TransDigm or RTX: Which Stock Has More Upside?

RTX: RTX logo
RTX
RTX

RTX fell -11% during the past Week. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer TransDigm gives you more. TransDigm (TDG) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs RTX (RTX) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in TDG

  • TDG’s quarterly revenue growth was 13.9%, vs. RTX’s 8.7%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 11.7%, ahead of RTX’s 10.6%.
  • TDG leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 46.7% and 3-year average of 45.9%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how RTX’s fundamentals stack up against those of TDG on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: RTX Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  RTX TDG Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 23.9 15.7 TDG
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 8.7% 13.9% TDG
Last 12 Months 10.6% 11.7% TDG
Last 3 Year Average 9.7% 17.5% TDG
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 10.9% 46.7% TDG
Last 3 Year Average 8.1% 45.9% TDG
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 81.6% 75.5% RTX

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell TDG Stock and Buy or Sell RTX Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
RTX Return 23% 20% -14% 41% 61% -2% 182%   <===
TDG Return 3% 2% 67% 32% 12% -12% 127%    
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 4% 89%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
RTX Win Rate 67% 58% 42% 58% 75% 50%   58%  
TDG Win Rate 50% 50% 75% 75% 67% 50%   61%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 50%   62% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
RTX Max Drawdown -8% -4% -30% 0% -1% -2%   -8% <===
TDG Max Drawdown -16% -19% -1% -4% -3% -15%   -10%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -7%   -9%  

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/24/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read TDG Dip Buyer Analyses and RTX Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about RTX or TDG? Consider portfolio approach.

The Best Investors Think In Portfolios

Individual stocks can soar or tank, but one thing matters: staying invested. The right portfolio can help you stay invested, capture upside, and mitigate the downside associated with any individual stock.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? HQ Portfolio has posted more than 105% in cumulative return since inception, with less risk versus the benchmark index, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.