Aviat Networks (AVNW)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $20.78 | Market Cap: $268.4 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Aviat Networks (AVNW)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $20.78Market Cap: $268.4 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Network Equipment, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% Key risksAVNW key risks include [1] material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting that have resulted in accounting errors and [2] soft demand in critical U.S. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Network Equipment, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Key risksAVNW key risks include [1] material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting that have resulted in accounting errors and [2] soft demand in critical U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Aviat Networks (AVNW) stock has lost about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Aviat Networks significantly missed analyst expectations for its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings and revenue, leading to an immediate sharp stock price decline. The company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.06 for the quarter ended March 27, 2026, missing the consensus analyst estimates of $0.42 to $0.48 by 85.71% to 87.5%. Additionally, total revenues of $100.0 million fell short of analyst consensus estimates, which ranged from $106.39 million to $107.53 million, representing a 7% miss. This poor performance resulted in the stock plummeting approximately 34.73% in after-hours trading following the earnings announcement on May 4, 2026.
2. The decline in fiscal Q3 2026 revenue and gross margins was primarily due to geopolitical tensions and project timing disruptions. Aviat Networks' total revenues for fiscal Q3 2026 decreased by $12.6 million, or 11.2%, to $100.0 million compared to $112.6 million in the fiscal Q3 2025. This decrease was attributed to approximately $9 million in "geopolitical-driven timing disruptions," including revenue delays related to conflict in the Middle East, as well as the timing of capital expenditure plans by mobile network operators. The company also experienced a compression in its GAAP gross margin, which fell to 29.3% in fiscal Q3 2026 from 34.9% in the comparable prior-year quarter.
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Aviat Networks (AVNW) stock has lost about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Aviat Networks significantly missed analyst expectations for its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings and revenue, leading to an immediate sharp stock price decline. The company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.06 for the quarter ended March 27, 2026, missing the consensus analyst estimates of $0.42 to $0.48 by 85.71% to 87.5%. Additionally, total revenues of $100.0 million fell short of analyst consensus estimates, which ranged from $106.39 million to $107.53 million, representing a 7% miss. This poor performance resulted in the stock plummeting approximately 34.73% in after-hours trading following the earnings announcement on May 4, 2026.
2. The decline in fiscal Q3 2026 revenue and gross margins was primarily due to geopolitical tensions and project timing disruptions. Aviat Networks' total revenues for fiscal Q3 2026 decreased by $12.6 million, or 11.2%, to $100.0 million compared to $112.6 million in the fiscal Q3 2025. This decrease was attributed to approximately $9 million in "geopolitical-driven timing disruptions," including revenue delays related to conflict in the Middle East, as well as the timing of capital expenditure plans by mobile network operators. The company also experienced a compression in its GAAP gross margin, which fell to 29.3% in fiscal Q3 2026 from 34.9% in the comparable prior-year quarter.
3. Aviat Networks updated its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, reflecting the impact of the Q3 headwinds. Following the weaker-than-expected fiscal Q3 results, the company updated its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting revenue between $428 million and $440 million and Adjusted EBITDA between $35.0 million and $40.0 million. While management anticipated a seasonally strong fiscal Q4 to help restore gross margins, the revised outlook for the current fiscal year contributed to investor uncertainty regarding the company's near-term performance.
4. The persistence of material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting raised concerns about operational and financial reliability. As of March 27, 2026, Aviat Networks continued to have material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting. The ongoing presence of these weaknesses can impact investor confidence regarding the accuracy and reliability of the company's financial reporting and its overall operational efficiency.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.1% change in AVNW stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.61 | 20.77 | -8.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 447 | 434 | -2.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.3% | 2.1% | -36.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.9 | 29.8 | 49.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVNW | -8.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.1% | 25.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 36.0% | 20.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.9% change in AVNW stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.38 | 20.77 | -2.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 453 | 434 | -4.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.0% | 2.1% | -29.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.4 | 29.8 | 46.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVNW | -2.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.0% | 30.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 25.7% | 22.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.6% change in AVNW stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.05 | 20.77 | -13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 436 | 434 | -0.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 0.6 | -11.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVNW | -13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.1% | 36.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 43.4% | 28.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.8% change in AVNW stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.37 | 20.77 | -37.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 333 | 434 | 30.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.8% | 2.1% | -45.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.9 | 29.8 | -0.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 13 | -11.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -37.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AVNW | -37.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.8% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 111.9% | 25.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AVNW Return | 88% | -3% | 5% | -45% | 18% | -4% | 21% |
| Peers Return | 46% | -34% | -12% | 88% | 176% | 62% | 617% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AVNW Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 42% | 83% | 83% | 71% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AVNW Max Drawdown | -33% | -28% | -36% | -64% | -38% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -49% | -23% | -30% | -46% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CIEN. See AVNW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AVNW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -25.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 543 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Aviat Networks's stock fell -26.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | AVNW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -25.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 543 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -51.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -65.0% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 185.5% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 445 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -52.9% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2419 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -54.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3391 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Aviat Networks's stock fell -26.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Aviat Networks (AVNW)
Aviat Networks, Inc. (AVNW) is a global provider of wireless transport solutions, specializing in the essential infrastructure that enables various communication networks to operate efficiently and reliably. The company focuses on simplifying network complexities for its customers by delivering products and services related to wireless data transmission, particularly for the critical links that wirelessly move information.
Aviat's primary products are advanced wireless transmission systems designed for microwave and millimeter wave networking applications. These systems are crucial for creating high-capacity, robust wireless links in scenarios where traditional fiber optic cables might be impractical or too expensive to deploy. Beyond hardware, Aviat complements its product offerings with a comprehensive suite of professional and support services, assisting customers with the design, deployment, and ongoing maintenance of these complex wireless communication networks.
The company serves a broad range of customers, including communications service providers who require robust backhaul and access infrastructure for their mobile and fixed networks. Additionally, Aviat caters to various private network operators in critical sectors such as state and local government, utility companies, federal government agencies, and defense organizations, all of whom depend on secure and dedicated wireless communication capabilities for their operations.
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- The Cisco for wireless network backbones.
- A specialized Motorola Solutions for critical wireless infrastructure.
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- Wireless Transmission Systems: These systems facilitate microwave and millimeter wave networking for various wireless transport applications.
- Professional and Support Services: These services enable customers to simplify their networks through expert deployment, maintenance, and ongoing assistance for Aviat's solutions.
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Aviat Networks (AVNW) sells primarily to other companies and organizations.
Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Communications service providers
- Private network operators, which include:
- State/local government organizations
- Utility companies
- Federal government organizations
- Defense organizations
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- Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (2317.TW)
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Mr. Smith was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Aviat Networks in January 2020. He has over 25 years of leadership experience in business management. Prior to joining Aviat, Mr. Smith served as Senior Vice President, US Windows and Canada for Jeld-Wen. He also held the role of President of Polypore International's Transportation and Industrial segment, where he helped prepare the public company for sale to the Asahi Kasei Group. Earlier, he was Chief Executive Officer and a director of Voltaix Inc. until its sale to Air Liquide. His career also includes executive leadership positions at Fortune 100 and Fortune 500 companies such as Cooper Industries, Dover Knowles Electronics, and Honeywell Specialty Materials. Mr. Smith previously served on the board of Soleras Advanced Coatings.
Andrew C. Schmidt Senior Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerMr. Schmidt was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Aviat Networks, effective December 3, 2025. He brings over 25 years of senior financial leadership, including more than 20 years as a public company CFO. His prior experience includes serving as CFO of Sientra, which completed a sale in 2024. He also held CFO positions at Iteris from 2015 to 2020 and Smith Micro Software. His background in public safety and software aligns with Aviat's strategic growth initiatives.
Gary Croke Senior Vice President, Product and InnovationMr. Croke is responsible for Aviat's global marketing, encompassing corporate and strategic marketing functions, as well as product line management. He leads the company's global product and marketing strategy, ensuring successful company-wide implementation. His team's primary focus is on achieving business growth through the definition and launch of new solutions that deliver economic value to customers.
Erin Boase General Counsel, Vice President Legal AffairsMs. Boase serves as General Counsel and Vice President of Legal Affairs for Aviat Networks.
Spencer Stoakley Chief Human Resources OfficerMs. Stoakley is responsible for all human resources operations, employee engagement, and recruitment at Aviat Networks. Before joining Aviat, she worked as a Senior HR Solutions consultant through Enspira, an HR Consulting Firm, where she supported high-growth clients in developing and implementing HR programs, including organizational leveling, employee career pathing, and organizational design.
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Key Risks to Aviat Networks (AVNW)
- Risk of Technological Disruption and Obsolescence: Aviat Networks specializes in wireless transport solutions utilizing microwave and millimeter wave networking applications. The rapid evolution of telecommunications technology, including advancements in fiber optics, alternative wireless technologies (such as enhanced satellite broadband or next-generation cellular backhaul solutions), or other emerging infrastructure methods, poses a risk of technological obsolescence. If these alternative technologies become more cost-effective, efficient, or widely adopted, it could reduce demand for Aviat Networks' core products, requiring substantial investment in research and development to maintain competitive relevance.
- Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: The market for wireless transport solutions is characterized by intense competition from both established global players and regional specialized vendors. This competitive landscape can lead to pricing pressures, demands for increased product features and performance, and reduced profit margins. Aviat Networks must continually innovate and differentiate its offerings to compete effectively, which can strain resources and impact financial performance.
- Dependency on Capital Expenditure Cycles and Government Spending: Aviat Networks' customer base largely consists of communications service providers and private network operators, including state/local government, utility, federal government, and defense organizations. Consequently, the company's revenue and financial performance are significantly influenced by the capital expenditure cycles of these service providers and the budgetary allocations and spending priorities of government and defense entities. Economic downturns, shifts in investment strategies, or cuts in government spending could lead to reduced demand for Aviat Networks' products and services.
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The clear emerging threat for Aviat Networks is the increasing deployment and capability of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite constellations (e.g., Starlink, OneWeb). These satellite networks are becoming a viable alternative for high-bandwidth, low-latency backhaul and connectivity in remote or challenging geographical areas. This directly competes with Aviat's core business of providing terrestrial wireless transmission systems, such as microwave and millimeter wave links, to communications service providers and private network operators who need to connect sites where fiber optics are not feasible or cost-effective.
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Aviat Networks (AVNW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market opportunities:
- Growth in Private Networks: The company is experiencing strong demand and growth within its private network segment, particularly in North America. This area has been a significant contributor to recent revenue increases and is expected to continue expanding.
- Expansion in 5G Infrastructure and Solutions: Aviat Networks is strategically positioned to benefit from the global 5G upgrade cycle, with a focus on providing wireless transport solutions for 5G deployments. The microwave radio market for global 5G transport is projected for substantial growth, presenting significant opportunities for the company.
- Participation in Rural Broadband Initiatives: Aviat Networks is targeting U.S. government funding programs, such as the $42.5 billion Broadband Equity Access and Deployment (BEAD) Program, for rural broadband expansion. The company anticipates material revenue contributions from this program, with a positive impact expected in fiscal year 2027.
- Launch and Growth of New Products and Solutions: New product introductions, including the Aprisa LTE 5G router designed for public safety and industrial applications, and the Multi-Dwelling Unit (MDU) solution which recently secured an initial purchase order from a U.S. Tier 1 operator, are expected to be significant revenue drivers. Material revenue from the cellular router business is specifically anticipated in fiscal year 2027.
- Synergies from Strategic Acquisitions: Aviat Networks has expanded its product portfolio and total addressable market through strategic acquisitions, such as 4RF and NEC's Pasolink microwave business. The integration of these technologies is enabling the creation of new high-value solutions, contributing to overall revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- In November 2021, Aviat Networks authorized a new stock repurchase program of up to $10 million, which followed the exhaustion of a previous $7.5 million program.
- Aviat Networks did not repurchase any shares of its common stock during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.
- As of February 3, 2026, management indicated that the company intends to resume share repurchases in the near future.
Share Issuance
- An additional 800,000 shares were approved under the 2018 Incentive Plan during the fiscal 2025 Annual General Meeting.
- The number of outstanding common shares increased from 11.2 million as of October 31, 2021, to 12,799,307 as of September 9, 2025.
- In late 2025 and early 2026, the CEO exercised stock options to acquire shares, and a director was granted Restricted Stock Units (RSUs).
Outbound Investments
- Aviat Networks completed the acquisition of Redline Communications in April 2022, expanding its access solutions portfolio.
- In December 2023, the company acquired NEC's microwave business, known as Pasolink.
- Aviat Networks acquired 4RF in July 2024, enhancing its portfolio with industrial SCADA and cellular router offerings.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures growth for fiscal years ending July 2021 to 2025 averaged -91.5%, with a median growth of 37.1%.
- The latest twelve months capital expenditure as of June 7, 2024, was $0.47 million, representing a 93% decrease since 2018.
- Future capital expenditures are anticipated to be driven by demand from government agencies, energy firms, and Tier-1 mobile operators in the U.S., with further impact expected from the BEAD government program in the latter half of calendar year 2026.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 214.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 29.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,002 |
| Op Inc LTM | 324 |
| FCF LTM | 422 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 267 |
| CFO LTM | 527 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 344 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 169.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 36.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 29.1 |
| P/S | 5.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 52.0 |
| P/EBIT | 56.2 |
| P/E | 81.1 |
| P/CFO | 34.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 183.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 415.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 165.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 359.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $20.77 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/07/1991 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -22.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $19.14 | $21.85 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 8.5% | -5.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 88.6% | 59.5% |
| Downside Capture | 248.73 | 191.67 |
| Upside Capture | 149.51 | 135.95 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 29.4% | 36.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.57 | 1.89 | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.69 | 1.04 |
| Up Beta | 1.70 | 1.69 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 1.64 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | 2.05 | 1.68 | 1.90 | 2.26 | 2.03 | 1.21 |
| Up Capture | 533% | 145% | 89% | 133% | 146% | 68% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 25 | 41 | 75 | 142 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 159% | 197% | 190% | 133% | 144% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 22 | 50 | 109 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVNW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVNW | -12.2% | 59.4% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 39.3% | 24.7% | 1.29 | 28.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 12.6% | 1.19 | 36.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.69 | 10.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.4% | 19.1% | 1.30 | -11.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.0% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 18.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | 15.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVNW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVNW | -7.7% | 52.2% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 19.8% | 25.6% | 0.69 | 32.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 30.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.9% | 53.4% | 0.46 | 16.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AVNW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVNW | 17.2% | 55.7% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.6% | 24.8% | 0.90 | 28.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 30.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 11.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 25.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.7% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 11.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | -33.3% | -29.9% | -23.1% |
| 2/3/2026 | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| 11/4/2025 | 0.4% | -6.1% | -13.2% |
| 9/10/2025 | 12.7% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 5/6/2025 | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% |
| 2/4/2025 | 28.2% | 11.7% | 0.5% |
| 11/5/2024 | -34.5% | -33.1% | -18.4% |
| 5/1/2024 | -16.4% | -8.0% | -9.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 12.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -13.2% | -8.0% | -9.0% |
| Max Positive | 28.2% | 36.6% | 92.4% |
| Max Negative | -34.5% | -33.1% | -23.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | -33.3% | -29.9% | -23.1% |
| 2/3/2026 | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| 11/4/2025 | 0.4% | -6.1% | -13.2% |
| 9/10/2025 | 12.7% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 5/6/2025 | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% |
| 2/4/2025 | 28.2% | 11.7% | 0.5% |
| 11/5/2024 | -34.5% | -33.1% | -18.4% |
| 5/1/2024 | -16.4% | -8.0% | -9.0% |
| 2/6/2024 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 18.8% |
| 11/1/2023 | 15.6% | 12.1% | 18.4% |
| 8/23/2023 | 15.8% | 18.9% | 13.4% |
| 5/3/2023 | -10.4% | -5.9% | -1.5% |
| 2/1/2023 | 19.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% |
| 11/2/2022 | -11.7% | -13.2% | 1.1% |
| 8/23/2022 | 1.1% | -0.9% | -8.0% |
| 7/5/2022 | 5.7% | 3.5% | 25.4% |
| 5/4/2022 | -4.8% | -14.0% | -8.0% |
| 2/2/2022 | -3.8% | -2.5% | -13.6% |
| 11/3/2021 | 3.9% | 0.3% | -4.8% |
| 8/25/2021 | -13.2% | -7.1% | -12.8% |
| 5/5/2021 | -16.7% | -17.1% | 9.2% |
| 2/3/2021 | 15.7% | 36.6% | 35.6% |
| 11/5/2020 | 9.9% | 27.3% | 92.4% |
| 8/27/2020 | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 12.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -13.2% | -8.0% | -9.0% |
| Max Positive | 28.2% | 36.6% | 92.4% |
| Max Negative | -34.5% | -33.1% | -23.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 09/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 10/04/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/14/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 09/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 10/04/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/12/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/07/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/27/2019 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 428.00 Mil | 434.00 Mil | 440.00 Mil | -3.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 35.00 Mil | 37.50 Mil | 40.00 Mil | -25.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 50.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 440.00 Mil | 450.00 Mil | 460.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 55.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 50.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 440.00 Mil | 450.00 Mil | 460.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 55.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 50.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/9/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smith, Pete A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 26.33 | 17,086 | 449,813 | 9,444,517 | Form |
| 2 | Croke, Gary | SVP of Product and Innovation | Direct | Sell | 2092026 | 26.20 | 6,914 | 181,174 | 1,149,513 | Form |
| 3 | Taten, Bruce M | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 23.39 | 3,268 | 76,439 | 476,945 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Pete A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 23.39 | 5,350 | 125,136 | 8,173,565 | Form |
| 5 | Croke, Gary | SVP of Product and Innovation | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 22.41 | 6,742 | 151,090 | 1,012,027 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smith, Pete A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 26.33 | 17,086 | 449,813 | 9,444,517 | Form |
| 2 | Croke, Gary | SVP of Product and Innovation | Direct | Sell | 2092026 | 26.20 | 6,914 | 181,174 | 1,149,513 | Form |
| 3 | Taten, Bruce M | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 23.39 | 3,268 | 76,439 | 476,945 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Pete A | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 23.39 | 5,350 | 125,136 | 8,173,565 | Form |
| 5 | Croke, Gary | SVP of Product and Innovation | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 22.41 | 6,742 | 151,090 | 1,012,027 | Form |
| 6 | Boase, Erin | VP Legal Affairs | Direct | Sell | 7072025 | 25.00 | 5,634 | 140,850 | 557,250 | Form |
| 7 | Boase, Erin | VP Legal Affairs | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 25.00 | 200 | 5,000 | 698,100 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Communications Equipment Resources |
| Light Reading |
| Fierce Network |
| Telecoms.com |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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