Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.19 | Market Cap: $88.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.19Market Cap: $88.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -190 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18951% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13091%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13153% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -411% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -190 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18951% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13091%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13153% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -411% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ADVM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Acquisition by Eli Lilly and Company. Adverum Biotechnologies entered into a definitive agreement for acquisition by Eli Lilly and Company, announced on October 24, 2025. This deal provided for Adverum stockholders to receive $3.56 per share in cash plus one non-transferable contingent value right (CVR) potentially worth up to an additional $8.91, for a total potential per share consideration of up to $12.47.
2. Tender Offer and Financial Support from Eli Lilly. Following the acquisition agreement, Eli Lilly commenced a tender offer on November 7, 2025, with Adverum urging stockholders to tender their shares before the December 8, 2025, deadline. The acquisition included a crucial financial arrangement where Lilly advanced $40 million to Adverum via a secured promissory note, with an additional $25 million expected, which was vital given Adverum's stated liquidity concerns and the potential for imminent liquidation if the merger agreement was terminated.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADVM Return | -6% | -84% | -67% | 30% | -38% | -11% | -96% |
| Peers Return | 9% | -24% | -12% | -38% | 62% | -3% | -29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADVM Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 17% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 27% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADVM Max Drawdown | -31% | -84% | -69% | 0% | -38% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -24% | -25% | -41% | -21% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QURE, SGMO, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS. See ADVM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADVM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2559.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 120 days |
Compare to QURE, SGMO, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS
In The Past
Adverum Biotechnologies's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2559.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ADVM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Adverum Biotechnologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 8 |
| Op Inc LTM | -136 |
| FCF LTM | -104 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -128 |
| CFO LTM | -104 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -123 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -42.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -12.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -75.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -29.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1,140.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -468.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -325.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -1,209.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -393.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1,273.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -413.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 45.2 |
| P/EBIT | -1.9 |
| P/E | -1.9 |
| P/CFO | -2.7 |
| Total Yield | -53.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -114.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 28.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 68.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -34.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -36.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 26.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 54.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -50.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -111.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | 4 | 0 | 8 | 0 | |
| Total | 4 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | -129 | ||||
| Total | -129 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | -122 | ||||
| Total | -122 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | 308 | 483 | |||
| Total | 308 | 483 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11042021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Soparkar Peter | CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER | 5162025 | Sell | 2.00 | 2,960 | 5,920 | 78,308 | Form |
| 1 | Seyedkazemi Setareh | CHIEF DEVELOPMENT OFFICER | 5162025 | Sell | 2.00 | 924 | 1,848 | 27,536 | Form |
| 2 | Fischer Laurent | CEO, PRESIDENT AND DIRECTOR | 5162025 | Sell | 2.00 | 9,126 | 18,252 | 174,976 | Form |
| 3 | Leonard Braden Michael | 4282025 | Buy | 5.04 | 20,407 | 102,841 | 630,981 | Form | |
| 4 | Leonard Braden Michael | 4242025 | Buy | 3.00 | 300,000 | 900,000 | 9,172,578 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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