Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP)
Market Price (1/29/2026): $6.74 | Market Cap: $244.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP)
Market Price (1/29/2026): $6.74Market Cap: $244.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Antimicrobial Resistance Solutions, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil | |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68% | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 225% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 155% | |
| Key risksARMP key risks include [1] immediate solvency concerns driven by a reported $140 million liquidity crisis, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Antimicrobial Resistance Solutions, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 68% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 225% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 155% |
| Key risksARMP key risks include [1] immediate solvency concerns driven by a reported $140 million liquidity crisis, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Phase 2a Clinical Trial Results for AP-SA02. Armata Pharmaceuticals announced positive results from its Phase 2a "diSArm" study of AP-SA02 for complicated Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia on October 22, 2025. The study demonstrated that AP-SA02, when combined with standard antibiotic therapy, led to a higher and earlier cure rate compared to placebo. It also showed a 100% response rate without relapse one week and 28 days post-therapy. This announcement reportedly drove a 103.17% increase in the stock price.
2. FDA Support for Advancing AP-SA02 to Phase 3. On January 13, 2026, Armata Pharmaceuticals reported a positive End-of-Phase 2 written response from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The FDA confirmed that the safety and efficacy data from the Phase 2a diSArm study support advancing AP-SA02 into a pivotal Phase 3 clinical study for complicated S. aureus bacteremia. The company anticipates initiating this Phase 3 study in the second half of 2026, marking AP-SA02 as the first bacteriophage candidate to reach this advanced stage in clinical development. The FDA also provided guidance on the Phase 3 study design and showed amenability to a Qualified Infectious Disease Product Designation (QIDP) request.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 126.2% change in ARMP stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 1292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.98 | 6.74 | 126.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 1/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARMP | 122.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.2% | -1.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 10.5% | 7.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 254.7% change in ARMP stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 1292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.90 | 6.74 | 254.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 1/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARMP | 249.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.6% | 5.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 264.3% change in ARMP stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312024 | 1292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.85 | 6.74 | 264.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2024 to 1/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARMP | 258.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.5% | 0.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.3% | 10.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 443.5% change in ARMP stock from 12/31/2022 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312022 | 1292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.24 | 6.74 | 443.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2022 to 1/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARMP | 435.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 88.2% | 4.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 18.5% | 9.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARMP Return | 84% | -77% | 161% | -43% | 239% | 3% | 116% |
| Peers Return | -46% | -89% | 17% | -52% | 20% | 124% | -91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARMP Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 25% | 25% | 42% | 29% | 21% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARMP Max Drawdown | -1% | -83% | -11% | -43% | -51% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -94% | -22% | -60% | -72% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PHGE, SPRO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/29/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARMP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 573.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,029 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 318 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -96.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2865.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 6812.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,354 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PHGE, SPRO
In The Past
Armata Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -85.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -85.2% loss requires a 573.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP):
- They're like a Moderna or BioNTech for antibiotic-resistant bacteria, using specialized viruses (bacteriophages) instead of mRNA to develop new treatments.
- They're like the Tesla of antibiotics, pioneering bacteriophage therapy to fight "superbugs" and disrupt traditional chemical drug approaches.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- AP-SA02: A bacteriophage therapeutic candidate designed to treat *Staphylococcus aureus* infections, particularly in prosthetic joint infections.
- AP-PA02: A bacteriophage therapeutic candidate targeting *Pseudomonas aeruginosa* infections, primarily for patients with cystic fibrosis.
- AP-PA03: A bacteriophage therapeutic candidate also targeting *Pseudomonas aeruginosa* infections, specifically for patients with non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Armata Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (symbol: ARMP) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing bacteriophage therapeutics. As a clinical-stage company, Armata Pharmaceuticals is primarily engaged in research and development and conducting clinical trials for its drug candidates.
Due to its current stage of development, Armata Pharmaceuticals does not have any commercial products approved for sale on the market. Consequently, the company does not have "major customers" in the traditional sense of entities or individuals purchasing its commercial products.
The company's operations are typically funded through:
- Investors: Equity financing through the sale of stock.
- Grants and Collaborative Agreements: Funding received from government agencies, non-profit organizations, or partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for the research and development of its drug candidates.
If and when Armata Pharmaceuticals successfully develops and gains regulatory approval for its products, its potential future major customers would typically be other companies within the healthcare supply chain. These would include:
- Pharmaceutical Wholesalers and Distributors: Such as McKesson (MCK), AmerisourceBergen (ABC), and Cardinal Health (CAH).
- Hospitals and Healthcare Systems: Entities that directly purchase pharmaceuticals for patient care.
- Pharmacies: Including major retail chains (e.g., CVS Health - CVS, Walgreens Boots Alliance - WBA) and independent pharmacies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Deborah Birx, M.D. Chief Executive Officer
Deborah L. Birx, M.D., was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Armata in July 2023. She is a world-renowned medical expert who most recently served as the response coordinator of the White House Coronavirus Task Force. Previously, she held the position of Ambassador-at-Large, coordinating United States Government Activities to Combat HIV/AIDS and acting as the U.S. Special Representative for Global Health Diplomacy. Dr. Birx also oversaw the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) at the CDC as the U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator and was the Director of the U.S. Military HIV Research Program (USMHRP) at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research. She served in the United States Army from 1980 until 2008, retiring as a colonel. Dr. Birx has published over 230 manuscripts, authored nearly a dozen scientific chapters, and developed and patented vaccines. She previously served on Innoviva's Board of Directors from March 2021 until July 2023.
David House Senior Vice President of Finance and Principal Financial Officer
David House was appointed Senior Vice President, Finance and Principal Financial Officer on August 16, 2024. Prior to joining Armata, Mr. House served as Corporate Controller and Vice President of Accounting at ZO Skin Health, Inc. from October 2018 to May 2024. At ZO Skin Health, he managed global accounting operations, financial reporting, and played a crucial role in the company's acquisition by Blackstone. He also established international subsidiaries and oversaw financial integration for mergers and acquisitions. His experience also includes similar financial leadership roles at Peregrine Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, and Avid Bioservices, Inc.
Pierre Kyme, Ph.D. Chief Business Officer
Pierre Kyme, Ph.D., was appointed Chief Business Officer of Armata in June 2024. He is dedicated to Armata's business and corporate development activities, a role he began at C3J Therapeutics in 2015. Previously, Dr. Kyme served as a lead Scientist and Director of Product Development at C3J Therapeutics from 2012, where he led a team in developing an antimicrobial molecule through Phase 2 human clinical trials. Before C3J Therapeutics, he spent five years maturing his drug development career at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, leading project teams from concept through preclinical research in infectious disease and immunology. Dr. Kyme has also served as Scientific Advisor for Cappello Global, a boutique investment bank, and as a consultant analyst to a global specialist life sciences investment firm. He completed his postdoctoral training at the University of British Columbia under a Gates Foundation grant, developing Innate Defense Regulators.
Peter Hubbard Vice President of Operations
Peter Hubbard is the Vice President of Operations at Armata Pharmaceuticals. He leads Armata's operations team with over 17 years of experience in biotech and pharmaceutical production, having worked with companies such as Baxter Bioscience, GlaxoSmithKline, Pacira Pharmaceuticals, and Kite Pharma. Most recently, he was the Director of Manufacturing at Armata Pharmaceuticals, where he led the manufacturing team starting in 2022 and helped build out greater manufacturing capabilities. Prior to joining Armata, Peter contributed to maturing manufacturing operations at Kite Pharma. He has experience leading Right First Time Initiatives, cost savings projects, and streamlining manufacturing operations.
Bani Tchekanova, Ph.D. Head of Regulatory Strategy and Operations
Bani Tchekanova, Ph.D., was appointed Head of Regulatory Strategy and Operations of Armata in July 2025. Before joining Armata, Dr. Tchekanova served as a Chief Principal Advisor at ClinReg Partners, LLC. She brings over 25 years of diverse and dynamic experience in global drug development and regulatory affairs, with a career spanning a wide array of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, dermatology, ophthalmology, cardiovascular, neuroscience, and gene therapy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) primarily revolve around its financial viability, the inherent uncertainties of clinical development, and the competitive and cost-conscious healthcare market.
- Financial Health and Liquidity: Armata Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges, characterized by ongoing operating losses, negative margins, and a substantial accumulated deficit. As of December 2025, the company reported a $140 million liquidity crisis, with current liabilities far exceeding current assets, raising immediate solvency concerns. This financial distress is a critical risk to its ability to fund future operations, including essential late-stage clinical trials.
- Clinical Trial and Regulatory Risks: As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Armata's success hinges on the successful completion of clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approvals for its bacteriophage-based therapies. While recent Phase 2a trial results for AP-SA02 were positive, there is no guarantee of success in upcoming Phase 3 trials or that the company will obtain regulatory approval. Any setbacks in these areas could severely impact the business.
- Market Competition and Healthcare Cost Containment: Armata Pharmaceuticals operates in a highly competitive biotechnology sector, facing challenges from existing treatments and other companies developing novel therapies. Additionally, increasing pressure from governments and healthcare payors to control costs could diminish the company's potential product revenues and threaten favorable pricing and formulary positions for its offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing pathogen-specific bacteriophage therapeutics for antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections. Its main product candidates, AP-PA02 and AP-SA02, target significant bacterial pathogens.
The addressable markets for Armata Pharmaceuticals' main products or services are:
- AP-PA02 (targeting Pseudomonas aeruginosa respiratory infections, including in Cystic Fibrosis):
- The global Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection treatment market is estimated to be valued at USD 1.41 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 2.51 billion by 2032. Other estimates for the global market include USD 2.18 billion in 2025, expanding to USD 2.86 billion by 2030, and USD 1.47 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 2.37 billion by 2032.
- The global cystic fibrosis therapeutics market, which includes treatments for Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections in CF patients, was estimated at USD 10.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 22.7 billion by 2030. North America held a significant share of this market, accounting for 59.8% of revenue in 2024.
- AP-SA02 (targeting Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia, including Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA)):
- The global methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) drugs market was valued at USD 2.15 billion in 2023. Another report indicates the global MRSA drugs market size was valued at USD 4.1 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to 2032.
- The North American methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus drugs market is anticipated to reach USD 2.6 billion by 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Armata Pharmaceuticals (ARMP) over the next 2-3 years:- Advancement and Potential Commercialization of AP-SA02: Armata Pharmaceuticals is progressing its lead therapeutic candidate, AP-SA02, a bacteriophage therapy for *Staphylococcus aureus* bacteremia, toward a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial in 2026, following positive Phase 2a results. Successful completion of this trial and subsequent regulatory approval could lead to the commercialization of AP-SA02, positioning it as a significant revenue driver.
- Pipeline Expansion and Development of Additional Phage Therapeutics: The company is actively developing a broad pipeline of natural and synthetic phage candidates targeting various antibiotic-resistant pathogens beyond *Staphylococcus aureus*, including *Pseudomonas aeruginosa* (with candidates like AP-PA02 and AP-PA03). Armata completed three critical Phase 2 trials, two in 2024, for distinct phage cocktails designed to treat chronic pulmonary disease and acute systemic bacterial infections, indicating a pathway toward pivotal Phase 3 studies for these programs as well.
- Strategic Collaboration with Merck: Armata Pharmaceuticals has a collaboration agreement with Merck for the development of proprietary synthetic phage candidates aimed at an undisclosed infectious disease agent. This partnership could generate future revenue through milestone payments and royalties if the development programs are successful.
- Non-Dilutive Grant and Award Funding: Armata has been securing non-dilutive funding to support its research and development efforts. For example, in Q1 2025, the company received an additional $4.65 million from a U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) award for its AP-SA02 program, and reported $2.2 million in grant and award revenue in Q2 2025. While not from product sales, this funding contributes to overall revenue and helps advance the pipeline towards commercialization.
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Share Issuance
- Armata Pharmaceuticals registered a shelf to sell up to $100,000,000 of securities.
- The company filed a Form S-8 to register an additional 1,811,295 shares of common stock for issuance under its 2016 Equity Incentive Plan and 2016 Employee Stock Purchase Plan.
- Armata's largest funding round in recent years was a Post IPO round for $26.9 million in April 2022.
Inbound Investments
- On August 11, 2025, Armata Pharmaceuticals secured a $15.0 million term loan from Innoviva Strategic Opportunities LLC, maturing on January 11, 2029, with repayment guaranteed by its domestic subsidiaries and secured by substantially all company assets.
- The company received $4.65 million in non-dilutive funding from the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) in Q1 2025, with the Medical Technology Enterprise Consortium (MTEC) award increased by $5.3 million to $21.6 million in July 2024 and extended into Q3 2025.
- Armata received a $5.0 million Therapeutics Development Award from the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation, with the final payment of $0.3 million received in January 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures over the last approximately five years have included values such as $0.51 million, $1.88 million, $8.14 million, $2.21 million, $1.30 million, and $0.82 million.
- The average annual capital expenditures growth rate has seen a decrease of -12% over the past three years and -57% over the past five years.
- Capital is primarily directed towards research and development, encompassing clinical trials and the development of cGMP-compliant manufacturing processes for its phage candidates.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Armata Pharmaceuticals Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.74 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -33 |
| FCF LTM | -28 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -29 |
| CFO LTM | -28 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -29 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -67.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 910.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -61.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -14.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -153.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -50.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -94.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -24.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -94.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -24.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | -2.8 |
| P/E | -2.9 |
| P/CFO | -4.6 |
| Total Yield | -34.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -40.8% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 160.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 22.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 141.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.64 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -15.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.35 | $3.61 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 4.5% | 83.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 116.0% | 155.6% |
| Downside Capture | -38.60 | -11.93 |
| Upside Capture | 133.79 | 110.97 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 1.86 | -0.52 | 0.27 | 0.01 | 0.33 |
| Up Beta | 9.49 | 1.75 | -1.09 | 1.15 | -0.99 | -0.68 |
| Down Beta | 2.27 | 4.16 | 3.83 | 1.22 | 0.77 | 0.99 |
| Up Capture | -251% | 229% | 70% | 218% | 127% | 76% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 33 | 68 | 125 | 361 |
| Down Capture | 70% | 8% | -506% | -269% | -5% | 66% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 19 | 31 | 58 | 123 | 369 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARMP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMP | 204.4% | 155.5% | 1.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.4% | 17.2% | 0.20 | 11.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 19.2% | 0.64 | -0.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 96.0% | 20.8% | 3.15 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 15.3% | 15.5% | 0.72 | 4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 16.5% | 0.05 | 5.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -12.7% | 39.6% | -0.25 | 1.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARMP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMP | 11.8% | 112.6% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.1% | 14.5% | 0.31 | 6.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 5.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.5% | 15.8% | 1.20 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.3% | 18.7% | 0.58 | 2.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 6.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 21.8% | 57.5% | 0.57 | 4.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARMP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMP | -34.7% | 112.8% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.5% | 16.6% | 0.52 | 7.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 6.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 14.9% | 0.94 | -1.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.2% | 17.6% | 0.43 | 2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.1% | 20.8% | 0.26 | 5.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 71.2% | 66.5% | 1.10 | 4.7% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | -4.6% | 9.1% | -7.9% |
| 8/12/2025 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 20.3% |
| 3/21/2025 | 2.8% | -11.7% | -27.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -1.5% | -23.2% | -19.4% |
| 8/13/2024 | -10.7% | -12.5% | -18.8% |
| 3/21/2024 | 1.4% | 13.3% | -32.0% |
| 11/14/2023 | -19.8% | -20.5% | 1.5% |
| 6/27/2023 | -3.1% | -6.2% | 94.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -11.7% | -19.1% |
| Max Positive | 8.6% | 19.3% | 94.5% |
| Max Negative | -19.8% | -23.2% | -43.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/17/2022 | 10-K |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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