Tearsheet

Aveanna Healthcare (AVAH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.72 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities

Aveanna Healthcare (AVAH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.72
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Chronic Disease Management, Show more.
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 25x
2  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Chronic Disease Management, Show more.
1 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 25x
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVAH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Beat and Upbeat Guidance

Aveanna Healthcare reported robust second-quarter 2025 results on August 7, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.18, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.04. Revenue also surpassed expectations by 9.93%. This strong financial performance was followed by raised full-year revenue guidance to above $2.375 billion and a return to profitability for the latest quarter and year-to-date, signaling management's increased confidence and operational improvements.

2. Upgraded Analyst Ratings and Price Target Revisions

During this period, several financial analysts upgraded Aveanna Healthcare's stock and increased their price targets, indicating a more optimistic outlook. For example, Barclays upgraded AVAH from "equal weight" to "overweight" in August, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its target price in September. BMO Capital Markets also initiated coverage with an "outperform" rating and an $11.00 target price in November. These positive revisions contributed to investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVAH Return---89%244%71%99%23%
Peers Return13%5%9%-1%-12%-15%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVAH Win Rate-25%17%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate15%15%15%10%6%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVAH Max Drawdown---91%-9%-19%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-0%-4%-5%-13%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAVAHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1807.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA


In The Past

Aveanna Healthcare's stock fell -94.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -94.8% loss requires a 1807.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Aveanna Healthcare (AVAH)

Better Bets than Aveanna Healthcare (AVAH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVAH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aveanna Healthcare

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVAHACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameAveanna .Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Mkt Price8.9014.69---4.448.90
Mkt Cap1.91.3----1.6
Rev LTM2,2913,266---2542,291
Op Inc LTM235444----24235
FCF LTM83-347----20-20
FCF 3Y Avg22-252----32-32
CFO LTM90335---190
CFO 3Y Avg30308----1830

Growth & Margins

AVAHACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameAveanna .Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Rev Chg LTM15.5%4.6%---6.7%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%9.0%---36.5%9.5%
Rev Chg Q22.2%4.4%---4.2%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.2%1.1%---1.1%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM10.3%13.6%----9.6%10.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%16.2%----22.0%7.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-1.0%---3.0%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM3.9%10.3%---0.5%3.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.3%10.2%----8.9%1.3%
FCF/Rev LTM3.6%-10.6%----7.7%-7.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%-7.8%----14.6%-7.8%

Valuation

AVAHACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameAveanna .Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Mkt Cap1.91.3----1.6
P/S0.80.7----0.7
P/EBIT7.88.2----8.0
P/E24.620.9----22.7
P/CFO20.76.7----13.7
Total Yield4.1%4.8%----4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.9%-7.6%-----4.7%
D/E0.71.1----0.9
Net D/E0.61.0----0.8

Returns

AVAHACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NameAveanna .Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
1M Rtn-5.4%-31.1%----12.9%-12.9%
3M Rtn6.7%-37.0%---7.0%6.7%
6M Rtn65.1%-35.0%----15.1%
12M Rtn62.1%-65.2%-----1.6%
3Y Rtn975.7%-83.2%----446.2%
1M Excs Rtn-5.4%-31.0%----12.9%-12.9%
3M Excs Rtn4.8%-43.2%---0.9%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn50.4%-49.7%----0.3%
12M Excs Rtn39.6%-77.4%-----18.9%
3Y Excs Rtn1,061.1%-155.4%----452.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,452,357
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.4%
Average Daily Volume1,311,596
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.39
Basic Shares Quantity208,948,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221115202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021328202210-K 1/1/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0VIGANO PAUL R 10282025Sell9.001,251,90911,267,181173,635,083Form
1J.H. Whitney Equity Partners VII, LLC 10282025Sell9.001,251,90911,267,181173,635,083Form
2WILLIAMS ROBERT M JR 10282025Sell9.001,251,90911,267,181173,635,083Form
3WILLIAMS ROBERT M JR 10232025Sell9.008,346,05975,114,531184,902,264Form
4VIGANO PAUL R 10232025Sell9.008,346,05975,114,531184,902,264Form