REalloys (ALOY)


Market Price (8/25/2026): $11.03 | Market Cap: $685.4 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

REalloys (ALOY)


Market Price (8/25/2026): $11.03
Market Cap: $685.4 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6473%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 353x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5839%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -945%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1375%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 149%

Key risks
ALOY key risks include [1] the execution risk of scaling production to meet its ambitious 2027 target, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6473%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 353x
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 5839%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -945%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1375%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 149%
9 Key risks
ALOY key risks include [1] the execution risk of scaling production to meet its ambitious 2027 target, Show more.

ALOY in ETFs

Weight = ALOY's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.02%
IWO0.04%
VTWO0.02%
IWV0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 8/24/2026

REalloys (ALOY) stock has gained about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Successful Capital Raise Significantly Strengthened Financial Position.

REalloys substantially improved its financial standing by closing a $100.0 million private placement of common stock in June 2026, resulting in net proceeds of $95.4 million. This capital infusion boosted the company's cash balance to $122.4 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), a significant increase from $2.8 million at the end of 2025. The funds are earmarked for the upgrade of the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC) Rare Earth Processing Facility and its Heavy Rare Earth Metallization Facility.

2. Strategic Partnership with the U.S. Army Aligned with Critical Defense Sourcing.

In June 2026, REalloys was selected by the U.S. Army for exclusive Enhanced Use Lease negotiations at Tooele Army Depot for heavy rare earth processing facilities. This positions the company as a key supplier for defense applications, aligning with the upcoming U.S. defense sourcing rule (DFARS 252.225-7052), effective January 1, 2027, which aims to reduce reliance on China-linked rare earth materials. REalloys initiated qualification efforts for defense-grade heavy rare earth materials during fiscal Q2 2026 to meet this impending deadline.

Show more
Updated on 8/24/2026

REalloys (ALOY) stock has gained about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Successful Capital Raise Significantly Strengthened Financial Position.

REalloys substantially improved its financial standing by closing a $100.0 million private placement of common stock in June 2026, resulting in net proceeds of $95.4 million. This capital infusion boosted the company's cash balance to $122.4 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), a significant increase from $2.8 million at the end of 2025. The funds are earmarked for the upgrade of the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC) Rare Earth Processing Facility and its Heavy Rare Earth Metallization Facility.

2. Strategic Partnership with the U.S. Army Aligned with Critical Defense Sourcing.

In June 2026, REalloys was selected by the U.S. Army for exclusive Enhanced Use Lease negotiations at Tooele Army Depot for heavy rare earth processing facilities. This positions the company as a key supplier for defense applications, aligning with the upcoming U.S. defense sourcing rule (DFARS 252.225-7052), effective January 1, 2027, which aims to reduce reliance on China-linked rare earth materials. REalloys initiated qualification efforts for defense-grade heavy rare earth materials during fiscal Q2 2026 to meet this impending deadline.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upward Price Target Revisions.

REalloys benefited from favorable analyst coverage, including new "Buy" ratings and price targets ranging from $19.00 to $35.00 initiated in June 2026. More recently, a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating has been established, with an average 12-month price target between $16.00 and $17.00, indicating a potential upside of 21.56% to 44.53% from recent trading prices.

4. Inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index Enhanced Market Visibility.

REalloys announced its formal inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index, effective at the U.S. market open on June 29, 2026. This inclusion is expected to enhance the company's visibility within the investment community and may lead to increased institutional investment, contributing to positive stock movement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALOY27.6% 
Market (SPY)6.2%28.4%
Sector (XLB)4.1%-1.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALOY-1.0% 
Market (SPY)10.6%24.6%
Sector (XLB)9.2%10.3%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALOY  
Market (SPY)21.8%23.2%
Sector (XLB)23.9%9.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALOY  
Market (SPY)72.7%23.2%
Sector (XLB)31.9%9.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALOY Return-----32%32%
Peers Return23%-18%-3%-27%8126%16%6677%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALOY Win Rate-----62% 
Peers Win Rate28%28%33%37%62%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALOY Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-36%-39%-47%-59%-56% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MP, USAR, UUUU, NB, AREC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/24/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ALOY has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

EventXLBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-17.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven456 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven101 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-17.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven52 days62 days

Compare to MP, USAR, UUUU, NB, AREC

In The Past

State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

ALOY has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

EventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven456 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-23.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven171 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-28.2%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven459 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-56.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven130.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven701 days1085 days

Compare to MP, USAR, UUUU, NB, AREC

In The Past

State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About REalloys (ALOY)

Blackboxstocks Inc. (ALOY) operates at the intersection of financial technology and social media. The company specializes in developing and marketing a unique hybrid platform designed to assist active participants in the financial markets.

Its flagship offering is the Blackbox System, a subscription-based Software as a Service (SaaS) solution. This platform provides users with real-time, proprietary analytics alongside up-to-the-minute news, equipping traders with critical information to inform their stock and options trading decisions.

The primary market for Blackboxstocks Inc. comprises individual and professional stock and options traders seeking advanced tools and insights to navigate the dynamic equities and derivatives markets.

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A Bloomberg Terminal designed for active retail stock and options traders, with a built-in social network.

Think of it as a more advanced TradingView, offering proprietary real-time analytics and news for serious traders.

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  • Blackbox System (Software as a Service): A subscription-based software platform that delivers real-time proprietary analytics and news specifically designed for stock and options traders.

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Based on the description provided for the company trading under the symbol ALOY (Blackboxstocks Inc.), it sells a subscription-based software as a service directly to individuals. Therefore, it primarily serves individual customers. Below are the categories of customers it serves:

  • Active Stock Traders: Individuals who actively trade stocks, relying on real-time data, analytics, and news to make informed short-term and long-term trading decisions.
  • Active Options Traders: Individuals specializing in trading options contracts, who require sophisticated tools and analytics for strategy development, market analysis, and risk management.
  • Self-Directed Investors: Individual investors who manage their own portfolios and utilize advanced financial technology platforms to gain market insights, identify trading opportunities, and enhance their investment strategies.

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Lipi Sternheim, Chief Executive Officer

Lipi Sternheim is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of REalloys and also serves on its Board of Directors. He founded and is CEO of Quartz Lake Mining, a Nevada-based integrated gold mining company. Sternheim has over two decades of experience in de-risking and developing mining and oil & gas projects, focusing on resource security and vertically integrated value chains.

Robert L. Winspear, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary and Director

Robert L. Winspear is the Chief Financial Officer, Secretary, and a Director of REalloys Inc. He has over 25 years of experience as a CFO, CEO, or director for various public and private companies, including NASDAQ-listed entities. Prior to joining the company, Winspear was and continues to be the President of Winspear Investments LLC, a Dallas-based private investment firm specializing in lower middle market transactions, since 2002.

Anupam Ghildyal, Chief Operating Officer

Anupam Ghildyal serves as the Chief Operating Officer of REalloys.

Andrew Sherman, Head of R&D

Andrew Sherman is the Head of Research & Development for REalloys.

Steve DuMont, Chairman of the Board

Steve DuMont is the Chairman of the Board of REalloys Inc.

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Key Risks to REalloys (ALOY)

  1. Financial Instability and Nasdaq Delisting Risk: REalloys, which operates a financial technology and social media hybrid platform as Blackboxstocks Inc., has faced significant financial challenges, including recurring operating losses, negative net income, high current liabilities, and declining revenues due to subscriber loss. These issues have led to non-compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements, creating a substantial risk of delisting, which could severely impair stockholder trading ability and capital raising efforts.
  2. Risks Associated with the Merger with REalloys Inc. (Rare Earths): The reverse merger transaction with REalloys Inc., a rare earth metals company, involves the existing Blackboxstocks' stockholders owning only a small percentage (approximately 7.3%) of the combined company, leading to significant dilution. The merger also introduces integration challenges, potential litigation, and uncertainties regarding the realization of anticipated synergies. Furthermore, there have been investigations into whether Blackboxstocks Inc. is obtaining a fair price for its public shareholders in this transaction.
  3. Intense Competition and Challenges in Subscriber Growth/Retention: The company operates in a highly competitive financial technology market with a relatively small subscriber base. It has experienced declines in subscriber numbers and revenue, indicating difficulties in attracting and retaining users in this competitive landscape, which directly impacts its financial performance and growth prospects.

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  • Major brokerage platforms increasingly integrating advanced real-time analytics, news feeds, and social trading features directly into their core services, often bundled or at a lower incremental cost, reducing the need for standalone subscription services like Blackbox System.
  • The rapid advancement and adoption of AI and Machine Learning in financial technology, leading to new platforms capable of offering superior predictive analytics, automated insights, and personalized trading strategies that could significantly outperform existing proprietary analytics solutions.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for REalloys (ALOY)

REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key drivers, primarily stemming from its core business in rare earth elements and magnets, and potentially supplemented by its continuing legacy fintech operations.

  • Increased Demand and Domestic Supply Chain Development for Rare Earth Elements and Magnets: REalloys is focused on establishing and strengthening a resilient domestic supply chain for rare earth elements and magnets, encompassing activities from recycling and mining to oxide production, metallization, alloying, and magnet manufacturing. This strategic focus addresses a critical national need for a sovereign supply of heavy rare earths, particularly for U.S. defense agencies, indicating a robust and consistent demand outlook.
  • Expansion through Strategic Partnerships and Long-Term Offtake Agreements: The company has already initiated significant collaborations, such as a strategic partnership with Mission Critical Materials aimed at developing the first U.S. mine-waste-to-magnet supply chain. Furthermore, non-binding agreements, including a 10-year offtake deal with AltynGroup, are expected to provide stable and increasing revenue streams through guaranteed sales and access to strategic investment capital.
  • Scaling of Proprietary Processing and Metallization Capabilities: REalloys emphasizes its "first-to-market processing and metallization capabilities" which are vital for securing the supply of heavy rare earths. Investments in and the successful scaling of these unique technologies will directly lead to enhanced production capacities, greater market penetration, and ultimately, higher revenue generation.
  • Growth of Legacy Blackbox Fintech Operations: While the primary business focus has shifted to rare earth elements, the legacy Blackboxstocks fintech operations are intended to continue under Blackbox.io Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary. Should this subscription-based financial technology platform continue to grow its user base and expand its offerings for stock and options traders, it could serve as a complementary source of revenue, contributing to the overall financial performance of the combined entity.

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Share Repurchases

  • Blackboxstocks Inc. completed repurchases of 176,940 shares for $1.12 million under a buyback announced on January 10, 2022.
  • Between April 1, 2023, and June 30, 2023, the company repurchased 5,000 shares for $0.02 million.

Share Issuance

  • The merger between Blackboxstocks Inc. and REalloys Inc. resulted in 57,111,167 shares of New REalloys common stock outstanding, with former private REalloys holders owning approximately 92.2%.
  • The authorized common stock was increased from 100,000,000 to 350,000,000 shares, significantly expanding future issuance capacity.
  • Blackboxstocks Inc. previously raised $2,146,556 through an At-The-Market Issuance Sales Agreement for common stock as of February 19, 2026, and had a shelf registration for up to $50,000,000 in securities.

Inbound Investments

  • REalloys (prior to the merger) raised $5,000,000 through Series X Preferred Stock and warrants.
  • Blackboxstocks Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Five Narrow Lane LP to issue senior debentures and convertible debentures, raising $2,300,000.

Outbound Investments

  • REalloys signed a memorandum of understanding with Mission Critical Materials LLC to develop a domestic supply chain for rare earth metals and magnets.
  • REalloys has established partnerships with Mission Critical Materials and the Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security for magnet manufacturing initiatives.
  • REalloys entered into non-binding agreements with AltynGroup Kazakhstan LLP to secure rare earth feedstock from Kazakhstan reserves for its North American facilities.

Capital Expenditures

  • REalloys operates rare earth processing facilities, including a metallization facility in Euclid, Ohio, and owns the Hoidas Lake rare earth asset in Saskatchewan, indicating ongoing investment in these assets.
  • The company's strategic objective is to become the largest producer of heavy rare earth oxides and metals outside of China by the first half of 2027, leveraging advanced separation and metallization assets, which implies significant future capital outlays.
  • REalloys aims for a fully financed buildout of the largest heavy rare earth metallization facility outside of China.

Peer Outperformance in Diversified Metals & Mining

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Share of Diversified Metals & Mining constituents that ALOY has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
insufficient peer history
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Diversified Metals & Mining is ALOY's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 117.5%98.6%323.1% COPR 1217% · TGB 443% · HBM 404%
Silver 6 167.8%310.3%181.2% HL 261% · AYA 239% · SVM 214%
Gold 32 61.5%223.0%172.0% IAG 836% · CNL 570% · OGC 523%
Steel 13 22.3%49.8%119.7% AMR 477% · HCC 463% · NWPX 330%
Diversified Metals & Mining ← 24 9.8%6.9%50.0% ATLX 239186% · USAR 61276% · FMST 1006%
Aluminum 3 96.1%134.1%49.5% CENX 276% · KALU 49% · AA 24%
Construction Materials 7 -14.2%31.8%45.3% USLM 317% · CRH 98% · VMC 51%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 11 3.7%9.8%7.3% KRT 170% · MYE 72% · GEF 61%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 13.9%19.7%-4.4% PKG 92% · CCK 14% · SON 7%
Precious Metals & Minerals 9 49.7%170.5%-5.3% ASM 657% · PPTA 382% · ELE 123%
Specialty Chemicals 40 9.9%1.1%-12.2% LWLG 808% · ODC 493% · NEU 201%
Commodity Chemicals 13 26.0%18.0%-14.6% HWKN 238% · MEOH 84% · LXU 62%
Diversified Chemicals 4 2.9%-27.2%-26.4% CBT 72% · ASH -6% · CC -47%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -3.9%0.5%-34.9% CF 214% · CTVA 100% · NTR 46%
Paper Products 3 -12.3%-51.9%-95.7% CLW -35% · ITP -96% · MERC -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALOYMPUSARUUUUNBARECMedian
NameREalloys MP Mater.USA Rare.Energy F.NioCorp .American. 
Mkt Price11.0957.4218.2914.884.252.5112.98
Mkt Cap0.710.24.23.70.60.32.2
Rev LTM2305131060-08
Op Inc LTM-126-104-125-83-34-11-94
FCF LTM-27-505-246-120-36-10-78
FCF 3Y Avg--313-99-94-20-12-94
CFO LTM-18-84-106-62-17-10-40
CFO 3Y Avg--47-49-54-13-9-47

Growth & Margins

ALOYMPUSARUUUUNBARECMedian
NameREalloys MP Mater.USA Rare.Energy F.NioCorp .American. 
Rev Chg LTM-26.1%-62.5%--100.0%26.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%-53.1%--89.9%3.9%
Rev Chg Q-89.0%-496.1%-84.9%89.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-20.1%79.3%24.6%-100.0%52.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-33.9%-390.3%3.1%-269.3%25.1%3.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--56.2%--65.2%-57.4%20.9%-56.8%
Op Mgn LTM-6,473.3%-34.1%-946.1%-78.6%---512.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--56.4%--89.0%---72.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-16.9%242.5%26.8%--26.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-944.7%-27.5%-805.9%-59.1%---432.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--17.6%--73.6%---45.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,375.2%-165.2%-1,865.4%-113.9%---770.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--128.0%--131.6%---129.8%

Valuation

ALOYMPUSARUUUUNBARECMedian
NameREalloys MP Mater.USA Rare.Energy F.NioCorp .American. 
Mkt Cap0.710.24.23.70.60.32.2
P/S353.433.5319.735.1--177.4
P/Op Inc-5.5-98.5-33.8-44.6-16.6-24.3-29.0
P/EBIT-4.7-193.8-14.8-39.2-10.3-16.0-15.4
P/E-4.7-169.0-14.8-45.4-10.85.6-12.8
P/CFO-37.4-122.0-39.7-59.4-33.7-24.7-38.5
Total Yield-21.4%-0.6%-6.8%-2.2%-9.3%17.8%-4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--6.7%-355.8%-5.7%-11.9%-17.3%-11.9%
D/E0.00.10.00.20.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.1-0.4-0.1-0.7-0.3-0.2

Returns

ALOYMPUSARUUUUNBARECMedian
NameREalloys MP Mater.USA Rare.Energy F.NioCorp .American. 
1M Rtn57.9%39.0%29.3%31.7%2.7%46.5%35.4%
3M Rtn13.3%-10.9%-27.7%-17.5%-21.3%18.0%-14.2%
6M Rtn-28.0%3.1%-2.7%-29.2%-23.4%-17.0%-20.2%
12M Rtn17.5%-15.4%15.1%40.6%2.7%43.2%16.3%
3Y Rtn17.5%192.7%61,275.8%118.2%18.7%96.1%107.1%
1M Excs Rtn54.6%35.8%26.0%28.4%-0.6%43.2%32.1%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%-13.3%-30.1%-19.9%-23.7%15.6%-16.6%
6M Excs Rtn-39.9%-8.8%-14.6%-41.1%-35.3%-28.9%-32.1%
12M Excs Rtn-2.7%-36.0%-0.4%38.2%-18.5%55.7%-1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.6%94.5%61,200.7%62.6%-68.6%12.3%37.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Price Behavior

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ALOY Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta4.961.592.002.29-0.400.42
Up Beta9.171.361.780.44-1.31-1.62
Down Beta0.02-1.98-2.261.27-0.371.25
Up Capture153%363%458%465%255%24%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days82131596868
Down Capture720%265%311%243%159%89%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days142231647171

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALOY
ALOY17.6%149.2%0.86-
Sector ETF (XLB)20.4%17.9%0.889.9%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.9%1.2323.2%
Gold (GLD)39.0%28.8%1.1415.7%
Commodities (DBC)40.9%20.2%1.58-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.9%13.8%0.70-3.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.4%44.2%-0.694.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALOY
ALOY3.3%149.2%0.86-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.5%19.1%0.239.9%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.2%0.5723.2%
Gold (GLD)20.6%18.6%0.9015.7%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%19.6%0.41-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.02-3.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.2%52.8%0.404.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALOY
ALOY1.6%149.2%0.86-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.4%20.7%0.459.9%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7223.2%
Gold (GLD)12.9%16.3%0.6515.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.35-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.20-3.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.2%1.034.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 715202659.4%
Average Daily Volume3.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity62.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares15.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/24/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/202613.7%-14.5% 
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive100
# Negative010
Median Positive13.7%  
Median Negative -14.5% 
Max Positive13.7%  
Max Negative -14.5% 
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/202613.7%-14.5% 
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive100
# Negative010
Median Positive13.7%  
Median Negative -14.5% 
Max Positive13.7%  
Max Negative -14.5% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/20/202610-Q
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/20/202610-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kepler, Gust DirectSell317202611.0171,000781,5115,241,827Form
2Kepler, Gust DirectSell317202612.3149,000602,9746,733,846Form
3Smith, Charles Brandon DirectSell304202626.005,000130,000663,338Form
4Smith, Charles Brandon DirectSell304202620.861,00020,856636,370Form
5Smith, Charles Brandon DirectSell302202615.478,500131,500487,525Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kepler, Gust DirectSell317202611.0171,000781,5115,241,827Form
2Kepler, Gust DirectSell317202612.3149,000602,9746,733,846Form
3Smith, Charles Brandon DirectSell304202626.005,000130,000663,338Form
4Smith, Charles Brandon DirectSell304202620.861,00020,856636,370Form
5Smith, Charles Brandon DirectSell302202615.478,500131,500487,525Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/24/2026