Tearsheet

Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP)


Market Price (1/29/2026): $6.74 | Market Cap: $244.2 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP)


Market Price (1/29/2026): $6.74
Market Cap: $244.2 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Antimicrobial Resistance Solutions, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil
2  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
3  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 225%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
5  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 155%
6  Key risks
ARMP key risks include [1] immediate solvency concerns driven by a reported $140 million liquidity crisis, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Antimicrobial Resistance Solutions, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 225%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 155%
7 Key risks
ARMP key risks include [1] immediate solvency concerns driven by a reported $140 million liquidity crisis, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) stock has gained about 125% since 9/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Positive Phase 2a Clinical Trial Results for AP-SA02. Armata Pharmaceuticals announced positive results from its Phase 2a "diSArm" study of AP-SA02 for complicated Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia on October 22, 2025. The study demonstrated that AP-SA02, when combined with standard antibiotic therapy, led to a higher and earlier cure rate compared to placebo. It also showed a 100% response rate without relapse one week and 28 days post-therapy. This announcement reportedly drove a 103.17% increase in the stock price.

2. FDA Support for Advancing AP-SA02 to Phase 3. On January 13, 2026, Armata Pharmaceuticals reported a positive End-of-Phase 2 written response from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The FDA confirmed that the safety and efficacy data from the Phase 2a diSArm study support advancing AP-SA02 into a pivotal Phase 3 clinical study for complicated S. aureus bacteremia. The company anticipates initiating this Phase 3 study in the second half of 2026, marking AP-SA02 as the first bacteriophage candidate to reach this advanced stage in clinical development. The FDA also provided guidance on the Phase 3 study design and showed amenability to a Qualified Infectious Disease Product Designation (QIDP) request.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 126.2% change in ARMP stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)93020251292026Change
Stock Price ($)2.986.74126.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3636-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARMP122.8% 
Market (SPY)4.2%-1.1%
Sector (XLV)10.5%7.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 254.7% change in ARMP stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020251292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.906.74254.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3636-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARMP249.5% 
Market (SPY)12.6%2.9%
Sector (XLV)14.6%5.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 264.3% change in ARMP stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120241292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.856.74264.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3636-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2024 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARMP258.9% 
Market (SPY)19.5%0.5%
Sector (XLV)13.3%10.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 443.5% change in ARMP stock from 12/31/2022 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120221292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.246.74443.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple∞∞0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3636-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2022 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARMP435.5% 
Market (SPY)88.2%4.1%
Sector (XLV)18.5%9.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ARMP Return84%-77%161%-43%239%3%116%
Peers Return-46%-89%17%-52%20%124%-91%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARMP Win Rate42%25%33%50%67%100% 
Peers Win Rate25%25%42%29%21%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARMP Max Drawdown-1%-83%-11%-43%-51%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-94%-22%-60%-72%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PHGE, SPRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARMPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven573.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,029 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven318 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2865.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6812.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,354 days1,480 days

Compare to PHGE, SPRO

In The Past

Armata Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -85.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -85.2% loss requires a 573.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP)

Armata Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on the development of targeted bacteriophage therapeutics for antibiotic-resistant infections worldwide. It develops its products using its proprietary bacteriophage-based technology. The company's product candidates include AP-SA02 for the treatment of Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia; AP-PA02 for Pseudomonas aeruginosa; and AP-PA03 for the treatment of pneumonia. It has a partnership agreement with Merck & Co. for developing synthetic bacteriophage candidates to target undisclosed infectious disease agents. The company is headquartered in Marina del Rey, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP):

  • They're like a Moderna or BioNTech for antibiotic-resistant bacteria, using specialized viruses (bacteriophages) instead of mRNA to develop new treatments.
  • They're like the Tesla of antibiotics, pioneering bacteriophage therapy to fight "superbugs" and disrupt traditional chemical drug approaches.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • AP-SA02: A bacteriophage therapeutic candidate designed to treat *Staphylococcus aureus* infections, particularly in prosthetic joint infections.
  • AP-PA02: A bacteriophage therapeutic candidate targeting *Pseudomonas aeruginosa* infections, primarily for patients with cystic fibrosis.
  • AP-PA03: A bacteriophage therapeutic candidate also targeting *Pseudomonas aeruginosa* infections, specifically for patients with non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Armata Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (symbol: ARMP) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing bacteriophage therapeutics. As a clinical-stage company, Armata Pharmaceuticals is primarily engaged in research and development and conducting clinical trials for its drug candidates.

Due to its current stage of development, Armata Pharmaceuticals does not have any commercial products approved for sale on the market. Consequently, the company does not have "major customers" in the traditional sense of entities or individuals purchasing its commercial products.

The company's operations are typically funded through:

  • Investors: Equity financing through the sale of stock.
  • Grants and Collaborative Agreements: Funding received from government agencies, non-profit organizations, or partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for the research and development of its drug candidates.

If and when Armata Pharmaceuticals successfully develops and gains regulatory approval for its products, its potential future major customers would typically be other companies within the healthcare supply chain. These would include:

  • Pharmaceutical Wholesalers and Distributors: Such as McKesson (MCK), AmerisourceBergen (ABC), and Cardinal Health (CAH).
  • Hospitals and Healthcare Systems: Entities that directly purchase pharmaceuticals for patient care.
  • Pharmacies: Including major retail chains (e.g., CVS Health - CVS, Walgreens Boots Alliance - WBA) and independent pharmacies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Deborah Birx, M.D. Chief Executive Officer

Deborah L. Birx, M.D., was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Armata in July 2023. She is a world-renowned medical expert who most recently served as the response coordinator of the White House Coronavirus Task Force. Previously, she held the position of Ambassador-at-Large, coordinating United States Government Activities to Combat HIV/AIDS and acting as the U.S. Special Representative for Global Health Diplomacy. Dr. Birx also oversaw the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) at the CDC as the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and was the Director of the U.S. Military HIV Research Program (USMHRP) at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research. She served in the United States Army from 1980 until 2008, retiring as a colonel. Dr. Birx has published over 230 manuscripts, authored nearly a dozen scientific chapters, and developed and patented vaccines. She previously served on Innoviva's Board of Directors from March 2021 until July 2023.

David House Senior Vice President of Finance and Principal Financial Officer

David House was appointed Senior Vice President, Finance and Principal Financial Officer on August 16, 2024. Prior to joining Armata, Mr. House served as Corporate Controller and Vice President of Accounting at ZO Skin Health, Inc. from October 2018 to May 2024. At ZO Skin Health, he managed global accounting operations, financial reporting, and played a crucial role in the company's acquisition by Blackstone. He also established international subsidiaries and oversaw financial integration for mergers and acquisitions. His experience also includes similar financial leadership roles at Peregrine Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, and Avid Bioservices, Inc.

Pierre Kyme, Ph.D. Chief Business Officer

Pierre Kyme, Ph.D., was appointed Chief Business Officer of Armata in June 2024. He is dedicated to Armata's business and corporate development activities, a role he began at C3J Therapeutics in 2015. Previously, Dr. Kyme served as a lead Scientist and Director of Product Development at C3J Therapeutics from 2012, where he led a team in developing an antimicrobial molecule through Phase 2 human clinical trials. Before C3J Therapeutics, he spent five years maturing his drug development career at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, leading project teams from concept through preclinical research in infectious disease and immunology. Dr. Kyme has also served as Scientific Advisor for Cappello Global, a boutique investment bank, and as a consultant analyst to a global specialist life sciences investment firm. He completed his postdoctoral training at the University of British Columbia under a Gates Foundation grant, developing Innate Defense Regulators.

Peter Hubbard Vice President of Operations

Peter Hubbard is the Vice President of Operations at Armata Pharmaceuticals. He leads Armata's operations team with over 17 years of experience in biotech and pharmaceutical production, having worked with companies such as Baxter Bioscience, GlaxoSmithKline, Pacira Pharmaceuticals, and Kite Pharma. Most recently, he was the Director of Manufacturing at Armata Pharmaceuticals, where he led the manufacturing team starting in 2022 and helped build out greater manufacturing capabilities. Prior to joining Armata, Peter contributed to maturing manufacturing operations at Kite Pharma. He has experience leading Right First Time Initiatives, cost savings projects, and streamlining manufacturing operations.

Bani Tchekanova, Ph.D. Head of Regulatory Strategy and Operations

Bani Tchekanova, Ph.D., was appointed Head of Regulatory Strategy and Operations of Armata in July 2025. Before joining Armata, Dr. Tchekanova served as a Chief Principal Advisor at ClinReg Partners, LLC. She brings over 25 years of diverse and dynamic experience in global drug development and regulatory affairs, with a career spanning a wide array of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, dermatology, ophthalmology, cardiovascular, neuroscience, and gene therapy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) primarily revolve around its financial viability, the inherent uncertainties of clinical development, and the competitive and cost-conscious healthcare market.

  1. Financial Health and Liquidity: Armata Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges, characterized by ongoing operating losses, negative margins, and a substantial accumulated deficit. As of December 2025, the company reported a $140 million liquidity crisis, with current liabilities far exceeding current assets, raising immediate solvency concerns. This financial distress is a critical risk to its ability to fund future operations, including essential late-stage clinical trials.
  2. Clinical Trial and Regulatory Risks: As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Armata's success hinges on the successful completion of clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approvals for its bacteriophage-based therapies. While recent Phase 2a trial results for AP-SA02 were positive, there is no guarantee of success in upcoming Phase 3 trials or that the company will obtain regulatory approval. Any setbacks in these areas could severely impact the business.
  3. Market Competition and Healthcare Cost Containment: Armata Pharmaceuticals operates in a highly competitive biotechnology sector, facing challenges from existing treatments and other companies developing novel therapies. Additionally, increasing pressure from governments and healthcare payors to control costs could diminish the company's potential product revenues and threaten favorable pricing and formulary positions for its offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing pathogen-specific bacteriophage therapeutics for antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections. Its main product candidates, AP-PA02 and AP-SA02, target significant bacterial pathogens.

The addressable markets for Armata Pharmaceuticals' main products or services are:

  • AP-PA02 (targeting Pseudomonas aeruginosa respiratory infections, including in Cystic Fibrosis):
    • The global Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection treatment market is estimated to be valued at USD 1.41 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 2.51 billion by 2032. Other estimates for the global market include USD 2.18 billion in 2025, expanding to USD 2.86 billion by 2030, and USD 1.47 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 2.37 billion by 2032.
    • The global cystic fibrosis therapeutics market, which includes treatments for Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections in CF patients, was estimated at USD 10.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 22.7 billion by 2030. North America held a significant share of this market, accounting for 59.8% of revenue in 2024.
  • AP-SA02 (targeting Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia, including Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA)):
    • The global methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) drugs market was valued at USD 2.15 billion in 2023. Another report indicates the global MRSA drugs market size was valued at USD 4.1 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to 2032.
    • The North American methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus drugs market is anticipated to reach USD 2.6 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Advancement and Potential Commercialization of AP-SA02: Armata Pharmaceuticals is progressing its lead therapeutic candidate, AP-SA02, a bacteriophage therapy for *Staphylococcus aureus* bacteremia, toward a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial in 2026, following positive Phase 2a results. Successful completion of this trial and subsequent regulatory approval could lead to the commercialization of AP-SA02, positioning it as a significant revenue driver.
  • Pipeline Expansion and Development of Additional Phage Therapeutics: The company is actively developing a broad pipeline of natural and synthetic phage candidates targeting various antibiotic-resistant pathogens beyond *Staphylococcus aureus*, including *Pseudomonas aeruginosa* (with candidates like AP-PA02 and AP-PA03). Armata completed three critical Phase 2 trials, two in 2024, for distinct phage cocktails designed to treat chronic pulmonary disease and acute systemic bacterial infections, indicating a pathway toward pivotal Phase 3 studies for these programs as well.
  • Strategic Collaboration with Merck: Armata Pharmaceuticals has a collaboration agreement with Merck for the development of proprietary synthetic phage candidates aimed at an undisclosed infectious disease agent. This partnership could generate future revenue through milestone payments and royalties if the development programs are successful.
  • Non-Dilutive Grant and Award Funding: Armata has been securing non-dilutive funding to support its research and development efforts. For example, in Q1 2025, the company received an additional $4.65 million from a U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) award for its AP-SA02 program, and reported $2.2 million in grant and award revenue in Q2 2025. While not from product sales, this funding contributes to overall revenue and helps advance the pipeline towards commercialization.

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Share Issuance

  • Armata Pharmaceuticals registered a shelf to sell up to $100,000,000 of securities.
  • The company filed a Form S-8 to register an additional 1,811,295 shares of common stock for issuance under its 2016 Equity Incentive Plan and 2016 Employee Stock Purchase Plan.
  • Armata's largest funding round in recent years was a Post IPO round for $26.9 million in April 2022.

Inbound Investments

  • On August 11, 2025, Armata Pharmaceuticals secured a $15.0 million term loan from Innoviva Strategic Opportunities LLC, maturing on January 11, 2029, with repayment guaranteed by its domestic subsidiaries and secured by substantially all company assets.
  • The company received $4.65 million in non-dilutive funding from the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) in Q1 2025, with the Medical Technology Enterprise Consortium (MTEC) award increased by $5.3 million to $21.6 million in July 2024 and extended into Q3 2025.
  • Armata received a $5.0 million Therapeutics Development Award from the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation, with the final payment of $0.3 million received in January 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures over the last approximately five years have included values such as $0.51 million, $1.88 million, $8.14 million, $2.21 million, $1.30 million, and $0.82 million.
  • The average annual capital expenditures growth rate has seen a decrease of -12% over the past three years and -57% over the past five years.
  • Capital is primarily directed towards research and development, encompassing clinical trials and the development of cGMP-compliant manufacturing processes for its phage candidates.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Armata Pharmaceuticals Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

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Unique Key

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

ARMPPHGESPROMedian
NameArmata P.BiomX Spero Th. 
Mkt Price6.746.902.246.74
Mkt Cap0.20.00.10.1
Rev LTM00290
Op Inc LTM-33-32-45-33
FCF LTM-28-28-28-28
FCF 3Y Avg-42-29-5-29
CFO LTM-27-28-28-28
CFO 3Y Avg-38-29-5-29

Growth & Margins

ARMPPHGESPROMedian
NameArmata P.BiomX Spero Th. 
Rev Chg LTM---67.4%-67.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--910.4%910.4%
Rev Chg Q---61.0%-61.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM---14.0%-14.0%
Op Mgn LTM---153.8%-153.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---50.7%-50.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--11.5%11.5%
CFO/Rev LTM---94.4%-94.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---24.4%-24.4%
FCF/Rev LTM---94.4%-94.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---24.4%-24.4%

Valuation

ARMPPHGESPROMedian
NameArmata P.BiomX Spero Th. 
Mkt Cap0.20.00.10.1
P/S--4.34.3
P/EBIT-7.7-0.3-2.8-2.8
P/E-5.2-0.3-2.9-2.9
P/CFO-9.0-0.4-4.6-4.6
Total Yield-19.5%-320.8%-34.6%-34.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-40.8%-3,095.8%-5.1%-40.8%
D/E0.70.60.00.6
Net D/E0.7-0.0-0.4-0.0

Returns

ARMPPHGESPROMedian
NameArmata P.BiomX Spero Th. 
1M Rtn8.0%271.0%-1.3%8.0%
3M Rtn35.9%-32.5%-5.1%-5.1%
6M Rtn175.1%-6.8%-3.4%-3.4%
12M Rtn230.4%-52.8%160.5%160.5%
3Y Rtn106.1%-89.8%22.4%22.4%
1M Excs Rtn5.0%244.1%-3.5%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn33.9%-38.2%-7.0%-7.0%
6M Excs Rtn171.2%-20.3%-6.5%-6.5%
12M Excs Rtn208.4%-68.0%141.9%141.9%
3Y Excs Rtn50.1%-162.4%-51.4%-51.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing pathogen-specific bacteriophage therapeutics for the treatment of antibiotic096704025
Total096704025


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.64 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date12/29/2006 
Distance from 52W High-15.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.35$3.61
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.5%83.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility116.0%155.6%
Downside Capture-38.60-11.93
Upside Capture133.79110.97
Correlation (SPY)20.1%0.0%
ARMP Betas & Captures as of 12/31/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.041.86-0.520.270.010.33
Up Beta9.491.75-1.091.15-0.99-0.68
Down Beta2.274.163.831.220.770.99
Up Capture-251%229%70%218%127%76%
Bmk +ve Days11233772143431
Stock +ve Days10223368125361
Down Capture70%8%-506%-269%-5%66%
Bmk -ve Days11182755108320
Stock -ve Days12193158123369

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARMP
ARMP204.4%155.5%1.28-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.4%17.2%0.2011.5%
Equity (SPY)15.9%19.2%0.64-0.0%
Gold (GLD)96.0%20.8%3.151.7%
Commodities (DBC)15.3%15.5%0.724.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.8%16.5%0.055.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-12.7%39.6%-0.251.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARMP
ARMP11.8%112.6%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.1%14.5%0.316.8%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.665.5%
Gold (GLD)23.5%15.8%1.201.8%
Commodities (DBC)13.3%18.7%0.582.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.176.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)21.8%57.5%0.574.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARMP
ARMP-34.7%112.8%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.5%16.6%0.527.8%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.766.7%
Gold (GLD)16.8%14.9%0.94-1.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%17.6%0.432.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.8%0.265.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.2%66.5%1.104.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1231202553.8%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity36.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-4.6%9.1%-7.9%
8/12/20251.6%3.3%20.3%
3/21/20252.8%-11.7%-27.0%
11/13/2024-1.5%-23.2%-19.4%
8/13/2024-10.7%-12.5%-18.8%
3/21/20241.4%13.3%-32.0%
11/14/2023-19.8%-20.5%1.5%
6/27/2023-3.1%-6.2%94.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive556
# Negative998
Median Positive1.6%9.4%10.5%
Median Negative-3.1%-11.7%-19.1%
Max Positive8.6%19.3%94.5%
Max Negative-19.8%-23.2%-43.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/14/202510-Q
12/31/202403/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
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