REalloys (ALOY)
Market Price (8/25/2026): $11.03 | Market Cap: $685.4 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
REalloys (ALOY)
Market Price (8/25/2026): $11.03Market Cap: $685.4 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6473% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 353x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5839% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -945%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1375% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 149% Key risksALOY key risks include [1] the execution risk of scaling production to meet its ambitious 2027 target, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6473% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 353x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5839% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -945%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1375% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 149% |
| Key risksALOY key risks include [1] the execution risk of scaling production to meet its ambitious 2027 target, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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REalloys (ALOY) stock has gained about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Successful Capital Raise Significantly Strengthened Financial Position.
REalloys substantially improved its financial standing by closing a $100.0 million private placement of common stock in June 2026, resulting in net proceeds of $95.4 million. This capital infusion boosted the company's cash balance to $122.4 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), a significant increase from $2.8 million at the end of 2025. The funds are earmarked for the upgrade of the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC) Rare Earth Processing Facility and its Heavy Rare Earth Metallization Facility.
2. Strategic Partnership with the U.S. Army Aligned with Critical Defense Sourcing.
In June 2026, REalloys was selected by the U.S. Army for exclusive Enhanced Use Lease negotiations at Tooele Army Depot for heavy rare earth processing facilities. This positions the company as a key supplier for defense applications, aligning with the upcoming U.S. defense sourcing rule (DFARS 252.225-7052), effective January 1, 2027, which aims to reduce reliance on China-linked rare earth materials. REalloys initiated qualification efforts for defense-grade heavy rare earth materials during fiscal Q2 2026 to meet this impending deadline.
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REalloys (ALOY) stock has gained about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Successful Capital Raise Significantly Strengthened Financial Position.
REalloys substantially improved its financial standing by closing a $100.0 million private placement of common stock in June 2026, resulting in net proceeds of $95.4 million. This capital infusion boosted the company's cash balance to $122.4 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), a significant increase from $2.8 million at the end of 2025. The funds are earmarked for the upgrade of the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC) Rare Earth Processing Facility and its Heavy Rare Earth Metallization Facility.
2. Strategic Partnership with the U.S. Army Aligned with Critical Defense Sourcing.
In June 2026, REalloys was selected by the U.S. Army for exclusive Enhanced Use Lease negotiations at Tooele Army Depot for heavy rare earth processing facilities. This positions the company as a key supplier for defense applications, aligning with the upcoming U.S. defense sourcing rule (DFARS 252.225-7052), effective January 1, 2027, which aims to reduce reliance on China-linked rare earth materials. REalloys initiated qualification efforts for defense-grade heavy rare earth materials during fiscal Q2 2026 to meet this impending deadline.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upward Price Target Revisions.
REalloys benefited from favorable analyst coverage, including new "Buy" ratings and price targets ranging from $19.00 to $35.00 initiated in June 2026. More recently, a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating has been established, with an average 12-month price target between $16.00 and $17.00, indicating a potential upside of 21.56% to 44.53% from recent trading prices.
4. Inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index Enhanced Market Visibility.
REalloys announced its formal inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index, effective at the U.S. market open on June 29, 2026. This inclusion is expected to enhance the company's visibility within the investment community and may lead to increased institutional investment, contributing to positive stock movement.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALOY | 27.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.2% | 28.4% |
| Sector (XLB) | 4.1% | -1.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALOY | -1.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.6% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 9.2% | 10.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALOY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 21.8% | 23.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 23.9% | 9.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALOY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 72.7% | 23.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 31.9% | 9.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALOY Return | - | - | - | - | - | 32% | 32% |
| Peers Return | 23% | -18% | -3% | -27% | 8126% | 16% | 6677% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALOY Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 28% | 28% | 33% | 37% | 62% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALOY Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -36% | -39% | -47% | -59% | -56% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MP, USAR, UUUU, NB, AREC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ALOY has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -17.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 62 days |
In The Past
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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ALOY has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 459 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 701 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About REalloys (ALOY)
Blackboxstocks Inc. (ALOY) operates at the intersection of financial technology and social media. The company specializes in developing and marketing a unique hybrid platform designed to assist active participants in the financial markets.
Its flagship offering is the Blackbox System, a subscription-based Software as a Service (SaaS) solution. This platform provides users with real-time, proprietary analytics alongside up-to-the-minute news, equipping traders with critical information to inform their stock and options trading decisions.
The primary market for Blackboxstocks Inc. comprises individual and professional stock and options traders seeking advanced tools and insights to navigate the dynamic equities and derivatives markets.
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A Bloomberg Terminal designed for active retail stock and options traders, with a built-in social network.
Think of it as a more advanced TradingView, offering proprietary real-time analytics and news for serious traders.
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- Blackbox System (Software as a Service): A subscription-based software platform that delivers real-time proprietary analytics and news specifically designed for stock and options traders.
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Based on the description provided for the company trading under the symbol ALOY (Blackboxstocks Inc.), it sells a subscription-based software as a service directly to individuals. Therefore, it primarily serves individual customers. Below are the categories of customers it serves:
- Active Stock Traders: Individuals who actively trade stocks, relying on real-time data, analytics, and news to make informed short-term and long-term trading decisions.
- Active Options Traders: Individuals specializing in trading options contracts, who require sophisticated tools and analytics for strategy development, market analysis, and risk management.
- Self-Directed Investors: Individual investors who manage their own portfolios and utilize advanced financial technology platforms to gain market insights, identify trading opportunities, and enhance their investment strategies.
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Lipi Sternheim, Chief Executive Officer
Lipi Sternheim is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of REalloys and also serves on its Board of Directors. He founded and is CEO of Quartz Lake Mining, a Nevada-based integrated gold mining company. Sternheim has over two decades of experience in de-risking and developing mining and oil & gas projects, focusing on resource security and vertically integrated value chains.
Robert L. Winspear, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary and Director
Robert L. Winspear is the Chief Financial Officer, Secretary, and a Director of REalloys Inc. He has over 25 years of experience as a CFO, CEO, or director for various public and private companies, including NASDAQ-listed entities. Prior to joining the company, Winspear was and continues to be the President of Winspear Investments LLC, a Dallas-based private investment firm specializing in lower middle market transactions, since 2002.
Anupam Ghildyal, Chief Operating Officer
Anupam Ghildyal serves as the Chief Operating Officer of REalloys.
Andrew Sherman, Head of R&D
Andrew Sherman is the Head of Research & Development for REalloys.
Steve DuMont, Chairman of the Board
Steve DuMont is the Chairman of the Board of REalloys Inc.
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Key Risks to REalloys (ALOY)
- Financial Instability and Nasdaq Delisting Risk: REalloys, which operates a financial technology and social media hybrid platform as Blackboxstocks Inc., has faced significant financial challenges, including recurring operating losses, negative net income, high current liabilities, and declining revenues due to subscriber loss. These issues have led to non-compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements, creating a substantial risk of delisting, which could severely impair stockholder trading ability and capital raising efforts.
- Risks Associated with the Merger with REalloys Inc. (Rare Earths): The reverse merger transaction with REalloys Inc., a rare earth metals company, involves the existing Blackboxstocks' stockholders owning only a small percentage (approximately 7.3%) of the combined company, leading to significant dilution. The merger also introduces integration challenges, potential litigation, and uncertainties regarding the realization of anticipated synergies. Furthermore, there have been investigations into whether Blackboxstocks Inc. is obtaining a fair price for its public shareholders in this transaction.
- Intense Competition and Challenges in Subscriber Growth/Retention: The company operates in a highly competitive financial technology market with a relatively small subscriber base. It has experienced declines in subscriber numbers and revenue, indicating difficulties in attracting and retaining users in this competitive landscape, which directly impacts its financial performance and growth prospects.
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- Major brokerage platforms increasingly integrating advanced real-time analytics, news feeds, and social trading features directly into their core services, often bundled or at a lower incremental cost, reducing the need for standalone subscription services like Blackbox System.
- The rapid advancement and adoption of AI and Machine Learning in financial technology, leading to new platforms capable of offering superior predictive analytics, automated insights, and personalized trading strategies that could significantly outperform existing proprietary analytics solutions.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for REalloys (ALOY)
REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key drivers, primarily stemming from its core business in rare earth elements and magnets, and potentially supplemented by its continuing legacy fintech operations.
- Increased Demand and Domestic Supply Chain Development for Rare Earth Elements and Magnets: REalloys is focused on establishing and strengthening a resilient domestic supply chain for rare earth elements and magnets, encompassing activities from recycling and mining to oxide production, metallization, alloying, and magnet manufacturing. This strategic focus addresses a critical national need for a sovereign supply of heavy rare earths, particularly for U.S. defense agencies, indicating a robust and consistent demand outlook.
- Expansion through Strategic Partnerships and Long-Term Offtake Agreements: The company has already initiated significant collaborations, such as a strategic partnership with Mission Critical Materials aimed at developing the first U.S. mine-waste-to-magnet supply chain. Furthermore, non-binding agreements, including a 10-year offtake deal with AltynGroup, are expected to provide stable and increasing revenue streams through guaranteed sales and access to strategic investment capital.
- Scaling of Proprietary Processing and Metallization Capabilities: REalloys emphasizes its "first-to-market processing and metallization capabilities" which are vital for securing the supply of heavy rare earths. Investments in and the successful scaling of these unique technologies will directly lead to enhanced production capacities, greater market penetration, and ultimately, higher revenue generation.
- Growth of Legacy Blackbox Fintech Operations: While the primary business focus has shifted to rare earth elements, the legacy Blackboxstocks fintech operations are intended to continue under Blackbox.io Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary. Should this subscription-based financial technology platform continue to grow its user base and expand its offerings for stock and options traders, it could serve as a complementary source of revenue, contributing to the overall financial performance of the combined entity.
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Share Repurchases
- Blackboxstocks Inc. completed repurchases of 176,940 shares for $1.12 million under a buyback announced on January 10, 2022.
- Between April 1, 2023, and June 30, 2023, the company repurchased 5,000 shares for $0.02 million.
Share Issuance
- The merger between Blackboxstocks Inc. and REalloys Inc. resulted in 57,111,167 shares of New REalloys common stock outstanding, with former private REalloys holders owning approximately 92.2%.
- The authorized common stock was increased from 100,000,000 to 350,000,000 shares, significantly expanding future issuance capacity.
- Blackboxstocks Inc. previously raised $2,146,556 through an At-The-Market Issuance Sales Agreement for common stock as of February 19, 2026, and had a shelf registration for up to $50,000,000 in securities.
Inbound Investments
- REalloys (prior to the merger) raised $5,000,000 through Series X Preferred Stock and warrants.
- Blackboxstocks Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Five Narrow Lane LP to issue senior debentures and convertible debentures, raising $2,300,000.
Outbound Investments
- REalloys signed a memorandum of understanding with Mission Critical Materials LLC to develop a domestic supply chain for rare earth metals and magnets.
- REalloys has established partnerships with Mission Critical Materials and the Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security for magnet manufacturing initiatives.
- REalloys entered into non-binding agreements with AltynGroup Kazakhstan LLP to secure rare earth feedstock from Kazakhstan reserves for its North American facilities.
Capital Expenditures
- REalloys operates rare earth processing facilities, including a metallization facility in Euclid, Ohio, and owns the Hoidas Lake rare earth asset in Saskatchewan, indicating ongoing investment in these assets.
- The company's strategic objective is to become the largest producer of heavy rare earth oxides and metals outside of China by the first half of 2027, leveraging advanced separation and metallization assets, which implies significant future capital outlays.
- REalloys aims for a fully financed buildout of the largest heavy rare earth metallization facility outside of China.
Peer Outperformance in Diversified Metals & Mining
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper | 7 | 117.5% | 98.6% | 323.1% | COPR 1217% · TGB 443% · HBM 404% |
| Silver | 6 | 167.8% | 310.3% | 181.2% | HL 261% · AYA 239% · SVM 214% |
| Gold | 32 | 61.5% | 223.0% | 172.0% | IAG 836% · CNL 570% · OGC 523% |
| Steel | 13 | 22.3% | 49.8% | 119.7% | AMR 477% · HCC 463% · NWPX 330% |
| Diversified Metals & Mining ← | 24 | 9.8% | 6.9% | 50.0% | ATLX 239186% · USAR 61276% · FMST 1006% |
| Aluminum | 3 | 96.1% | 134.1% | 49.5% | CENX 276% · KALU 49% · AA 24% |
| Construction Materials | 7 | -14.2% | 31.8% | 45.3% | USLM 317% · CRH 98% · VMC 51% |
| Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers | 11 | 3.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | KRT 170% · MYE 72% · GEF 61% |
| Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials | 7 | 13.9% | 19.7% | -4.4% | PKG 92% · CCK 14% · SON 7% |
| Precious Metals & Minerals | 9 | 49.7% | 170.5% | -5.3% | ASM 657% · PPTA 382% · ELE 123% |
| Specialty Chemicals | 40 | 9.9% | 1.1% | -12.2% | LWLG 808% · ODC 493% · NEU 201% |
| Commodity Chemicals | 13 | 26.0% | 18.0% | -14.6% | HWKN 238% · MEOH 84% · LXU 62% |
| Diversified Chemicals | 4 | 2.9% | -27.2% | -26.4% | CBT 72% · ASH -6% · CC -47% |
| Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals | 10 | -3.9% | 0.5% | -34.9% | CF 214% · CTVA 100% · NTR 46% |
| Paper Products | 3 | -12.3% | -51.9% | -95.7% | CLW -35% · ITP -96% · MERC -96% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.2 |
| Rev LTM | 8 |
| Op Inc LTM | -94 |
| FCF LTM | -78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -94 |
| CFO LTM | -40 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -47 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 26.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 89.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 52.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -56.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -512.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -72.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 26.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -432.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -45.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -770.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -129.8% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.96 | 1.59 | 2.00 | 2.29 | -0.40 | 0.42 |
| Up Beta | 9.17 | 1.36 | 1.78 | 0.44 | -1.31 | -1.62 |
| Down Beta | 0.02 | -1.98 | -2.26 | 1.27 | -0.37 | 1.25 |
| Up Capture | 153% | 363% | 458% | 465% | 255% | 24% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 21 | 31 | 59 | 68 | 68 |
| Down Capture | 720% | 265% | 311% | 243% | 159% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 22 | 31 | 64 | 71 | 71 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALOY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALOY | 17.6% | 149.2% | 0.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 20.4% | 17.9% | 0.88 | 9.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.9% | 1.23 | 23.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.0% | 28.8% | 1.14 | 15.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 40.9% | 20.2% | 1.58 | -1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.9% | 13.8% | 0.70 | -3.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.4% | 44.2% | -0.69 | 4.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALOY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALOY | 3.3% | 149.2% | 0.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.5% | 19.1% | 0.23 | 9.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 23.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.6% | 18.6% | 0.90 | 15.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.2% | 19.6% | 0.41 | -1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.4% | 18.9% | 0.02 | -3.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.2% | 52.8% | 0.40 | 4.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALOY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALOY | 1.6% | 149.2% | 0.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.4% | 20.7% | 0.45 | 9.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 23.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.9% | 16.3% | 0.65 | 15.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 18.1% | 0.35 | -1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.20 | -3.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.1% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 4.5% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/24/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 13.7% | -14.5% | |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | ||
| Median Negative | -14.5% | ||
| Max Positive | 13.7% | ||
| Max Negative | -14.5% | ||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 13.7% | -14.5% | |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | ||
| Median Negative | -14.5% | ||
| Max Positive | 13.7% | ||
| Max Negative | -14.5% | ||
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kepler, Gust | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 11.01 | 71,000 | 781,511 | 5,241,827 | Form | |
| 2 | Kepler, Gust | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 12.31 | 49,000 | 602,974 | 6,733,846 | Form | |
| 3 | Smith, Charles Brandon | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 26.00 | 5,000 | 130,000 | 663,338 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Charles Brandon | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 20.86 | 1,000 | 20,856 | 636,370 | Form | |
| 5 | Smith, Charles Brandon | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 15.47 | 8,500 | 131,500 | 487,525 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kepler, Gust | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 11.01 | 71,000 | 781,511 | 5,241,827 | Form | |
| 2 | Kepler, Gust | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 12.31 | 49,000 | 602,974 | 6,733,846 | Form | |
| 3 | Smith, Charles Brandon | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 26.00 | 5,000 | 130,000 | 663,338 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Charles Brandon | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 20.86 | 1,000 | 20,856 | 636,370 | Form | |
| 5 | Smith, Charles Brandon | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 15.47 | 8,500 | 131,500 | 487,525 | Form |
Industry Resources
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