Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)
Market Price (12/10/2025): $4.5 | Market Cap: $105.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM)
Market Price (12/10/2025): $4.5Market Cap: $105.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Acquisition Eli Lilly agreed to acquire ADVM for $3.56/share cash plus a CVR up to $8.91/share. [cite | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Clinical progress ARTEMIS Phase 3 trial screening completed ahead of schedule, with data expected Q1 2027. [cite | Stock underperformance ADVM returned -96% since 2020 vs. S&P 500's 112%. [cite | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -189 Mil |
| Innovative therapy Ixo-vec aims to be a "One And Done™" gene therapy for wet AMD. [cite | High stock volatility ADVM has 88.2% 1-year volatility and 140.15% downside capture. [cite | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Financial stability Eli Lilly provided up to $65M secured loan to support ongoing operations. [cite | Opportunity cost Peers like NVDA (65.2% Rev Chg LTM) offer stronger growth. [cite | Direct competition REGENXBIO's RGX-314 is a late-stage competitor for wAMD/DME. [cite |
| Efficacy data LUNA Phase 2 showed 88% reduction in treatment burden for Ixo-vec. [cite | Cash burn LTM Net Cash from Operations is -$138 million. [cite |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ADVM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Adverum Biotechnologies (ADVM) stock moved by 41.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 10, 2025: 1. 1. Acquisition Agreement with Eli Lilly and Company: On October 24, 2025, Eli Lilly and Company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Adverum Biotechnologies. The terms of the acquisition offered Adverum shareholders $3.56 per share in cash plus one non-transferable contingent value right (CVR), potentially entitling holders to an additional $8.91 per CVR upon achieving two specified milestones, for a total potential consideration of up to $12.47 per share. This provided a significant premium and clear valuation for the company. 2. 2. Completion of Tender Offer and Merger: The tender offer by Eli Lilly's subsidiary for Adverum's shares successfully expired on December 8, 2025, with approximately 64% of Adverum's outstanding shares tendered. The acquisition was expected to be finalized on December 9, 2025, and Adverum subsequently completed the merger, becoming a wholly owned subsidiary and requesting delisting from the Nasdaq Stock Market. 3.
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Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADVM Return | -6% | -84% | -67% | 30% | -38% | -7% | -96% |
| Peers Return | 9% | -24% | -12% | -38% | 62% | -7% | -32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADVM Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 17% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 27% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADVM Max Drawdown | -31% | -84% | -69% | 0% | -38% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -24% | -25% | -41% | -21% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QURE, SGMO, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS. See ADVM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADVM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2559.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 120 days |
Compare to QURE, SGMO, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS
In The Past
Adverum Biotechnologies's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2559.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ADVM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 10.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.1% | -9.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.8% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 13.9% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.0% | 20.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 10.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.1% | -9.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.8% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 13.9% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.0% | 20.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Adverum Biotechnologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 8 |
| Op Inc LTM | -141 |
| FCF LTM | -107 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -127 |
| CFO LTM | -107 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -122 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -44.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -98.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -59.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -716.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -436.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -106.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -602.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -383.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -604.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -396.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 111.5 |
| P/EBIT | -1.9 |
| P/E | -1.9 |
| P/CFO | -2.7 |
| Total Yield | -53.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -114.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -25.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -29.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 13.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -36.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -101.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | 4 | 0 | |||
| Total | 4 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | -129 | ||||
| Total | -129 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | -122 | ||||
| Total | -122 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing and commercializing gene therapeutics | 308 | 440 | 483 | ||
| Total | 308 | 440 | 483 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/12/2025 | 10.3% | 30.8% | 47.8% |
| 4/15/2025 | -5.8% | -13.7% | -39.9% |
| 11/4/2024 | 2.4% | 2.9% | -20.4% |
| 8/12/2024 | 4.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| 3/18/2024 | -6.8% | -15.5% | -35.9% |
| 11/9/2023 | 2.9% | -2.3% | -8.7% |
| 8/10/2023 | 3.3% | -13.1% | -9.3% |
| 3/30/2023 | -0.4% | -5.4% | 12.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -10.6% | -22.4% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 30.8% | 47.8% |
| Max Negative | -16.6% | -26.7% | -39.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Soparkar Peter | CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER | 5162025 | Sell | 2.00 | 2,960 | 5,920 | 78,308 | Form |
| 1 | Seyedkazemi Setareh | CHIEF DEVELOPMENT OFFICER | 5162025 | Sell | 2.00 | 924 | 1,848 | 27,536 | Form |
| 2 | Fischer Laurent | CEO, PRESIDENT AND DIRECTOR | 5162025 | Sell | 2.00 | 9,126 | 18,252 | 174,976 | Form |
| 3 | Leonard Braden Michael | 4282025 | Buy | 5.04 | 20,407 | 102,841 | 630,981 | Form | |
| 4 | Leonard Braden Michael | 4242025 | Buy | 3.00 | 300,000 | 900,000 | 9,172,578 | Form |
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