Tearsheet

Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.7 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.7
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
9 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AESI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Atlas Energy Solutions reported a significant earnings miss for the third quarter of 2025, posting a loss of -$0.19 per share, falling well short of analyst expectations for earnings of $1.07 per share.

2. Suspension of Quarterly Dividend: In conjunction with its disappointing Q3 2025 financial results, Atlas Energy Solutions announced the suspension of its quarterly dividend. This decision was made to preserve capital and enable the company to pursue transformative growth opportunities.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AESI Return----35%-58%-44%
Peers Return-21%-22%48%13%36%16%62%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AESI Win Rate---67%67%30% 
Peers Win Rate30%25%38%33%28%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AESI Max Drawdown-----8%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-29%-12%-15%-10%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTI, HLX, FTK, HMH, WBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI)

Better Bets than Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AESI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Atlas Energy Solutions

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AESIFTIHLXFTKHMHWBIMedian
NameAtlas En.TechnipF.Helix En.Flotek I.HMH WaterBri. 
Mkt Price9.7046.677.3015.17-22.4415.17
Mkt Cap1.219.11.10.5--1.1
Rev LTM1,1179,7831,312214844-1,117
Op Inc LTM251,2928420108-84
FCF LTM-181,54178218-18
FCF 3Y Avg-61913110-10--50
CFO LTM1841,890102535-102
CFO 3Y Avg2401,177137-9--188

Growth & Margins

AESIFTIHLXFTKHMHWBIMedian
NameAtlas En.TechnipF.Helix En.Flotek I.HMH WaterBri. 
Rev Chg LTM20.7%11.2%-2.0%21.7%3.9%-11.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg43.6%14.5%23.5%70.4%--33.6%
Rev Chg Q-14.7%12.7%10.1%26.4%-1.9%-10.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.9%3.2%2.7%6.0%-0.5%-2.7%
Op Mgn LTM2.2%13.2%6.4%9.4%12.8%-9.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.0%9.7%7.6%-0.9%--8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.6%0.8%0.1%1.7%-0.8%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM16.5%19.3%7.7%2.5%4.1%-7.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.4%13.0%10.5%-4.7%--11.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.6%15.8%6.0%1.1%2.1%-2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%10.0%8.4%-5.5%--1.4%

Valuation

AESIFTIHLXFTKHMHWBIMedian
NameAtlas En.TechnipF.Helix En.Flotek I.HMH WaterBri. 
Mkt Cap1.219.11.10.5--1.1
P/S1.31.70.72.3--1.5
P/EBIT39.712.510.330.7--21.6
P/E-103.017.122.635.5--19.8
P/CFO7.68.59.593.6--9.0
Total Yield7.5%6.4%4.4%2.8%--5.4%
Dividend Yield8.4%0.5%0.0%0.0%--0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.9%7.0%7.7%-9.5%--2.0%
D/E0.40.10.60.1--0.3
Net D/E0.40.00.30.1--0.2

Returns

AESIFTIHLXFTKHMHWBIMedian
NameAtlas En.TechnipF.Helix En.Flotek I.HMH WaterBri. 
1M Rtn-23.3%11.0%5.5%-12.6%--8.9%-8.9%
3M Rtn-10.8%22.2%12.7%31.9%--17.4%
6M Rtn-23.7%48.1%11.6%3.5%--7.6%
12M Rtn-57.5%49.0%-31.9%72.6%--8.5%
3Y Rtn-268.9%11.6%94.5%--94.5%
1M Excs Rtn-23.3%11.0%5.5%-12.5%--8.8%-8.8%
3M Excs Rtn-18.4%12.5%5.3%21.3%--8.9%
6M Excs Rtn-38.4%33.4%-3.1%-11.2%---7.1%
12M Excs Rtn-70.2%36.1%-45.3%64.9%---4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-220.8%-53.5%49.0%--49.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,024,973
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-22.5%
Average Daily Volume5,122,448
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.54
Basic Shares Quantity123,737,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
123120223102023424B4 12/31/2022
123120211312023S-1 12/31/2021