8 Green Days In A Row: Vericel Stock Is Up 48%

VCELYTD+65.1%SPYYTD+12.0%XLVYTD+23.1%
Analyze VCEL →

Vericel (VCEL) stock has risen for 8 consecutive trading days, gaining 47.7% over that stretch. That added about $982 million to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $3.0 billion. The stock closed at $59.45 on Wednesday, November 11, its highest close of the past year.

Image from Pixabay

 
VCEL Versus The S&P 500

Returns for VCEL and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, November 11 and including dividends:
 

Return Period VCEL S&P 500
1 Day 0.7% 1.3%
8 Days (Current Streak) 47.7% 0.5%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 47.5% -2.3%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 33.5% -2.0%
Year To Date 65.1% 12.4%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 52.5% 12.8%

A Stock-Specific Run, Or A Market Move?

Over the same 8 trading days, the S&P 500 returned +0.5% including dividends, so the run is mostly Vericel’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 33.5%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 55 sessions of that window it was down 9.6%.

What The Numbers Say About The Rally

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 25.3% over the last twelve months, against a median of 7.9% for S&P 500 Health Care stocks; and its operating margin is 8.3%, versus a median of 17.4%. At least one of the last four quarters was a loss, so a price-to-earnings multiple would not be a meaningful yardstick here. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median on one side, margins below the median on the other.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

One Hot Stock Is A Story. Thirty Sound Ones Are A Strategy

A streak like this earns a place on your watchlist, and it also earns a question: how much of your outcome do you want depending on one company keeping this up?

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio answers it with breadth: roughly 30 businesses picked for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and balance-sheet strength, sized and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Follow the story; invest in the strategy.