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Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $4.5 | Market Cap: $105.7 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $4.5
Market Cap: $105.7 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


Our Take: Adverum Biotechnologies is being acquired by Eli Lilly, offering shareholders potential upside, and its lead gene therapy, Ixo-vec, shows promising clinical data. However, the company faces stiff competition, has historically underperformed, and continues to burn cash, presenting high risk.

0 Acquisition
Eli Lilly agreed to acquire ADVM for $3.56/share cash plus a CVR up to $8.91/share. [cite
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Clinical progress
ARTEMIS Phase 3 trial screening completed ahead of schedule, with data expected Q1 2027. [cite
Stock underperformance
ADVM returned -96% since 2020 vs. S&P 500's 112%. [cite
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -189 Mil
2 Innovative therapy
Ixo-vec aims to be a "One And Done™" gene therapy for wet AMD. [cite
High stock volatility
ADVM has 88.2% 1-year volatility and 140.15% downside capture. [cite
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
3 Financial stability
Eli Lilly provided up to $65M secured loan to support ongoing operations. [cite
Opportunity cost
Peers like NVDA (65.2% Rev Chg LTM) offer stronger growth. [cite
Direct competition
REGENXBIO's RGX-314 is a late-stage competitor for wAMD/DME. [cite
4 Efficacy data
LUNA Phase 2 showed 88% reduction in treatment burden for Ixo-vec. [cite
  Cash burn
LTM Net Cash from Operations is -$138 million. [cite

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Valuation, Metrics & Events

ADVM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM) stock moved by 41.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 10, 2025: 1. 1. Acquisition Agreement with Eli Lilly and Company: On October 24, 2025, Eli Lilly and Company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Adverum Biotechnologies. The terms of the acquisition offered Adverum shareholders $3.56 per share in cash plus one non-transferable contingent value right (CVR), potentially entitling holders to an additional $8.91 per CVR upon achieving two specified milestones, for a total potential consideration of up to $12.47 per share. This provided a significant premium and clear valuation for the company. 2. 2. Completion of Tender Offer and Merger: The tender offer by Eli Lilly's subsidiary for Adverum's shares successfully expired on December 8, 2025, with approximately 64% of Adverum's outstanding shares tendered. The acquisition was expected to be finalized on December 9, 2025, and Adverum subsequently completed the merger, becoming a wholly owned subsidiary and requesting delisting from the Nasdaq Stock Market. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ADVM Return-6%-84%-67%30%-38%-7%-96%
Peers Return9%-24%-12%-38%62%-7%-32%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ADVM Win Rate50%50%17%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate23%15%15%12%27%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ADVM Max Drawdown-31%-84%-69%0%-38%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-24%-25%-41%-21%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QURE, SGMO, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS. See ADVM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADVMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2559.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven210.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven132 days120 days

Compare to QURE, SGMO, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS


In The Past

Adverum Biotechnologies's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2559.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)

Better Bets than Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ADVM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Adverum Biotechnologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ADVMQURESGMOACSBAIXCALPSMedian
NameAdverum .uniQure Sangamo .Acesis AIxCryptoALPS  
Mkt Price4.3620.780.50-2.531.032.53
Mkt Cap0.13.40.2---0.2
Rev LTM01633-0-8
Op Inc LTM-189-174-109--7--141
FCF LTM-138-154-76--7--107
FCF 3Y Avg-104-169-150--8--127
CFO LTM-138-153-76--7--107
CFO 3Y Avg-104-161-141--8--122

Growth & Margins

ADVMQURESGMOACSBAIXCALPSMedian
NameAdverum .uniQure Sangamo .Acesis AIxCryptoALPS  
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%-44.9%-37.1%----44.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--12.4%-10.5%----11.4%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%61.8%-98.8%----98.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-100.0%9.9%-59.8%----59.8%
Op Mgn LTM--1,102.1%-331.6%----716.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--658.9%-214.7%----436.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-42.1%-254.7%----106.3%
CFO/Rev LTM--972.9%-231.7%----602.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--578.5%-188.4%----383.4%
FCF/Rev LTM--975.7%-232.3%----604.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--598.4%-194.6%----396.5%

Valuation

ADVMQURESGMOACSBAIXCALPSMedian
NameAdverum .uniQure Sangamo .Acesis AIxCryptoALPS  
Mkt Cap0.13.40.2---0.2
P/S-216.86.2---111.5
P/EBIT---1.9----1.9
P/E-0.6-14.5-1.9----1.9
P/CFO-0.8-22.3-2.7----2.7
Total Yield-173.7%-6.9%-53.2%----53.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---114.7%----114.7%
D/E--0.1---0.1
Net D/E---0.0----0.0

Returns

ADVMQURESGMOACSBAIXCALPSMedian
NameAdverum .uniQure Sangamo .Acesis AIxCryptoALPS  
1M Rtn0.9%-25.2%6.7%--41.1%3.8%
3M Rtn25.6%18.8%-3.2%---18.8%
6M Rtn56.3%27.2%-2.3%---27.2%
12M Rtn-25.5%184.9%-74.8%----25.5%
3Y Rtn-29.7%-6.8%-85.4%----29.7%
1M Excs Rtn-0.7%-26.9%5.0%--39.4%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn27.0%14.2%-10.1%---14.2%
6M Excs Rtn43.0%13.9%-15.6%---13.9%
12M Excs Rtn-36.0%202.7%-87.1%----36.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-101.9%-88.2%-154.2%----101.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics4   0
Total4   0


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics-129    
Total-129    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics-122    
Total-122    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics 308440483 
Total 308440483 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity435,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-46.3%
Average Daily Volume428,180
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.02
Basic Shares Quantity23,487,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/202510.3%30.8%47.8%
4/15/2025-5.8%-13.7%-39.9%
11/4/20242.4%2.9%-20.4%
8/12/20244.2%11.7%8.3%
3/18/2024-6.8%-15.5%-35.9%
11/9/20232.9%-2.3%-8.7%
8/10/20233.3%-13.1%-9.3%
3/30/2023-0.4%-5.4%12.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive864
# Negative91113
Median Positive3.1%7.2%11.3%
Median Negative-3.6%-10.6%-22.4%
Max Positive10.3%30.8%47.8%
Max Negative-16.6%-26.7%-39.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023318202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Soparkar PeterCHIEF OPERATING OFFICER5162025Sell2.002,9605,92078,308Form
1Seyedkazemi SetarehCHIEF DEVELOPMENT OFFICER5162025Sell2.009241,84827,536Form
2Fischer LaurentCEO, PRESIDENT AND DIRECTOR5162025Sell2.009,12618,252174,976Form
3Leonard Braden Michael 4282025Buy5.0420,407102,841630,981Form
4Leonard Braden Michael 4242025Buy3.00300,000900,0009,172,578Form