WULF Stock Falls -11% With A 6-day Losing Spree On Analyst Target Cut
TeraWulf (WULF) stock hit day 6-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -11%. The company market cap has crashed by about $550 Mil over the last 6 days, and currently stands at $4.5 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 97.0% compared to 17.3% for S&P 500. This calls for re-evaluation of stock’s valuation, and find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Analyst Price Target Reduction
- Rosenblatt Securities lowered price target to $20 from $24
- Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a ‘sell’ rating on the stock
- Impact: Negative Institutional Sentiment, Increased Selling Pressure
[2] Broad Sector Headwinds
- Slumping Bitcoin price leading to miner sell-offs
- Low hashprice pressuring miner profitability
- Impact: Fears of Margin Compression, Weakness Tied To Bitcoin Price
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There are a few things to fear in WULF stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its Very High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell WULF).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -11% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for WULF stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | WULF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -2.4% | -0.1% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | -10.9% | 0.9% |
| 1M (21D) | -28.1% | 0.7% |
| 3M (63D) | -2.4% | 3.1% |
| YTD 2025 | 97.0% | 17.3% |
| 2024 | 135.8% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 260.6% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | -95.6% | -19.4% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: WULF Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 51 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 98 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 10 | 85 |
| 4D | 24 | 4 |
| 5D | 3 | 9 |
| 6D | 13 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 51 | 98 |
Key Financials for TeraWulf (WULF)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $69.2 Mil | $140.1 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-28.3 Mil | $-60.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $-73.4 Mil | $-72.4 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $47.6 Mil | $50.6 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-10.2 Mil | $-13.9 Mil |
| Net Income | $-18.4 Mil | $-455.1 Mil |
The losing streak WULF stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.