.5%16.8%-7.3%-9.1%-1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-51.2%2.0%3.7%22.3%-20.9%-20.0%-9.0%
12M Excs Rtn-51.1%10.3%-20.4%33.0%-2.5%-19.8%-11.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-134.1%-30.1%-87.3%-42.7%-46.7%-22.9%-44.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Medical Products and Therapies5,0114,815   
Healthcare Systems and Technologies3,0132,939   
Pharmaceuticals2,2492,1262,2912,0982,155
Other87177109105485
Kidney Care 4,449   
Acute Therapies  782740535
Advanced Surgery  977886877
BioPharma Solutions  669486 
Clinical Nutrition  964910872
Front Line Care  70  
Global Surgical Solutions  27  
Medication Delivery  2,8802,6912,799
Patient Support Systems  115  
Renal Care  3,9003,7573,639
Total10,36014,50612,78411,67311,362


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Medical Products and Therapies972962   
Healthcare Systems and Technologies483494   
Pharmaceuticals401391   
Other1877   
Acquisition and integration items0-213   
Goodwill impairments0-2,812   
Hurricane Helene costs0    
Long-lived asset impairments0-344   
Loss on product divestiture arrangement0-54   
Loss on subsidiary liquidation0-21   
Product-related items0-44   
Legal matters-70   
European Medical Devices Regulation-41-48   
Business optimization items-174-225   
Unallocated corporate costs-355-54   
Intangible asset amortization expense-590-753   
Investigation and related costs 0   
Kidney Care 408   
Separation-related costs -7   
Total707-2,243   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity33,142,899
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202513.0%
Average Daily Volume7,626,319
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.35
Basic Shares Quantity514,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-14.5%-19.9%-14.9%
7/31/2025-22.4%-19.8%-13.0%
5/1/2025-1.6%-1.4%-1.6%
2/3/2025-2.8%-6.0%7.4%
11/8/2024-3.9%-12.0%-11.2%
8/6/20246.6%6.6%9.2%
5/2/2024-8.5%-11.4%-14.8%
2/8/20242.7%0.7%11.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive666
# Negative181818
Median Positive3.4%3.4%8.3%
Median Negative-4.6%-9.1%-8.4%
Max Positive6.6%6.6%12.4%
Max Negative-22.4%-19.9%-16.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021