Between Booking and Royal Caribbean, Which Stock Looks Set to Break Out?

RCL: Royal Caribbean logo
RCL
Royal Caribbean

Royal Caribbean surged 11% during the past Week. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Booking gives you more. Booking (BKNG) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Royal Caribbean (RCL) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in BKNG

  • BKNG’s quarterly revenue growth was 16.2%, vs. RCL’s 11.3%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 15.0%, ahead of RCL’s 9.7%.
  • BKNG leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 34.3% and 3-year average of 31.6%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how RCL’s fundamentals stack up against those of BKNG on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: RCL Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  RCL BKNG Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 14.8 14.1 BKNG
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 11.3% 16.2% BKNG
Last 12 Months 9.7% 15.0% BKNG
Last 3 Year Average 20.5% 15.2% RCL
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 27.9% 34.3% BKNG
Last 3 Year Average 25.5% 31.6% BKNG
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 264.3% 66.9% RCL

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell BKNG Stock and Buy or Sell RCL Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
RCL Return 3% -36% 162% 79% 22% -1% 277%   <===
BKNG Return 8% -16% 76% 41% 9% -21% 93%    
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 10% 100%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
RCL Win Rate 50% 58% 67% 67% 58% 40%   57%  
BKNG Win Rate 58% 50% 75% 58% 50% 20%   52%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 60%   64% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
RCL Max Drawdown -34% -64% -27% -19% -35% -29%   -35%  
BKNG Max Drawdown -22% -40% -15% -20% -21% -30%   -25%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -5% -25% -10% -8% -19% -9%   -13% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/28/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read BKNG Dip Buyer Analyses and RCL Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about RCL or BKNG? Consider portfolio approach.

The Best Investors Think In Portfolios

Stocks soar and sink – the key is staying invested. A balanced portfolio helps you ride market volatility, boosts gains, and reduces single stock risk.

Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.