ALT5 Sigma (ALTS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.62 | Market Cap: $30.1 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
ALT5 Sigma (ALTS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.62Market Cap: $30.1 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 926% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -84% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, and Digital Asset Custody. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 128% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 74% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 926% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, and Digital Asset Custody. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -84% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 128% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 74% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -79.2% stock movement for ALT5 Sigma (ALTS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Nasdaq Non-Compliance and Delisting Threat: ALT5 Sigma received a notification from Nasdaq on December 2, 2025, indicating that the company is no longer in compliance with continued listing requirements due to its failure to timely file its Form 10-Q for the third quarter of 2025. This notice requires ALT5 Sigma to submit a plan to regain compliance by January 20, 2026, or face potential delisting.
2. Delayed Q3 2025 Financial Report Filing: The company announced delays in filing its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 27, 2025. This delay was attributed to various factors, including an ongoing review of matters previously described in an August filing.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALTS Return | 65% | -16% | -67% | -59% | 738% | -66% | -47% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -2% | -7% | 5% | 55% | 836% | 1483% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALTS Win Rate | 75% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 10% | 9% | 30% | 44% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALTS Max Drawdown | -31% | -21% | -67% | -78% | -10% | -64% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -4% | -8% | -15% | -8% | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4230.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 300.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 609 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -90.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 937.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC
In The Past
ALT5 Sigma's stock fell -97.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/28/2021. A -97.7% loss requires a 4230.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is ALT5 Sigma Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ALT5 Sigma
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 27 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | 128 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 216 |
| CFO LTM | 157 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 51.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 6.0 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 35.8 |
| P/CFO | 13.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -12.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -37.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -22.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -27.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -41.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -37.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Corporate and other | 0 | ||||
| Fintech | 0 | ||||
| Recycling | 34 | 35 | |||
| Technology | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 0 | 0 | 34 | 35 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fintech | 0 | ||||
| Biotechnology | -2 | -3 | -2 | -1 | |
| Corporate and other | -18 | ||||
| Recycling | -3 | -6 | |||
| Technology | -4 | -5 | |||
| Total | -20 | -3 | -9 | -12 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discontinued operations | 9 | 3 | |||
| Biotechnology | -2 | 8 | |||
| Corporate and other | -16 | ||||
| Total | -8 | 11 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology | 18 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corporate and other | 1 | ||||
| Discontinued operations | 0 | 18 | 0 | ||
| Fintech | 0 | ||||
| Recycling | 15 | 11 | 12 | ||
| Technology | 14 | 18 | |||
| Total | 18 | 47 | 15 | 24 | 29 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8192024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4082024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4012022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 10/2/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |