VZ Earns Its Premium Over Peers. Now What?

+13.97%
Upside
43.88
Market
50.01
Trefis
VZ: Verizon Communications logo
VZ
Verizon Communications

The telecom giant is winning on the field, but its stock already carries a high price tag.

Verizon Communications (VZ) stock has delivered a solid +13.6% return over the last twelve months, a bright spot in a tough neighborhood for telecom investors. But with the stock trading near $43.88 a share, it also carries a premium price tag compared to its direct competitors. In a market where several companies offer similar wireless and broadband services, the question for any comparison shopper is sharp and immediate: Is Verizon’s operational performance strong enough to justify its top-tier price, or is the market overpaying for a good story?

Photo by geralt on Pixabay

How Does Verizon’s Price Tag Stack Up Against Its Performance?

The numbers reveal a clear disconnect between Verizon and its peers. The company trades at 10.6 times earnings, a significant premium to rival AT&T, which trades at 7.1 times earnings. Investors who bought Verizon a year ago are sitting on that +13.6% gain, while AT&T shareholders saw a -14.8% return over the same period. Operationally, Verizon’s lead is visible but narrower; its 21% operating margin edges out AT&T’s 19.9%, while their revenue growth rates are nearly identical at 2.8% and 2.7%, respectively. The market is clearly rewarding Verizon for superior execution and shareholder returns, but it’s charging a steep price for the privilege.

VZ T TMUS CMCSA CHTR
Market Cap ($ Bil) 184.5 156.0 212.2 86.7 16.7
PE Ratio 10.6 7.1 20.1 4.6 3.4
LTM Revenue Growth 2.8% 2.7% 9.5% 1.4% -0.9%
LTM Operating Margin 21% 19.9% 20% 15.3% 24%
12M Stock Return 13.6% -14.8% -13.1% -23% -65%

What Is the Business Story Behind the Premium?

The premium valuation is the market’s bet on a turnaround that is showing tangible results. Management is focused on what it calls a more “fiscally responsible” path to growth, and the early signs are encouraging. In its most recent quarter, the company posted 55,000 postpaid phone net adds, marking the first time in 13 years it has posted a net gain in the first quarter. It’s also keeping customers more effectively, with consumer postpaid phone churn at 90 basis points, while simultaneously cutting the cost to acquire and retain them. Management stated its “cost of acquisition and retention in March was down approximately 35%” from the end of the prior quarter. This progress gave the company confidence to raise its full-year guidance for adjusted EPS growth to a range of 5% to 6%.

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But there is an honest catch, and it’s the reason some investors remain skeptical. The case for Verizon stock survives one real flaw: while subscriber numbers are improving, the core revenue engine has yet to fully fire up. Its wireless service revenue was down 1% year-over-year in the first quarter. While a one-time customer credit related to a network outage was a factor, these operational wins have not yet translated into the durable top-line growth that would silence all doubt. The company must still prove that its new, more efficiently acquired subscribers can generate enough revenue to overcome persistent pricing pressures. For investors who prefer to own the entire theme rather than a single name, a communication services ETF like XLC offers broad exposure to the sector.

Ultimately, the turnaround’s success hinges on whether the company can hit its full-year total mobility and broadband service revenue growth target of 2.0% to 3.0%.

This piece pulled one thread; our full peer-by-peer dashboards for VZ lay every metric side by side, updated daily.

Even The Best Of The Group Is Still One Stock

Whichever name wins a peer comparison, buying it concentrates you in one company and one industry, and industries move together: when the group catches a cold, the best house on the block still sneezes.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio diversifies across roughly 30 quality names in different industries, selected on fundamentals and re-balanced with discipline, so no single group’s performance decides the outcome. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the three major indices – the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Use the comparison to understand the stock; use the portfolio to own the market’s best.