Tearsheet

Arena (AREN)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.48 | Market Cap: $212.3 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Arena (AREN)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.48
Market Cap: $212.3 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 42%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 38%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 96x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 221%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 294%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 121%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 42%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 38%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 96x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 221%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 294%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 121%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AREN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Arena Group Holdings, Inc. (symbol: AREN) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 24.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 3, 2025. On August 31, 2025, the stock price was approximately $5.66, and by December 3, 2025, it had fallen to $4.28. This downturn can be attributed to several key factors.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Revenue Decline: The company reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings around November 13, 2025, revealing that its earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14 missed the expected $0.19. Additionally, total revenue of $29.8 million fell significantly short of the forecasted $43 million. This substantial miss on both top and bottom lines likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and a 5.37% drop in the stock price on the day of the announcement. While net income increased, the revenue underperformance overshadowed this positive aspect.

2. Revenue Headwinds from Search Algorithm Changes: The Arena Group faced considerable challenges due to "significant headwinds in traffic volatility from algorithmic changes in the industry". These industry-wide search updates negatively impacted organic traffic, particularly within the lifestyle and sports categories, directly contributing to an 11% year-over-year decline in total revenue in Q3 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AREN Return-34%0%1902%-78%-44%233%457%
Peers Return43%24%-25%25%3%7%84%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AREN Win Rate8%0%58%42%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate27%35%18%35%27%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AREN Max Drawdown-50%0%0%-82%-76%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-12%-28%-8%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARENS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven713.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven698 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-72.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven262.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven995 days120 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL


In The Past

Arena's stock fell -87.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2022. A -87.7% loss requires a 713.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Arena (AREN)

Better Bets than Arena (AREN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AREN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Arena

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARENZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameArena Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Price4.4675.525.3011.93134.60317.6243.72
Mkt Cap0.218.30.5--3,838.89.4
Rev LTM1472,483448--385,4771,466
Op Inc LTM42-90-27--124,0777
FCF LTM-41498--73,55278
FCF 3Y Avg-1518756--68,998122
CFO LTM341816--151,424217
CFO 3Y Avg-1038766--120,990226

Growth & Margins

ARENZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameArena Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Rev Chg LTM6.8%15.2%-10.1%--13.4%10.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.0%7.0%-20.7%--11.0%-2.5%
Rev Chg Q65.6%16.4%-1.8%--15.9%16.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.8%4.0%-0.5%--3.8%3.9%
Op Mgn LTM28.8%-3.6%-6.1%--32.2%12.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.5%-8.5%3.6%--29.9%2.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM10.8%1.9%-0.4%---0.5%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM2.1%16.8%3.5%--39.3%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.3%17.8%10.9%--35.3%14.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.8%6.0%1.8%--19.1%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.6%8.8%9.2%--20.5%9.0%

Valuation

ARENZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameArena Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Cap0.218.30.5--3,838.89.4
P/S2.07.50.8--7.64.8
P/EBIT7.0-2,333.9-46.1--19.3-19.5
P/E2.4-583.5-8.5--23.6-3.0
P/CFO96.244.723.1--19.433.9
Total Yield42.0%-0.2%-11.8%--4.6%2.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-33.3%1.4%5.6%--3.3%2.3%
D/E0.40.01.5--0.00.2
Net D/E0.4-0.10.4---0.00.2

Returns

ARENZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameArena Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
1M Rtn-9.9%3.4%29.3%-30.3%-14.4%3.4%
3M Rtn-29.7%-9.8%2.3%--36.9%-3.7%
6M Rtn-11.9%8.2%-16.4%--89.2%-1.8%
12M Rtn220.9%-8.4%-35.8%--83.0%37.3%
3Y Rtn-67.6%101.2%-66.5%--221.5%17.3%
1M Excs Rtn-11.2%2.1%28.0%-31.6%-13.2%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-35.3%-19.9%1.9%--29.5%-9.0%
6M Excs Rtn-27.3%-7.3%-31.9%--73.8%-17.3%
12M Excs Rtn190.0%-23.2%-54.2%--72.6%24.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-140.2%40.6%-139.3%--162.7%-49.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sports & Leisure66    
Lifestyle37    
Finance30    
Platform11    
Digital advertising 1096335 
Digital subscriptions 2130287
Licensing and syndication revenue 188  
Other digital revenue 1052
Print advertising 10910 
Print subscriptions 6179519
Advertising    36
Total14422118912853


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity586,398
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202518.5%
Average Daily Volume281,642
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.08
Basic Shares Quantity47,398,767
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024517202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021401202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Lee Laura Anne2132025Sell1.4055,78078,092 Form
1Randall Cavitt2132025Buy1.4055,78078,092407,341Form
2Petzel Christopher2042025Sell1.3525,01033,764 Form
3Randall Cavitt2042025Buy1.3525,01033,764317,490Form
4Petzel Christopher1222025Sell1.2325,00030,75030,762Form