TransDigm or Northrop Grumman: Which Stock Has More Upside?
Northrop Grumman fell -18% during the past Month. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer TransDigm gives you more. TransDigm (TDG) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Northrop Grumman (NOC) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in TDG
- TDG’s quarterly revenue growth was 13.9%, vs. NOC’s 4.4%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 11.7%, ahead of NOC’s 5.0%.
- TDG leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 46.7% and 3-year average of 45.9%.
These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how NOC’s fundamentals stack up against those of TDG on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.
Valuation & Performance Overview
| NOC | TDG | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 17.2 | 15.8 | TDG |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 4.4% | 13.9% | TDG |
| Last 12 Months | 5.0% | 11.7% | TDG |
| Last 3 Year Average | 4.6% | 17.5% | TDG |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 11.1% | 46.7% | TDG |
| Last 3 Year Average | 9.1% | 45.9% | TDG |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 29.0% | 75.6% | TDG |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell TDG Stock and Buy or Sell NOC Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.
Historical Market Performance
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| NOC Return | 29% | 43% | -13% | 2% | 24% | 2% | 107% | ||
| TDG Return | 3% | 2% | 67% | 32% | 12% | -13% | 126% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| NOC Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 53% | ||
| TDG Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 61% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 62% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| NOC Max Drawdown | -6% | -4% | -22% | -9% | -8% | 0% | -8% | <=== | |
| TDG Max Drawdown | -16% | -19% | -1% | -4% | -3% | -15% | -10% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | -9% | ||
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read TDG Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has fallen and recovered in the past.
Still not sure about NOC or TDG? Consider portfolio approach.
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